• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사용수명 예측

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A Study of Time Dependent Diffusion for Prediction Service Life in NPPs Safety Related Concrete Structures (원전 안전관련 콘크리트 구조물의 수명예측을 위한 재령계수에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Choon-Min;Yoon, Eui-Sik;Kim, Seung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.136-142
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    • 2019
  • Nuclear power plant concrete structures are in contact with the coast, and durability due to chloride attack is very important because it is used as cooling water by taking seawater. For this purpose, a 3-year long-term saltwater immersion test was carried out to evaluate chloride ion diffusion coefficient and age apponent (m) The m values of the foundation with 4,000 class was 0.35 ~ 0.39, similar to KCI or ACI suggested values. essential service water constructions and tunnels of 5,000 class were 0.44 ~ 0.53 and 6,000 class, and 0.62 of reactor containment buildings were similar to the proposed values of FIB. As a result of the prediction of the service life with the measured age coefficient, all the safety related concrete structures of the nuclear power plants satisfied the service life of more than 60 years.

A Proposal of Remaining Useful Life Prediction Model for Turbofan Engine based on k-Nearest Neighbor (k-NN을 활용한 터보팬 엔진의 잔여 유효 수명 예측 모델 제안)

  • Kim, Jung-Tae;Seo, Yang-Woo;Lee, Seung-Sang;Kim, So-Jung;Kim, Yong-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.611-620
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    • 2021
  • The maintenance industry is mainly progressing based on condition-based maintenance after corrective maintenance and preventive maintenance. In condition-based maintenance, maintenance is performed at the optimum time based on the condition of equipment. In order to find the optimal maintenance point, it is important to accurately understand the condition of the equipment, especially the remaining useful life. Thus, using simulation data (C-MAPSS), a prediction model is proposed to predict the remaining useful life of a turbofan engine. For the modeling process, a C-MAPSS dataset was preprocessed, transformed, and predicted. Data pre-processing was performed through piecewise RUL, moving average filters, and standardization. The remaining useful life was predicted using principal component analysis and the k-NN method. In order to derive the optimal performance, the number of principal components and the number of neighbor data for the k-NN method were determined through 5-fold cross validation. The validity of the prediction results was analyzed through a scoring function while considering the usefulness of prior prediction and the incompatibility of post prediction. In addition, the usefulness of the RUL prediction model was proven through comparison with the prediction performance of other neural network-based algorithms.

A Study on the Failure Rate Prediction and Demonstraion for the Train Control system (열차제어시스템 고장률예측 및 입증에 관한 연구)

  • Shin Ducko;Lee Jae-Ho;Lee Jun-Ho;Lee Kang-Mi
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.77-81
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    • 2005
  • 본 논문은 열차제어시스템의 고장률을 정량적으로 예측하고 입증하기 위한 방안을 제시한다. 고장률의 정량적 예측은 시스템 개발단계에서 하부시스템별 고장발생확률을 예측하여 목표 고장률과 비교하고, 고장률이 높은 하부시스템의 설계를 보완하기 위함이다. 시제품이 완성된 후에는 예측된 고장률의 입증을 위해 시운전을 통한 고장데이터를 분석하거나 신뢰성시험을 통해 고장률의 예측치를 입증한다. 본 논문에서 제시하는 열차제어시스템 고장률예측과 입증은 철도신호시스템 신뢰성, 가용성, 유지보수성, 안전성관련 규격인 IEC62278의 시스템 수명주기별 신뢰성활동을 근거로 하며, 전자부품으로 구성된 시스템고장률예측은 미국방부 전자부품 고장률예측 지침인 MIL-HDBK-217을 기준으로 사용하였다.

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Residual Life Assessment of mod HP Reformer Tubes Using Surface Replication Methods (표면복제를 사용한 mod HP강 개질로 튜브의 잔여수명 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Ryu, Hyung Ki;Le, Thi Giang;Bang, Hyo Jung;Yoon, Kee Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2021
  • Residual life assessment of reformer tubes of mod HP steel used in the refinery and petrochemical industry were investigated by quantitative metallographic evaluation method. Area fractions of precipitated carbides were measured by using surface replication and its relationship with the remaining life of the tube was investigated. The microstructures of the virgin and other tubes were examined using optical microscopy (OM) for service periods of 1.8, 6.0, 7.2, 8.5, 9.7, and 16.2 years at 950 ℃ and the area fractions of the precipitates were measured by image analysis using ImageJ software. As the area fraction of the precipitates increased, the residual life was decreased accordingly. The results showed that the LMP was the highest in the virgin and the LMP decreased as the service time increased and the residual life decreased. A regressional equation showing the relation between the area fraction of carbides and LMP was experimentally derived. The obtained relationship can be used with the surface replication method for on-site residual life assessment.

스프링의 피로 파손 확률 분포 예측

  • Kim, Hyung-Ik;Heo, Yong;Park, Jae-Sil;Seok, Chang-Sung;Jang, Pil-Soo;Joo, Jae-Man;Kang, Jung-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.78-78
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    • 2004
  • 기계 및 구조물의 설계시에는 허용응력 이하의 설계 조건으로 설계하지만 반복 작동을 하게 되는 기계 시스템의 경우에는 피로에 의한 파괴 현상이 나타나게 된다. 대부분의 기계 및 구조물은 사용시 변동 하중 상태에 놓이는 경우가 많게 되고 이로 인해 변동 응력이 작용되며 그 재료의 정적 강도보다 상당히 작은 간이라도 반복횟수가 증가함으로써 금속재료의 강도가 저하되어 결국 피로 파괴가 발생한다. 자동차, 항공기, 압축기, 펌프, 터빈 등과 같이 반복 작동을 하게 되는 기계 시스템에서 일어나는 파괴 현상 중에서 피로 파괴가 차지하는 비율이 점차 늘어나고 있다.(중략)

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Evaluation of Service life for a Filament Wound Composite Pressure Vessel (필라멘트 와인딩 복합재 압력용기의 구조 수명 평가)

  • Hwang, Tae-Kyung;Park, Jae-Byum;Kim, Hyoung-Geun;Doh, Young-Dae
    • Composites Research
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the effect of the natural aging on the strength distribution and structural service life of a Filament Wound (FW) composite pressure vessel was studied. The fiber failure strain, which is varied significantly, was considered as the design random variable and the strength analysis was carried out by probabilistic numerical approach. The progressive failure analysis technique and the First Order Reliability Method (FORM) were embedded in this numerical model. As the calculation results, the probability of failure was obtained for each aging time steps and it is found that the strength degradation in FW composite pressure vessel, due to the natural aging, appears within 10 year-aging-time. As an example of the life prediction under natural aging using arbitrary laminated model, the service lifetime of 13 years was predicted based on the probability of failure of 2.5% and the design pressure of 3,250 psi.

Assessment of Failure for Fretting-Wear of Steam Generator U-Tubes in Operating Nuclear Power Plants (증기발생기 U-튜브의 마모 손상평가)

  • 김일곤;박진무
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.273-279
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    • 1995
  • 본 연구에서는 증기발생기 튜브의 마모마손에 대한 평가 방법을 열수력해석, 자유진동해석, 비선형해석, 마모량예측 등의 과정을 통해 증기발생기튜브의 마모량과 수명을 예측하는 방법에 대해 알아보았다. 본 연구를 통해 얻어진 결론은 다음과 같다. 1) 증기발생기 비선형충격해석에서 사용되는 정확한 난류 여기진동가진 가진력의 확보가 정확한 마모치를 예측할 수 있고, 2) 마모치예상을 위한 수식의 사용시 튜브의 미끌림거리 over bar L값이 매우 주요한 변수임을 알 수 있었다. 3) 충격력과 마모치의 연관관계에 대한 정확한 정의가 본 연구에 사용된 Archard의 마모방정식 이외에 여러 가지가 있으나, 아직 이들에 대한 정보부족으로 더 많은 검토가 필요하다.

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The Acclerated Life Test of Hard Disk In The Environment of PACS (PACS 환경에서 하드디스크의 가속 수명시험)

  • Cho, Euy-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Kyu;Chae, Jong-Gyu
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we estimate the life cycle from acceleration life test about the hard disk of disk array of image storage of PACS. Webuil distribution was selected by the Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit test with data of down time at $50^{\circ}C$ and $60^{\circ}C$. The equality test of shape parameter and scale parameter was conducted, so that the probability distribution estimated from data of down time at $50^{\circ}C$ and $60^{\circ}C$ was not statistically significant. The shape parameter was 1.0409, The characteristic life was 24603.5 hours at normal user condition($30^{\circ}C$) by the analysis of weibull-arrhenius modeling which included the acceleration factor of temperature, and The activation energy was 0.5011 eV through arrhenius modeling. The failure analysis of the failure samples of acceleration test and the samples of market return was conducted, so that the share percentage of failure mode was detail difference but the rank of share percentage was almost same. This study suggest the test procedure of acceleration test of hard disk drive in PACS using environment, and help the life estimation at manufacture and use.

Non-invasive Capacitance Calculation Method for Life Estimation of DC Link Capacitor of Module Type 3-Phase PCS for UIPV System (모듈형 3상 계통연계 태양광 발전용 PCS의 DC link 커패시터 수명진단을 위한 비침투 Capacitance 연산법)

  • Kim, Hong-Sung;Gil, Seo-Jong;Yoon, Yeo-Young;Jeong, Jae-Kee
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.219-221
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    • 2009
  • 태양전지 어레이(PV-array)로부터 발전되는 DC 전력을 AC로 변환시켜 계통으로 발전시키는 역할을 하는 태양광 발전 시스템용 PCS의 스위칭 회로 Topology로는 일반적으로 3상 풀브리지 회로가 사용된다. 이러한 3상 풀브리지 회로 시스템의 수명예측을 위해 DC link 단의 커패시터의 커패시턴스를 계산하여 커패시턴스의 감소정도를 이용하여 전체 시스템의 수명을 예측하게 된다. 이러한 커패시터의 상태를 추정하기 위해서는 시스템을 정지시킨 후 커패시터를 분리하여 커패시턴스를 측정하는 방법, 특정 주파수의 전류(일반적으로 저주파)를 주입하고 주입한 전류의 주파수에 해당하는 전류 및 전압을 검출하여 capacitance 연산하는 방식등이 이용된다. 시스템을 정지시킨 후 커패시터를 분리하여 커패시턴스를 측정하는 방법은 번거로우며, 전류 주입을 이용한 방식은 불필요한 고조파 전류가 계통으로 침투하는 단점을 가진다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 모듈타입 PCS 이용시 계통으로 고조파 침투가 없는 비침투 커패시턴스 계산 알고리즘을 제안한다.

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A Study on the Fatigue Life Prediction of Al-2024 with Corrosion (부식을 고려한 항공기재료의 부식피로수명예측 연구)

  • Kim, Wie-Dae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.46-51
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    • 2007
  • In this study, test results for fatigue crack propagation of Al-2024-T3511 are presented considering corrosion effects, and fatigue lifes are compared for the cases of corrosion and non-corrosion. Higher corrosion environments show lower fatigue life and faster crack growth. To predict the corrosion fatigue life, a corrosion factor concept is newly introduced and applied in Paris' law. The predicted results show good agreement with experimental data and this corrosion fatigue model can be successfully used for the prediction of fatigue life of aluminum structure with corrosion effects.