• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수명분포

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Estimation and Demonstration Test Plan for Availability with Weibull Lifetime and Lognormal Repair Time (와이블 수명분포와 대수정규 수리시간분포 하에서 가용도의 추정과 실증시험계획)

  • Seo, Sun-Keun
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2014
  • One important measure of performance for a repairable system is steady-state availability. In this paper, a method to estimate and establish confidence interval for the steady-state availability under Weibull lifetime and lognormal repair time distributions is proposed. Also, bias and mean squared error of a point estimator for an availability are investigated. In addition, a procedure to derive the sample size and critical value for availability demonstration test is presented and illustrated with a numerical example.

Development of Probability Distribution Estimation Program for Fatigue Crack Growth Lives (피로균열전파수명의 확률분포추정 프로그램 개발)

  • 김선진;안석환;윤성환
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.1058-1064
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, the development of probability distribution estimation program for fatigue crack growth lives was summarize. The probability distribution estimation program of life was developed to increase the reliability of life estimation. In this study, it is considered that the cause of scatter in fatigue crack growth data is due to material inhomogeneity. The material resistance to fatigue crack growth is modelled as a spatial stochastic process, which varies randomly along the crack path. We developed the GUI program to estimate the probability distribution and reliability using the non-Gaussian stochastic process method. This program can be used for the reliability assessment.

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The Prediction of Fatigue Life According to the Determination of the Parameter in Residual Strength Degradation Model (잔류강도 저하모델의 파라미터결정법에 따른 피로수명예측)

  • 김도식;김정규
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.8
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    • pp.2053-2061
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    • 1994
  • The static and fatigue tensile tests have been conduted to predict the fatigue life of 8-harness satin woven and plain woven carbon/epoxy composite plates containing a circular hole. A fatigue residual strength degradation model, based on the assumption that the residual strength for unnotched specimen decreases monotonically, has been applied to predict statistically the fatigue life of materials used in this study. To determine the parameters(c, b and K) of the residual strength degradation model, the minimization technique and the maximum likelihood method are used. Agreement of the converted ultimate strength by using the minimization technique with the static ultimate strength is reasonably good. Therefore, the minimization technique is more adjustable in the determination of the parameter and the prediction of the fatigue life than the maximum likelihood method.

A Study on Estimation of the Probability Distribution of Fatigue Crack Growth Life for Steels (강의 피로균열전파수명의 확률분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 김선진;윤성환;전창환;정규연;안석환
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.40-45
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    • 2000
  • Presented are the estimation of the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and reliability assessment of structures by simulating material resistance to fatigue crack growth along a crack path. The material resistance is treated as a Weibull stochastic process. A non-Gaussian stochastic fields simulation method proposed by Shimozuka, et al is applied with the statistical data obtained experimentally. Test results are obtained for $\Delta$K constant amplitude load in tension with stress ratio of R=0.2 and three specimen thicknesses of 6, 12 and 18mm. This simulation method is useful to estimate the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and the smallest life.

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The Probability Distribution of Fatigue Crack Propagation Life Considering Effect of Crack Coalescence (균열의 합체를 고려한 피로균열 진전수명의 확률분포)

  • Bang, Hong-In;Yun, Han-Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.24 no.5 s.176
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    • pp.1281-1287
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    • 2000
  • The studies of probability distribution of the fatigue crack growth life have been somewhat reported. But the study on the probability distribution of the fatigue crack growth life considering the crack coalescence for three dimensional surface fatigue crack has apparently not been reported to date. In this study, the computer program has been developed to predict the probability distribution of the fatigue crack growth life considering the crack coalescence. The effects of parameters for the distribution of the fatigue crack propagation life were evaluated by using the program.

A Study on the Life of Ball Screws (볼나사의 수명에 관한 연구)

  • 김욱배;박철우;이상조;박충서
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1997.04a
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    • pp.894-899
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    • 1997
  • Genernally, the life of ball screws is presented in catalogue of domestic manufacturer by the name of dynamic load capacity. But, systematic experiment method and reliable data are not secured, even now. Data presented in catalogue is obtained at already established life expression of ball-bearing. Therefore studying on the life of ball screws, characteristic qualities of ball screw must be considered. We studied systematic experiment method and by this do experiments, obtained data. This paper present above items, and expression of life prediction by experiment results.

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Estimation of Probability Distribution Fit for Fatigue Crack Propagation Life of AZ31 Magnesium Alloy (AZ31 마그네슘합금의 피로균열진전수명에 적합한 확률분포 평가)

  • Choi, Seon-Soon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.8
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    • pp.707-719
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    • 2009
  • The variables relating to the fatigue behavior have uncertainty and are random. The fatigue crack propagation is, thus, stochastic in nature. In this study, fatigue experiments are performed on the specimen of the magnesium alloy AZ31. The data of the fatigue life are scattered even in the same experimental condition. It is necessary to determine the probability distribution of the fatigue crack propagation life for the reliability analysis as well as the design and maintenance of structural components. Therefore the statistics and the probability distribution for the fatigue crack propagation life are investigated and the best fit probability distribution of that is proposed in this paper.

Parameter Sensitivity Study on Fatigue Crack Propagation Life Under Random Loadings (Random하중하의 피로크랙 진전수명에 대한 파라미터의 영향도평가)

  • 윤한용
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.46-50
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    • 1993
  • The sensitivity study to evaluate the effects of parameters on the fatigue crack propagation life under the constant loadings is executed in the previous study of the authors. It is shown that the effect of the crack opening ratio is large comparatively. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effects of parameters on the fatigue crack propagation life under the random loadings. A new method of evaluation of the effective stress under the random loadings is developed. The sensitivity study of parameters on the fatigue crack propagation life under the random loadings is executed by using it.

스프링의 피로 파손 확률 분포 예측

  • Kim, Hyung-Ik;Heo, Yong;Park, Jae-Sil;Seok, Chang-Sung;Jang, Pil-Soo;Joo, Jae-Man;Kang, Jung-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.78-78
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    • 2004
  • 기계 및 구조물의 설계시에는 허용응력 이하의 설계 조건으로 설계하지만 반복 작동을 하게 되는 기계 시스템의 경우에는 피로에 의한 파괴 현상이 나타나게 된다. 대부분의 기계 및 구조물은 사용시 변동 하중 상태에 놓이는 경우가 많게 되고 이로 인해 변동 응력이 작용되며 그 재료의 정적 강도보다 상당히 작은 간이라도 반복횟수가 증가함으로써 금속재료의 강도가 저하되어 결국 피로 파괴가 발생한다. 자동차, 항공기, 압축기, 펌프, 터빈 등과 같이 반복 작동을 하게 되는 기계 시스템에서 일어나는 파괴 현상 중에서 피로 파괴가 차지하는 비율이 점차 늘어나고 있다.(중략)

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A Study on Estimation of the Probability Distribution of Fatigue Crack Growth Life for Steels (강의 피로균열전파수명의 확률분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 김선진;윤성환;전창환;김일석
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2000
  • Presented are the estimation of the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and reliability assessment of structures by simulating material resistance to fatigue crack growth along a crack path. The material resistance is treated as a Weibull stochastic process. A non-Gaussian stochastic fields simulation method proposed by shimozuka, et al is applied with the statistical data obtained experimentally. Test results are obtained for $\delta K$ constant amplitude load in tension with stress ratio of R=0.2 and three specimen thicknesses of 6,12 and 18mm. This simulation method is useful to estimate the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and the smallest life.

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