• 제목/요약/키워드: 붓스트랩

검색결과 119건 처리시간 0.021초

Generation of Simulation Input Data Using Threshold Bootstrap (임계값 붓스트랩을 사용한 입력 시나리오의 생성)

  • Kim Yun-Bae;Kim Jae-Bum;Ko Jong-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 2003년도 춘계공동학술대회
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    • pp.1179-1185
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    • 2003
  • 시뮬레이션 상의 입력모델에 대한 기존의 연구는 과거의 자료를 바탕으로 선형의 모수적인 (parametric) 모형을 개발하는데 초점을 두고 있다. 그러나 이 경우에는 입력이 매우 복잡한 형태를 가지면 모수적인 모형을 잦는 것이 불가능해지므로 비모수적인(non-parametric) 접근방법이 절실한 실정이다 예로 인터넷 트래픽 모델의 시뮬레이션 수행시 입력으로 제공되는 단위 시간당 요구되는 웹 페이지의 수 같은 경우 데이터들 간데 종속관계가 매우 심하고 복잡하여 모수적 모형을 세우는데 어려움이 있다. 이러한 시스템들을 시뮬레이션 방법으로 분석 하고자 할 때, 기존의 trace-driven 시뮬레이션 방법이나 모수적 모형을 찾아 다수의 사실적인 시뮬레이션 입력 자료를 확보하는 것은 현실적으로 어려움이 있다. 따라서. 비모수적인 방법으로 다수의 사실적인 시뮬레이션 입력 자료를 생성하는 것이 필요하다. 이러한 비모수적인 방법에 대한 평가기준 설정은 시뮬레이션 상의 입력 모델에 대한 타당성을 제시한다는 점에서 또한 매우 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 붓트스트 랩의 방법중의 하나인 임계값 붓트스트랩을 이용하여 시뮬레이션 입력 자료 생성 방법을 개발하였고 Turing test를 통해 붓스트랩으로 생성산 입력 시나리오를 검증하였다.

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Confidence Intervals for High Quantiles of Heavy-Tailed Distributions (꼬리가 두꺼운 분포의 고분위수에 대한 신뢰구간)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.461-473
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    • 2014
  • We consider condence intervals for high quantiles of heavy-tailed distribution. The asymptotic condence intervals based on the limiting distribution of estimators are considered together with bootstrap condence intervals. We can also apply a non-parametric, parametric and semi-parametric approach to each of these two kinds of condence intervals. We considered 11 condence intervals and compared their performance in actual coverage probability and the length of condence intervals. Simulation study shows that two condence intervals (the semi-parametric asymptotic condence interval and the semi-parametric bootstrap condence interval using pivotal quantity) are relatively more stable under the criterion of actual coverage probability.

Prediction of Conditional Variance under GARCH Model Based on Bootstrap Methods (붓스트랩 방법을 이용한 일반화 자기회귀 조건부 이분산모형에서의 조건부 분산 예측)

  • Kim, Hee-Young;Park, Man-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.287-297
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    • 2009
  • In terms of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic(GARCH) model, estimation of prediction interval based on likelihood is quite sensitive to distribution of error. Moveover, it is not an easy job to construct prediction interval for conditional variance. Recent studies show that the bootstrap method can be one of the alternatives for solving the problems. In this paper, we introduced the bootstrap approach proposed by Pascual et al. (2006). We employed it to Korean stock price data set.

Check for regression coefficient using jackknife and bootstrap methods in clinical data (잭나이프 및 붓스트랩 방법을 이용한 임상자료의 회귀계수 타당성 확인)

  • Sohn, Ki-Cheul;Shin, Im-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.643-648
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    • 2012
  • There are lots of analysis to determine the relation between dependent variable and explanatory variables. Often the regression analysis is used to do this, and we can analyze the how much the explanatory variable can be related with dependent variable and how much the regression model can explain the data. But the validation check of regression model is usually determined by coefficient of determination. We should check the validation of regression coefficient with different methods. This paper introduces the method for validation check the regression coefficient using the jackknife regression and bootstrap regression in clinical data.

Asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH(1, 1) models: parametric bootstrap to evaluate forecasting performance (비대칭-비정상 변동성 모형 평가를 위한 모수적-붓스트랩)

  • Choi, Sun Woo;Yoon, Jae Eun;Lee, Sung Duck;Hwang, Sun Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2021
  • With a wide recognition that financial time series typically exhibits asymmetry patterns in volatility so called leverage effects, various asymmetric GARCH(1, 1) processes have been introduced to investigate asymmetric volatilities. A lot of researches have also been directed to non-stationary volatilities to deal with frequent high ups and downs in financial time series. This article is concerned with both asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH-type models. As a subsequent paper of Choi et al. (2020), we review various asymmetric and non-stationary GARCH(1, 1) processes, and in turn propose how to compare competing models using a parametric bootstrap methodology. As an illustration, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is analyzed.

Bootstrap inference for covariance matrices of two independent populations (두 독립 모집단의 공분산 행렬에 대한 붓스트랩 추론)

  • 김기영;전명식
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1991
  • It is of great interest to consider the homogeniety of covariance matrices in MANOVA of discriminant analysis. If we lock at the problem of testing hypothesis, H : $\Sigma_1 = \Sigma_2$ from an invariance point of view where $\Sigma_i$ are the covariance matrix of two independent p-variate distribution, the testing problem is invariant under the group of nonsingular transformations and the hypothesis becomes H : $\delta_1 = \delta_2 = \cdots = \delta_p = 1$ where $\delta = (\delta_1, \delta_2, \cdots, \delta_p)$ is a vector of latent roots of $\Sigma$. Bias-corrected estimators of eigenvalues and sampling distribution of the test statistics proposed are obtained. Pooled-bootstrap method also considered for Bartlett's modified likelihood ratio statistics.

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A Bootstrap Test for Linear Relationship by Kernel Smoothing (희귀모형의 선형성에 대한 커널붓스트랩검정)

  • Baek, Jang-Sun;Kim, Min-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.95-103
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    • 1998
  • Azzalini and Bowman proposed the pseudo-likelihood ratio test for checking the linear relationship using kernel regression estimator when the error of the regression model follows the normal distribution. We modify their method with the bootstrap technique to construct a new test, and examine the power of our test through simulation. Our method can be applied to the case where the distribution of the error is not normal.

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Boostrap confidence interval for mean time between failures of a repairable system (수리 가능한 시스템의 평균고장간격시간에 대한 붓스트랩 신뢰구간)

  • 김대경;안미경;박동호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 1998
  • Recently, it is of great interest among engineers and reliability scientists to consider a statistical model to describe the failure times of various types of repairable systems. The main subject we deal with in this paper is the power law process which is proved to be a useful model to describe the reliability growth of the repairable system. In particular, we derive the bootstrap confidence intervals of the mean time between two successive failures of a repairable system using the time truncated data. We also compare our bootstrap confindence intervals with Crow's (1982) confidence interval.

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A Unit Root Test via a Discrete Cosine Transform (이산코사인변환을 이용한 단위근 검정)

  • Lee, Go-Un;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we introduce a unit root test via discrete cosine transform in the AR(1) process. We first investigate the statistical properties of DCT coefficients under the stationary AR(1) process and the random walk process in order to verify the validity of the proposed method. A bootstrapping approach is proposed to induce the distribution of the test statistic under the unit root. We performed simulation studies for comparing the powers of the Dickey-Fuller test and the proposed test.

Prediction Value Estimation in Transformed GARCH Models (변환된 GARCH모형에서의 예측값 추정)

  • Park, Ju-Yeon;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.971-979
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we introduce the method that reduces the bias when the transformation and back-transformation approach is applied in GARCH models. A parametric bootstrap is employed to compute the conditional expectation which is the prediction value to minimize mean square errors in the original scale. Through the analyese of returns of KOSPI and KOSDAQ, we verified that the proposed method provides a bias-reduced estimation for the prediction value.