• Title/Summary/Keyword: 소지역

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A Small Area Estimation for Monthly Wage Using Mean Squared Percentage Error (MSPE를 이용한 임금총액 소지역 추정)

  • Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.403-414
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    • 2009
  • Many researches have been devoted to the small area estimation related with the area level statistics. Almost all of the small area estimation methods are derived based on minimization of mean squared error(MSE). Recently Hwang and Shin (2008) suggested an alternative small area estimation method by minimizing mean squared percentage error. In this paper we apply this small area estimation method to the labor statistics, especially monthly wages by a branch area of labor department. The Monthly Labor Survey data (2007) is used for analysis and comparison of these methods.

Application of In-direct Estimation for Small Area Statistics (소지역 통계 생산을 위한 추정방법)

  • Kim, Young-Won;Sung, Na-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2000
  • Small area estimation is becoming important in survey sampling due to a growing demand for reliable small area statistics. In estimating means, totals, and other parameters for small areas of a finite population, samplie sizes for small areas are typically small because the overall sample size is usually determined to provide specific accuracy at a much higher level of aggregation than that of small area. The usual direct estimators that use the only information which is gotten from the sample in a given small area provide unreliable estimates. However, indirect estimators utilize the information from the areas related with a given small area, that is, borrow strength from other related areas, and so give more accurate estimates than direct estimators. In this paper we investigate small area estimation methods such as synthetic, composite and empirical best linear unbiased prediction estimator, and apply them to real domestic data which is from the Survey of Hotels and Restaurants in In-Chon as of 1996 and then evaluate the performance of these methods by measuring average squared errors. This evaluation shows that indirect estimators, which are small area estimation methods, are more efficient than direct estimator.

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Small area estimations for disease mapping by using spatial model (질병지도 작성을 위해 공간모형을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • An, Daeseong;Han, Junhee;Yoon, Taeho;Kim, Changhoon;Noh, Maengseok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2015
  • SMRs (standardized mortality rates) for major diseases, accidents, cancer are considered in small areas of administrative units such as Eup/Myeon/Dong from years 2005 to 2008. Due to small sample issue in small areas, the precision of directly estimated crude SMR for each area can be low. In this study, we consider the HGLM (hierarchical generalized linear model) with MRF (Markov random field) to account for the spatial correlations among the small areas. The effects of covariates for cause of mortality by Dongs in Seoul and disease maps based on the estimated SMR are presented. The results suggest how we analyze and interpret the difference in mortalities by small areas such as Dongs by revealing the spatial patterns.

회귀모형에 의한 소지역추정

  • Choe, Ji-Yeong;Choe, Gi-Heon;Han, Geun-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2003
  • 표본의 크기가 작은 경우 추정치의 정도에 문제가 발생한다. 본 연구에서는 대규모 조사에서의 표본을 소지역 혹은 소도메인에 할당하였을 경우 발생하는 추정치의 문제점을 해결하는 방안으로서 회귀모형을 도입하였다. 회귀모형을 기계산업 표본설계 자료에 적용하여 소지역추정의 가능성을 확인하였으며, 고전적인 추정방법과의 비교도 함께 이루어졌다.

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Evaluations of Small Area Estimations with/without Spatial Terms (공간 통계 활용에 따른 소지역 추정법의 평가)

  • Shin, Key-Il;Choi, Bong-Ho;Lee, Sang-Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.229-244
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    • 2007
  • Among the small area estimation methods, it has been known that hierarchical Bayesian(HB) approach is the most reasonable and effective method. However any model based approaches need good explanatory variables and finding them is the key role in the model based approach. As the lacking of explanatory variables, adopting the spatial terms in the model was introduced. Here in this paper, we evaluate the model based methods with/without spatial terms using the diagnostic methods which were introduced by Brown et al. (2001). And Economic Active Population Survey(2005) is used for data analysis.

Small area estimation of the insurance benefit for customer segmentations (고객집단별 보험금에 대한 소지역 추정)

  • Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Kim, Ki-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2009
  • Bayesian methods have been focused in recent years for solving small area estimation problems. In this paper, the hierarchical Bayes procedure is implemented via MCMC techniques and compared with the results of One-way, GLM-Normal, and GLM-Gamma cases by analyzing real data of insurance benefit for customer segmentations. After analyzing insurance benefit real data for customer segmentations, we can conclude that the insurance benefit estimator through the small area estimation is more efficient than the estimators by other methods. In addition, we found that the small area estimation gave accurate estimation result for the small number domains.

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Space Time Autoregressive Model for Small Area Estimation (공간 시계열 모형을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • Kim Jae Doo;Shin Key-Il;Lee Sang Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.627-637
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    • 2005
  • Small area estimation has been studied using various methods such as direct, indirect, synthetic and based on regression or time series model . In this paper we investigate a motel-based small area estimation which takes into account the spare time autoregressive model. The Economic Active Population Surveys in 2001 are used for analysis and the results from space-time autoregressive(STAR) and simultaneous autoregressive(SAR) model are compared with using MSE, MAE and MB.

Two Stage Small Area Estimation (이단계 소지역추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Eun;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 2012
  • When Binomial data are obtained, logit and logit mixed models are commonly used for small area estimation. Those models are known to have good statistical properties through the use of unit level information; however, data should be obtained as area level in order to use area level information such as spatial correlation or auto-correlation. In this research, we suggested a new small area estimator obtained through the combination of unit level information with area level information.

Small Area Estimation Using Bayesian Auto Poisson Model with Spatial Statistics (공간통계량을 활용한 베이지안 자기 포아송 모형을 이용한 소지역 통계)

  • Lee, Sang-Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.421-430
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    • 2006
  • In sample survey sample designs are performed by geographically-based domain such as countries, states and metropolitan areas. However mostly statistics of interests are smaller domain than sample designed domain. Then sample sizes are typically small or even zero within the domain of interest. Shin and Lee(2003) mentioned Spatial Autoregressive(SAR) model in small area estimation model-based method and show the effectiveness by MSE. In this study, Bayesian Auto-Poisson Model is applied in model-based small area estimation method and compare the results with SAR model using MSE ME and bias check diagnosis using regression line. In this paper Survey of Disability, Aging and Cares(SDAC) data are used for simulation studies.

Application of In-direct Estimation for Small Area Statistics (소지역 통계분석기법의 활용-도소매업 및 서비스업 통계조사 사례연구-)

  • 김영원;성나영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.57-73
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    • 2000
  • Small area estimation is becoming important in survey sampling due to a growing demand for reliable small area statistics. In estimating means, totals, and other parameters for small areas of a finite population, samplie sizes for small areas are typically small because the overall sample size is usually determined to provide specific accuracy at a much higher level of aggregation than that of small area. The usual direct estimators that use the only information which is gotten from the sample in a given small area provide unreliable estimates. However, indirect estimators utilize the information from the areas related with a given small area, that is borrow strength from other related areas, and so give more accurate estimates than direct estimators. In this paper we investigate small area estimation methods such as synthetic, composite and empirical best linear unbiased prediction estimator, and apply them to real domestic data which is from the Survey of Hotels and Restaurants in In-Chon as of 1996 and then evaluate the performance of these methods by measuring average squared errors. This evaluation shows that indirect estimators, which are small area estimation methods, are more efficient direct estimator.

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