• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수자원대책

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A study on pollutant loads prediction using a convolution neural networks (합성곱 신경망을 이용한 오염부하량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Chul Min
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.444-444
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    • 2021
  • 하천의 오염부하량 관리 계획은 지속적인 모니터링을 통한 자료 구축과 모형을 이용한 예측결과를 기반으로 수립된다. 하천의 모니터링과 예측 분석은 많은 예산과 인력 등이 필요하나, 정부의 담당 공무원 수는 극히 부족한 상황이 일반적이다. 이에 정부는 전문가에게 관련 용역을 의뢰하지만, 한국과 같이 지형이 복잡한 지역에서의 오염부하량 배출 특성은 각각 다르게 나타나기 때문에 많은 예산 소모가 발생 된다. 이를 개선하고자, 본 연구는 합성곱 신경망 (convolution neural network)과 수문학적 이미지 (hydrological image)를 이용하여 강우 발생시 BOD 및 총인의 부하량 예측 모형을 개발하였다. 합성곱 신경망의 입력자료는 일반적으로 RGB (red, green, bule) 사진을 이용하는데, 이를 그래도 오염부하량 예측에 활용하는 것은 경험적 모형의 전제(독립변수와 종속변수의 관계)를 무너뜨리는 결과를 초래할 수 있다. 이에, 본 연구에서는 오염부하량이 수문학적 조건과 토지이용 등의 변수에 의해 결정된다는 인과관계를 만족시키고자 수문학적 속성이 내재된 수문학적 이미지를 합성곱 신경망의 훈련자료로 사용하였다. 수문학적 이미지는 임의의 유역에 대해 2차원 공간에서 무차원의 수문학적 속성을 갖는 grid의 집합으로 정의되는데, 여기서 각 grid의 수문학적 속성은 SCS 토양보존국(soil conservation service, SCS)에서 발표한 수문학적 토양피복형수 (curve number, CN)를 이용하여 산출한다. 합성곱 신경망의 구조는 2개의 Convolution Layer와 1개의 Pulling Layer가 5회 반복하는 구조로 설정하고, 1개의 Flatten Layer, 3개의 Dense Layer, 1개의 Batch Normalization Layer를 배열하고, 마지막으로 1개의 Dense Layer가 연결되는 구조로 설계하였다. 이와 함께, 각 층의 활성화 함수는 정규화 선형함수 (ReLu)로, 마지막 Dense Layer의 활성화 함수는 연속변수가 도출될 수 있도록 회귀모형에서 자주 사용되는 Linear 함수로 설정하였다. 연구의 대상지역은 경기도 가평군 조종천 유역으로 선정하였고, 연구기간은 2010년 1월 1일부터 2019년 12월 31일까지로, 2010년부터 2016년까지의 자료는 모형의 학습에, 2017년부터 2019년까지의 자료는 모형의 성능평가에 활용하였다. 모형의 예측 성능은 모형효율계수 (NSE), 평균제곱근오차(RMSE) 및 평균절대백분율오차(MAPE)를 이용하여 평가하였다. 그 결과, BOD 부하량에 대한 NSE는 0.9, RMSE는 1031.1 kg/day, MAPE는 11.5%로 나타났으며, 총인 부하량에 대한 NSE는 0.9, RMSE는 53.6 kg/day, MAPE는 17.9%로 나타나 본 연구의 모형은 우수(good)한 것으로 판단하였다. 이에, 본 연구의 모형은 일반 ANN 모형을 이용한 선행연구와는 달리 2차원 공간정보를 반영하여 오염부하량 모의가 가능했으며, 제한적인 입력자료를 이용하여 간편한 모델링이 가능하다는 장점을 나타냈다. 이를 통해 정부의 물관리 정책을 위한 의사결정 및 부족한 물관리 분야의 행정력에 도움이 될 것으로 생각된다.

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Development of a Integrated Indicator System for Evaluating the State of Watershed Management in the Context of River Basin Management Using Factor Analysis (요인분석을 이용한 수계 관리 맥락에서 유역관리 상태를 평가하기 위한 통합지수 개발)

  • Kang, Min-Goo;Lee, Kwang-Man;Ko, Ick-Hwan;Jeong, Chan-Yong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.277-291
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    • 2008
  • In order to carry out river basin management, it is necessary to evaluate the state of the river basin and make site-specific measures on the basis of management goals and objectives. A river basin is divided into several watersheds, which are composed of several components: water resources, social and economic systems, law and institution, user, land, ecosystems, etc. They are connected among them and form network holistically. In this study, a methodology for evaluating watershed management was developed by consideration of the various features of a watershed system. This methodology employed factor analysis to develop sub-indexes for evaluating water use management, environment and ecosystem management, and flood management in a watershed. To do this, first, the related data were gathered and classified into six groups that are the components of watershed systems. Second, in all sub-indexes, preliminary tests such as KMO (Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin) measure of sampling adequacy and Bartlett's test of sphericity were conducted to check the data's acceptability to factor analysis, respectively. Third, variables related to each sub-index were grouped into three factors by consideration of statistic characteristics, respectively. These factors became indicators and were named, taking into account the relationship and the characteristics of included variables. In order to check the study results, the computed factor loadings of each variable were reviewed, and correlation analysis among factor scores was fulfilled. It was revealed that each factor score of factors in a sub-index was not correlated, and grouping variables by factor analysis was appropriate. And, it was thought that this indicator system would be applied effectively to evaluating the states of watershed management.

Impact Assessment of Agricultural Reservoir on Streamflow Simulation Using Semi-distributed Hydrologic Model (준분포형 모형을 이용한 농업용 저수지가 안성천 유역의 유출모의에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Bo Kyung;Kim, Byung Sik;Kwon, Hyun Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.1B
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2009
  • Long-term rainfall-runoff modeling is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as dam design, drought management, river management flow, reservoir management for water supply, water right permission or coordinate, water quality prediction. In this regard, hydrologists have used the hydrologic models for design criteria, water resources assessment, planning and management as a main tool. Most of rainfall-runoff studies, however, were not carefully performed in terms of considering reservoir effects. In particular, the downstream where is severely affected by reservoir was poorly dealt in modeling rainfall-runoff process. Moreover, the effects can considerably affect overall the rainfallrunoff process. An objective of this study, thus, is to evaluate the impact of reservoir operation on rainfall-runoff process. The proposed approach is applied to Anseong watershed, where is in a mixed rural/urban setting of the area and in Korea, and has been experienced by flood damage due to heavy rainfall. It has been greatly paid attention to the agricultural reservoirs in terms of flood protection in Korea. To further investigate the reservoir effects, a comprehensive assessment for the results are discussed. Results of simulations that included reservoir in the model showed the effect of storage appeared in spring and autumn when rainfall was not concentrated. In periods of heavy rainfall, however, downstream runoff increased in simulations that do not consider reservoir factor. Flow duration curve showed that changes in streamflow depending upon the presence or absence of reservoir factor were particularly noticeable in ninety-five day flow and low flow.

Water Quality Prediction Model in a Lake by Finite Element Method;Application to Sapkyo Lake (유한요소법에 의한 호소의 수질예측모형;삽교 담수호에 적용하여)

  • Ryu, Byong-Ro;Ahn, Sang-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 1989
  • A 2-dimensional pollutant transport phenomenon in shallow reservoirs was analyzed by using a finite element method. The Galerkin's weighted residual method, based on linear interpolation, was used and a triangle was adopted as an element. The two dimensional Stock's equation and the advection-diffusion equation integrated over depth were used as governing equations. Also the Newton-Raphson method was introduced to solve the non-linear terms of the equation. The results calculated by the model are in good agreement with the analytical solution for a simplified channel where a known solution is avaiable. An actual application of the model is attempted for Sapkyo Lake with a consideration of the influx of the Sapkyo Chun, the Muhan Chun and kogkyo Chun. Further refined research is needed to evaluate the water quality in the other reservoirs.

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A Study on the Hydrologic Design of Detention Storage Ponds in Urbanized Area (도시유역에서 지체저류시설의 수문학적 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 이정식;이재준
    • Water for future
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.159-173
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    • 1995
  • This study is to develop the suitable hydrologic models for determination of the size and location of detention storage facilities to restrain stormwater runoff in urban areas. Fictitious areas of two levels are considered to seize the hydrologic response characteristics. A one-square-kilometer area is selected for the catchment level, and a 10-square-kilometer area consisting of 10 catchments is adapted at the watershed level as representative of urban drainage area. In this analysis, different rainfall frequencies, land uses, drainage patterns, basin shapes and detention storage policies are considered. Flow reduction effect of detention storage facilities is deduced from storage ratio and detention basin factor. A substantial saving in detention storage volumes is achieved when the detention storage is planned at the watershed level than the catchment level. For the application of real watersheds, two watersheds in Seoul metropolitan area-Jamshil 2, Seongnae 1-are selected on the basis of hydrologic response characteristics. Through the regression analysis between dimensionless detention storage volume, dimensionless upstream area ratio and reduction rate of storage ratio, the regression equations to determine the size and location of detention storage facilities are presented.

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A Study on Target Standardized Precipitation Index in Korea (한반도 목표 표준강수지수(SPI) 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Seok;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.1117-1123
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    • 2014
  • Water is a necessary condition of plants, animals and human. The state of the water shortage, that drought is globally one of the most feared disasters. This study was calculated target standardized precipitation index with unit of region for judgment and preparation of drought in consideration of the regional characteristics. First of all, Standardized Precipitation Index (3) were calculated by monthly rainfall data from rainfall data more than 30 years of 88 stations. Parametric frequency and nonparametric frequency using boundary kernel density function were analysed using annual minimum data that were extracted from calculated SPI (3). Also, Target return period sets up 30 year and target SPI analysed unit of region using thiessen by result of nonparametric frequency. Analyzed result, Drought was entirely different from severity and frequency by region. This study results will contribute to a national water resources plan and disaster prevention measures with data foundation for judgment and preparation of drought in korea.

Ecotoxicological Risk Assessment for Acetaminophen in Kyongahn River

  • Kim, Pan-Gyi
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.32 no.5 s.92
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    • pp.440-445
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    • 2006
  • Acetaminophen (paracetamol), generally used as a pain reducing agent, has good analgesic efficacy in toothaches and headaches, but is of little use in inflammatory and visceral pain. This study was performed to analyze the level of acetaminophen in the Kyongahn river and to investigate the ecological risks of target compounds. Sampling sites were Haesil, Soopyo, Wangsan, Kyongahn, Jiwol, Kwangdong, Paldang and they were analyzed in June and August, 2005. Acute toxicity of acetaminophen wwas evaluated for Daphnia magna. From the ecotoxicological results, environmental risk assessments were performed for acetaminophen residues in Kyongahn river to predict their potential adverse effect. Acetaminophen was detected at Kyonahn river, $0.439{\mu}g/l$). The toxic concentration of acetaminophen calculated with 48-h $LC_{50}$ values as 16.9 mg/l. These results indicated that acetaminophen had no significant ecotoxicological impact on short-term acute exposure.

Precipitation-Streamflow Elasticity analysis of Nakdong River Based on RCP 4.5 Climate Change Scenario (RCP 4.5 기후변화 시나리오 기반의 낙동강 유역의 강우-유출 탄성도 분석)

  • Jang, Young-su;Park, Jae-Rock;Shin, Hyun-suk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.605-612
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    • 2017
  • Climate change affects the natural ecosystem and human socioeconomic activities by acting on various constituents such as the atmospheric, oceanic, biological, and land constituents of the climate. Predicting the impacts of ongoing climate change will be an important factor in adapting to the climate of the future. In this study, precipitation-streamflow elasticity analysis of the Nakdong River area was conducted using the RCP 4.5 scenario developed by the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Precipitation and streamflow in the Nakdong River area was analyzed using monthly, seasonal, and yearly data. Results found that the climate would become very humid climate by 2100. Results of this study can be applied to adaptation of climate change, management of water resources and efficient utilization of hydraulic structures.

A Study on the Application of Integrated Management System for Building Energy Efficiency (건물부문의 에너지 효율화를 위한 국가 건물에너지 통합관리 시스템의 활용방안 연구)

  • Yoo, Jung-Hyun;Kim, Jong-Yeob;Hwang, Ha-Jin
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.263-270
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    • 2012
  • Energy consumption of building is given a sizable portion in total national energy conservation. From this reason, the integrated management system of national building energy was proposed to manage energy usage and of which feasibility study was demonstrated in Seoul at 2010. Expansion of the application availability for the aforementioned system, energy policies etc. have focused on the building sectors and future uses and developments are investigated. Specially, energy consumption and building documentary DB are useful to validate energy usage for each building and define to remodelling effect before and after. Furthermore, in this study, a number of developments and applications of the system and future uses of energy usage data can be identified.

Revealing Geography of Water in Taebaek City through Actor-Network Theory (행위자-연결망 이론을 통해서 본 태백시 물 공급의 지리학)

  • Kim, Na Hyeung;Kim, Sook-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.366-386
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    • 2013
  • This paper analyzes the drought and restriction on water supply in Taebaek City during the winter season in 2008 using Actor-Network Theory. Actor-Network Theory emphasizes and brings into view the role and act of non-human actors as well as human actors in various environmental issues. The fact that only Taebaek experienced restriction on water supply for 88 days although the winter season drought in 2008 affected the whole nation, requires a synthetic analysis of both human and non-human actors and their relationships and networks embedded in Taebaek City at that time. This paper shows that both human and non-human actors including Taebaek City Hall, Korea Water Resource Corporation, Taebaek citizen, the water supply facilities, Gwangdongdam, obsolete water pipes, the topography of Taebaek, soil, the change of industry, and population interact one another transforming the geography of water in Taebaek. This study helps to understand the complex processes related to drought disasters at a specific local scale and to provide appropriate measures to drought.

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