• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사업위험관리

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Application of Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Profitability-Evaluation of Apartment Reconstruction Projects (아파트 재건축사업의 수익성평가에 대한 확률적 위험도 분석 모형 적용방안)

  • Woo, Kwang-Min;Lee, Hak-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

On the Improvement of the Preliminary Feasibility Study for the System Development Program (체계개발 연구사업의 사전타당성 조사 개선 방향)

  • Kim, Jae-Gon;Kim, Dong-Guen;Jun, Hong-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.641-666
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    • 2015
  • Recently, it becomes more important to carry out the feasibility study on government R&D projects since the amount of R&D funds increases. For this purpose, until so far the general framework on the preliminary feasibility study for government driven research projects has been built and modified, and well applied to several domains. However, there is still the limitation in applying the method of preliminary feasibility study to system development research projects. The system development research projects have many different features compared to general research projects, for example, long-period development, lots of stakeholder involvement, multi-disciplinary works, and so on. Considering these characteristics, it is necessary to improve the method for the preliminary feasibility study. In this vein, this study deals with looking into the improvement points of the preliminary feasibility study in terms of the application of the system development projects.

Build on Integrated Operation·Management System of Disaster Management Regulations (방재심의제도 통합 운영·관리 체계 구축)

  • Jung, Do Joon;Joo, Jae Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.644-644
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    • 2015
  • 최근 국가적 차원에서 자연재해대책법에 근거한 여러 방재심의제도를 운영하고 있다. 그 중 최상위 계획인 풍수해저감종합계획을 통하여 저감대책을 마련하고, 위험지구에 대한 대책과 사업을 시행중에 있다. 그러나 방재업무를 진행하는 중앙부처와 지자체, 방재대행업체자 등에서는 심의보고서간의 자료공유와 접근성이 미약하고 잦은 담당자 변경으로 인한 심의보고서 보관과 관리가 힘든 실정이다. 또한 제도간의 연계와 환류기능이 미흡하여 제도별로 산재되어 있는 부분이 많으므로 통합적으로 관리할 수 있는 운영체계가 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 풍수해 방재심의제도를 통합적으로 운영하고 관리하기 위한 시스템을 구축하는 것이 최종 목표이며, 이를 위해 우선적으로 풍수해저감종합계획 수립제도를 시범적으로 적용하여 운영 관리할 수 있는 시스템 기반을 마련하였다. 또한, 향후에 있을 방재심의제도별 통합적인 운영을 위해 선제적으로 재해위험지구 정비사업과 구성항목의 데이터 연계성을 분석하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 제도별 연계 시스템을 설계하여 제시하였다.

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A study on the Mitigation of Serious Accident to National Critical Infrastructure Using Safety Risk Index (안전위험지수를 활용한 국가핵심기반의 중대재해 경감에 관한 연구 )

  • Gang, Shin-Woo;Kim, Jung-Gon;Cheung, Chong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.251-252
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    • 2022
  • 국가핵심기반은 국가 운영을 위하여 사업의 중단 없이 연속적으로 운영될 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 에너지관련 기관을 대상으로 재해를 예방하기 위하여 위험작업의 위험도 평가와 위험수준에 맞는 적절한 관리순찰 강화방안을 중심으로 개발된 일일안전지수 제도를 소개하고 그 효과성에 대하여 검토하였다. 그 결과 일일안전지수는 중대재해를 효과적으로 감소시키는 것으로 분석되었다. 일일안전지수제도는 다른 국가핵심기반에서도 적합하게 응용 적용하여 재해를 예방할 수 있다.

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A Study on the Development of an Operation Risk Analysis Model in BTL Projects (BTL사업 운영리스크 분석 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jeong-Sun;Lee, Jeong-Hun;Oh, Se-Wook;Yoo, Hyun-Seok;Kim, Young-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.475-480
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    • 2008
  • In BTL project, the operation cost covering upcoming 20 years is usually alloted more than construction cost although its plan is made in short time. Therefore, it is a key issue to forecast and to analyze operation risks in the process of making contract in order to successfully finish the BTL project and to ensure the profitability of business. However, only a few domestic professional management companies are capable to carry out funding and facility management. To manage the potential risks efficiently in BLT project, it's essential to prioritize the risk factors by means of considering economical risk level, non-economical risk level and occurrence frequency. Thus, this study suggests risk analysis model for improving efficiency of BTL project from operation company's perspective by means of survey. The suggested risk analysis model is expected to establish a risk management strategy which can improve the efficiency of management affairs in BTL project.

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A Study of Database Setup for River Infrastructure Maintenance (하천 기반시설의 유지관리를 위한 데이터베이스 구성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Min;Jung, Jae-Hoon;Lee, Tae-Hoon;Kim, Tae-Jeong;Lee, Seung-O
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.371-371
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    • 2022
  • 하천관리지리정보시스템(RIMGIS)은 하천정보의 표준화 및 전산화를 통한 정보제공과 하천에 관련한 업무를 지원하기 위해 개발된 시스템으로 5개의 지방국토관리청에서 관리하고 있는 하천대장 및 부도, 구조물도 등의 다양한 하천 관련 정보를 정보화하여 인허가 및 하천기본계획 등의 하천업무를 신속하고 효율적으로 수행할 수 있도록 운영되고 있다. 국가 주요 기반시설을 생애주기 관점에서 관리하고 소요재원의 확보근거를 마련하고자 "지속 가능한 기반시설 관리 기본법"이 제정되었고 최근에 시행되었다. 이에 따라 국토안전관리원에서는 도로·철도·철도 하천 등과 같은 사회기반시설(15종)의 노후화에 대비하여 전략적인 투자와 관리방식 도입을 목적으로 인프라 총조사 사업을 진하천 등과 같은 사회기반시설(15종)의 노후화에 대비하여 전략적인 투자와 관리방식 도입을 목적으로 인프라 총조사 사업을 진행하고 관리를 위해서 기반터 시스템을 도입하였다. 하천관리지리정보시스템과 기반터 시스템은 하천 기반시설의 정보가 데이터베이스에서 다뤄진다는 점에서 유사하지만, 기반터 시스템은 하천관리지리정보시스템과 달리 유지관리 측면에 대한 필요한 보수 주기, 필요 예산 등과 같은 정보를 산정할 수 있도록 프레임워크가 구성되어 있다. 그러나 하천과 기반시설의 코드를 연결하는 작업들은 현재 상황에서는 미흡한 실정이고, 유지관리와 시설물의 노후화를 가속화하는 홍수와 침수피해 등을 전체적으로 고려할 수 있는 방안에 대한 연구도 미진한 상황이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 하천 기반시설의 유지관리를 위해 하천, 제방, 인명에 대한 위험지수를 고려한 잠재 인명피해 위험도와 잠재 홍수피해 위험도를 평가기준으로 설정하고 적용하였다. 또한 이를 포함시킨 투자우선순위 평가기법을 도입하여 감가상각과 위험요소 등을 고려할 수 있는 데이터베이스 구성 방안을 제시하고자 한다.

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Key Risks and Success Factors on the China's Public-Private Partnerships Water Project (중국 수처리 민관협력사업 사례분석을 통한 시사점 도출: 위험 및 성공 요인 도출)

  • Choi, Jae-Ho;Lee, Seung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.134-144
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    • 2010
  • In China, the enhancement of water services has become the most crucial issue confronted with the rapid urbanization and industrialization process. A huge financial gap to meet the demand for water infrastructure and need for adopting advanced operation technology precipitated the rapid growth of PPP over the last 10 years. Diverse schemes of PPP such as TOT, Divestiture, and Management Contract and Lease have been practiced. Local governments and private investors/operator have adjusted their objectives and strategies to avoid potential pitfalls behind BOT projects in China. However, current academic research outcomes do not properly reflect important issues of BOT projects or related case studies in China. This limitation has brought in the lack of assessment of important risks and success factors required for the improvement of the body of risk management. In this regard, this study uses the market analysis method to identify major schemes of PPP water projects and conducts case studies on five PPP projects to identify key risk and success factors in association with each different scheme. It is expected that the risk and success factors identified from the cases will be used as reference to Korean companies which plan to enter the Chinese water market.

Analysis of Risk Factors for the Importance in Vietnam's Public-Private Partnership Project Using SOM(Self-organizing map) (SOM(Self-organizing map)을 활용한 베트남 민관협력사업 리스크 요인 중요도 분석)

  • Yun, Geehyei;Kim, Seungho;Kim, Sangyong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.347-355
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    • 2020
  • The economic growth rate and the urban population of the Vietnam are steadily increasing. As a result, the size of the Vietnam's construction market for infrastructure development is expected to increase. However, Vietnam is adopting PPP(Public-Private Partnership) to solve this problem because the government lacks the financial and administrative capacity for infrastructure development. PPP is a business that lasts more than 10 years, so risk management is very important because it can be a long term damage in case of business failure. This study proposes a self-organization map (SOM) for analyzing the impact of risk factors and determining the priority of them. SOM is a visualization analysis method that analyzes the inherent correlation through the color pattern of each factor.

A Study on Efficiency of Mixed Model (BTO+BTL) for Public-Private Partnership Projects (민간투자사업 혼합방식(BTO+BTL)의 효율성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Il;Jin, Run-Zhi;Hyun, Chang-Taek
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2012
  • Korean Public-Private Partnership, mainly implemented using BTO (Build-Transfer-Operate) and BTL (Build-Transfer-Lease) methods, has contributed in increasing benefits of the people by providing the needed public services in a timely and efficient manner. It has also induced flexible national fiscal management. However, in addition to the repeal of the Minimum Revenue Guarantee (MRG) program in 2009, changes in business environment including recent financial crisis aggravated financial situation in pursing PPPs, resulting in significant contraction of BTO projects. Therefore, the new methods are to be suggested and applied to overcome this situation. This paper seeks to find ways to apply "Mixed Model," characterized as the compound of BTO and BTL, two different implementation methods of PPPs, as an enhanced burden-sharing mechanism.

Development of Expert system for Plant Construction Project Management (플랜트 건설 공사를 위한 사업관리 전문가 시스템의 개발)

  • 김우주;최대우;김정수
    • Journal of Information Technology Application
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2000
  • Project management in the Construction field inherently has more uncertainty and more risks relative to ones from other area. This is the very reason for why project management is recognized as the important task to construction companies. For getting better performance in the project management, we need a system that keeps the consistencies in a automatic or semi-automatic manner through the project management stages like as project definition stage, project planning stage, project design and implementation stage. But since the early stages such as definition and planning stages has many unstructured features and also are dependent to unique expertise or experience of a specific company, we have difficulty providing systematic support for the task of these stages. This kind of problem becomes harder to solve especially in the plant construction domain that is our target domain. Therefore, in this paper, we propose and also implement a systematic approach to resolve the problem mentioned for the early project management stages in the plant construction domain. The results of our approach can be used not only for the purpose of the early project management stages but also can be used automatically as an input to commercial project management tools for the middle project management stages. Because of doing in this way, the construction project can be consistently managed from the definition to implementation stage in a seamless manner. For achieving this purpose, we adopt knowledge based inference, CBR, and neural network as major methodologies and we also applied our approach to two real world cases, power plant and drainage treatment plant cases from a leading construction company in Korea. Since these two application cases showed us very successful results, we can say our approach was validated successfully to the plant construction area. Finally, we believe our approach will contribute to many project management problems from more broader construction area.

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