• Fire Science and Engineering
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.78-84
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• 2011

Recent researches of the fire resistance in concrete focus on how to secure relevant functions in the high strength concrete. However, the demand of normal strength concrete less than 40 MPa takes most of the total concrete demand. Therefore, fire resistance study needs to cover not only high strength concretes but also normal strength concretes. This study evaluated the fire resistance performance of 40 MPa concrete columns, taking the concrete covering thickness and the size of section as variables. Consequently, the fire resistance performance improved as the section size and the covering thickness became larger.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.748-756
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• 2006

This study mainly deals with price behavior developed in a agricultural location model (or closed model) considering the production and demand aspects. The short-run situation of price and output is associated with the yearly fluctuation of yield from agricultural production. Demand is generally regarded as constant in the short-run because of being inelastic over short time. The long-run situation is associated with a period in which all related variables can be varied. Then a price behaviors from the two contrasting closed models have been further explored in the long-run economy. Agricultural price for each activity in the closed model is affected by change in agricultural production. Also, falling agricultural price is connected with lower rents and lower land values.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.29 no.2B
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• pp.228-239
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• 2004

Information Security industry in Korea is growing rapidly but is confronted with many challenges in business environment. One of the worst hardships is the mismatch in the demand and supply of manpower. Thus the government is developing a manpower policy to relieve the situation. To suggest policy implications, this study analyzes the demand and supply of Information Security manpower in the systematic and behavioral point of views. Using System Dynamics approach, we formulate a model to analyze the demand and supply of Information Security manpower. Finally we simulate the model and interpret the results.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.29 no.5C
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• pp.642-653
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• 2004

Information Security industry in Korea is growing rapidly but is confronted with many challenges in business environment. One of the worst hardships is the mismatch in the demand and supply of manpower. Thus the government is developing a manpower policy to relieve the situation. To suggest policy implications, this study analyzes the demand and supply of Information Security manpower in the systematic and behavioral point of views. Using System Dynamics approach we formulate a model to analyze the demand and supply of Information Security manpower. Finally we simulate the model and interpret the results.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.276-284
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• 2011

In our study, we present a new LOGIT-based traffic assignment model applicable to intercity railway network. Most traffic assignment models have been developed for public transit assignment in urban area, so that they are known to produce unrealistic results in intercity railway demand analysis. Especially, since the introduction of KTX, more passengers are using a route including KTX service and the schedule becomes more compatible with transfer. Our study presents a new LOGIT-based traffic assignment model considering passenger transfer. To do so, we suggest a new route search algorithm to find K paths with non increasing order in the utility value.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.93-119
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• 2003

한 산업에서 인력 수급을 전망하는 것은 인력의 수요자인 기업의 측면에서는 안정적인 인력 확보 전략을 수립하기 위해서, 공급자인 산업 종사자들에게 있어서는 자신들이 앞으로 진출해야할 산업의 매력도를 파악하기 위해서, 그리고 정부 차원에서는 관련 산업에 있어서 중복 투자의 방지와 효율적이고 균형된 산업 발전을 위한 정책 수립을 위해서 매우 중요하다. 그러나 이러한 인력 수급 전망들은 종종 잘못된 시장 분석으로 인하여 인력의 과소 공급 또는 과잉 공급이라는 의도하지 않은 결과를 가져오는 경우가 있다. 이는 전체적인 시각에서 시장의 구조적 특성을 분석하기보다는 현상을 조사하는 수준에 머물거나 현재의 상황 또는 단일 산업만을 고려할 뿐 시간의 흐름에 따른 동태적 변화와 지연된 피드백의 효과, 그리고 관련 산업간의 유기적 연관관계를 반영하지 못한 채 단기적이고 단선적인 관점에서 인력 수급을 전망하는데 그 원인이 있다고 볼 수 있다. 특히, 다른 산업과의 연관 관계가 복잡하고 인력의 수요의 급증에도 불구하고 산업에서 요구하는 인력을 양성하기까지 많은 시간이 소요되는 첨단 산업 및 신생 산업에서의 경우 이러한 현상은 더욱 두드러지게 나타날 수 있다. 이러한 관점에서 본 논문은 변수간의 상호 동태적인 관계와 시간의 흐름에 따른 행태를 분석하는 데 용이한 SD 방법론에 기초하여 최근 빠르게 성장하고 있는 정보보호산업에서의 동태적인 인력 수급 모델을 구현하여 향후 국내 정보 보호 인력의 수급 행태가 어떻게 전개될 것인지를 분석해 보았으며 이를 통하여 동태적 시각에서 인력 수급 불균형 현상의 원인을 파악하고 문제해결을 위한 대안을 제시하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.622-646
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• 2011

This paper analyses the effects of mobile telecommunications market's interconnection charge on consumer welfare between 2000 and 2010 by estimating price elasticity of demand with using log linear model and augmented Alexander et al(2000)'s model. The results show that consumer welfare is about 6 trillion won in 2009 and an upward trend. In the 2nd analysis, the decline in interconnection charge raise consumer welfare but, asymmetric interconnection and current TD-BU LRIC system have negative(-) relation with consumer welfare. Hence we need to revise interconnection policy frame.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.38-48
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• 2001

Kalman Filter model of demand for residental water and consumption pattern wore tested for their ability to explain the hourly residental demand for water in metro-politan distribution system. The daily residental demand can be obtained from Kalman Filter model which is optimized by statistical analysis of input variables. The hourly residental demand for water is calculated from the daily residental demand and consumption pattern. The consumption pattern which has 24 time rates is characterized by data granulization in accordance with season kind, weather and holiday. The proposed approach is applied to water distribution system of metropolitan areas in Korea and its effectiveness is checked.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.52-64
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• 2019

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on air passenger demand and provide useful information to airport managers and policymakers. Therefore, using the quarterly macroeconomic indicators from 2002 to 2017, the relationship with air passenger demand was demonstrated by multiple regression analysis. In the previous studies, they used GDP, Korea Treasury Bond, KOSPI index, USD/KRW Exchange Rate, and WTI Crude Oil Price variables. In this study, we used the Coincident Composite Index, Employment Rate, Consumer Sentiment Index, and Private Consumption Rate used as additional variables. It has confirmed that if the consumption of research results expands or the economic environment is right, it will affect the increase in international passengers. In other words, it confirmed that the overall economic situation acts as the main factor determining air passenger demand. It confirmed that the economic environment at the past has a significant impact on air passenger demand.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.43 no.4
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• pp.59-66
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• 2020

In this study, we consider the problem of forecasting the number of inbound foreigners visiting Korea. Forecasting tourism demand is an essential decision to plan related facilities and staffs, thus many studies have been carried out, mainly focusing on the number of inbound or outbound tourists. In order to forecast tourism demand, we use a seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA) model, as well as a SARIMAX model which additionally comprises an exogenous variable affecting the dependent variable, i.e., tourism demand. For constructing the forecasting model, we use a search procedure that can be used to determine the values of the orders of the SARIMA and SARIMAX. For the exogenous variable, we introduce factors that could cause the tourism demand reduction, such as the 9/11 attack, the SARS and MERS epidemic, and the deployment of THAAD. In this study, we propose a procedure, called Measuring Impact on Demand (MID), where the impact of each factor on tourism demand is measured and the value of the exogenous variable corresponding to the factor is determined based on the measurement. To show the performance of the proposed forecasting method, an empirical analysis was conducted where the monthly number of foreign visitors in 2019 were forecasted. It was shown that the proposed method can find more accurate forecasts than other benchmarks in terms of the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).