• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분위회귀법

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Heterogeneity in the Effects of FDI on Firms' Productivity in South Korea: A Quantile Regression Approach (외국인투자가 국내기업의 생산성에 미친 효과: 분위회귀 접근법)

  • Kim, Jaehoon;Chun, Bong Geul
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.1-42
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    • 2014
  • This study analyzes how heterogeneous across firms' productivity level the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the productivity of firms in a host country are. The study uses firm level data over 2000~2009 in South Korea and takes a quantile regression approach to estimate FDI's heterogeneous effects on the invested firm ('direct effects') and other domestic firms in the industry to which the invested firm belongs ('intra-industry spillover effects'). Major empirical results are as follows. In manufacturing sector, FDI has positive and statistically significant direct effects on the invested firm. In addition, the higher the quantiles of firms' productivity level are, the larger the positive productivity effects are. FDI also has positive and statistically significant intra-industry spillover effects on domestic firms in low quantiles of productivity while it has negative and statistically significant or insignificant spillover effects on those in high productivity quantiles. In service sector, on the other hand, Sufficient evidence is not found that FDI has statistically significant direct effects or intra-industry spillover effects. Taken together, the study suggests that FDI has heterogeneous effects on the productivity of firms in host country, depending on the firms' productivity level and sector.

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The Earnings Effect of Inter-Industry Technology Differences : A Comparison of the Self-Employed and Wage Earners (산업간 기술격차가 근로소득에 미치는 영향: 자영업과 임금근로의 비교)

  • Choi, Kang-Shik;Jung, Jin Hwa
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.135-164
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    • 2010
  • This paper compares the earnings effect of inter-industry technology differences between the self-employed and wage earners. It is assumed that primary skills utilized by the self-employed and paid workers differ in nature, and thus the earnings effect of technology differences and its skill-biasness also differ for each type of workers. For the empirical analysis. Heckman's two-stage method and quantile regressions are fitted to Korean panel data. The earnings effect of technology differences turns skill- biased for wage earners (job-specific skills), but prevails for all self-employed workers (entrepreneurial skills) regardless of their schooling level. This sectoral difference holds for each different quantile of earnings distribution.

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Bayesian quantile regression analysis of private education expenses for high scool students in Korea (일반계 고등학생 사교육비 지출에 대한 베이지안 분위회귀모형 분석)

  • Oh, Hyun Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1457-1469
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    • 2017
  • Private education expenses is one of the key issues in Korea and there have been many discussions about it. Academically, most of previous researches for private education expenses have used multiple regression linear model based on ordinary least squares (OLS) method. However, if the data do not satisfy the basic assumptions of the OLS method such as the normality and homoscedasticity, there is a problem with the reliability of estimations of parameters. In this case, quantile regression model is preferred to OLS model since it does not depend on the assumptions of nonnormality and heteroscedasticity for the data. In the present study, the data from a survey on private education expenses, conducted by Statistics Korea in 2015 has been analyzed for investigation of the impacting factors for private education expenses. Since the data do not satisfy the OLS assumptions, quantile regression model has been employed in Bayesian approach by using gibbs sampling method. The analysis results show that the gender of the student, parent's age, and the time and cost of participating after school are not significant. Household income is positively significant in proportion to the same size for all levels (quantiles) of private education expenses. Spending on private education in Seoul is higher than other regions and the regional difference grows as private education expenditure increases. Total time for private education and student's achievement have positive effect on the lower quantiles than the higher quantiles. Education level of father is positively significant for midium-high quantiles only, but education level of mother is for all but low quantiles. Participating after school is positively significant for the lower quantiles but EBS textbook cost is positively significant for the higher quantiles.

Stepwise Estimation for Multiple Non-Crossing Quantile Regression using Kernel Constraints (커널 제약식을 이용한 다중 비교차 분위수 함수의 순차적 추정법)

  • Bang, Sungwan;Jhun, Myoungshic;Cho, HyungJun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.915-922
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    • 2013
  • Quantile regression can estimate multiple conditional quantile functions of the response, and as a result, it provide comprehensive information of the relationship between the response and the predictors. However, when estimating several conditional quantile functions separately, two or more estimated quantile functions may cross or overlap and consequently violate the basic properties of quantiles. In this paper, we propose a new stepwise method to estimate multiple non-crossing quantile functions using constraints on the kernel coefficients. A simulation study are presented to demonstrate satisfactory performance of the proposed method.

A comparison study of multiple linear quantile regression using non-crossing constraints (비교차 제약식을 이용한 다중 선형 분위수 회귀모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Bang, Sungwan;Shin, Seung Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.773-786
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    • 2016
  • Multiple quantile regression that simultaneously estimate several conditional quantiles of response given covariates can provide a comprehensive information about the relationship between the response and covariates. Some quantile estimates can cross if conditional quantiles are separately estimated; however, this violates the definition of the quantile. To tackle this issue, multiple quantile regression with non-crossing constraints have been developed. In this paper, we carry out a comparison study on several popular methods for non-crossing multiple linear quantile regression to provide practical guidance on its application.

Logistic regression analysis for Critical Rainfall Estimation (한계강우량 산정을 위한 로지스틱 회귀분석)

  • Lee, Changhyun;Lee, Kangwon;Keum, Hojun;Kim, Byunghyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.232-232
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    • 2022
  • 1차원 관망해석모형과 2차원 지표면범람 해석모형을 이용한 도시지역의 실시간 홍수예·경보시스템 구축은 모형의 모의에 많은 시간이 소요되므로 한계가 있다. 또한, 연구유역에서 시나리오 강우에 대해 침수를 유발시키는 한계강우량을 1-2차원 모형의 시행착오법을 적용한 반복적인 수행을 통해 산정하는 것은 비효율적인 방법이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 이에 대한 해결책으로 로지스틱 회귀를 이용하여 배수분구별 침수 발생기준 강우량을 산정하고자 한다. 침수 발생 한계강우량 산정을 배수분구 단위로 제시하기 위하여 로지스틱 회귀분석을 이용하였다. 풍수해저감종합계획(2015)과 침수흔적도를 이용하여 배수분구 별 침수이력에 대한 데이터베이스를 구축하고, 이를 1-2차원 수리해석을 통한 침수심과 함께 로지스틱 회귀모형에 학습하였다. 지속시간 1시간, 10mm 강우부터 500년 빈도의 Huff 3분위 시나리오 17개를 사용하여 확률강우량을 산정하였고, 이를 1-2차원 수리해석을 위한 입력자료로 사용하였다. EPA-SWMM을 통한 1차원 도시유출해석과 FLO-2D를 통한 2차원 침수해석에서 20cm 이상의 침수심이 발생하거나 지상관측자료, 침수흔적도 및 풍수해저감종합계획에서 실제 침수가 발생했을 경우를 1, 그렇지 않은 경우를 0으로 하여 데이터베이스를 구축하여 로지스틱 회귀모형에 학습시켜 침수 발생 한계강우량을 산정하였다. 로지스틱 회귀분석을 통해 서울시 지역의 배수분구별 한계강우량을 산정할 수 있으며, 지속적으로 관측되는 강우 및 침수 발생 유무 자료를 추가함으로써 산정된 침수 한계강우량을 상회하는 강우 사상이 나타났을 시에 침수 발생 유무를 확인하여 본 연구에서 제안한 방법에 대해 검증이 가능할 것으로 보인다.

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A study on estimation of agricultural water usage in river consider hydrological condition (수문상황을 고려한 하천에서의 농업용수 사용량추정 연구)

  • Kwak, Jaewon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.311-320
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    • 2021
  • The agricultural water, which occupy about 61% of total water usage in the South Korea, is significantly objective to archieve effecitive water resources management. The objective of the study is to suggest a simple method in actual practice that could be used to estimate agricultural water usage in river considering hydrological condition. Historical record of agricultural water usage and runoff, which take account for hydrological condition of the basin, were obtained for totally 27 river basins. As the result, the high threshold value of the agricultural water usage rates compared to maximum usage amount has a particular correlations to the percent of normal year runoff for last 2 month, and threshold line of agricultural water usage rates was derived using the quantile regressions. Finally, two dimensionless threshold line and empirical formulas that described the correlation between the percent of normal year runoff for last 2 month and the agricultural water usage rate compared to maximum usage amount were derived. Also, the simple criteria to select which line and formula based on the characteristics of the basins was suggested but it need further studies. The result of the study could be used as an elemantary data in actual practice for water resoureces management.

Predictors of Self-care Behaviors among Elderly with Hypertension using Quantile Regression Method (분위회귀분석법을 이용한 노인 고혈압 환자의 자가간호에 따른 분위별 영향 요인)

  • Lee, Eun Ju;Park, Euna
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.273-282
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The objective of this study was to identify the predictors of self-care behaviors among elderly patients with hypertension using quantile regression method. Methods: A total of 253 elderly patients diagnosed with hypertension was recruited via 3 different medical clinics for the study. The quantile regression and a liner regression was conducted using Stata 12.0 program by analyzing predictors of self-care behaviors. Results: In the ordinary least square, self-efficacy, period of disease, and education level explained 42% of the variance in self-care activities. In the quantile regression, affecting predictors of self-care behaviors were self-efficacy for all quantiles, the period of disease for from 60% quantile to 90% quantile, education level for 20%, 30%, and 50% quantiles, economic status for 10%, 50%, and 60% quantiles, age for 10%, 70% quantiles, fatigue for 10% quantile, knowledge about hypertension for 10% and 20% quantiles, and depression for 30% and 40% quantiles. Conclusion: The affecting predictors of self-care behaviors among elderly with hypertension were different from the level of self-care behaviors. These results indicated the significance in assessing predictors according to the level of self-care behaviors when clinical nurses examine the patients' health behaviors and plan any intervention strategies. Specially, education level and knowledge about hypertension were the significant predictors of self-care activities for low quantiles. Clinical nurses may promote self-care activities of the given population though health education programs.

Productivity Effect of Firms' External R&D and the Moderating Effect of Firm Size (기업 외부 연구개발투자의 생산성효과와 기업규모의 조절효과)

  • Kim, Kyung-ho;Jung, Jin Hwa
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.1077-1100
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    • 2018
  • The present study analyzed the effect of firms' external research and development (R&D) on corporate productivity, while investigating the moderating effect of firm size on the external R&D-productivity nexus. In the empirical analysis, we estimated South Korean manufacturing firms' total factor productivity (TFP) using the firm level data drawn from the Survey of Business Activities (Korea National Statistical Office) for the years 2006-2015. Thereafter, focusing on the role of external R&D and its interaction with the firm size in determining firms' TFP, the productivity function was estimated as well. To this end, we used ordinary least squares (OLS) and quantile regression to highlight the heterogeneous impacts of external R&D by companies' productivity level. Empirical results confirmed that firms' external R&D significantly enhanced corporate productivity in all manufacturing industries, from high-tech to low-tech. The moderating effect of firm size in determining the productivity effect of external R&D was not as prominent as in the case for internal R&D, which exhibited some degree of the size premium in the productivity-enhancing effect. These results suggest that regardless of the firm size, external R&D can be an important channel for corporate productivity improvement, and can be a particularly effective strategy for SMEs with relatively limited internal R&D capacities.

Leukocyte count and hypertension in the health screening data of some rural and urban residents (일부 농촌과 도시의 건강선별조사 자료로 본 백혈구수와 고혈압과의 관계)

  • Lee, Choong-Won;Yoon, Nung-Ki;Lee, Sung-Kwan
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.24 no.3 s.35
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 1991
  • We used the health screening data of some rural and urban residents to examine the cross-sectional association between leukocyte count and hypertension. The 206 male and 203 female rural residents were selected by multi-stage cluster sampling method in Kyungsan-Kun area of Kyungbuk province in 1985 and 600 urban residents were selected by the same sampling method as the rural residents in Daegu city of the same province in 1986 compatible with age-sex distribution of Daegu city of 1985 census, but of whom 384 actually responded. The rest of 600 were replaced by age and sex with those who were members of the medical insurance plan visiting the health management department of the university hospital to get the biannual preventive medical checkups. Excluded in the analysis were those having hypertensive history, diseases and extreme outlying values of the screening tests, leaving 373 rural and 571 urban residents. Leukocyte count was measured with ELT-8 Laser shadow method and the unit $cells/mm^3$, Blood pressures were determined with an aneroid sphygmomanometer with pre-standardized method and hypertensives were defined as those showing systolic blood pressure more than 140mmHg and/or diastolic blood pressure more than 90mmHg. Total residents pooled (N=944) showed a significant difference between hypertensives and normotensives ($6965.93{\pm}1997.01\;vs\;6490.61{\pm}1941.32,\;P=0.00$) and in rural residents was noted the similar significant difference (P=0.03). None of significant differences were noted in any stratum stratified by residency and sex. Compared to the lowest quintile of WBC, 2/5 quintile showed odds ratio 0.99 (95% Confidence interval, Ci 0.62-1.59), 3/5 quintile 1.41 (95% CI 0.90-2.21), 4/5 quintile 1.76 (95% CI. 1.14-2.72), and highest quintile 1.80 (1.15-2.82) in the total residents. Likelihood ratio test for linear trend for it indicated a significant trend ($X^2_{trend}=5.53,\;df=1,\;P<0.05$). There were no other significant odds ratios compared to the lowest quintile of WBC in strata stratified by residency and sex. The odds ratios in total residents which had showed significant odds ratios became nonsignificant and of reduced magnitude after controlling age, frequency of smoking and drinking with multiple logistic. regression. In each stratum, it changed magnitudes of odds ratios slightly and unstably. None of the trend tests showed any significant trend. These results suggest that the Friedman et al's finding of association between leukocyte count and hypertension may be due to an statistical type I error resulting from the data dredging in an exploratory study, in which more than 800 variables were screened as possible predictors of hypertension.

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