• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수명분포

Search Result 575, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

A Study on the Crack Initiation Life for Crankshaft of Mid-size Engine (중형엔진 크랭크축의 균열발생수명에 대한 고찰)

  • Juh-H. Ham;Myung-H. Hyun;Su-H. Kim
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.126-134
    • /
    • 1995
  • The crack initiation life evaluation which is the most commonly used approach in fatigue strength studies for the designers, is performed for the crankshaft of mid-size engine. In order to evaluate the fatigue strength, structural analysis model and applied loads on crankshaft are prepared based on the cyclic system. Using the response data of the finite element analysis, crack initiation life is predicted and plotted on crankshaft geometric model. In this analysis, general purpose programs such as PATRAN, NASTRAN and EMRC/NISA are actively utilized. Life distribution contour plots, which is not yet established as an active tool in actual design system of ship structure & components, are suggested and examples for active predicting procedure such as stress contour plotting in structure strength analysis, are illustrated. Additionally, several correlated equations for prediction of the crack initiation life are introduced and discussed to improve the fatigue strength prediction of crankshaft.

  • PDF

A Statistical Model for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome

  • Hong, Yeon-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.615-622
    • /
    • 2003
  • The severe acute respiratory syndrome(SARS) is a novel infectious disease with global impact. The rapid worldwide spread of SARS has led to 30 countries reporting cases of July 13, 2003. In this paper, we develop a statistical model for SARS-caused-death data under some assumptions. The model developed is a continuous time Markov process with a constant intensity for each stage.

  • PDF

A Fracture Mechanic Study on Life Prediction of Surface Cracks at Elevated Temperature (고온화 표면균열의 수명예측에 관한 파괴역학적 연구)

  • Chang-Min,Suh;Young-Ho,Kim;Bung-Ho,Son;Sang-Yeub,Oh
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.100-106
    • /
    • 1990
  • Microcracking of type 304 stainless steel at $593^{\circ}C(1,100^{\circ}F)$ has been studied, in particular, initiation, growth, and coalescence of fatigue and creep microcracks on smooth specimens and small notch specimens via surface replicas and photomicrographs. Quantitative information, such as, initiation period, growth, and coalescence behavior, statistical distributions of crack length, density of cracks, distribution patterns and crack growth properties, were obtained. From this study, the fracture process, fatigue life, and creep life prediction characterized by the growth of surface microcracks have been analysed by a new approach unifying the conventional approaches based on the final fracture of materials with the fracture mechanics approach. Knowledge of these parameters is critical for the application of fracture mechanics to fatigue and creep life assessment, and the damage evaluation of structures at elevated temperature.

  • PDF

Bayesian Estimation of System & Component Reliability Using Masked Data (마스크 데이터를 이용한 베이지안 추정)

  • 김종걸;박창규
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
    • /
    • 2000.11a
    • /
    • pp.353-362
    • /
    • 2000
  • 다양한 컴포넌트들로 구성된 시스템의 수명 데이터는 시스템 컴포넌트들의 신뢰성을 추정하는데 많이 사용된다. 하지만 비용이나 고장진단의 기술적 문제 때문에 시스템 고장의 정확한 원인을 밝혀내기는 어렵다. 시스템이나 컴포넌트의 수명 데이터 중 정확한 고장원인을 알 수 없는 데이터를 마스크 데이터라 한다. 본 연구는 마스크데이터와 베이지안 추정의 연구방향을 살펴보고, 그리고 고장률의 비정보 사전분포를 이용하여, 컴포넌트가 직렬로 구성된 시스템의 수명 데이터가 마스크 데이터를 갖는 지수분포의 시스템 컴포넌트 고장률을 추정한다.

  • PDF

The future Research based on Reliability Analysis Using Masked Data (마스크 데이타를 이용한 신뢰성 분석의 연구방향)

  • 김종걸;박창규
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
    • /
    • 2000.11a
    • /
    • pp.53-62
    • /
    • 2000
  • 다양한 컴포넌트들로 구성된 시스템의 수명 데이터는 시스템 컴포넌트들의 신뢰성을 추정하는데 많이 사용된다. 하지만 비용이나 고장진단의 기술적 문제 때문에 시스템 고장의 정확한 원인을 밝혀내기는 어렵다. 시스템이나 컴포넌트의 수명 데이터 중 정확한 고장원인을 알 수 없는 데이터를 마스크 데이터라 한다. 본 연구는 마스크데이터와 베이지안 추정의 연구방향을 살펴보고, 그리고 고장률의 비정보 사전분포를 이용하여, 컴포넌트가 직렬로 구성된 시스템의 수명 데이터가 마스크 데이터를 갖는 지수분포의 시스템 컴포넌트 고장률을 추정 한다.

  • PDF

Crack Growth Life Estimation and Reliability Analysis of High Temperature Turbine (고열 터빈의 균열성장수명 평가 및 신뢰성 분석)

  • Jang, Byung-Wook;Park, Jung-Sun;Kim, Hyun-Jae;Chen, Seung-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.350-353
    • /
    • 2009
  • In the fatigue analysis and the components design, uncertainties are caused by the variances of geometry data and applied loads, and the scatter of material properties. In this paper, fatigue crack growth life of turbine is evaluated by fracture mechanics and the reliability analysis is accessed by the fist order second moment method and Monte Carlo simulation.

  • PDF

A Study on the Forecasting Model of Technology Life Cycles by Analysis of US Patent Citation (특허인용 분석을 통한 기술수명예측모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Sun-Hi
    • Journal of Information Management
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.93-112
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study is intend to analyze the cited patent life time of US patent data via more objective way. It is based on exploratory approach which is one of various methods for technology forecasting. The life spans of cited patents of specific technological field are deduced from using informetric analysis of USPA database of KISTI, which is composed of US patent data covered from 1972 to present. The statistics of the results may help to estimate the economic life span of the specific technological area for technology valuation.

Optimal Design of Lognormal Accelerated Life Tests with Nonconstant Scale Parameter (스트레스에 의존하는 척도모수를 가진 대수정규 가속수명시험의 최적설계)

  • Park, Byung-Gu;Yoon, Sang-Chul;Seo, Ho-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.7 no.1
    • /
    • pp.47-57
    • /
    • 1996
  • This paper on planning constant accelerated life test is assumed that parameters for a lognormal life distribution are depended on changes of stresses. The proposed test plans are optimum in that they minimize the asymptotic variance of maximum likelihood estimator of a specified quantile at the design stress. The optimal amount of low stress level ${\xi}_{L}$ and optimal sample proportion ${\pi}$ to be allocated at low stress level are obtained when the ratio of scales at high stress level and design stress level is unknown.

  • PDF

A study on simplified fatigue design methodology for composite structures (복합재구조물에 대한 단순화된 수명평가방법 고찰)

  • 김성준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society For Composite Materials Conference
    • /
    • 2002.10a
    • /
    • pp.75-78
    • /
    • 2002
  • A simplified methodology is presented to predict fatigue life and residual strength of composite structures. To avoid excessive amount of tests that are required for model characterization, strength degradation parameter is assumed as function of fatigue life. S-N curve is used to extract fatigue life that is required to characterize the stress levels comprising a randomly-ordered load spectrum. And different stress ratios are handled with Goodman correction approach(fatigue envelope). It is assumed that the residual strength is a function of the number of loading cycles and applied fatigue stress amplitude. And the residual strength distribution after an arbitrary load cycles is represented by two parameter Weibull functions.

  • PDF

A Statistical Analysis on Fatigue Life Distribution in Spheroidal Graphite Cast Iron (구상흑연주철의 피로수명분포에 대한 통계적 해석)

  • Jang, Seong-Su;Kim, Sang-Tae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.24 no.9 s.180
    • /
    • pp.2353-2360
    • /
    • 2000
  • Statistical fatigue properties of metallic materials are increasingly required for reliability design purpose. In this study, static and fatigue tests were conducted and the normal, log-normal, two -parameter Weibull distributions at the 5% significance level are compared using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test. Parameter estimation were compared with experimental results using the maximum likelihood method and least square method. It is found that two-parameter Weibull distribution and maximum likelihood method provide a good fit for static and fatigue life data. Therefore, it is applicable to the static and fatigue life analysis of the spheroidal graphite cast iron. The P-S-N curves were evaluated using log-normal distribution, which showed fatigue life behavior very well.