• Title/Summary/Keyword: 비용 리스크 관리

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A Study of Development of Change Process for Configuration Management in Construction Project Management (건설사업관리에서 형상관리에 관한 변경 프로세스 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Ho-Un;Park, Hyung-Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.1D
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2009
  • CM(Configuration Management) is a field of management that focuses on establishing and maintaining consistency of a product's performance and its functional and physical attributes with its requirements, design, and operational information throughout its life. Recently upcoming concept of CM, regardless of various definitions, consists of the organization and the process for value creation through project change management, value preservation by Risk, Project Management implementation by Change management. The CM provide a basis for, and a record of, the project's performance in meeting the scope, time, cost. Overseas international companies have already adopted the CM system and enjoyed the benefits arising from such systems. And the CM provides perspectives and insights applicable to all types of projects. This study presents the review on the current systems now in use at jobsites and known to be efficient, and the introduction and application of configuration systems now at big issue. Hereby indicates the connective system consisted of work process, change control and knowledge referring to the methods and actual cases as an effective promotion of CM.

Conceptual Study for Risk Assessment of Asset Management of Infra Structure System (국가기반시설 자산관리위험도분석 개념 연구)

  • Park, Mi Yun;Park, Hung Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.43-47
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    • 2012
  • The asset management of infra facilities is a total framework for finally supporting a safe and comfortable service, which includes functions of supporting evaluation of condition and performance of infrastructures, making the decision method of repair or rehabilitation of deteriorated facilities, and lengthening the life cycle of structure through the decision of adequate cost and time of repair or reinforcement. In the range of the asset management, organization, human, the target, and information & data of company are included. Therefore, in this paper, appling the method of asset management analysis to the infra structures, the process of the risk assesment using BRE (Business Risk Exposure) and the basis of consisting ORDM (Optimized Renewal Decision-Making) are expressed.

Real Option Study on Sustainable DMZ Management under Biodiversity Uncertainty (생물다양성 불확실성하에서 지속가능한 DMZ 관리 실물옵션 분석)

  • Lee, Jaehyung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.617-643
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    • 2019
  • The Demilitarized Zone(DMZ) is a buffer zone set between the southern and northern limit lines established after the 1953 Armistice Agreement. It is an important natural environment conservation area where wild species of animals and plants live. On the other hand, the development pressure on the DMZ will increase when the inter-Korean economic cooperation is activated in the future. As a result, DMZ development should consider not only the economic cost-benefit aspects, but also how to assess and conserve the biodiversity of the DMZ, as well as the recovery costs and budget. This paper develope a sustainable DMZ management model under biodiversity uncertainly by using real option approach. The model is also designed to reflect the political risk and regional specificity of the DMZ. Through empirical analysis, I derive the biodiversity threshold (b*) that can secure the DMZ investment economy under uncertainty. In addition, through the sensitivity analysis, I derive the factors influencing the biodiversity threshold, and suggest the policy implications for sustainable management of DMZ.

A Study on the Scale Effort Estimation Model based on Industry Characteristics (산업별 특성에 따른 소요공수 규모 산정 모델 연구)

  • Kwoak, Song-Hae;Park, Koo-Rack;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.233-240
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    • 2016
  • Information system development projects, have a mechanism for many of the costs generated by a variety of risk factors. In general, the probability that the software project of the information system is carried out successfully in the delivery time is very low. This prediction of a formal cost is needed as the most important factor since it can prevent the project from being failed. However, objectivity of most of the project scale calculation during the calculation criteria is insufficient. Further, it is the actual situation that the management of the base line is not properly made during the project. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a model to calculate the number of steps it takes to develop on the basis of a methodology in an attempt to overcome the limitation of being unpractical in the early stage of the information system development project. It is expected to be a tool to estimate the effort and cost required by the information system development business through these convergence proposals model.

Probabilistic Applications for Estimating and Managing Project Contingency (확률이론을 이용한 프로젝트 예비비 산정 및 관리)

  • Lee Man-Hee;Yoo Wi-Sung;Lee Hak-ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.224-227
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    • 2004
  • As a project progresses, it is well known that construction manager has to define the contingency for the expected project cost, which is used as a buffer for uncertainty. In this study, we mention uncertainty as the amount of likelihood that is difficult or impossible to predict project cost. From the completed work package, we obtain the true cost value, and this information is technically good data for estimating the realistic contingency of work packages to be accomplished. Based upon this historical information, construction manager recomputes the contingency for the remaining works. Conditional probability theory is often useful for re-estimating one of the remaining project progress as the true cost of the completed works can be different from the planned cost. As a project is progressing, true value is really important to predict the realistic project budget and to decrease the uncertainty. In this study, we gave applied conditional probability theory to estimating project contingency supposing a project that consists of fire work packages, provide the fundamental framework for setting and controlling project contingency.

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The Study on the System to Estimate the Cost by Using Regression in the Early Stage of the Project (공사 초기단계에서의 회귀분석을 이용한 최종공사비(EAC) 추정 방법)

  • Lee, Youn-Mi;Lee, Man-Hee;Lee, Hak-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.274-277
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    • 2006
  • The EAC(Estimate at Completion) among existing methods, which estimate cost and time effectively, help managers anticipate changeable several results at the point of $15{\sim}30%$ in the project progress. However, this method may cause such some problems as not to consider the periodically changing circumstances caused by construction risks or uncertainties which can affect the cost and time in the project, and to regard collected and accumulated data only as a single value when predicting the results on the progress. Accordingly, it is very difficult to accept the even small range of variability based on the anticipation of EAC. Consequently, the study focuses on the possibility methodology to anticipate time and cost accurately on the way to utilize EVMS(Earned Value Management System), and also suggest the way to perform the right estimation of EAC as considering various risks and uncertainties in construction projects.

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Developing Measurement System for Key Performance Indicators on Building Construction Projects (건설 프로젝트 효율적 성과관리를 위한 핵심 지표 체계 구축)

  • Cha, Hee-Sung;Kim, Tae-Kyoung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.120-130
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    • 2008
  • In construction industry, project performance should be evaluated in terms of project value objectives, i.e., cost, time, quality, safety, and environment. However, there have been few, if any, systematic approaches in assessing comprehensive performance level which encompasses the whole spectrum of project value objectives. It is non trivial to establish the standardized performance metric system due to the project individualities. This study provides a new approach in assessing the wide variety of project performance types by collecting the real industry project data. In addition, the proposed system has been validated through industry survey on project practitioners. It is concluded that the developed quantitative project performance measurement system would be effectively useful in indicating the level of current status of a particular project and furthermore, to provide a meaningful strategy for the future project in a more sustainable way.

Development of an Algorithm for Intellectual Control System of Desalination Plants (해수담수화시설의 지능적 운영을 위한 알고리즘 개발)

  • Park, Hyunki;Lee, Dongseop;Han, Kukheon;Kim, Jaeho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.522-522
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    • 2016
  • 우리나라의 488개 유인도 중 강수량 부족 혹은 지하수의 수질문제 등으로 상습적 식수난을 겪고 있는 도서지역은 237개에 이르고 있다. 이들 도서지역은 생활용수를 우물, 간이상수도, 운반급수 등에 의존하고 있지만 이중 47%의 도서는 간이급수시설이 전무한 실정이다. 2015년에는 인천시 옹진군의 소청도, 대청도에 장기간 지속된 가뭄으로 식수원이 고갈되어 3일에 1시간으로 급수를 제한하였고 이로 인해 식수난 문제 외 관광산업의 소득저하 등의 문제가 발생되어 원활한 물공급문제가 해결되지 않으면 도서지역의 위기는 심각할 것으로 우려된다. 도서지역의 기본권인 먹는 물 문제를 해결하기 위해 정부 및 지자체에서는 소규모 유인도서에 해수담수화시설을 설치하여 유지관리 및 운영을 위한 인력을 배치하고 수동으로 조작하거나 단순 자동운전에 의해 운영 및 관리되고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 해수담수화시설의 안정적이고 효율적인 운영을 위해 지능적 수운영 알고리즘을 개발하였다. 제어시스템, 감시시스템, 계측시스템 등의 ICT 기술과 연계하여 수요를 정확히 예측하고, 실시간 전력비용과 저류량, 사용량 등을 통합적으로 고려하였으며 적시정량을 생산하여 저장 및 공급하며, 목표수질과 수량을 원활하고 안정적으로 공급할 수 있도록 제어 및 감시를 통한 지능적 수운영을 목적으로 연구하였다. 데이터의 수집과 전송, 분석, 제어, 감시 활동이 유기적으로 결합되어 용수의 생산과 분배, 공급활동을 자동화함으로 운영상의 리스크를 줄여주며, 필요시 통합운영센터에서의 의사결정을 지원할 수 있도록 개발하였다. 향후, 해수담수화시설뿐이 아닌 일반 상수도 수운영에 있어서의 취수, 도수, 정수, 배수지관리, 송수, 관망관리까지 자동화된 시스템을 개발하여 지능적 운영관리가 가능하도록 알고리즘 모델 및 프로그램을 제시하고자 한다.

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EUS 도입에 따른 언더라이팅 효율극대화 방안

  • Jo, Seok-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korean life insurance medical association
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    • v.24
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    • pp.79-96
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    • 2005
  • 1. 연구배경과 문제제기 - 보험시장의 환경변화 : 보험업법 개정, 방카슈랑스 도입, 고(高)보장성 생존급부(CI, LTC)상품의 등장, 통신판매 전문보험회사의 설립 허용 - 현행 언더라이팅 시스템의 문제점 : 위험난이도와 판매 채널별 특성이 고려되지 않고 언더라이터에 전건 배정 되어 업무의 효율성이 낮음 - 보험시장의 환경변화에 맞는 EUS(Expert Underwriting System) 도입으로 언더라이팅의 효율성을 증대하고자함 2. 국내/외 생보사 언더라이팅 시스템 현황 비교 및 개선방안 - 국내 언더라이팅 시스템 현황 : 청약서 입력/스캔 후 진단 및 적부 유무(有無)에 따라 자동으로 언더라이터에게 심사가 배정됨 - 미국 언더라이팅 시스템 현황 : EUS에 의한 1차 전산승낙여부 결정 후(後)언더라이터에게 심사가 배정됨 - 위험난이도의 고저(高低)와 관계없이 언더라이터에 배정되는 심사시스템의 문제점을 극복하고 체계적인 위험평가를 위해 EUS도입이 필요함 3. EUS 선행요건 - 고객정보의 확보 - 국내 생보사의 고객정보 수집원 : 청약서, 모집인 보고서, 건강진단서,적부조사, 보험사고정보조회시스템 (ICPS), 고액보험 및 상해보험 중복가입자에 대한 정보 교환제도 - 북미 생보사의 고객정보 수집원 : 청약서, 모집인 보고서, 의사소견서 및 진료기록서, 건강검진, 적부조사, 정보교환제도( 북미보험사간 의료정보 공유-MIB) - 정확한 고객정보의 확보방안 : 법률/제도의 정비, 청약서 질문 내용의 세분화, 의료정보교환제도의 구축 4. EUS 개요 및 현황 - EUS의 정의: 고객의 정보를 입력하여 청약부터 보험증권 발행 단계까지 One-Stop 서비스를 제공하는 것으로 언더라이터가 청약서를 가지고 언더라이팅 하는 것과 동일한 업무를 할 수 있는 전문가 시스템 - EUS의 장점: (1) 비용절감 및 인력의 효율적 활용 (2) 업무별 시스템화 되는 조직속성에 적합함. (3) 언더라이팅 정책이 경영 환경 변화에 대처하는데 신속함 - 국외 EUS 현황 (예: Cologne Re) 및 사례연구 5. 위험분류 및 EUS 개요현황 (언더라이팅 시스템 도입) - 위험관리 선행요건으로 위험요소별 분류가 체계적으로 수립되어야 함. - 데이터웨어하우스 (의사결정을 목적으로 설계된 조회와 분석이 가능한 통합된 정보저장소) 시스템 사용 - EUS 도입을 통한 언더라이팅 프로세스: 데이터마이닝 과정을 통해 "자동승낙, 언더라이터에게 심사배정, 적부의뢰, 진단의뢰, 텔레 언더라이터, 보완지시"등이 결정됨. 6. 판매채널별 EUS 활용방안 - 대면채널: 효용성 높은 정보제공과 정확한 위험분석이 가능한 시스템으로 고(高)보장, 고(高)위험 상품에 대해 언더라이터가 집중 심사 할 수 있게 함. - 방카슈랑스: 3S(간결, 신속, 서비스)의 특성에 맞는 전과정 무인자동심사시스템 - 비대면채널: 판매상품과 타겟시장을 명확히 한 후 도덕적 위험과 재무적 위험에 대한 평가시스템 및 의사결정 시스템을 도입 7. 결론 - EUS 도입의 기대효과 (1) 심사기일의 단축으로 고객만족 실현 (2) 체계적 과학적 리스크 관리로 위험률차익 증대에 기여 (3) 업무효율의 증대와 언더라이터의 역량강화 (4) CRM 활용증대와 모바일 청약시스템 구축의 근간 - EUS 도입시 경제적 법률적 제도적 문제 극복과 생보 업계 공동의 관심과 노력이 필요함 - EUS를 활용하여 종합적.체계적 리스크 관리가 가능한 금융회사로의 경쟁력 향상에 기여함.

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A study on reliability analysis model of the repair and replacement cycle of a building which utilizes Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용한 건축물 수선교체주기 신뢰성 분석 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Rok;Jung, Young-Han;Son, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2010
  • This study presented a model that can enable a reliability analysis for the repair and replacement cycle of a building by using background repair and replacement data and expert opinion as foundation data and applying Monte Carlo Simulation. The presented model offers the time of the repair and replacement of building elements for the period of a year, and supports the prediction of repair and replacement and expenses demand in advance while planning the maintenance of a building. In addition, the model will significantly reduce the risks to the building owner with regard to maintenance decisions. In addition, when a person in charge of the maintenance of large-scale building assets is having difficulties making decisions regarding the repair and replacement of existing building elements due to a lack of background data to support a long-term policy on the repair and replacement requirements, an engineering solution that can ensure the adequacy of this is provided. In summary, it can be largely divided into three study results. First, a method of estimating the repair and replacement cycle that can deal with the development of a construction system was developed. Second, a probabilistic methodology that can quantify the risk of the repair and replacement cycle was proposed. Third, the proposed model can be used as a means of supporting designer and constructor in making decisions for the life cycle plan of a building during a construction project.