• Title/Summary/Keyword: 생애 주기 가설

Search Result 12, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

우리나라 저축률(貯蓄率)의 결정요인(決定要因)

  • Hong, Gi-Seok;Kim, Jun-Gyeong
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.3-46
    • /
    • 1997
  • 본 논문은 우리나라 저축률(貯蓄率)의 결정요인을 실증적으로 분석하는 데 목적을 두고 있다. 특히 본 논문은 생애주기가설/항상소득가설(生涯週期假說/恒常所得假說)에 바탕을 두고 거시(巨視)시계열자료와 미시(微視)횡단면자료를 모두 분석함으로써 개별경제주체의 저축행위와 경제전체의 저축간의 일관된 관계를 밝히려고 하였다. 표준적인 생애주기가설/항상소득가설에 의하면, 저축은 소득(所得)의 일시적 변동으로부터 소비(消費)를 독립시키려는 개별소비자의 합리적 선택의 결과이다. 따라서 개별소비자의 저축은 단기적으로는 소득이 일시적으로 높은 해(년(年))에, 그리고 보다 장기적으로는 일생동안 가장 높은 수준의 소득을 벌게 되는 장년기간중에 가장 크게 된다. 본 논문의 실증결과는 이러한 생애주기가설/항상소득가설의 예측이 실제자료와 대체로 일치함을 보여준다. 거시자료 분석결과에 의하면 우리나라 저축률의 연간변동은 소득성장률(所得成長率)과 인구연령구조(人口年齡構造)의 변동에 의해서 잘 설명되는 것으로 나타난다. 또한 미시자료 분석결과를 보더라도 소득이 일시적으로 높은 가계나 경제활동연령인구의 비중이 높은 가계일수록 더 많은 저축을 하는 것으로 나타난다. 따라서 생애주기가설/항상소득가설은 우리나라 저축률의 결정을 설명하는 데 매우 유용하다고 판단된다. 본 논문은 또한 소득성장률이나 연령구조 외에 이자율, 유동성 제약, 그리고 예비적 저축동기 등이 저축에 미치는 영향에 대해서도 살펴보았다. 실증결과에 의하면 실질이자율은 저축률을 다소 증대시키는 효과가 있으나, 기타 요인들의 효과는 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

Sequence Analysis in Women's Work Transition (여성취업이행 경로의 생애과정 씨퀀스(sequence) 분석)

  • 은기수;박수미
    • Korea journal of population studies
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.107-138
    • /
    • 2002
  • In general, women's labor force participation follows a M-curve pattern because women's state of economic activity usually changes by their life course stage. This research attentions that the effect of sequence of life course as well as the effects of‘marriage bar’, or‘maternity leave’is very important in understanding women's chaning economic activity status. First, this research hypothesizes that women's four patterns of job career such as‘continuous pattern’,‘discontinuous pattern’,‘non-economic activity pattern’,‘marriage leave pattern’result a significant difference in social and demographic variables. Second, this research analyzes the effect of ordering and timing of life events on women's work transition. This research investigates labor market dynamics to conceptualize labor market behaviors using longitudinal data and sequence analysis and event history analysis. We find that four patterns of job career vary by age, educational attainment, having a certificate or not, their parents’human capital and health status. And we find that the ordering and timing of‘participation in labor market’and‘marriage’determine the pattern of women's work transition.

Corrosion Fatigue Reliability-Based Life Cycle Cost Analysis of High-Speed Railway Steel Bridges (고속철도 강교량의 부식 피로신뢰성 기반 생애주기비용 분석)

  • Cho, Hyo-Nam;Jeon, Hong-Min;Sun, Jong-Wan;Youn, Man-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.11 no.1
    • /
    • pp.107-113
    • /
    • 2008
  • As it recently appears that LCC (Life Cycle Cost) analysis may be considered as an essential method for economic evaluation of infrastructures. Many researches have been made to assess LCC of each facility based on reasonable methods. However, expected maintenance repair cost must be reasonably estimated to enhance the reliability of LCC analysis through systematic and rational methods. This study is intended to propose a rational approach to reliability-based LCC analysis of high-speed railway steel bridges considering lifetime corrosion and fatigue damage. However in Korea, since high speed railway steel bridges are only recently constructed, no direct statistical data are available for the account of the maintenance cost and thus their maintenance characteristics are not clear yet. In this paper, for the assessment of expected maintenance/repair cost, the fatigue system reliability analysis incorporating the corrosion effect is proposed by considering the corrosion and fatigue damage using measured data of high speed railway steel bridges. A model proposed by Rahgozar, of at for fatigue notch factor considering the corrosion effect is used in order to incorporate the corrosion effect into the fatigue strength reduction and S-N curve. Finally, the effectiveness of LCC model proposed for high-speed railway steel bridges is demonstrated by a numerical example.

Labor Status of Old age: Lifetime Career and Wealth as Mediators (노후 노동지위: 생애노동경력과 재산을 매개로)

  • Ji, Eun-Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
    • /
    • v.61 no.1
    • /
    • pp.323-357
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study illuminates the mechanism of life course on labor status of old age complementing the limits of labor status hypothesis of old age and model of statues attainment and combining them. The main results from this analysis are summarized in four points. Firstly, older men mostly engaged in agriculture, forestry and fishing industry or low-class occupations. A very small portion held high level or professional occupations. Regular full-time employees or employers were only 4.4% while, about 70% of older employees were temporal employees or self-employed. This shows that the elderly affluence hypothesis which alleges that most older men maintain high level occupations, applies to only a few. The second finding is that wealth differentials are sizable: about 20% of older workers own less than 50 million won, while 9.3% possess more than 600 million won. Therefore, it is not safe to claim that most people have accumulated enough wealth for old age according to the elderly affluence hypothesis. This gap being mainly reflected by education level, suggests that the model of status attainment is appropriate as wealth accumulation hypothesis. Thirdly, educational level determined not only lifetime careers, but also labor status of old age. Fourthly, using path analysis, the last finding is that education had effect on labor status of old age through lifetime career and wealth. That is, old men who have low education level had unstable lifetime career and own less wealth. They work in low income job, low social occupations and unstable occupation type in old age. This shows that life inequality continues until old age. Therefore, the inequality of education opportunity, spread of part-time work and small scale self employees should be discouraged. Furthermore, related policy should be provided in order to prevent being caught in unstable work.

  • PDF

A study of the income inequality of the aged in OECD 10 countries - Focusing on the life course perspective (OECD 10개국 노인의 소득불평등에 관한 연구 -생애주기관점을 중심으로-)

  • Ji, Eun Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
    • /
    • v.42 no.1
    • /
    • pp.333-370
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study views the aged inequalities according to the inequality hypothesis of the life course perspective in OECD 10 countries. Focusing on educational level which is early social status and welfare state regime which is social structure factors of inequality, this study analyzes income inequality for the aged who have transformed into old age period from non-aged period. The analysis is based on the data SHARE of Europe and HRS of USA. The main results of this study are summarized in four points. First, the income inequality is quite high by welfare system and the educational level. Second, the income inequality is somewhat reduced in case the people move from the period of non-aged to the period of aged. However, gini coefficient is still high(0.475). Considering welfare state regimes, although the income inequality is high in conservative regime of non-aged period, this would be higher in aged period. This result supports cumulative advantages/disadvantages hypothesis. The liberal regime remains high income inequality which supports the theoretical argument of status maintenance. Social democratic regime provides evidence to offer some support for the status leveling hypothesis. In there, income inequality is lower in aged period even though income inequality of non-aged period is low. Third, the cumulative advantages/disadvantages of disposable income according to educational level are strengthened and heterogeneity is grown in case people transition from the late period of non-aged to aged period. But public pension has been more equally distributed than gross income. Fourth, seeing welfare state regimes, public pension of aged-period is more inequally distributed than that of non-aged period in liberal and conservative regime. Specially in conservative regime, inequality of gross income is very high and public pension is also inequally distribute So this might show that the social security system strengthens the cumulative advantages/disadvantages. However, in the social democratic regime, public pension is more equally distributed than gross income and it could be much more equally distributed in aged period, which can support the status leveling hypothesis.

The Research on the Curve of Maintenance Cost from Newly Constructed Steel Box Girder Bridge (최근 가설된 강상자형 교량의 보수.보강 공사비곡선 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Woo;Shin, Yung-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
    • /
    • 2009.04a
    • /
    • pp.553-556
    • /
    • 2009
  • 최근 우리나라의 건설 분야에서는 생애주기비용(Life Cycle Cost;이하 LCC)/가치공학(Value Engineering; 이하 VE)을 적용한 구조물 설계가 실시되고 있다. 이는, 건설교통부에서 공공건설사업의 효율성을 제고하기 위하여 실시하고 있으며, 대통령령에 따라 "건설기술관리법시행령"을 제정하여 공공사업분 수행 절차와 기준을 법제화 하였으며 이후 시행령 38조 13의 "설계의 경제성등 검토" 실시를 의무화하는 시행지침을 작성하여 수행하고 있다. 이러한, LCC/VE의 검토에서 보수 보강 공사비 산정은 유지보수공사 프로파일링을 통한 보수 보강 시기를 산정(건설교통부, 2003)하여 교량 구성요소별 보수 교체 주기를 산정(건설교통부, 2001)에서 제시한 기간을 적용하여 LCC/VE를 평가하고 있다. 하지만, 이러한 보수 보강 공사비의 적용은 일괄적인 적용이며, 예전 국내의 교량 건설기술이 현재와 같이 발전된 상태에서의 현황이 아니므로 본 연구에서는 현재 고속국도에 완공되어 운용중인 교량 구조물을 시설물의 안전관리에 관한 특별법 시행령(2008)에 따른 "시설물의 안전점검 및 정밀안전진단 지침"에 의한 교량의 초기점검, 정밀점검 및 정밀안전진단 자료를 조사 분석하여 보수 보강 공사비 곡선을 추정하려 한다.

  • PDF

A Study on The Housing Consumption Problem in Young Single-Person Household - Focusing on Reduction of Housing Area - (서울시 청년 1인 가구 주거 문제 분석 - 주거소비 면적 감소 현상을 중심으로 -)

  • Jo, Haeun;Kim, Euijune
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
    • /
    • v.34 no.1
    • /
    • pp.49-60
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of the study is to analyze the housing problems of single-person household in 20-35 age group. Using the survey of Household's Consumption in 2014, we estimated the housing demand function of young single-person household in Seoul. As a result, the coefficient of the permanent income for young single-person household housing was significantly lower than other groups and the housing demand was also lower than others. Since current income isn't come up to permanent income enough, the housing consumption of young single-person household shrinks. It implies the role of the housing financial market is less activated. That is, the difficulty of realization of permanent income and lack of housing finance are the main cause of the imbalance of housing demand of one young person. Therefore, it implies that in order to alleviate the housing problem of the young single-person household, a policy to balance the permanent income with the housing demand is needed.

A Study of Static Behavior of FRP Bridge Deck Concerning Connection Condition (FRP바닥판의 연결조건에 따른 정적거동 분석)

  • Yong, Hwan Sun;Hwang, Yoon Koog;Kyung, Kab Su;Park, Yong Chan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.4A
    • /
    • pp.597-604
    • /
    • 2006
  • Fiber Reinforced Polymer (FRP) is a relatively new material in the bridge construction. With high strength to weight ratios, excellent durability, and low life-cycle costs of FRP, FRP bridge decks can offer a low dead load, reduced maintenance, and long service life. Due to the lightweight of FRP, if existing concrete decks can be replaced with the FRP decks, the load carrying capacity of superstructure can be increased without strengthening of girders. In this study, we have conducted an experiment on 7 cases of connection conditions with steel girder by using bolts considering a rational and economical method of connection and compared with the results of FEM analysis. From the experimental result, if the bolts are strong enough to resist shear force between the FRP bridge deck and the steel girder, it will be structurally secure to use the zigzag method.

Analysis of Prework Trip-Making and Modal Choice (통근통행 이전의 비통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택행태 분석)

  • 윤대식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.17 no.5
    • /
    • pp.57-65
    • /
    • 1999
  • 본 연구에서는 지금가지 통근통행자의 활동참여 분석(activity Participation analysis)이 주로 일과후 활동참여(postwork activity participation)에 초점이 주어졌다는 점을 감안하여 일과전 활동참여(preworkactivity Participation)를 분석하고자 하였다. 이러한 연구배경하에서 본 연구는 통근통행자의 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택의 행태를 네스티드 로짓모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 본 연구는 모형의 경험적 추정을 위해 1995년 미국 Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (NPTS)의 일부분으로 수집된 뉴욕 대도시지역의 설문조사자료를 이용하였으며, 추정된 경험적 모형을 바탕으로 의미 있는 결과를 논의하였다. 본 연구에서 추정된 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부와 교통수단 선택의 네스티드 로짓모형은 통계적 측면이나 행태적 측면에서 볼 때 대체로 타당한 분석결과를 보여준다. 교통수단 선택모형(조건부 모형)의 추정결과를 보면 나이, 운전면허 소지여부, 가구내 차량보유대수, 가구내 직장인수, 연간 가구소득, 교통수단의 통행시간이 통근통행자의 교통수단 선택에 의미 있는 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었다. 한편 통근통행 이전의 비통근통행 발생여부 선택모형(한계모형)의 추정결과를 보면 나이 성별, 가구내 차량보유대수, 가구의 생애주기가 통근통행자의 비 통근통행 발생여부에 의미 있는 영향을 미치는 것으로 확인되었다. 본 연구로부터의 중요한 발견은 추정된 네스티드 로짓모형의 inclusive value의 추정계수값을 살펴봄으로써 가능한데, 모형의 경험적 추정결과는 본 연구에서 가설화된 네스티드 로짓모형구조의 타당성을 입증시켜 준다. 아울러 직장인의 교통수단 선택은 통근통행 이전의 비 통근통행 발생여부의 선택과 밀접한 관련을 가지면서 이루어진다는 사실을 확인할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

International Marketing Strategies for Chungbuk's U-Health Industry (충북 u-Health 산업의 국제적 마케팅전략 연구)

  • Ha, Dae-Yong;Oh, Sang-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.8 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1655-1661
    • /
    • 2007
  • Recently, various industries have appeared which are applied ubiquitous technology. Particularly, health and medical fields, have been focused as future's industry, have been combined with ubiquitous system. This is what we called' u-Health industry. Korean government has encouraged local governments to develop specialized high value-added industries along each local's circumstance. According to the policy, I had an assumption that u-Health industry is Chungbuk province's specialized high value-added industry and studied marketing strategy for the point of penetration into markets. I presented STP strategy for international markets. This strategy referred to developed countries' aging index and based on Modigliani's life cycle hypothesis. Finally, considering none of u-Health has been released, I presented strategies of marketing mix to be utilized when u-Health items march into the markets.

  • PDF