• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수준별 선택실험모형

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A Triple Connected Teaching & Learning Model to Improve the Educational Level of Information and Communication Ethics in Elementary School (초등 정보통신윤리 교육수준 제고를 위한 3중 연계교수학습모형 연구)

  • Lee, Dae-Ho;Cho, Gi-Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Association of Information Education
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.345-353
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    • 2011
  • Information and communication brings us some degree of convenient but also serious side effects. Especially, information and communication ethics is an important issue for elementary school children who are early stage in moral value. This paper proposes a triple-connected teaching and learning model. which can be applied to the elementary school children. in order to improve the educational level. The model is formed by selecting three discretionary teaching models, and applying independently them into the different classes with linking the contents for each class. A teacher can choose the teaching models based on what he wants to teach. Caring model, Home-Connected model and Simulation model were linked in our experiment. Experiments were conducted in the same condition but different learning models, Then, an educational effect was compared and analyzed in the educational level improvement point of view, between the Triple-connected teaching and learning model and the single teaching and learning model.

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Estimating Attributes Value of Alternatives Applied for Rehabilitation of Hydrologic Cycle of the Anyangcheon Watershed (물순환 건전화 대안 적용을 위한 안양천의 속성별 가치추정)

  • Kong, Ki-Seo;Chung, Eun-Sung;Lee, Kil-Seong;Yoo, Jin-Chae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.12 s.173
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    • pp.1031-1042
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    • 2006
  • In recent years, a growing concern exists in watershed and stream improvement projects. Under these circumstances, this paper estimates monetary value of the attributes of alternatives for rehabilitation of hydrologic cycle using choice experiments. Choice experiments shows vivid image and estimates a willingness to pay based on their preference for environmental goods. A preliminary survey shows that the attributes of the Anyangcheon watershed are flood-damage possibilities, Instreamflow, water quality, river characteristic and estimates the tax for the Anyangcheon watershed improvements. We surveyed 200 citizens were selected as samples of watershed beneficing in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province and used conditional logit model to analyze the implicit values of the attributive per household. The benefit of the attributes by province based on the implicit price obtained from estimated parameters were calculated. This study is expected to contribute to the decision-making process for policy-makers by providing useful methodological framework and quantitative information related to watershed improvement projects.

Mode Choice Characteristics of Rail Freight Transportation (철도 화물 수송수단 선택 특성 연구)

  • Choi, Chang-Ho;Shin, Seung-Jin;Park, Dong-Joo;Kim, Han-Soo;Jin, Jang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.588-595
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    • 2008
  • This study is carried out for understanding mode choice behavior of shippers and introducing ideal mode share between rail and truck in Korea. The model type is individual behavioral model and the input data type is stated preference (SP) data. SP data was prepared by design of experiments. The explanatory variables in models are transport time, transport cost and service level. The research result shows that it is more effective to reduce transport cost rather than to implement other strategies. For container, reducing transport cost and transport time and increasing service level simultaneously can strengthen the competitiveness of rail over truck transportation. On the other hand, for bulk freight such as cement and steel, it is better to reduce the transport cost than to do other attributes.

Predicting Financial Success of a Movie Using Bayesian Choice Model (베이지안 선택 모형을 이용한 영화흥행 예측)

  • Lee Gyeong-Jae;Jang U-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1851-1856
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    • 2006
  • 영화는 대표적인 경험재로 가치판단이 주관적이고 제품 수명주기가 매우 짧아 예측의 불확실성이 높기 때문에 이를 정량적인 방법으로 모형화하기는 쉽지 않다. 이러한 한계점에도 불구하고 한 영화의 상업적 성공을 예측하는 것은 영화 제작자나 배급사, 극장 등 모든 주체에게 수익과 직결되는 중요한 문제이기 때문에 지금까지 다양한 통계 모형이 제시되었다. 그러나 이들 모형의 대부분은 영화흥행에는 영향을 미치나 측정할 수 없는 효과를 반영하지 못한다거나, 추정 모수의 효과가 모든 영화에 대해서 같다는 동일성 가정으로 인해 영화간 이질성을 고려하지 못하고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 추정 모수의 사전분포를 모호사전분포로 정의함으로써 변수들의 불확실성을 반영할 수 있고, 영화간 이질성을 고려할 수 있는 베이지안 선택 모형을 제안하였다. 모수의 사후분포는 마코프체인 몬테카를로 기법인 깁스 샘플러를 이용하여 추정하였다. 또한, 감독, 배우, 장르 등의 영화 별 속성 변수뿐만 아니라, 입소문에 의한 영화관람 결정 등의 구전효과와 경쟁영화의 개봉으로 인한 효과를 반영할 수 있는 변수를 추가하여 모형의 정확성을 높였다. 2005년과 2006년 상반기에 상영된 영화를 바탕으로 모형을 구축하고 인공신경망 모형과 비교한 결과, 전체적인 예측 정확도에서는 인공신경망 모형과 비슷한 결과를 보이나 상업적으로 성공한 영화를 예측하는 데에는 베이지안 선택모형이 보다 더 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 개봉 주의 경쟁심화 정도 및 개봉 첫 주의 스크린 수 등이 영화 흥행에 가장 중요한 변수로 나타났으며, 영화 개봉 전 그 영화에 대한 기대치가 높을수록 흥행 성적 또한 좋음을 알 수 있었다. 배우의 힘 및 계절성, 영화 평점 등은 이질성을 고려하지 않은 전체수준에서는 통계적으로 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났으나, 그룹 간 이질성을 반영한 모형에서는 어느 정도 흥행한 영화를 만들기 위해서는 고려되어야 할 요소로 나타났다.렇지 않을 경우 적절한 벤치마킹 대상을 도출할 때까지 추가적인 분석과정을 반복한다. 제안한 방법을 통하여 조직은 기술적 생산 가능성 외에도 다양한 조직 운영 관점에서 적절한 벤치마킹 대상을 선정할 수 있으며, 이에 따른 목표를 수립할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다. 또한 더 나아가 global efficiency 관점에서 효율적 조직이 되기 위하여 단계적인 벤치마킹 대상 선정과 이에 따른 목표를 수립하는데도 유용하리라 판단된다.$1.20{\pm}0.37L$, 72시간에 $1.33{\pm}0.33L$로 유의한 차이를 보였으므로(F=6.153, P=0.004), 술 후 폐환기능 회복에 효과가 있다. 4) 실험군과 대조군의 수술 후 노력성 폐활량은 수술 후 72시간에서 실험군이 $1.90{\pm}0.61L$, 대조군이 $1.51{\pm}0.38L$로 유의한 차이를 보였다(t=2.620, P=0.013). 5) 실험군과 대조군의 수술 후 일초 노력성 호기량은 수술 후 24시간에서 $1.33{\pm}0.56L,\;1.00{\ge}0.28L$로 유의한 차이를 보였고(t=2.530, P=0.017), 술 후 72시간에서 $1.72{\pm}0.65L,\;1.33{\pm}0.3L$로 유의한 차이를 보였다(t=2.540, P=0.016). 6) 대상자의 술 후 폐환기능에 영향을 미치는 요인은 성별로 나타났다. 이에 따른 폐환기능의 차이를 보면, 실험군의 술 후 노력성 폐활량이 48시간에 남자($1.78{\pm}0.61L$)가 여자($1.27{\pm}0.45L$)보다 더 높게 나타났으며 (t=2.170, P=0.042), 72시간에도 역시 남자($2.16{\pm}0.56L$)가 여자($1.50{\pm}0.47L$)보다 더

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Speed Prediction Models for Freeway Merging Area (고속도로 연결로 접속부에서의 속도 추정 모형)

  • 신치현
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.99-120
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    • 1995
  • 가속차선이 교통류의 운영상태와 안전에 기여하는 바는 벌써부터 인식되어 왔으나 이 변속차선이 유입형 연결로 접속부 전체의 운영에 미치는 영향을 수치화하거나 체계적으로 평가하기 위해 현장 자료를 바탕으로 한 실험적 연구는 진행되어 오지 못하엿다. 현재 널리 참고되고 있는 1985년 USHCM의 접속부 운영상태 분석 방법론은 단지 차선 1의 교통량을 예측하는 데 주안점을 두고 있는데 가속 차선의 길고 짧음에 따라 접속부 바로 전 차선 1의 교통량 분포가 크게 변화한다는 사실(많은 현장 관측을 통해 확인)은 고려하지 못하고 있다. 이는 접속부 운영 상태가 같은 교통량 조건하에서도 크게 차이가 나나다는 것을 뜻하며 가속차선의 존재를 무시한채 운영과 관련한 MOE를 도출하는 것이 서비스수준 산정 방법으로 충분한 것인가 하는 의문을 자연히 낳게 한다. 본 논문은 가속차선이 고속도로 연결로 접속부의 운영에 미치는 영향을 주로 다루고 있다. 가속차선의 독립적인 역할과 영향을 체계적으로 관찰하기 위해 미국내 여러 지역에서 8개의 고속도로 연결로접속부를 선택하고 각 지점에 접속부의 상하류 지역을 포함하는 2,000ft 구간내에 다섯대의 카메라를 설치, 지점별로 약 3시간 동안 자료를 수집하였다. 총 193개 자료수의 분석을 통해서 다중 회귀 모형을 구성하는 독립변수로 가속차선의 길이를 사용하는 것이 타당하다고 결론지었으며, 접속부 운영의 질, 특히 속도를 추정하기 위한 모형을 수립하였다. 본 연구를 통해 얻어진 관점과 방법론은 1994USHCM 고속도로 연결로 분석 방법론 설정에 일부분 반영되고 잇으며 특히 교통운영과 흐름의 방식에서 유사한 엇갈림 구간의 분석 방법과 일관성 있는 분석 체계 마련을 위해서 서비스수준 산정 절차 정립에 엇갈림 알고리즘을 활용하는 방안을 제시하였다.

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An Analysis of the Correspondence between Environmental Damage and the Subsidy in the Vicinity of a Landfill in the Seoul Methropolitan Area (수도권매립지 주변의 환경피해와 주민지원금 간의 상응성 분석)

  • Kang, Heechan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.365-393
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    • 2021
  • Using the Choice Experiment Method, this paper identified whether subsidy to the household around landfil in Seoul metropolitan area is being provided corresponding to the scale of the environmental damage. Since 2001, the subsidy program has been operating for nearly 20 years to compensate for various environmental damage (foul odor, noise, air pollution, water pollution, etc.) from landfill site in the metropolitan area, but it is not clear on what ground the subsidy is allocated. This paper estimated the marginal WTP by attribute (odor, noise, air pollution, and water pollution) based on mixed logit model and compared them with current subsidy level per household in each town. As a result of the comparison, it was found that the subsidy for each town was not allocated in proportion to the amount of the marginal WTP for each household in the corresponding town. In addition, this paper constructs a level-by-level scenario for environmental improvement attributes and compares economic benefits and current subsidy levels. As a result, the current subsidy level is insufficient compared to the level at which environmental damage is completely eliminated, but excessive subsidy is allocated compared to partial improvement levels.

A Study on the Effect of STAD Group Study using Gradual Self-Leading Learning Materials on the Accomplishments of Math Curriculum (자기주도적 수준별 학습지를 이용한 STAD 협동학습이 수학교과 학습 성취도에 미치는 효과)

  • 송영무;나덕수
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.65-85
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this research is to increase mathematical problem solving abilities VIa STAD evaluation after completing classes. to which ST AD group study is applied, and promoting the learning accomplishments of students by developing gradual self-leading learning materials about the research project on ' How to use an hour math class efficiently\ulcorner ' For this purpose, the items below were studied. Firstly, gradual self-leading learning materials were developed and applied which were composed of textbook abstracts, basic problems, developing problems and intensive problems rather than existing textbooks. Secondly, the ST AD group study model was selected and applied which invokes competitions among small groups of which learning goals were clear. individual responsibility was important. and successive opportunities were equal. The evaluation using STAD at each end of a chapter was announced instantly using the EXCEL scoring system. Though the results of experimental classes were limited in their size. experimental time, and class selection, there were meaningful changes in the aspect of being able to heighten the accomplishment desire of students by inducing voluntary competitions among small groups without any student omitted. As the result of applying this research to my class, the ST AD group study using gradual self-leading learning materials invoked the interests of students and increased learning accomplishments via increasing problem solving abilities in mathematics. The ST AD group study was easy to use by beginning teachers, and its process was simple. It increased interactions among students and learning motives because its compensation system was open to all students. Among various studying methods for small groups. STAD group study is expected to be widely used for mathematics classes.

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선택 실험법을 이용한 친환경 보일러의 시장 점유율 예측

  • Kim, Mi-Jeong;Bae, Jeong-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.595-625
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    • 2012
  • Recently environment-friendly pellet boilers have interests as emissions of greenhouse gases are regulated internationally and energy security becomes more important to oil addicted countries including Republic of Korea. But the Korean market for pellet boilers is on the initial stage due to the high production costs relative to other conventional boilers. Hence the Korean government has supported financially and promoted the pellet boiler business. In this sense, it would contribute market stratergy and effective promotion policy for both of the government and private companies if we can forecast market shares of pellet boilers appropriately. For this purpose, this study surveyed potential consumers' preferences on pellet boilers among various alternatives using a choice experiment reflecting intangible costs. As the market share of new technology increases, intangible costs decline. According to different intangible cost scenarios, we experimented people's preferences on oil, gas, electric, and pellet boilers. A multinomial logit model was employed to estimate coefficient parameters of common attributes for various alternative boilers. Based on the estimates, we forecasted market shares of individual boilers. We found that as intangible costs decline, the market share of pellet boiler increase substantically while market shares of electric and gas boilers decrease dramatically. The market share of oil boiler did not change significantly. Meanwhile, as people are more rich, more educated, and exposed to advertisement on pellet boilers, the likelihood of choosing the pellet boiler increases.

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An Analysis on Consumer Preference for Attributes of Agricultural Box Scheme (농산물 꾸러미 속성별 소비자선호 분석)

  • Park, Jae-Dong;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Jang, Woo-Whan;Lim, Cheong-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.329-338
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we analyze consumer preferences based on the agricultural box scheme attributes, and make a suggestion for business revival. We estimate the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) for box scheme attributes using a choice experiment. Attributes include the bundle method, the delivery method, and price. To select an efficient model for statistical analysis, we evaluate the conditional logit model, heteroscedastic extreme value model(HEV model), multinomial probit model, and mixed logit model under different assumptions. The results of these four models show that the bundle method, the delivery method, and price are statistically significant in explaining the probability of participation in a box scheme. The results of likelihood ratio tests show that the heteroscedastic extreme value model is the most appropriate for our survey data. The results also indicate that MWTP for a change from fixed type to selection type is KRW 7,096.6. MWTP for a change from parcel service to direct delivery and cold-chain delivery are KRW 3,497.5 and KRW 7,532.7, respectively. The results of this study may contribute to the government's local food policies.