• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수요산정

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A Proposal to Control System and the Problems of the Problems of the Report about Supply and Demand for Medical Technicians and Management Policy ("의료기사인력수급에 관한 보고서"의 문제점과 관리제도의 개선방안)

  • Kim, Sang-Hyun;Lim, Yongmoo
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: In this paper, we have analyzed the problems of the Oh's report which is used to the basic data for supply and demand of medical technicians and studied a proposal for improvement to control system and supply and demand of korean optometrists. Methods: We have analyzed errors of Oh's report including supply and demand for medical technicians and management policy, expecting number for future optician, inaccurate estimation by limited data (employment rate, retirement rate, mortality rate) and an incorrect method of measurement for future supply and demand. Results: Oh's report showed the 18% error for estimation of supply which exclude the irregular entrance students. The estimation of supply was calculated by graduation rate 62.6% (college and University of Technology are 78.9% and 85.98% respectively), employment rate 65.8% (the average employment between 2002 and 2007 is 73.96%) and retirement rate is 2.3% (the retirement of pharmacists is 1.3%) but it showed the significant differences to objective data. For estimate the suitable ratio of optometrists to the population, the ratio use of medical facilities by an age group was used, and suggested spectacle wearers 1,280 persons (populations 2,928 persons) per optometrist but the different from reference of Germany (4,706 persons), America (1,789 persons) and Korea (1,825 persons/an optometrist) are applied to estimation on supply. This report applied the low employment rate and argued that maintain the present situation, but claimed that utilize unemployment persons. The above result has induced double weighting effect on estimation of supply. Conclusions: To solve the related problems of supply and demand, we have to make a search for exact data and optimum application model, have to take an example of nation similar job category as Germany and the research result of the job satisfaction into consideration. After we get the integrated research result, we must carried out the policy with fairness and balance for the estimation of supply and demand. Therefore exact research is required prior to beginning policy establishment, government and related group have to make a clear long-term plan and permanent organization for medical technician to establish supply and demand of medical technician.

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Effect of Capital Market Return On Insurance Coverage : A Financial Economic Approach (투자수익(投資收益)이 보험수요(保險需要)에 미치는 영향(影響)에 관한 이론적(理論的) 고찰(考察))

  • Hong, Soon-Koo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.249-280
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    • 1993
  • Recent financial theory views insurance policies as financial instruments that are traded in markets and whose prices reflect the forces of supply and demand. This article analyzes individual's insurance purchasing behavior along with capital market investment activities, which will provide a more realistic look at the tradeoff between insurance and investment in the individual's budget constraint. It is shown that the financial economic concept of insurance cost should reflect the opportunity cost of insurance premium. The author demonstrates the importance of riskless and risky financial assets in reaching an equilibrium insurance premium. In addition, the paper also investigates how the investment income could affect the four established theorems on traditional insurance literature. At the present time in Korea, the price deregulation is being debated as the most important current issue in insurance industry. In view of the results of this paper, insurance companies should recognize investment income in pricing their coverage if insurance prices are deregulated. Otherwise. price competition may force insurance companies to restrict coverage or to leave the market.

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Optimization Process Models of Gas Combined Cycle CHP Using Renewable Energy Hybrid System in Industrial Complex (산업단지 내 CHP Hybrid System 최적화 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Kwang Min;Kim, Lae Hyun
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.65-79
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    • 2019
  • The study attempted to estimate the optimal facility capacity by combining renewable energy sources that can be connected with gas CHP in industrial complexes. In particular, we reviewed industrial complexes subject to energy use plan from 2013 to 2016. Although the regional designation was excluded, Sejong industrial complex, which has a fuel usage of 38 thousand TOE annually and a high heat density of $92.6Gcal/km^2{\cdot}h$, was selected for research. And we analyzed the optimal operation model of CHP Hybrid System linking fuel cell and photovoltaic power generation using HOMER Pro, a renewable energy hybrid system economic analysis program. In addition, in order to improve the reliability of the research by analyzing not only the heat demand but also the heat demand patterns for the dominant sectors in the thermal energy, the main supply energy source of CHP, the economic benefits were added to compare the relative benefits. As a result, the total indirect heat demand of Sejong industrial complex under construction was 378,282 Gcal per year, of which paper industry accounted for 77.7%, which is 293,754 Gcal per year. For the entire industrial complex indirect heat demand, a single CHP has an optimal capacity of 30,000 kW. In this case, CHP shares 275,707 Gcal and 72.8% of heat production, while peak load boiler PLB shares 103,240 Gcal and 27.2%. In the CHP, fuel cell, and photovoltaic combinations, the optimum capacity is 30,000 kW, 5,000 kW, and 1,980 kW, respectively. At this time, CHP shared 275,940 Gcal, 72.8%, fuel cell 12,390 Gcal, 3.3%, and PLB 90,620 Gcal, 23.9%. The CHP capacity was not reduced because an uneconomical alternative was found that required excessive operation of the PLB for insufficient heat production resulting from the CHP capacity reduction. On the other hand, in terms of indirect heat demand for the paper industry, which is the dominant industry, the optimal capacity of CHP, fuel cell, and photovoltaic combination is 25,000 kW, 5,000 kW, and 2,000 kW. The heat production was analyzed to be CHP 225,053 Gcal, 76.5%, fuel cell 11,215 Gcal, 3.8%, PLB 58,012 Gcal, 19.7%. However, the economic analysis results of the current electricity market and gas market confirm that the return on investment is impossible. However, we confirmed that the CHP Hybrid System, which combines CHP, fuel cell, and solar power, can improve management conditions of about KRW 9.3 billion annually for a single CHP system.

A Study on the Evaluation of Economic Benefit for Port Hinterland's Investment in Busan New Port (부산항 신항 켄테이너터미널 배후단지 조성사업의 경제성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gi-Hwan;Hwang, Du-Geon;Kim, Myeong-Hui
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.153-171
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate economic benefits for the investment of port hinterland. This research has conducted the empirical analysis, by calculating the investment of port hinterland. The key factor for the economic benefits for the hinterland is the utilizing throughputs. This demand is influenced by the throughput in the port. However the data is different between the different organizations. The positive opinions are prevailed about constructing of port hinterland by a optimistic view about throughput. However this paper analyzes the economic benefits by a pessimistic point of view. The main results of this paper are as follows: First, the port hinterland of Busan New Port does not have economic benefit for investment and the hinterland will face the overcapacity problem. We recommend that the plan for investment has to be considered the modification. Second, data of forecasted throughputs is an important factor for evaluation of hinterland's investment. The research for reliable forecasting of throughput has to be preceded for the pertinent evaluation of hinterland's investment.

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Travel Demand and Transportation Cost of Household According to Accessibility to Public Transport and to Service Facilities (대중교통시설과 근린시설의 접근도에 따른 교통이용행태 및 교통비용)

  • Kim, Seong-Gil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.6 s.92
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2006
  • The costs of owning car are accepted as a subscription fee for participating in car-oriented society and only direct out-of-pocket costs of driving are mostly considered, so that the efficient location with better accessibility to service facilities is often under-appreciated. The purpose of this study is to explore the impact of accessibility to public transport and other service facilities on travel demand and transportation cost of household. The residential areas in Hamburg are categorized into 8 types according to level of public transport and other service facilities. The costs of owning and operating car in each residential area are calculated on the base of the household automobile ownership and usage analysed through the actual survey The result of this analysis shows that the transportation cost of household is decreased In proportion to the level of Public transport and other service facilities. This analysis finds the structure of residential area, which economize energy consume and makes household actual transportation cost saying Possible. The result of the analysis can be used as a tool for influencing home locaion choice towards Public transportaion corridors.

Efficiency Evaluation of Mobile Emission Reduction Countermeasures Using Data Envelopment Analysis Approach (자료포락분석(DEA) 기법을 활용한 도로이동오염원 저감대책의 효율성 분석)

  • Park, Kwan Hwee;Lee, Kyu Jin;Choi, Keechoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.93-105
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    • 2014
  • This study evaluated the relative efficiency of mobile emission reduction countermeasures through a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach and determined the priority of countermeasures based on the efficiency. Ten countermeasures currently applied for reducing greenhouse gases and air pollution materials were selected to make a scenario for evaluation. The reduction volumes of four air pollution materials(CO, HC, NOX, PM) and three greenhouse gases($CO_2$, $CH_4$, $N_2O$) for the year 2027, which is the last target year, were calculated by utilizing both a travel demand forecasting model and variable composite emission factors with respect to future travel patterns. To estimate the relative effectiveness of reduction countermeasures, this study performed a super-efficiency analysis among the Data Envelopment Analysis models. It was found that expanding the participation in self car-free day program was the most superior reduction measurement with 1.879 efficiency points, followed by expansion of exclusive bus lanes and promotion of CNG hybrid bus diffusion. The results of this study do not represent the absolute data for prioritizing reduction countermeasures for mobile greenhouse gases and air pollution materials. However, in terms of presenting the direction for establishing reduction countermeasures, this study may contribute to policy selection for mobile emission reduction measures and the establishment of systematic mid- and long-term reduction measures.

Heat Consumption Pattern Analysis by the Component Ratio of District Heating Users (지역난방 사용자 구성비에 따른 열소비 패턴 분석)

  • Lee, Hoon;Lee, Min-Kyun;Kim, Lae Hyun
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.211-225
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    • 2013
  • To run an optimal operation of Integrated energy supply facilities, we need to analyze heat consumption patterns of District heating users and derive optimum and maximum load ratio of heat production facilities unit. This study selects three District heat production facilities. It also classifies District heating users into residential apartment buildings and eight non-residential buildings and analyzes heat consumption results for an year. Finally it carries out the analysis of how the ratio change of each type affects maximum load ratio, facility utilization ratio, heat supply range. According to this study, three different District heat facilities of residential apartment building show similar daily and annual heat consumption patterns. Annual average load ratio, maximum load ratio and annual heat demand increase as outdoor temperatures decrease. Non-residential buildings in urban District focused on apartment buildings display similar by the daily and annual heat consumption patterns. Yet their daily and annual maximum load ratio differ according to outdoor temperature, District, building types and their composition ratio. In the case of urban District focused on apartment buildings reach optimum and maximum load ratio when apartment buildings reaches 60-70% of the total. At that point heat supply range becomes maximized and the most economic efficiency is obtained.

Economic Evaluation Algorithm of Energy Storage System using the Secondary Battery (이차전지를 이용한 전기저장장치(BESS)의 경제성 평가 알고리즘)

  • Song, Seok-Hwan;Kim, Byung-Ki;Oh, Seung-Teak;Lee, Kye-Ho;Rho, Daeseok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.3813-3820
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    • 2014
  • Recently, with the increase in electrical consumption and the unbalanced power demand and supply, the power reserve rate is becoming smaller and the reliability of the power supply is deteriorating. Under this circumstance, a Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) is considered to be an essential countermeasure for demand side management. On the other hand, an economic evaluation is a critical issue for the introduction of a power system because the cost of BESS is quite high. Therefore, this paper presents economic evaluation method for utility use by considering the best mix method and successive approximation method, and an economic evaluation method for customer use by considering the peak shaving function based on the real time price. From a case study on a model power system and educational customer, it was confirmed that the proposed method is a practical tool for the economic analysis of BESS.

Measurement of the Nursing Staff Needed for Two Specialized Nursing units in a University Hospital (간호업무량 측정 및 간호인력 수요산정)

  • 이윤신;박정호
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.589-603
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    • 1992
  • This study investigated a process to estimate the need for nursing staff on the basis of a patient elassification system and the required care needs and activities. The investigation was carried out in the following four steps. Step 1. Patients were classified according to the amount of nursing care need on each shift as class I (mildly ill), class II (mederately ill), class III (acutely ill), and class IV (critically ill). Step 2. Measurement of the direct nursing care hours needed for each patient class, and measurement of indirect nursing care hourse and personal time of the nursing staff. Step 3. Calculation of he total nursing workload in a nursing unit. Step 4. Estimation of the nursing staff needed. The investigation was carried out from July 17th to 30th, during 24hours every other day. The subjects were the patients and the nursing staff on two units of Seoul National University Hospital, Korea. Some of the results from the investigation are as follows : 1) Distribution of patient classification On the neuro surgical (N.S.), the distribution was class I, 22 patient, 3, class II, 27 patients, class III, 26 patients, and class IV, 25 patients, For the orthopedic surgical unit(0.5.), it was class I, 43 patients, class II, 43 patients, class III, patients, and class IV, 3 patients. 2) Direct nursing care hours per day On the N.S. unit, 3.2 hours of direct nursing care were needed for class I, 3.9 hours for class II, 5.1 hours of class III, and 6.2 hours for class IV patients, while 2.0 hours for class I, 2.5 hours for class II, 3.5 hours for class III, 5.0 hours class IV patients were needed on the 0.5. units. 3) Analysis of direct nursing care activities Activities were classified into assessment and observation(47%), medication(38.7%), communiontion(5.1%), exercise(2.4%), elimination and irrigation(1.3%), treatmemt(1.1%), hygiene(0.8%), nutrition(0.8%), and hot and cold compress(0.1%). 4) Average hours of indirect nursing care per day. On the N.S. unit 4.2 hours, and on the O.S. unit, 3.5 hours of RN indirect care was needed. 5) The average personal time used by the of nursing staff was 17 minutes for both RNs and nursing assistants in the N.S. unit, and 32 minutes for both RNs and nursing assistants in the O.S. unit. 6) Estimation of nursing staff needed on two specialized units of a university hospital For the N.S. nursing unit of 43 beds, 31 nursing staff would be indicated. For the 0.5. nursing unit of the same number of beds, 19 nursing staff would be indicated.

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Asymptotic Variance of Flood Quantiles from the Generalized Logistic Distribution using the Method of Maximum Likelihood (Generalized Logistic 분포형의 최우도법을 이용한 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산)

  • Shin, Hong-Joon;Heo, Jun-Haeng;Kim, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1522-1526
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    • 2007
  • 최근 영국의 Institute of Hydrology에서는 Generalized logistic (GL) 분포형을 홍수빈도해석시 GEV 분포형을 대체하는 분포형으로 추천한 바 있으며, 그로 인해 GL 분포형의 사용이 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 하지만 아직 그 사용빈도에 반하여 분포형 자체의 특성, 그 중에서도 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산에 관한 연구는 거의 이루어지지 않았다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 최우도법을 이용하여 GL 분포형의 확률홍수량에 대한 근사적 분산에 관한 연구를 수행하였으며, 이를 표본 크기, 재현기간, 매개변수들의 함수로 나타내었다. 또한 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산의 적용성을 검토하기 위해 Monte Carlo 모의실험을 수행하였으며, 모의실험은 형상 매개변수$(\beta)$$\pm0.5$이면 gamma function으로 인하여 표본 크기에 관계없이 분산값이 무한대에 가까워지므로 형상매개변수의 범위는 $-0.5{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$로 제한하였다. 모의결과 최우도법에 의해 계산된 분산식은 형상매개변수 $-0.25{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$의 범위에서 비교적 잘 맞는 것을 확인할 수 있었으며, 기존에 알려진 대로 표본크기가 크면 클수록 정확해지는 것을 알 수 있다. 또한 표본크기가 작은 경우 형상매개변수 전 범위에서 정확도가 떨어지는 것을 확인할 수 있으며, 최우도법의 경우 표본크기가 작은 경우를 제외하고 $-0.25{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$ 범위에서 quantile 산정시 quantile이 약간 과다추정되는 경향이 있는 것을 알 수 있으며, 이는 분산이 과다 추정되는 결과를 초래하며 이로 인해 해석해보다 약간씩 큰 값을 나타내는 것으로 판단되었다..이 극단적인 선정적인 폭력성에 탐닉하게 되는 경향이 있다. 현실은 결코 아름답지 못하고, 행복하게 살 수 없다는 것에 대한 깨달음에서 기인한다. 욕구불만의 강도가 심해질수록 폭력성은 더욱 강하게 나타나는데 개인에게서 뿐만 아니라 가족, 동료, 사회 단체나 종교, 국가간에도 집단적으로도 발생하게 된다. 사회적으로 볼 때 폭력은 용인되는 것이 아니므로 도덕적으로 절제를 하거나 상대방과 적절한 타협과 조정을 필요로 한다. 그러나 절제의 한계를 넘어선다고 생각되거나, 조정의 노력이 불가능하거나, 실패했을 때 폭력적인 행동으로 나타나게 된다. 리차즈(I.A Richards)는 분노와 공포는 일단 겉잡을 수 없는 경향이 있다고 하면서 오늘날 폭력에 대한 요구가 일상의 정서 생활에 있어, 억압을 통한, 빈곤함을 반영하고 있지 않은지 생각해봐야 할 것이라고 충고한다. 조성 가이드라인(안)을 제시하였다.EX>$\ulcorner$세종실록$\lrcorner$(世宗實錄) $\ulcorner$지리지$\lrcorner$(地理志)와의 비교를 해보면 상 중 하품의 통합 9개소가 삭제되어 있고, $\ulcorner$동국여지승람$\lrcorner$(東國與地勝覽) 에서는 자기소와 도기소의 위치가 완전히 삭제되어 있다. 이러한 현상은 첫째, 15세기 중엽 경제적 태평과 함께 백자의 수요 생산이 증가하자 군신의 변별(辨別)과 사치를 이유로 강력하게 규제하여 백자의 확대와 발전에 걸림돌이 되었다. 둘째, 동기(銅器)의 대체품으로 자기를 만들어 충당해야할 강제성 당위성 상실로 인한 자기수요 감소를 초래하였을 것으로 사료된다. 셋째, 경기도 광주에서 백자관요가 운영되었으므로 지방인 상주지역에도 더 이상 백자를 조달받을 필요가 없이, 일반 지방관아와 서민들의

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