• Title/Summary/Keyword: 성공률곡선

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Estimation of Software Project Success and Completion Rate Using Gompertz Growth Function (Gompertz 성장곡선을 이용한 소프트웨어 프로젝트의 개발 성공률과 완료율 추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Un
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.13D no.5 s.108
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    • pp.709-716
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    • 2006
  • As the software complexity increases, the development success rate decreases and failure rate increases exponentially. The failure rate related to the software size can be described by a growth function. Based on this phenomenon, this paper estimates the development success and completion rate using the Gompertz growth function. At first, we transformed a software size of numerically suggested $10^n$ into a logarithm and kept the data interval constantly. We tried to derive a functional relationship between the development success rate and the completion rate according to the change of logarithmic software size. However, we could not find a function which can represent this relationship. Therefore, we introduced the failure rate and the cancel rate which are inverse to the development success rate and completion rate, respectively. Then, we indicated the relation between development failure rate and cancel rate based on the change of software size, as a type of growth function. Finally, as we made the Gompertz growth function with the function which describes the cancel rate and the failure rate properly. We could express the actual data suitably. When you apply the growth function model that I suggested, you will be able to get the success rate and completion rate of particular site of software very accurately.

The quality control and acceptability of spirometry in preschool children (학동 전기 소아에서 폐활량 측정의 질관리와 성공률)

  • Seo, Hyun Kyong;Chang, Sun Jung;Jung, Da Woon;Lee, Cho Ae;Wee, Young Sun;Jee, Hye Mi;Seo, Ji Young;Han, Man Yong
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.52 no.11
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    • pp.1267-1272
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    • 2009
  • Purpose:We examined the ability of preschool aged children to meet the American Thoracic Society (ATS) and European Resiratory Society (ERS) goals for spirometry quality and tried to find out the major factor for improving the rate of success of spiromety test in this age group. Methods:Spirometry was performed in 2-6 aged 155 children with chronic cough or suspicious asthma with the recording of maneuver quality measures of forced expiratory time, end-of-test volume, back-extrapolated volume (Vbe), and forced vital capacity (FVC), as well as flow-volume curve. The subjects were tested several times and the two best results in each subject were selected. All criteria for quality control were suggested by ATS/ERS guidelines. The criteria for starting of the test was Vbe <80 mL and Vbe/FVC <12.5%. The criteria for repeatability of the test was that second highest FVC and FEV1 are within 100 ml or 10% of the highest value, whichever is greater. For the criteria for termination of the test for preschool aged children, we evaluated the flow-volume curve Results:As getting older, the success rate of spirometry increased and rapidly increased after 3 years old. Total success rate of the test was 59.4% (2 years old - 14.3%, 3 years old - 53.7%, 4 years old - 65.1%, 5 years old - 69.7%, 6 years old- 70.8%). The percentage of failure to meet the criteria for starting the test was 6.5%, repeatability of the test was 12.3% and end of the test was 31%. There was a significant difference only in age between success group and failure group. Evaluating the quality control criteria of previous studies, the success rate increased with age. Conclusion:About 60% of preschool aged children met ATS/ERS goals for spirometry test performance and the success rate was highly correlated with age. It is clearly needed that developing more feasible and suitable criteria for quality control of spirometry test in preschool aged children.

Assessment of River Discharge Survey Project in 2009 (2009년 유량조사사업 평가)

  • Kwon, Dong-Seok;Lee, Shin-Jae;Oh, Chang-Ryeol;Hwang, Seok-Hwan;Jung, Sung-Won;Lee, Jae-Hyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1184-1190
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    • 2010
  • 유량조사는 하천의 임의 한 단면에 흐르는 물의 양을 측정하는 것으로서 하천유역의 물순환 구조 파악, 하천시설의 설치, 각종 수공 구조물의 설계, 하천 주변지역의 이용 및 관리 등을 목적으로 실시하고 있다. 이에 따라 유량조사사업단은 전국 수위관측소 지점을 대상으로 유량측정을 실시하고 측정된 성과에 대한 체계적인 품질관리와 연구개발을 통한 유량자료의 안정화를 위하여 매년 100여개 지점에서 유량조사사업을 실시하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 2009년도 유량측정성과에 대한 평가기준으로 각 성과별 구간유량비와 불확실도를 선정하였으며, 이와 같은 항목은 측정 중 배치된 측선수에 절대적인 영향을 받게 된다. 그 결과 2009년 유량측정성과의 측선수 평균은 2003년도 대비 유속계 및 부자의 경우 각각 3.7배, 2.2배 증가한 35.1개, 13.8개로 나타났다. 측선수 증가를 통해 최대구간유량비는 유속계 및 부자 각각 30.0%, 51.2% 감소한 7.1%, 14.6%로 나타났으며, 불확실도의 경우 45.1%, 62.4% 감소하여 4.6%, 8.8%의 개선된 값을 보였다. 이러한 양질의 측정성과를 이용해 개발된 수위-유량관계곡선식과 환산유량에 대한 유출률을 검토한 결과, 조석 및 배수 영향을 받는 지점과 계기수위 자료에 문제가 발생한 지점을 제외한 지점에 대한 유출률 분포는 2003년 최대 300%까지 나타났던 유출률이 일반적인 하천에서 나타날 수 있는 유출률 50~90% 비율도 계속 증가하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 2009년 강수량은 평년 수준을 보였으나, 지역적 시기적 편차 등으로 인해 낙동강 권역의 경우 50% 미만의 유출률을 보인 지점이 다수 나타났다. 이러한 성과는 전문 인력에 의한 유량측정 및 유량성과에 대한 품질관리시스템의 운영을 통해 비교적 양질의 유량자료를 확보할 수 있었으며 이에 근거하여 개발된 수위-유량관계곡선식과 환산된 유량자료는 과거에 비하여 신뢰성이 개선된 것으로 평가되었다. 일련의 체계적인 운영 및 검증을 통해 2009년 유량조사사업은 성공적인 수준으로 판단되며, 추후 지속적인 연구개발을 통해 유량자료의 품질수준을 한 단계 높일 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Finger Counting Algorithm in the Hand with Stuck Fingers (붙어 있는 손가락을 가진 손에서 손가락 개수 알고리즘)

  • Oh, Jeong-su
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.1892-1897
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a finger counting algorithm for a hand with stuck fingers. The proposed algorithm is based on the fact that straight line type shadows are inevitably generated between fingers. It divides the hand region into the thumb region and the four fingers region for effective shadow detection, and generates an edge image in each region. Projection curves are generated by appling a line detection and a projection technique to each edge image, and the peaks of the curves are detected as candidates for finger shadows. And then peaks due to finger shadows are extracted from them and counted. In the finger counting experiment on hand images expressing various shapes with stuck fingers, the counting success rate is from 83.3% to 100% according to the number of fingers, and 93.1% on the whole. It also shows that if hand images are generated under controlled conditions, the failure cases can be sufficiently improved.

Life Risk Assessment of Landslide Disaster in Jinbu Area Using Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀분석모델을 활용한 평창군 진부 지역의 산사태 재해의 인명 위험 평가)

  • Rahnuma, Bintae Rashid Urmi;Al, Mamun;Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.65-80
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    • 2020
  • This paper deals with risk assessment of life in a landslide-prone area by a GIS-based modeling method. Landslide susceptibility maps can provide a probability of landslide prone areas to mitigate or proper control this problems and to take any development plan and disaster management. A landslide inventory map of the study area was prepared based on past historical information and aerial photography analysis. A total of 550 landslides have been counted at the whole study area. The extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two different groups, 50% of the landslides were used for model calibration and the other were used for validation purpose. Eleven causative factors (continuous and thematic) such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in hazard analysis. The correlation between landslides and these factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. Eventually, a landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a logistic regression model based on entire events. Moreover, the landslide susceptibility map was plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculated the area under the curve (AUC) and tried to extract a success rate curve. Based on the results, logistic regression produced an 85.18% accuracy, so we believed that the model was reliable and acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis on the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, vulnerability scale were added for social thematic data layer. The study area predictive landslide affected pixels 2,000 and 5,000 were also calculated for making a probability table. In final calculation, the 2,000 predictive landslide affected pixels were assumed to run. The total population causalities were estimated as 7.75 person that was relatively close to the actual number published in Korean Annual Disaster Report, 2006.

A Dynamic Behavior Evaluation of the Curved Rail according to Lateral Spring Stiffness of Track System (궤도시스템의 횡탄성에 따른 곡선부 레일의 동적거동평가)

  • Kim, Bag-Jin;Choi, Jung-Youl;Chun, Dae-Sung;Eom, Mac;Kang, Yun-Suk;Park, Yong-Gul
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.517-528
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    • 2007
  • Domestic or international existing researches regarding rail damage factors are focused on laying, vehicle conditions, driving speed and driving habits and overlook characteristics of track structure (elasticity, maintenance etc). Also in ballast track, as there is no special lateral spring stiffness of track also called as ballast lateral resistance in concrete track, generally, existing study shows concrete track has 2 time shorter life cycle for rail replacement than ballast track due to abrasion. As a result of domestic concrete track design and operation performance review, concrete track elasticity is lower than track elasticity of ballast track resulting higher damage on rail and tracks. Generally, concrete track has advantage in track elasticity adjustment than ballast track and in case of Europe, in concrete track design, it is recommended to have same or higher performance range of vertical elastic stiffness of ballast track but domestically or internationally review on lateral spring stiffness of track is very minimal. Therefore, through analysis of service line track on site measurement and analysis on performance of maintenance, in this research, dynamic characteristic behaviors of commonly used ballast and concrete track are studied to infer elasticity of service line track and experimentally prove effects of track lateral spring stiffness that influence curved rail damage as well as correlation between track elasticity by track system and rail damage to propose importance of appropriate elastic stiffness level for concrete and ballast track.

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Key Bit-dependent Attack on Side-Channel Analysis-Resistant Hardware Binary Scalar Multiplication Algorithm using a Single-Trace (부채널 분석에 안전한 하드웨어 이진 스칼라 곱셈 알고리즘에 대한 단일 파형 비밀 키 비트 종속 공격)

  • Sim, Bo-Yeon;Kang, Junki;Han, Dong-Guk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1079-1087
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    • 2018
  • Binary scalar multiplication which is the main operation of elliptic curve cryptography is vulnerable to the side-channel analysis. Especially, it is vulnerable to the side-channel analysis which uses power consumption and electromagnetic emission patterns. Thus, various countermeasures have been studied. However, they have focused on eliminating patterns of data dependent branches, statistical characteristic according to intermediate values, or the interrelationships between data. No countermeasure have been taken into account for the secure design of the key bit check phase, although the secret scalar bits are directly loaded during that phase. Therefore, in this paper, we demonstrate that we can extract secret scalar bits with 100% success rate using a single power or a single electromagnetic trace by performing key bit-dependent attack on hardware implementation of binary scalar multiplication algorithm. Experiments are focused on the $Montgomery-L{\acute{o}}pez-Dahab$ ladder algorithm protected by scalar randomization. Our attack does not require sophisticated pre-processing and can defeat existing countermeasures using a single-trace. As a result, we propose a countermeasure and suggest that it should be applied.

Reference values for respiratory system impedance using impulse oscillometry in school-aged children in Korea (학동기 소아에서 impulse oscillometry system로 측정한 폐기능 정상치)

  • Wee, Young Sun;Kim, Hyoung Yun;Jung, Da Wun;Park, Hye Won;Shin, Yoon Ho;Han, Man Yong
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.50 no.9
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    • pp.862-867
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    • 2007
  • Purpose : The impulse oscillometry (IOS) is applicable to young children because it requires minimal cooperation and a non-invasive method to measure the mechanics of respiratory system. This study aimed to develop the reference values in school-aged children in Korea, using IOS which is a modification of forced oscillation technique (FOT). Methods : Measurements were performed in 92 previously untrained healthy children, aged 7 to 12 years old, using IOS. We analyzed the relationships between the data about their age, height, weight, body surface area (BSA), body mass index (BMI) and the result of IOS using the linear regression test. Results : The success rate of IOS was 92.4%. Stepwise multiple regression of resistance of respiratory system (Rrs) and reactance of respiratory system (Xrs) in natural form for age, height, weight, BSA, BMI showed that height was the most significant predictor and altogether of 5 variables explained the Rrs and Xrs most. Our regression equations at multiple frequencys were comparable to published reference values, especially about the Rrs obtained at 5 Hz. Conclusion : IOS is a feasible method to measure the respiratory resistance in untrained children. We got the reference values using IOS and it seems to be useful to diagnose a variety of respiratory diseases.