• Title/Summary/Keyword: 선거 결과

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농축산물 수입개방과 자민당의 패배

  • No, Yeong-Han
    • The Korea Swine Journal
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    • v.11 no.8 s.120
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    • pp.40-41
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    • 1989
  • 최근 쇠고기 저가방출이 소값 안정에 기여했다고 생각할지도 모르나, 양돈.낙농육우 등 축산업계가 흔들리고 있다. 우리 축산업계에서는 기회있을 때마다 축산자재(사료 등)에 대한 부가세 영세를 적용을 건의해 왔다. 결국 쇠고기 수입량의 증가, 축산기자재에 대한 부가세 영세율 적용불가, 향락산업의 번창은 그결과가 어떻게 오리라는 것은 이번 일본의 참의원선거를 통해서 우리가 확인한 셈이다.

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Voting Behavior for the 19th President Elections and Audience Analysis for Political Campaigns & Political Advertising: Focused on In-depth Interview (제 19대 대통령 선거의 유권자 투표행태와 정치캠페인 및 정치광고에 대한 수용자 분석: 심층인터뷰를 중심으로)

  • Cha, Young-Ran
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.385-398
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to explore implications by analyzing voters' behaviors and attitudes of political campaigns & political advertising audience in the 19th presidential election. For this purpose, in-depth interviews with 59 voters who voted in the last election were conducted, and interviewees were allocated by their gender and age. As a result, the motivation to ballot for a candidate was based on the candidates' political affiliations to a party, political inclinations, and election pledges. Voters also determined whom they would vote for after watching the final TV debate. The biggest issue of this election was to create jobs in the public sector, an economical issue. TV was the most trusted medium among the voters, and TV debates had the greatest influence in changing the minds of the voters. Voters thought that Shim, Sang Jung was the best on TV debates and that An, Chul Soo was the worst. Also, voters recalled An, Chul Soo the most among all election posters, but they recalled Moon, Jae In the most out of other political advertisement methods. Therefore, the results elucidated the voters' behaviors and the audience's attitudes in political advertising, and this study provided theoretical and practical implications to be utilized in future presidential election campaigns and political advertising endeavors.

과학기술정책 형성 과정에서의 여론 반영 - 19대 대선 과학기술 공약과 동아사이언스 및 ESC의 사례를 중심으로

  • Han, Won-Seok;NamGung, Hye-Ri;Gang, Seon-Jun;Won, Yu-Hyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.473-487
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    • 2017
  • 본 논문은 대한민국의 제19대 대통령 선거와 관련하여 각 후보들의 과학기술정책 공약이 과학자들의 여론을 반영하였는지 알아본다. 이를 위해서, 주요 정당(더불어민주당, 국민의당, 바른정당, 정의당)의 후보들이 과학 언론인 동아사이언스로부터 받은 과학기술정책 공약에 대한 문의에 대해 답변한 내용과 사단법인 과학자 단체인 '변화를 꿈꾸는 과학기술인 네트워크(ESC)'가 발간한 '2017 대선 과학기술지원정책 타운미팅 - 우리는 대통령 후보에게 무엇을 묻고 요구할 것인가'라는 자료집에 대해 답변한 내용을 중심으로 하였다. ESC의 해당 자료집은 ESC 소속 회원들이 주관한 타운미팅에서 참가자들이 소속 및 직위에 의한 제한 없이 반대 의견에 부딪히지 않고 자유롭게 의견을 개진함으로써 발간된 것이기 때문에, 과학기술계의 여론을 가감 없이 반영했다고 볼 수 있다. 분석을 해본 결과, 국민의당 안철수 후보의 과학기술정책 공약이 과학기술계 여론을 가장 많이 반영하였으나, 과학기술 일자리 확충 및 과학기술인재 등용과 관련해서는 더불어민주당 문재인 대통령이, 과학문화 정책과 관련해서는 바른정당 유승민 후보 및 정의당 심상정 후보가 과학기술계 여론을 잘 반영한 것으로 나타났기에, 문재인 대통령이 세부 정책별로 다른 후보의 공약을 참고할 필요가 있는 것으로 파악되었다.

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An Exploration on Random Sampling Telephone Survey -The Case of the Ulsan Mayoral Election in 2002- (임의표집법에 의거한 전화조사의 시도 -2002년 울산시장선거의 경우-)

  • No, Kyu-Hyung;Khang, Hung-Soo;Han, Cheol-Soo
    • Survey Research
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.77-90
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    • 2002
  • This study reports the results of a random sampling telephone survey conducted in the case of the Ulsan mayoral election 2002. We interview at least five times to a respondent who is randomly selected by means of the birthday method from a randomly sampled telephone number list of 1,233 households, We analyze the result of interviewing, such as absence and promise. And we compare the demographic variables of the surveyed sample and those of the population and we also compare the randomly selected sample's voting preference with outcome of the election in various ways. Finally, we discuss difficulty of random sampling with the birthday method and suggest some technical tips to conduct random sampling telephone survey.

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Social Impact Assessment on National Development Projects in Korea (대형 국책사업에 대한 사회영향평가)

  • Lee, Jong-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.197-204
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    • 2010
  • 새만금사업, 신행정수도(행정중심복합도시, 세종시), 한반도 대운하사업(4대강 살리기사업) 등과 같은 대형국책사업은 대통령 선거공약으로 제시되었다. 그러한 대형국책사업이 국가의 이익을 위해 꼭 필요한 것으로 제시되었다 하더라도, 그 결과는 좋은 의도와는 다르게 나타날 수도 있다. 대통령 선거후 환경정책기본법과 환경영향평가법에 따라 대형국책사업에 대한 사전환경성검토(전략환경평가)와 환경영향평가가 이뤄졌지만, 예상하지 못했던 정치적, 사회경제적, 환경적 갈등이 발생하였다. 이러한 개발 및 환경 갈등의 원인은 여러 측면에서 찾을 수 있겠지만, 사회경제적 항목을 중심으로 하는 사회영향평가의 미흡을 그 원인으로 제시하는 연구가 많다. 대규모 국책사업을 둘러싼 개발 및 환경 갈등을 해소하기 위해, 우리나라와 외국의 사회영향평가의 현황과 연구 동향을 고찰하고, 국책사업의 주요 쟁점의 분석을 통하여 사회영향평가의 중요성과 필요성을 강조하였다. 그리고 사회영향평가의 도입, 강화, 지침 마련에 대해 다음과 같이 제안하였다. 첫째, 현재의 사전환경성검토(전략환경평가)시에 사회적 통합, 경제적 측면(B/C분석, 비용, 고용 등), 법제적 측면, 한반도 통일이나 국가균형발전 등과 같은 사회경제적 항목을 평가항목에 추가함으로써 사회영향평가를 도입하고; 둘째, 환경영향평가 시에 공공시설, 교육, 교통, 문화재, 경제적 타당성, 고용, 토지이용을 현재의 사회경제평가항목에 추가시켜 사회영향평가를 보다 강화시키고; 셋째, 한국의 환경적, 정치적, 경제적, 사회적, 문화적 상황을 반영하여(사회영향평가의 원리와 지침(가칭))을 마련하도록 한다.

The Influences of Political Participation Awareness upon Citizens' Political Participation Action (정치참여의식이 시민의 정치참여행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sung Choon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.395-405
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    • 2017
  • In this research, we analyzed the structural (influence) of citizens' political awareness and political participation on the settlement of political culture. The results are as follows. Firstly, the analysis of the relationship between the citizens' political awareness and political reliability in Hypothesis 1 showed that the higher their election sense and self-efficacy, the higher their satisfaction with and evaluation of politics. Secondly, the analysis of the relationship between the citizens' political awareness and social sense of belonging in Hypothesis 2 showed that the higher the election sense and recognition in society, the higher the social sense of belonging. Thirdly, the analysis of the influence of political reliability on political participation in Hypothesis (3) showed that the higher the political satisfaction and political assessment, the higher the positive participation in politics and negative participation in politics. Fourth, in the analysis of the influence of social sense of belonging on political participation in Hypothesis 4, it was found that the higher the citizens' social belonging awareness, the higher the positive political participation and negative political participation. Therefore, it was found that the higher the political awareness of the citizens, such as their election sense and knowledge about their politicians, the more positive were their political reliability and political participation.

Analysis of public opinion in the 20th presidential election using YouTube data (유튜브 데이터를 활용한 20대 대선 여론분석)

  • Kang, Eunkyung;Yang, Seonuk;Kwon, Jiyoon;Yang, Sung-Byung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.161-183
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    • 2022
  • Opinion polls have become a powerful means for election campaigns and one of the most important subjects in the media in that they predict the actual election results and influence people's voting behavior. However, the more active the polls, the more often they fail to properly reflect the voters' minds in measuring the effectiveness of election campaigns, such as repeatedly conducting polls on the likelihood of winning or support rather than verifying the pledges and policies of candidates. Even if the poor predictions of the election results of the polls have undermined the authority of the press, people cannot easily let go of their interest in polls because there is no clear alternative to answer the instinctive question of which candidate will ultimately win. In this regard, we attempt to retrospectively grasp public opinion on the 20th presidential election by applying the 'YouTube Analysis' function of Sometrend, which provides an environment for discovering insights through online big data. Through this study, it is confirmed that a result close to the actual public opinion (or opinion poll results) can be easily derived with simple YouTube data results, and a high-performance public opinion prediction model can be built.

American Presidential Candidates' Self-Reliance Spirit and Voters' Evaluations of Their Personal Traits (미국 대통령 후보자의 자립정신과 인격적 특성에 대한 유권자 평가)

  • Kim, Chang-Nam
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.10
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    • pp.274-285
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    • 2010
  • In the United States, a marked emphasis on personal achievement has been among enduring values characterizing American culture from the beginning of the republic. Particularly, Americans have attached great value to the spirit of self-reliance in striving for personal achievement. However, there have been few empirical studies focusing on the effects of Americans' self-reliant spirit on American electoral politics. Through a field experimentation focusing on the voters of Portage County in Ohio, this study examined the effects of Americans' self-reliant spirit on the evaluations of presidential candidates' personal traits, which constitute the candidates' character. The results of this study demonstrated that American voters evaluated those presidential candidates who were described as self-reliant significantly more favorably than the presidential candidates who were not so described, for 8 out of the 11 personal traits. The findings provide meaningful evidence for ascertaining the potential and legitimacy of the influences of the spirit of self-reliance, in the American society including electoral politics.

Explaining the Development of Social Policy: Social Policy Preferences and Political Institution (선호와 정치제도를 중심으로 한 사회정책 발달이론의 모색)

  • Hong, Kyung-Zoon
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.35-59
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a formal model of social policy development. The model shows that the development of social policy depends both on the social policy preferences of voters and on the political institution which mediates the preferences of voters. In the direct democracy, median voter's social policy preference is critical because he is Condorcet winner in a pairwise vote. But in the representative democracy, political parties design social policy to win the support of a majority of voters. Hence, the political institution like electoral rule may affect social policy outcome. The model presented in this paper contrasts 3 alternative constitutional features and investigates how they affect social policy outcome. In result, this papers emphasizes that policy preferences of voters and political institution may be key variables to explain social policy development and divergence among welfare regimes.

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Analyzing Effective Poll Prediction Model Using Social Media (SNS) Data Augmentation (소셜 미디어(SNS) 데이터 증강을 활용한 효과적인 여론조사 예측 모델 분석)

  • Hwang, Sunik;Oh, Hayoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.12
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    • pp.1800-1808
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    • 2022
  • During the election period, many polling agencies survey and distribute the approval ratings for each candidate. In the past, public opinion was expressed through the Internet, mobile SNS, or community, although in the past, people had no choice but to survey the approval rating by relying on opinion polls. Therefore, if the public opinion expressed on the Internet is understood through natural language analysis, it is possible to determine the candidate's approval rate as accurately as the result of the opinion poll. Therefore, this paper proposes a method of inferring the approval rate of candidates during the election period by synthesizing the political comments of users through internet community posting data. In order to analyze the approval rate in the post, I would like to suggest a method for generating the model that has the highest correlation with the actual opinion poll by using the KoBert, KcBert, and KoELECTRA models.