• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수요산정

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A Mathematical Model for Coordinated Multiple Reservoir Operation (댐군의 연계운영을 위한 수학적 모형)

  • Kim, Seung-Gwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.779-793
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    • 1998
  • In this study, for the purpose of water supply planning, we propose a sophisticated multi-period mixed integer programming model that can coordinate the behavior of multi-reservoir operation, minimizing unnecessary spill. It can simulate the system with operating rules which are self- generated by the optimization engine in the algorithm. It is an optimization model in structure, but it indeed simulates the coordinating behavior of multi-reservoir operation. It minimizes the water shortfalls in demand requirements, maintaining flood reserve volume, minimizing unnecessary spill, maximizing hydropower generation release, keeping water storage levels high for efficient hydroelectric turbine operation. This optimization model is a large scale mixed integer programming problem that consists of 3.920 integer variables and 68.658 by 132.384 node-arc incidence matrix for 28 years of data. In order to handle the enormous amount of data generated by a big mathematical model, the utilization of DBMS (data base management system)seems to be inevitable. It has been tested with the Han River multi-reservoir system in Korea, which consists of 2 large multipurpose dams and 3 hydroelectric dams. We demonstrated successfully that there is a good chance of saving substantial amount of water should it be put to use in real time with a good inflow forecasting system.

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Estimating an Optimal Scale of a Railway Station with Non-Passengers (철도 비승차 이용객을 고려한 역사 시설물별 적정규모 산정방안)

  • Oh, Tae ho;Lee, Seon ha;Kang, Hee up;Insigne, Maria Sharlene L.;Lee, Sang Jae
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.76-91
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    • 2017
  • The Area of a domestic railway station is designed based on the 4-step traffic demand forecasting model with the average daily passenger count as one of its parameter. However, nowadays, due to increasing rate of railway station's function, the non-passengers are increasing. In order to consider those non-passengers who aren't using trains, assumed volume are added to the average daily passenger count of station to estimate the area, but the criteria being applied has no concrete basis. Therefore, this study aimed to recalculate the increasing non-passenger rate based on actual survey data of station users in any type of railway station to obtain the optimum area. Subsequently, the the design area was performed through pedestrian simulation. According to the result of the simulation, it was found that the total space of the exciting railway stations can be reduced up to 45% and will still satisfy the level of service(LOS) requirement.

Analysis of Value for Ownership Conversion in the Public Rental Housing REITs According to Real Option Scenarios Reflecting Macroeconomic Variables (거시경제변수를 반영한 실물옵션 시나리오별 공공임대주택리츠 분양전환 가치 분석)

  • XUAN, Meiyu;Jang, Mi Kyoung;QUAN, Junlong;Kim, JuHyong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.74-83
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    • 2017
  • The recently introduced public rental housing REITs was just different the business structure from the existing public rental housing system and the basic supply system is the same. So the ownership conversion for public house over 10 years rental duration is possible after half of the obligated rental duration according to the agreement between lessor and lessee. However rental business operators are likely to have a negative attitude to the early ownership conversion because of less expected profit. Thus, there is a need for an analysis of proper early ownership conversion moment that can achieve public purposes while ensuring the profitability of public rental housing REITs. In this study, the characteristics of the ownership conversion rights that can lessee to exercise considered to be options. Also the nature of 'REITs', 'public rental housing REITs' is considered to be affected by the macroeconomic variables. Thus, this study analyzed the value for ownership conversion in the public rental housing REITs according to real option scenarios reflecting macroeconomic variables. As a result, according to the change of the variation rate of the macroeconomic variables, it was found that with adjustable early ownership conversion time using the DCF(Discounted Cash Flow) model. Therefore, it is possible to ensure profitability of early ownership conversion by predicting the variation of variables.

CAPACITY EXPANSION MODELING OF WATER SUPPLY IN A PLANNING SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR URBAN GROWTH MANAGEMENT (도시성장관리를 위한 계획지원체계에서 상수도의 시설확장 모델링)

  • Hyong-Bok, Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 1995.12a
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 1995
  • A planning support system enhances our ability to use water capacity expansion as an urban growth management strategy. This paper reports the development of capacity expansion modeling of water supply as part of the continuing development of such a planning support system (PEGASUS: Planning Environment for Generation and Analysis of Spatial Urban Systems) to incorporate water supply, This system is designed from the understanding that land use and development drive the demand for infrastructure and infrastructure can have a significant influence on the ways in which land is developed and used. Capacity expansion Problems of water supply can be solved in two ways: 1) optimal control theory, and 2) mixed integer nonlinear programming (MINLP). Each method has its strengths and weaknesses. In this study the MINLP approach is used because of its strength of determining expansion sizing and timing simultaneously. A dynamic network optimization model and a water-distribution network analysis model can address the dynamic interdependence between water planning and land use planning. While the water-distribution network analysis model evaluates the performance of generated networks over time, the dynamic optimization model chooses alternatives to meet expanding water needs. In addition, the user and capacity expansion modeling-to-generate-alternatives (MGA) can generate alternatives. A cost benefit analysis module using a normalization technique helps in choosing the most economical among those alternatives. GIS provide a tool for estimating the volume of demanded water and showing results of the capacity expansion model.

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Behavior and pillar stability of enlarged existing parallel tunnels (기존 병설터널의 확폭에 따른 터널 거동 및 필라 안정성 분석)

  • Lee, Myeong-Han;Kim, Bumjoo;Jang, Yeon-Soo;Yun, Ji-Nam;Park, Hyun-Gon
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.537-546
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    • 2013
  • Traffic congestion in existing tunnels has increased due to increased traffic volume and enlarged vehicles. Enlarging existing tunnels has advantages over constructing new tunnels by reducing land purchasing costs as well as minimizing natural environment destruction. In fact, many overseas projects for enlarging existing tunnels have been reported. Thus, it appears that the demand on enlarging existing tunnels continues to rise in Korea in near future. Nonetheless, the studies related to the enlarged tunnels have been relatively rare since there have been few tunnel enlargement projects in Korea. In the present study, the tunnel behavior and the stability of rock pillar when enlarging existing parallel tunnels were investigated by performing FE analysis and using existing theory and empirical relationships. Four different enlarging cases, depending on the enlargement types and directions, were examined in the study. According to the results, for the tunnels with the same pillar width after enlarged, the uni-laterally enlarged tunnel indicated 5 to 20% higher crown settlement compared to the bi-laterally enlarged tunnel, and for the tunnel with the narrowest pillar, the highest shotcrete stress was observed. Also, the strength/stress ratio for rock pillar was more than 1.0 for all four enlargement cases, and the Matsuda's method was found to give higher strength/stress ratio by about 50% compared to the Peck's method.

An Analysis of Economic Evaluation Related to Lane Departure Warning System (주행로이탈예방지원기술 관련 경제성평가 분석)

  • Ryu, Byung-Yong;Choi, Ji-Eun;Bae, Sang-Hoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2009
  • Continuous increase of traffic demand has caused confirmed congestion, fuel consumption, emission, safety, etc. as serious social problems at the present time. The Smart Highway Project has been conducted by the supervision of Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affaire to solve such problems since 2007. The Smart Highway Project includes LDWS (Lane Departure Warning System), a system to prevent broadside collisions and accidents, as a sub-technology of road-vehicle associating technologies. This system warns drivers when their vehicle deviates from the lane where they are traveling at high-speed on the highway. In this paper, the LDWS was evaluated using CBA to analyze the socio-economic consequences. Estimated benefits include reduction of accidents and convenience of drivers. In addition, the economics according to the distribution rate is various when it comes to Lane Departure Warning Technology, the economics of both cases - positive scenario and negative scenario, which was analyzed. As a result, the Benefit-Cost ratio(B/C) of negative scenario showed 0.97 in 2020 and 1.36 in 2030 while B/C ratio of the positive scenario showed 1.04 in 2020 and 1.59 in 2030, which indicated that the higher distribution rate is, the higher the economics generates. Therefore, it is judged that the introduction of Lane Departure Warning Technology will result in high economics.

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A Study on the Gap between Theoretical and Actual Ship Waiting Ratio of Container Terminals: The Case of a Terminal in Busan New Port (컨테이너 터미널의 이론적 대기율과 실제 대기율 비교에 관한 연구: 부산항 신항 A 터미널을 대상으로)

  • Lee, Jung-Hun;Park, Nam-Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.69-82
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    • 2018
  • The number of ships serviced at the container terminals in Busan is increasing by 2.9% per year. In spite of the increase in calling ships, there are no official records of waiting rate by the port authority. This study attempts to compare the theoretical ship waiting ratio and actual ship waiting ratio. The actual ship waiting ratio of container terminals is acquired from the 2014 to 2016 data of PORT-MIS and Terminal Operating System (TOS). Furthermore, methods and procedures to measure the actual ship's waiting rate of container terminal are proposed for ongoing measurement. In drawing the theoretical ship waiting ratio, the queuing theory is applied after deploying the ship arrival probability distribution and ship service probability distribution by the Chi Square method. As a result, the total number of ships waiting in a terminal for three years was 587, the average monthly service time and the average waiting time was 13.8 hours and 17.1 hours, respectively, and the monthly number of waiting ships was 16.3. Meanwhile, according to the queuing theory with multi servers, the ship waiting ratio is 31.1% on a 70% berth occupancy ratio. The reason behind the huge gap is the congested sailing in the peak days of the week, such as Sunday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. In addition, the number of waiting ships recorded on Sundays was twice as much as the average number of waiting ships.

A Case Study on Implementation of the Shipping Market Information Service System (해운시황정보서비스시스템 구현 사례연구)

  • Lee, Seokyong;Jeong, Myounghwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.73-94
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    • 2013
  • The necessity of shipping market information services has been on the rise which emphasizes the relevance of transaction information and market information to parties both in and outside the shipping industry. However, previous related researches have been restricted to explorations limited by the offerings of existing shipping market information providers. Users today require effective information, an efficient contents management system, interfacing to help the information provider, graphing and spread sheets to facilitate and present the analyzed information through diverse formats, and reliable web and mobile services to provide information effectively with limited human resources. As a first step, service information has to be defined, so that it takes into account user utility, information retrieval and data development. Second, benchmark information and services must be provided from leading shipbrokers and research institutes. Third, a review of the latest technical trends is required to identify the most suitable technologies for servicing shipping market information. Finally, analysis is required on the implementation of a system with selected technologies, as well as the development of channels to post information which have been analyzed by users. Such a process would enable the continual redefinition of the shipping market information users actively need. The application of an X-Internet based WCMS, with a single-window dashboard providing user-customized information, and used to obtain and manage processes, add spread sheets to sustain calculations using the latest information, graph results, and to input additional information following predefined rules. Access to data and use of the system would require agreement that the system will incorporate user data and user-analyzed information into the market report, web portal, and hybrid app to provide current shipping market information appropriately and accurately to service users.

Assessment of Additional Water Supply Capacity Using a Reservoir Optimal Operation Model (저수지 최적 운영 모형을 이용한 추가 용수 공급 능력 평가)

  • Kang, Min-Goo;Park, Seung-Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.11
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    • pp.937-946
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    • 2005
  • The objective of the study is to develop a reservoir optimal operation model and to suggest the appropriate amount of additional water supply and optimal operation rule. The model uses multiple objective function and a global search method, SCE-UA method. The objective function is set up to maintain the storage at target level, to satisfy the water demand, and to maximize the hydropower product. To evaluate the model's applicability, the model was applied for allocating the optimal water depending on storage level changes of Seomjin dam. The results comparing optimal operation and historical data showed that hydropower product increased from $-2.29\%$ to $14.51\%$, $-5.94\%$ to $3.98\%$, and $-0.43\%$ to $6.35\%$ with varying target levels in wet, dry, and normal period, respectively. Also, The model was applied for assessing water supply capacity of Seomjin dam to satisfy increasing water demand. The dam was operated by the model on consideration of downstream flow as 0.17, 0.50, 0.70, 1.0, 1.5, and $3.0\;m^3/sec$. The results showed that in case of operating the dam with downstream flow less than $0.70\;m^3/sec$ and with target water level lower than 194.0 m, hydropower product was more than the historical operation data and existing amount of water supply was less influenced.

Function of Environmental Flows for Sustainable Water Resources Management (지속가능한 물 관리를 위한 환경유량의 기능정립에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Ji-Yong
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.47-70
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    • 2007
  • In recent days, people's requests about water resources have been developed from managing quality and quantity of water resources to forming a river environment by restoring normal function of river. To meet these requests, it is necessary to establish the concept of environmental flows. In Korea, the environmental flows was introduced as a concept of river maintenance flows in a sense of river management. The function of river maintenance flows has been changed according to what the major issue is in that age such as navigation, water quality, and prevention of saline water intrusion. As the assesment of river maintenance flows in Korea focused mainly on the function of water usage oriented in human, it could not be defined and emphasized in a sense of ecosystem as a pure meaning of environmental flows. And while the existing river maintenance flows are included the assesment of flows, there is not a practical procedure to supply them and the efficient management in a sense of environment is not performed. The environmental flows should be further developed from the river maintenance flows and changed to a new concept focused on maintaining the health of ecosystem. In other words, the environmental flows should be defined as a necessary flows for maintaining the function of river and its original value, and be considered on the same or higher value of flows for maintenance of economic activity, recreation, and power generation.

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