• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사회원인론

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Determinants of Credit Default Swap Spreads: The Case of Korean Firms (한국 기업들의 신용부도스왑 스프레드에 대한 결정요인 분석)

  • Park, Yoon-S.;Kim, Han-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.4359-4368
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    • 2011
  • Among several macroeconomic missteps blamed for the recent global financial crisis including the social problems of income distribution and the lack of proper financial remedies, two of them have received particular attention: the global BOP(Balance of Payment) imbalance and the misguided monetary policy. Such BOP imbalance was blamed for massive foreign exchange investment flows from Asia into the U.S., triggering the financial and real estate bubble in America. The latter refers to the excessively loose monetary policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve, which pushed financial institutions and households into reckless investment behavior in search of higher returns. Given the abuse of certain innovative financial techniques and new investment instruments that have been created in recent decades, both collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and credit default swaps (CDS) enjoyed a symbiotic and toxic relationship prior to the financial crisis This paper is organized as follows: The first section analyzes the real causes of the recent financial crisis. The second details the role of CDOs and CDS. Then, to identify key determinants of the CDS spreads in an emerging capital market, the sample data of major Korean firms' CDS spreads are used to estimate the risk premium by utilizing the multiple regression analysis. The empirical test result indicates that Korean 3-year treasury bond rate(TYIELD), market to book value ratio(MV/BV), and assets size(INASSETS) are shown to demonstrate statistically significant influences on the changes of the CDS premium for sample firms.

Encoder Type Semantic Segmentation Algorithm Using Multi-scale Learning Type for Road Surface Damage Recognition (도로 노면 파손 인식을 위한 Multi-scale 학습 방식의 암호화 형식 의미론적 분할 알고리즘)

  • Shim, Seungbo;Song, Young Eun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.89-103
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    • 2020
  • As we face an aging society, the demand for personal mobility for disabled and aged people is increasing. In fact, as of 2017, the number of electric wheelchair in the country continues to increase to 90,000. However, people with disabilities and seniors are more likely to have accidents while driving, because their judgment and coordination are inferior to normal people. One of the causes of the accident is the interference of personal vehicle steering control due to unbalanced road surface conditions. In this paper, we introduce a encoder type semantic segmentation algorithm that can recognize road conditions at high speed to prevent such accidents. To this end, more than 1,500 training data and 150 test data including road surface damage were newly secured. With the data, we proposed a deep neural network composed of encoder stages, unlike the Auto-encoding type consisting of encoder and decoder stages. Compared to the conventional method, this deep neural network has a 4.45% increase in mean accuracy, a 59.2% decrease in parameters, and an 11.9% increase in computation speed. It is expected that safe personal transportation will be come soon by utilizing such high speed algorithm.

Validation of the Korean Version of Free Will and Determinism Scale (FAD-Plus) using Confirmatory Factor Analysis - The Relationship Between Belief in Free Will and Correspondence Bias - (확인적 요인분석을 통한 한국판 자유의지와 결정론 척도(FAD-Plus)의 타당화 - 자유의지에 대한 믿음과 귀인편향의 관계 -)

  • Ahn, Jaekyung;Han, Sanghoon;Choi, Yimoon
    • Korean Journal of Forensic Psychology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.35-51
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    • 2021
  • People's belief in free will is important in determining the causes and responsibilities of human behavior. Over the past decades, there has been debate about belief in free will in the fields of neuroscience, philosophy, ethics, and criminal law. The Free Will and Determinism Scale (FAD-Plus; Paulhus & Carey, 2011) is a test tool that measures the components related to the belief in an individual's free will. This study conducted a confirmatory factor analysis of 1,000 ordinary people of various age groups and socio-economic backgrounds based on previous studies that conducted an exploratory factor analysis (Study 1). The author has secured the reliability and validity of a number of measures. Furthermore, it was examined how the sub-item of the FAD-Plus scale, 'belief in free will,' was related to correspondence bias and locus of control (Study 2). As a result of analyzing a total of 83 subjects, high belief in free will had a positive correlation with punishment judgment for negative behavior and internal attribution, but there was no significant relationship in reward judgment for positive behavior. Based on the study results, it was proven that the FAD-Plus is valid for the general public as well, and the relationship between belief in free will, attribution bias, locus of control and behavior judgment was examined. The limitations of this study, policy implications, and research directions are discussed.

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The Empirical Study on the Interface Between Science and Technology (과학과 기술의 연계에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • 박상인;조성복;김정화;정선양
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.116-135
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    • 2003
  • 우리나라는 최근에 IMF 에 재정적 지원을 요청하는 상황이 계기가 되어 국가경쟁력과 삶의 질 측면에 상당한 관심을 가지게 되었다. 이러한 환경변화는 사회저변에 효율성을 강조하는 풍토를 확산시키고, 위기상황의 재발방지를 위해 그 원인을 분석하고 대안을 마련하는 등 사회 전반적으로 각고의 노력을 촉발시키게 하는 계기가 되었다. 이러한 논의들 중에 눈에 띄는 한가지는 과학과 기술사이의 관계에 관한 논쟁인데, 최근에 활발히 논의되고 있는 과학과 기술사이의 연계는 미국을 중심으로 많은 연구가 진행되고 있으며, 이러한 연구들은 대체적으로 과학과 기술사이에는 상당한 정도의 상관관계가 있고, 이 둘 사이는 서로 상호작용하면서 경제성장을 이끄는 역할을 한다고 주장하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 논의들을 국내에 적용시킴으로써 해외의 사례가 우리에게 시사점이 될 수 있는지 체계적으로 분석하려고 시도하였다. 과학과 기술사이의 연관성을 알아보기 위하여, 과학의 연구성과를 대변하는 대용치로 SCI논문을 사용하였고, 이러한 연구성과가 얼마만큼 사회에 파급되어 산업화 또는 상업화되었는지를 측정하기 위해 특허출원수를 추출하여, 연구의 목적에 맞게 modify 하는 과정을 거쳤으며, 추세분석과, 상관관계분석 그리고 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 본 연구는 실증분석을 통하여, 과학과 기술사이에는 일부 소수의 영역을 제외하고 매우 높은 상관관계가 있음을 발견하였고, 우리나라의 주력산업이었던 기계분야의 쇠퇴를 실증적으로 확인 할 수 있었으며, 정부의 적극적인 지원아래 폭발적으로 성장하였던 IT분야의 증가추세를 확인할 수 있었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국가경쟁력의 근간이 되는 연구개발부문에 경제논리를 배제하는 지속적인 투자를 제언함으로써, 국가경쟁력 제고와 삶의 질 향상이라는 두 마리 토끼를 잡을 수 있는 방안은 과학과 기술의 유기적인 연계에 있음을 밝히고 있다. 건설을 위한 정책적 시사점과 동북아 연구개발정보 Portal 및 APEC APGrid 연구망 등의 구체적인 정보인프라 구축방안을 도출하였다.술 주기를 도출하고, 산업 내 평균 권리 청구 항목 수를 이용하여 각 산업의 기술 범위를 비교하였다. 각각의 동적 분석을 통해 시간에 따른 변화 양상이 관찰하였고, ANOVA 분석을 이용하여 통계적 유의성을 검증하였다. 본 연구는 현재의 기술 패러다임 내에서 Pavitt이 제시한 산업 분류의 근거를 보충 설명하였고 특허 정보를 이용하여 기술혁신의 산업별 유형에 대한 폭넓은 분석방법을 제시하였다.별 시간대별 효과분석을 통하여 정책의 시행여부가 결정되어야 할 것이다. 한편, 화물전용차선의 설치로 인한 물류비용의 절감을 보다 효과적으로 달성하기 위해서는 종합류류 전산망의 시급한 구축과 함께 화물차의 적재율을 높이고 공차율을 낮출 수 있는 운송체계의 수립이 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 그라나 이러한 화물전용차선의 효과는 단기적인 치유책일 수밖에 없기 때문에 물류유통 시설의 확충을 위한 사회간접자본의 구축을 서둘러 시행하여야 할 것이다.으로 처리한 Machine oil, Phenthoate EC 및 Trichlorfon WP는 비교적 약효가 낮았다.>$^{\circ}$E/$\leq$30$^{\circ}$NW 단열군이 연구지역 내에서 지하수 유동성이 가장 높은 단열군으로 추정된다. 이러한 사실은 3개 시추공을 대상으로 실시한 시추공 내 물리검층과 정압주입시험에서도 확인된다.. It was resulted from increase of weight of single cocoon. "Manta"2.5ppm produced 22.2kg of cocoon. It is equal to 9% increase in index, as compared to that

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Information Technology and Environmental Decision-Making (정보 기술과 환경 의사 결정)

  • Woo Chung-Gyoo
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.1 no.2 s.2
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    • pp.371-398
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    • 2001
  • Sciences and technologies are the sources which have formed presently highly developed civilizations and cultures and have enhanced the quality of human lives. But we see the dark sides of them as well as the bright sides, and we have the consciousness of environmental crisis and destruction of lives caused by them. Thus were are criticisms against human-tropism or technology-tropism from nature-tropism or deep ecology. However, if people would continue to have the desire of enjoying the present quality of their lives, they should try to develop and improve pro-environmental technologies. In this vein, we have the necessity of making environmental decisions and solving environmental problems by information technologies. Since the second half of the last century, 'environment' is the key word because we have the consciousness of environment strongly. As we solve human problems by making decisions of actions, we must face with environmental decisions in order to solve our environmental problems. If we have the better understanding of the nature of information and the role of information technology, and the relation of information technology and decision-making, we are able to design environmental systems and implement their optimal interfaces of environmental components. For this purpose, we are obliged to combine several useful technologies including GIS, DSS, Knowledge-based system and artificial neural networks. Therefore the developments and cooperations of these fields in environmental decision making enables us to live in the better and comfortable surrounding in the near future.

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Was Dried Pollack a Talisman against Evil or for Good Luck?: An Examination of the Socio-economic Origins of the Magical Symbolism of Dried Pollack (북어는 액막이 부적인가, 행운의 부적인가? -북어의 주술적 상징성의 사회경제적 기원에 관한 고찰-)

  • Shim Hyoung-june
    • Journal of the Daesoon Academy of Sciences
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    • v.49
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    • pp.229-263
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this article is to elucidate the origins of the symbolic significance of traditional Korean talismanic ornaments such as dried pollack, bokjori (luck-bringing strainer), silk threads, and sokotture (a nose-block). Previous studies have primarily interpreted the magical meanings of these ornaments based on their shapes or functions, but such approaches are limited due to this likely being an ex-post-facto interpretation. This study argues that the symbolic meanings of these ornaments originated from the socio-economic characteristics of the time. These items were food resources or products closely related to the economic activities of the people of the time, and therefore, could be considered symbols of abundance and fortune. In particular, dried pollack served as an important food resource and commodity during the Late Joseon Dynasty, even functioning as a quasi-currency, and considering that fish are seen as symbols of abundance and fertility in various cultures around the world, its symbolic significance becomes clearer. Bokjori and sokotture acquired the meaning of abundance by being associated with major goods or properties of the time such as rice and cattle, and silk thread was linked to sericulture, a significant source of income for farmers of the time. These economic characteristics form the basis of the symbolism of these ornaments, and the function of these talismans can be seen as a secondary symbolism added in the process of social justification of these customs. This study reveals that economic motives underlie magical-religious customs and suggests that a broad consideration of the cultural and ecological environment of the time is necessary to understand the origins and transformations of cultural phenomena.

Structural Analysis of the Community Welfare Problems -In Busanjingu, Busan, Korea- (지역사회복지의 문제점에 관한 구조화분석 -부산진구를 대상으로-)

  • Park, Jung-Mi;Park, Sung-Hyun;Yu, Dong-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.199-223
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to clarify the mechanism and essence of problems by understanding the whole structure of the complicated problems that exist in the social welfare field with DEMATEL method, one of structural models. This paper consists of (1) What kind of social welfare problems exist in the community that is related to welfare? (2) What kind of thoughts do people who work in social welfare field have related to these problems? (3) Are there any differences in structure of thoughts among social welfare civil servants who take charge of planning and dividing budgets for community welfare, social workers who provide services personally and civic activists who criticize and keep watch on behalf of civilians? In order to achieve the purpose of this study, data were collected in Busan Busanjingu and the survey was conducted from the year of 2005 when community welfare plan was first established up to now. The major structural problems of the community welfare of the Pusan Jin-gu, Korea, are: 1) welfare budget allocation procedure is not logical, 2) the outskirts of the Pusan Jin-gu are isolated as poor areas, 3) geographic imbalance is severe among communities, and 4) the social welfare response system to support future population structure needs to be more developed. All of these problems are the fundamental origin to the social resource disparity within communities. The major problems of the community social welfare in Pusan Jin-gu, Korea were recognized by different perspective in terms of professional career such as social welfare civil servants, social workers, and civic activists. Majority of the social welfare civil servants thought "severe geographic imbalance"; majority of the social workers believed "lack of the social welfare response system to support the structure of the population in the future" and "disparity in social resources within the communities"; and majority of the civic activists said "limitation for understanding various social welfare needs because of short term need assessments" as main issues of the community social welfare. It seems that this paper is able to be used as a framework to establish community welfare plans and individual programs in Busan Busanjingu.

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Microbiological spectrum and antibiotic susceptibility pattern in more than 24-month-old children with urinary tract infection: A6-year retrospective, single center experience (24개월 이상 소아에서 요로 감염의 원인균과 항생제 감수성의 양상 : 6년간 단일 기관 경험)

  • Ko, Jeong Hee;Lee, Jee Hyun;Sim, Eun Jung;Cho, Do Jun;Min, Ki Sik;Yoo, Ki Yang;Lee, Dae Hyoung;Kang, Hee Jung
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.52 no.10
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    • pp.1147-1152
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    • 2009
  • Purpose:To characterize the pathogens and their antibiotic susceptibilities in more than 24-month-old children with urinary tract infection (UTI) and to study the Escherichia coli antimicrobial susceptibility trend. Methods:We retrospectively reviewed the record of more than 24-month-old children with UTI between January 2003 and December 2008. Positive results for 1 bacterial species with a colony count of ${\geq}10^5CFU/mL$ was considered statistically significant. We analyzed uropathogens and their antibiotic susceptibilities. To investigate E. coli antibiotic susceptibility trend, we compared 2 study periods (group A: 2003-2005 versus group B: 2006-2008) using the chi-square test for trend. Results:In all, 63 bacterial isolates were identified in children with febrile UTI. The most common pathogen was E. coli (77.8%). There was no difference in the resistance patterns of uropathogens during the 2 study periods (P>0.05). Antibiotic susceptibility of the E. coli isolates to aztreonam, cefotetan, cefotaxime, ceftriaxone, cefepime, amikacin, and imipenem was >90% to trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazol, 49% and to ampicillin and ampicillin/sulbactam, 20-25%. Over the 2 study period, the E. coli susceptibilities to most antibiotics did not change: the susceptibility to cefuroxime increased from 74.1% to 95.5% (P=0.046) and that to ciprofloxacin increased from 59.3% to 86.4% (P=0.039). Conclusion:Empirical treatment with trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, ampicillin, and ampicillin/sulbactam alone appeared to be insufficient in childhood UTI because of the high resistance of E. coli and other gram-negative uropathogens. Antibiotics for empirical therapy should be selected based on the sensitivity and resistance pattern of uropathogens found in a particular region.

Clinical Characteristics and Prognostic Factors of Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia (중증 지역사회획득 폐렴의 임상상 및 예후 예측인자에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Heung-Kook;Seo, Ji-Young;Kim, Dong-Kyu;Choi, Jeong-Eun;Mo, Eun-Kyung;Park, Myung-Jae;Lee, Myung-Goo;Hyun, In-Gyu;Jung, Ki-Suck
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.1072-1082
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    • 1997
  • Background : To characterize the clinical features and determine the prognostic factors of severe community-acquired pneumonia. This study is the first of its kind in Korea. Methods : Recruited were 40 patients diagnosed as severe community-acquired pneumonia in Hallym University Hospital from January 1, 1989 through July 31, 1996. Patients were analysed retrospectively for age, sex, underlying disease, respiration rate, hypoxemia, requirement of mechanical ventilation, involvement on chest radiograph, shock, and the serum concentration of BUN and albumin. All parameters were compared between survived and dead group. Results : Male to female ratio was 2.07 : 1. The mean age was $63.1{\pm}17.5$years(range 25~90years) with 65% of patients aged equal to or more than 60. The major underlying diseases were old pulmonary tuberculosis(12.5%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(7.5%), bronchial asthma(5%), bronchiectasis(2.5%), and diabetes mellitus(22.5%). Microbiologic diagnosis was made in 26 out of 40 patients(65%). The most common causative organism was S. pneumoniae(17.5%, 7/40) followed by S. aureus(15.0%, 6/40), K. Pneumoniae(12.5%, 5/40), M. tuberculosis(7.5%, 3/40), H. influenzae(2.5%, 1/40), coagulase negative staphylococcus(2.5%, 1/40), P. aeruginosa(2.5%. 1/40), E. cloaceae(2.5%, 1/40), and E. coli(2.5%, 1/40). M. pneumoniae was detected in no patient. The most frequent drugs administered in single or combination therapy were aminoglycosides(75%, 30/40), second- and third-generation cephalosporin(40%, 16/40 and 27.5%, 11/40), macrolides(27.5%, 11/40), and amoxicillin/clavulanic acid(22.5%, 9/40). Of the 40 patients, 14 died of severe community-acquired pneumonia(37.5%). Among them, seven patients (50%) expired within 72h of hospital arrival. According to multivariate analysis, mortality was significantly associated with requirement of mechanical ventilation, bilateral pulmonary involvement, and serum albumins$\leq$3.0g/dl. Conclusion : An understanding of the clinical characteristics and prognostic factors in severe community-acquired pneumonia identified in this study will optimize therapeutic approach in this disease and help decreasing its notorious mortality rate.

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The Etiological Role of Legionella Pneumophila in Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Korea (입원한 지역사회획득 폐렴 환자에서 요중 레지오넬라항원 검사를 통해 본 Legionella Pneumophila 감염의 비중)

  • Song, Hong-Seok;Suh, Ji-Hyeon;Ahn, Jong-Ho;Yoon, Byeong-In;Lee, Seung-Joon;Lee, Myung-Goo;Jun, Man-Jo;Kang, Min-Jong;Lee, Jae-Myung;Kim, Dong-Gyu;Son, Jee-Woong;Park, Myung-Jae;Hyun, In-Gyu;Jung, Ki-Suck
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.50 no.4
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    • pp.409-414
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    • 2001
  • Background : Legionella pneumophila has been recognized as an important cause of community-acquired pneumonia(CAP) requiring hospitalization. However, epidemiological data on the occurrence of legionella-related pneumonia is unavailable in Korea. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the etiological importance of legionella pneumophila serogroup 1 in patients hospitalized with CAP. Method : The CAP patients over 16 year-old were recruited from July 1999 to June 2000 at the Chunchon Sacred Heart Hospital. Fifty four patients (male 29, female 25, average age $63.8{\pm}15.3$) were included in this study. A diagnosis of a legionella pneumophila infection was based on a urinary antigen test using the Binax Company enzyme immunoassay. The severity of pneumonia was assessed using the Fine's PORT scoring system. Result : The average Fine's PORT score was 99.7(${\pm}44.9$). According to the risk classification proposed by the Infectious Disease Society of America, the number of patients in each class(from class I to class V) were 6(11.1%), 13(24.1%), 9(16.7%), 14(25.8%), and 12(22.2%), respectively. Thirty two patients(59.3%) were initially admitted to the intensive care unit. The mortality rate was 16.7%(9 in 54). In all patients, urinary antigens to Legionella pnewnophila serogroup 1 were not detected. Conclusion : Legionella pnewnophila may play little role in causing adult CAP in Korea. Therefore, the routine use of macrolide in the empirical treatment of the CAP patients based upon the ATS guidelines(1993) in Korea should be reevaluated.

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