• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수요패턴

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A Study on Asia Decoupling through the Analysis of Global Value Chain and Trade in Value Added (역내외 밸류체인과 부가가치 교역구조 분석을 통한 Asia Decoupling 가설 검증)

  • Oh, Hyeok-Jong;Kwak, Ro-Sung
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.488-512
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    • 2019
  • This study examines the 'Asia Decoupling' hypothesis, focusing on changes in trade patterns between regions and countries, based on the latest value added trade statistics. As an analytical tool, indicators that can directly measure the degree of distribution of actual value added were used. Main findings are: Firstly, creating potential at regional level which used to be the growth engine of East Asia until the mid-2000s declined sharply after the global financial crisis. Secondly, in the development pattern of the value added distribution network, no positive change has been detected in the give-out or gain capacity of emerging countries that can generate future growth in East Asia through GVC development. Lastly, China's value added contributing capacity, as different from the hub countries in other regions such as US and Germany, has declined significantly since the mid 2000s, while its capability to benefit greatly increased, and the gain potential of advanced group countries in competition with China is decreasing. We suggest the establishment of intra-regional economic cooperation mechanism including all countries in East Asia for expanding the value creating capacity in the region.

신호제어를 고려한 가로망 설계모형의 구축에 대한 연구

  • 강환민;박창호
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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    • 1998.10b
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    • pp.115-115
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    • 1998
  • 가로망은 사회의 발전과 더불어 날로 늘어나고 있는 통행수요를 직접적으로 처리하게 되는 기반시설이다. 따라서 가로망의 구성과 운영은 심각하게 대두되고 있는 교통혼잡 등의 제반문제들을 해결하기 위해 기본적으로 고려되어야 한다. 이를 위해서 연구되어온 가로망 설계 모형들은 새로운 도로의 건설이나 기존 도로의 확장 등을 통해 가로망을 조정하여, 사용자들의 선택에 영향을 줌으로써 통행 흐름을 원활하게 하고자 한다. 이러한 가로망 설계 과정에서 사용자들에 의해서 초래된 통행비용의 개선과 이를 위해 사용된 투자비용 사이의 관계를 고려하여 적절한 대안을 선택하게 된다. 일반적으로 도시부의 경우, 차량들의 통행패턴은 가로망의 물리적 구성(기하구조, 용량 등)뿐만 아니라, 신호제어(주기, 녹색시간 등)에 의해서 결정된다. 그러므로 가로망 설계 모형에서 고려되는 사용자의 통행비용의 경우, 단순히 가로망의 통행시간 뿐만 아니라 신호제어에 의해서 부가되는 지체도 고려해야 하며, 이를 통해 가로망의 계획단계에서 중요하게 생각해야하는 요소의 하나인 차량의 이동성과 접근성의 부여도 가능하게 될 것이다. 즉, 이동성을 중요시하는 도로와 접근성을 위주로 하는 도로 각각의 기능에 부합하는 가로망 설계가 필요한 것이다. 위에서 언급한 것처럼 기존의 가로망 설계모형의 경우, 단순히 용량의 변화에 대한 링크 통행시간과 이로 인한 통행량의 변화만을 고려하고 있는 상황이다. 하지만, 도시부에서 실제 차량의 통행패턴은 단순히 도로의 기하학적 용량뿐만 아니라, 교차로에서의 신호제어에 의한 지체에도 상당한 영향을 받게 되며, 가로망 설계 모형에서 이를 반영할 수 있어야 한다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 이러한 신호제어의 영향들을 고려함으로써 가로망 설계 과정에서 가로망의 상반된 역할인 이동성과 접근성의 비교가 가능한 보다 현실적인 가로망 설계 모형을 구축하고자 한다. 지금까지 소개된 가로망 설계모형들은 용량변화에 대한 설계변수의 형태에 따라 이산적 가로망 설계 모형과 연속적 가로망 설계모형으로 나뉘어지게 된다. 본 논문의 경우, 계산속도의 향상 측면에서는 연속적 가로망 설계 모형을 도입할 수 있지만, 이때 요구되는 도로용량이 이산적인 변수(차선 수)로 결정되어야만 신호제어 변수를 결정할 수 있기 때문에, 이산적 가로망 설계 모형이 사용된다. 하지만, 이산적 설계모형의 경우 조합최적화 문제이므로 정확한 최적해를 구하기 위해서는 상당한 시간이 소요되며, 경우에 따라서는 국부 최적해에 빠지게 된다. 이러한 문제를 극복하기 위해, 우선 이상적 모형의 근사화, 혹은 조합최적화문제를 위해 개발된 Simulated Annealing기법의 적용, 연속적 모형의 변수를 이산화하는 방법 등 다양한 모형들을 고려해 본 뒤, 적절한 모형을 적용할 것이다. 가로망 설계 모형에서 신호제어를 고려하기 위해서는 주어진 가로망에 대한 통행 배정과정에서 고려되는 통행시간을 링크통행시간과 교차로 지체시간을 동시에 고려해야 하는데, 이러한 문제의 해결을 위해서 최근 활발히 논의되고 있는 교차로에서의 신호제어에 대응하는 통행배정 모형을 도입하여 고려하고자 한다. 이를 위해서 지금까지 연구되어온 Global Solution Approach와 Iterative Approach를 비교, 검토한 뒤 모형에 보다 알맞은 방법을 선택한다. 차량의 교차로 통행을 고려하는 performance function의 경우 비신호 교차로와 신호교차로에 대한 적절한 비교가 현재로서는 고려되고 있지 못하기 때문에, 구성되는 가로망의 경우 신호교차로들로만 구성되며, 부득이한 경우 입체교차의 형태로 구성되는 것으로 가정한다. 실제 가로망의 경우, 교통향이 많은 도시부의 경우 주가로망은 대부분 신호교차로와 입체교차로 구성되기 때문에 가능할 것으로 생각된다. 기존의 신호제어 모형과 가로망 설계모형을 결합하여 통합된 가로망 설계모형의 구축하기 위해, 기존의 연구결과들을 종합하여 보다 적절한 모형을 선택하고, 개선하며, 이의 적용성을 시험하기 위해서, 가상 가로망을 구성하여 모형의 적용 결과를 분석한다.

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An Empirical Evaluation Scheme for Pedestrian Environment by Integrated Approach to TOD Planning Elements (TOD 계획 요소의 통합적 접근을 통한 친보행 환경의 평가 방안)

  • Joo, Yong-Jin;Ha, Eun-Ji;Jun, Chul-Min
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2012
  • In order to resolve transportation system focused on vehicles which have led to all sorts of problems such as traffic congestion, air pollution and so on, Korea recently have tended to center around Transit Oriented Development(TOD) which is capable of initiating public traffic demands. It is imperative to develop objective evaluation method which is able to measure pedestrian environment and amenity in order to facilitate green transit. The purpose of this paper is to present evaluation indices and measurement framework of pedestrian environment by analyzing effect on TOD major planning factors such as diversity, density, design, and supply etc. For this, we applied evaluation index with regard to TOD planning factors, investigating connection to pedestrian and employed AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) so as to quantify the result of measurement in Jongro 3ga and Hangangjin station. As a result, we presented relationship between travel patterns of pedestrian and each TOD planning factor. More importantly, the proposed framework is expected to make the best of the visualization as well as evaluation method for the pedestrian accessibility, convenience of public transportation, and the mixed land-use patterns in subway area and transit center.

An Analysis of Residential Energy Consumption Using Household Panel Data, with a Focus on Single and Elderly Households (가구 패널자료를 이용한 가계부문 에너지 소비행태 분석 - 1인 가구 및 고령가구를 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Jong Ho;Oh, Hyungna;Lee, Sungjae
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.463-493
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    • 2018
  • As the population structure of Korea changes with the increase of single households and elderly households, this may have effect on domestic energy consumption pattern. Our study analyzes whether the energy consumption of single and elderly households are distinguishable from those of general households. For empirical analysis, Household Energy Standing Survey panel data and regional fixed effect model are employed. The result strongly shows that single households consume more energy than other households. The consumption of single households from 40s to 60s was the highest. On the other hand, the effect of aging was different from energy sources. Electricity consumption of elderly household was more than other age groups, while oil consumption of elderly household was less than others. Gas and total energy consumptions turned out to be not much different among different age groups.

A Study on the Analysis of Electric Energy Pattern Based on Improved Real Time NIALM (개선된 실시간 NIALM 기반의 전기 에너지 패턴 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Han-Sang;Sung, Kyung-Sang;Oh, Hae-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 2017
  • Since existing nonintrusive appliance load monitoring (NIALM) studies assume that voltage fluctuations are negligible for load identification, and do not affect the identification results, the power factor or harmonic signals associated with voltage are generally not considered parameters for load identification, which limits the application of NIALM in the Smart Home sector. Experiments in this paper indicate that the parameters related to voltage and the characteristics of harmonics should be used to improve the accuracy and reliability of the load monitoring system. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an improved NIALM method that can efficiently analyze the types of household appliances and electrical energy usage in a home network environment. The proposed method is able to analyze the energy usage pattern by analyzing operation characteristics inherent to household appliances using harmonic characteristics of some household appliances as recognition parameters. Through the proposed method, we expect to be able to provide services to the smart grid electric power demand management market and increase the energy efficiency of home appliances actually operating in a home network.

An Efficient VEB Beats Detection Algorithm Using the QRS Width and RR Interval Pattern in the ECG Signals (ECG신호의 QRS 폭과 RR Interval의 패턴을 이용한 효율적인 VEB 비트 검출 알고리듬)

  • Chung, Yong-Joo
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.96-101
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    • 2011
  • In recent days, the demand for the remote ECG monitoring system has been increasing and the automation of the monitoring system is becoming quite of a concern. Automatic detection of the abnormal ECG beats must be a necessity for the successful commercialization of these real time remote ECG monitoring system. From these viewpoints, in this paper, we proposed an automatic detection algorithm for the abnormal ECG beats using QRS width and RR interval patterns. In the previous research, many efforts have been done to classify the ECG beats into detailed categories. But, these approaches have disadvantages such that they produce lots of misclassification errors and variabilities in the classification performance. Also, they require large amount of training data for the accurate classification and heavy computation during the classification process. But, we think that the detection of abnormality from the ECG beats is more important that the detailed classification for the automatic ECG monitoring system. In this paper, we tried to detect the VEB which is most frequently occurring among the abnormal ECG beats and we could achieve satisfactory detection performance when applied the proposed algorithm to the MIT/BIH database.

Determinants of Hotel Customers' Use of the Contactless Service: Mixed-Method Approach (호텔 고객의 비대면 서비스 이용의도의 영향요인에 대한 연구)

  • Chung, Hee Chung;Koo, Chulmo;Chung, Namho
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.235-252
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    • 2021
  • The development of information and communication technology and COVID-19 have caused an unusual change in the hotel industry, and the demand for the contactless services such as service robots from hotel customers has surged. Therefore, this study investigates the perception of hotel customers on contactless services by applying a mixed-method analysis. Specifically, this study identified the causal correlations between variables through the structural equation model, and further applied the fuzzy set qualitative comparison analysis to derive patterns of variables that form the intention to use the non-face-to-face services. As a result of the analysis, it was shown that service experience co-creation, palyfulness, personalization, and trust had a significant effect on intention to use through the contactless service use desire. On the other hand, in the results of fuzzy-set qualitative comparison analysis, playfulness was derived as a core factor in all patterns. Based on these analysis results, this study provides academic basis for in-depth understanding of hotel customers' perception of contactless service and specific guidelines for hotel managers on the contactless service strategies in the era of COVID-19 pandemic.

Environmental and Economic Impact of EV and FCEV Penetration into the Automobile Industry: A CGE Approach (전기 및 수소차 보급 확산의 환경적·경제적 영향분석: 계산가능일반균형모형(CGE)의 적용)

  • Han, Taek-Whan;Lim, Dongsoon;Kim, Jintae
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.231-276
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    • 2019
  • This paper analyzed the impact of the penetration of EV(electric vehicle) and FCEV(fuel cell electric vehicle) into the automobile industry, using a static CGE approach. There are contrasting view on the economic impact of EV/FCEV penetration: negative economic impact due to shrunken intermediate inputs versus positive impact because of input saving technical progress. Regarding environment, there is no clear consensus whether EV or FCEV will contribute to the reduction of $CO_2$ emissions in Korea. This study attempts to provide an answer to these questions. By giving shocks to the input coefficients of automobile industries and automobile using sectors, as well as to the final demands for energies. we integrated the Bass diffusion model into the CGE framework, The result suggests that the EV penetration has adverse impact on the $CO_2$ emission while the FCEV penetration has positive impact. On the other hand, both EV and FCEV have positive impacts on GDP. When considering automobile manufacturing sectors only, adverse impacts on $CO_2$ are demonstrated both for EV and FCEV. However, since the size of $CO_2$ increase is small, these results does not alter the overall effects.

Time series clustering for AMI data in household smart grid (스마트그리드 환경하의 가정용 AMI 자료를 위한 시계열 군집분석 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Young;Kim, Sahm
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.791-804
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    • 2020
  • Residential electricity consumption can be predicted more accurately by utilizing the realtime household electricity consumption reference that can be collected by the AMI as the ICT developed under the smart grid circumstance. This paper studied the model that predicts residential power load using the ARIMA, TBATS, NNAR model based on the data of hour unit amount of household electricity consumption, and unlike forecasting the consumption of the whole households at once, it computed the anticipated amount of the electricity consumption by aggregating the predictive value of each established model of cluster that was collected by the households which show the similiar load profile. Especially, as the typical time series data, the electricity consumption data chose the clustering analysis method that is appropriate to the time series data. Therefore, Dynamic Time Warping and Periodogram based method is used in this paper. By the result, forecasting the residential elecrtricity consumption by clustering the similiar household showed better performance than forecasting at once and in summertime, NNAR model performed best, and in wintertime, it was TBATS model. Lastly, clustering method showed most improvements in forecasting capability when the DTW method that was manifested the difference between the patterns of each cluster was used.

Part-time Work in Sweden: The Coexistence in Tension of Flexibility and Gender Equality (스웨덴의 시간제근로: 유연성과 성평등의 긴장 속 공존)

  • Kim, Young-Mi
    • Korean Journal of Labor Studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.297-323
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    • 2011
  • Part-time jobs in Sweden are highly feminized yet are in fair conditions in terms of job security, earnings, and collective representation. Three points are considered to be important to understand why part-time work in Sweden carries such positive characteristics. First, the part-time work in Sweden is widely spread not as a result of employers' need for labor flexibilization but as means to enhance the work-life balance, a value pursued within a broader social policy package to change the breadwinner model. Second, discrimination against part-time workers is restrained in Sweden because the boundary between part-time and full-time is not conspicuous. Most of part-time jobs are occupied by regular workers who exert the right to part-time work, hence may go back to the full-time status any time. Third, the regulation on overtime work of part-time workers as well as full-time workers is strong. It is largely agreed among researchers that part-time work contributed greatly to an increase of female employment rate in Sweden. Since the 1970s, the increased availability of part-time jobs induced married women who used to be economically inactive to the labor market and maintained them to be economically active throughout the child rearing period. From the gender perspective, one may still raise issues regarding part-time work in Sweden such as persistent feminization and strong occupational sex segregation. However, the observed trend shows that the part-time work in Sweden has functioned more as a stepping stone to the full-time work for women than as a women's trap.