• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변화할당모형

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Analysis on Price Driver of Spread and Different Patterns of EUA and sCER (탄소배출권 EUA와 sCER의 가격 차이 패턴 및 스프레드(Spread) 결정 요인 분석)

  • Park, Soonchul;Cho, Yongsung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.759-784
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    • 2013
  • Participants can use the allowances and offsets for implementing the compliance in the Emissions Trading Scheme(ETS). There are alternative commodities which are different prices it gives the opportunities to reduce the compliance costs and get the arbitrage. This study analyzes the price driver of spread which is the difference between EUA and sCER using AR-GARCH model, EUA and CER during the Phase 2 in EU ETS. The results show that there are common elements which impacts the EUA and sCER and also different elements between them. EUA and sCER get the effects from energy price and economic criteria such as coal price and financial crisis as common elements. However them get the effects from electric price, policy criteria such as restricted CERs and difference price between EUA and ERU price as different elements. The results shows that spread will be widen if energy price increase, especially oil and electric price give more impacts the spreads. This study has the means that it explains the reason why the spreads will broaden sharply in 2012. And it also suggests the price driver of spread during the whole period of Phase 2. In addition, this study shows that political aspects maybe become the main criteria of price change with structural elements shch as energy price in Korea ETS which starts in 2015.

A prospective clinical trial to compare the performance of four initial orthodontic archwires (교정치료 초기에 사용되는 4가지 호선의 초기 치료효과를 비교하기 위한 전향적 임상 실험 연구)

  • Quintao, Catia C. A.;Jones, Malcoim L.;Menezes, Luciane M.;Koo, Daniel;Elias, Carlos N.
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.35 no.5 s.112
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    • pp.381-387
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    • 2005
  • The aim of this study was to compare the clinical performance of 4 types of orthodontic wires, indicated for initial tooth alignment: stainless steel, multistranded steel, superelastic and thermoactivated nickel-titanium. A prospective randomized clinical trial was conducted on a sample of 45 patients, at the Dental School of the State University of Rio do Janeiro, Brazil. Fixed appliances were fitted and study casts were obtained from each patient. Randomly, the wires were allocated as follows: 26 dental arches for superelastic NiTi wires, 22 for stainless steel, 22 for multistranded and 20 for thermoactivated archwires. After 8 weeks, the archwires were removed and impressions for study casts were taken again. Using a 3D digitization technique of defined anatomical points on the study cast crowns, a Dental Irregularity Index (DII) was created for each study cast. The difference between DII before and after the archwire insertion expressed the aligning effect of the wires. ANOVA tests were employed to evaluate the anatomical point approximation (positive DII) and separation (negative DII), for each area of the dental arches: upper and lower whole arch and anterior arch. Results showed no significant difference between the different archwires.

Allocation Problem in Door to Door Delivery Service Network (택배 운송 네트워크 설계를 위한 할당 문제)

  • 정기호;고창성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.987-993
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    • 2002
  • 최근 들어 전자상거래의 급속한 발달로 전 세계적으로 수송 물동량이 급격히 증대되고 있고, 이로 인해 택배사업이 대단히 활성화되고 있다. 출발지와 목적지가 서로 상이한 무수히 만은 수송 요구가 들어오면 수송 요구화물의 신속한 집배송을 위한 배차계획 및 수송계획을 세우는 것이 택배회사의 주요 업무이다. 이러한 배차 계획 및 수송 계획을 어떻게 수립하느냐에 따라 전체 수송비용뿐만 아니라 고객들의 서비스 수준에 상당한 영향을 미치게 된다. 그러나 이러한 운영적 차원에서의 의사결정 이전에 훨씬 중요하게 고려해야 할 내용이 택배네트워크의 설계 문제이다. 이러한 택배네트워크의 설계에는 터미널 개수 및 위치를 결정하는 전략적 문제와 영업소들을 터미널에 할당하는 전술적 문제로 구분될 수 있다. 현재 우리 국내에는 크고 작은 수많은 택배사업자들이 있으나, 그 중에서 비교적 규모가 큰 주요 택배회사들은 대부분 전국에 걸쳐 다수의 터미널을 설치하여 두고 수송화물의 집배송을 위한 물류거점으로 운영하고 있다. 이와 같은 터미널 위치 및 개수가 정해진 상태에서 전국에 걸쳐 분포되어 있는 영업소들을 어떤 터미널에 할당하여 처리되도록 하느냐의 여부는 수송비용 측면에서뿐만 아니라 고객들에 대한 서비스 측면에서 대단히 중요한 의사결정 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 비용과 시간을 고려하여 전국에 걸쳐 분포되어 있는 영업소들을 어떤 터미널에 할당해야 하는지를 결정하기 위한 수리적 모형을 제시하고, 이에 대한 탐색적 해법을 제시하며, 국내의 택배회사 사례를 대상으로 모형을 적용해 보고자 한다.무가 많이 발생하는 유통 분야의 프랜차이즈 산업을 대상으로 기업정보시스템 구현 및 경쟁력 강화를 뒷받침하기 위해서, 기업간 프로세스 협업(collaboration) 부분의 데이터 및 서식, 이를 취급하는 기능과 프로세스에 대란 분석을 통해 업무 프로세스 모델링 방법론과 관련한 모델링 지침 및 메타모델을 이용한 표준 업무 프로세스 모델을 개발하여 기업간 업무 프로세스 표준화에 대한 체계적인 관리에 대한 방안을 연구하고자 한다.의Bullwhip effect를 감소시킬 수 있는 장점이 있다. 동시에 이것은 향후 e-Business 시스템 구축을 위한 기본 인프라 역할을 수행할 수 있게 된다. 많았고 년도에 따른 변화는 보이지 않았다. 스키손상의 발생빈도는 초기에 비하여 점차 감소하는 경향을 보였으며, 손상의 특성도 부위별, 연령별로 다양한 변화를 나타내었다.해가능성을 가진 균이 상당수 검출되므로 원료의 수송, 김치의 제조 및 유통과정에서 병원균에 대한 오염방지에 유의하여야 할 것이다. 확인할 수 있었다. 이상의 결과에 의하면 고농도의 유기물이 함유된 음식물쓰레기는 Hybrid Anaerobic Reactor (HAR)를 이용하여 HRT 30일 정도에서 충분히 직접 혐기성처리가 가능하며, 이때 발생된 $CH_{4}$를 회수하여 이용하면 대체에너지원으로 활용 가치가 높은 것으로 판단된다./207), $99.2\%$(238/240), $98.5\%$(133/135) 및 $100\%$ (313)였다. 각

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Random Forest Method and Simulation-based Effect Analysis for Real-time Target Re-designation in Missile Flight (유도탄의 실시간 표적 재지정을 위한 랜덤 포레스트 기법과 시뮬레이션 기반 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Han-Kang;Jang, Jae-Yeon;Ahn, Jae-Min;Kim, Chang-Ouk
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2018
  • The study of air defense against North Korean tactical ballistic missiles (TBM) should consider the rapidly changing battlefield environment. The study for target re-designation for intercept missiles enables effective operation of friendly defensive assets as well as responses to dynamic battlefield. The researches that have been conducted so far do not represent real-time dynamic battlefield situation because the hit probability for the TBM, which plays an important role in the decision making process, is fixed. Therefore, this study proposes a target re-designation algorithm that makes decision based on hit probability which considers real-time field environment. The proposed method contains a trajectory prediction model that predicts the expected trajectory of the TBM from the current position and velocity information by using random forest and moving window. The predicted hit probability can be calculated through the trajectory prediction model and the simulator of the intercept missile, and the calculated hit probability becomes the decision criterion of the target re-designation algorithm for the missile. In the experiment, the validity of the methodology used in the TBM trajectory prediction model was verified and the superiority of using the hit probability through the proposed model in the target re-designation decision making process was validated.

Choosing clusters for two-stage household surveys (가구조사를 위한 이단추출 표본설계에서의 집락선택)

  • Park, Inho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2016
  • Two-stage sample designs are commonly used for household surveys in Korea using as clusters the enumeration districts (EDs). Since clustering decomposes the population variation into within- and between-cluster variations, the sample sizes allocated in stages can affect the overall precision. Alternative clusters are often considered due to diverse reasons such as the EDs' limitation in size, being out-of-date, and in-assessibility to their household lists. In addition, the EDs are currently under development by the Statistics Korea as an joint effort toward their transition from the traditional practice to the register census from 2015. We present an approach for evaluating the difference in the precision of the mean estimators of the sets of the cluster units in between a hierachical and nested form, where the design effect is used to reflect the effect of the clustering and the sample allocation. We also demonstrate our approach using the U.S. Census counts from the year 2000 for Anne Arundel County in Maryland. Our research shows that the within-cluster variance can be significantly different for survey variables and thus the choice of cluster units and the associated sample allocation scheme should reflect the corresponding variance decomposition due to clustering.

Topic Modeling on Fine Dust Issues Using LDA Analysis (LDA 기법을 이용한 미세먼지 이슈의 토픽모델링 분석)

  • Yoon, soonuk;Kim, Minchul
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the last 10 years of news data on fine dust was collected and 80 topics are selected through LDA analysis. As a result, weather-related information made up the main words for the topic, and we can see that fine dust becomes a big issue below 10 degrees Celsius. The frequency of exposure to the media and the maximum concentration of fine dust are correlated with positive. Topics related to fine dust reduction measures and the government's comprehensive measures over the past decade, topics related to products such as air purifiers related to fine dust, topics related to policies protecting vulnerable people from fine dust, and topics on fine dust reduction through R&D were found to be major topics. Measures against fine dust as a social issue can be seen to be closely related to the government's policy.

Development and Effects of Sexuality Education Program for Men with Spinal Cord Injury (남성 척수손상 장애인을 위한 성교육 프로그램 개발 및 효과)

  • Kim, Sun-Houng;Han, Suk-Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.327-340
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    • 2021
  • This is nonequivalent control group pretest-posttest quasi-experimental study to develop a sexual education program for improving sexual confidence of men with spinal cord injury disabled and assess the effect of the program. The program was based on Dick & Carey's systematic design of instruction, literature review, focus group, in-depth interview, expert meeting, and preliminary study and formative evaluation. Subjects were conveniently assigned to experimental group of 30 and control group of 29, and the program was provided to experimental group once a week for 90~120 minutes, 3 sessions total. Sexual knowledge, attitude, and marriage intention were measured before, after, and after 4 weeks of intervention, and there was a significant difference in sexual knowledge(p<.001) and attitude(p=.020). The program positively changed sexual knowledge and attitude of men with spinal cord injury, and was useful nursing intervention. This study is considered to be significant as a basic data for social awareness ventilation and health education for the disabled.

An Assessment of Coastal Area Using Geographic Information Systems and Multi-Criteria Analysis (지리정보시스템(GIS)과 다기준 분석법(MCA)을 적용한 연안지역 평가)

  • Choi, Hee-Jung;Park, Jung-Jae;Hwang, Chul-Sue
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.143-155
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    • 2007
  • There are many conflicts or interests among various stakeholders on the development of the coastal area. The integrated methodology, which is reflective of physical conditions, socio-economic circumstances, and people's sense of values, is thus needed to solve the problems. In this study, geographical information systems(GIS) and analytic hierarchy process(AHP) that arc one of multi-criteria analysis methodologies are loosely coupled to develop better analytic procedures for coastal assessment. Socio-economic and environmental parameters of the study area, Hampyung Bay area, are converted to a GIS system-applicable format, while AHP is used to assess the relative importance level of each parameter by calculating weighting factors. After standardizing and rasterizing spatial data from various sources. the weighting factors are applied to produce the layers for each parameter. Map algebra and overlay analyses are used to create the final layer according to the decision making logic or model proposed here. Cell values of that layer could be considered as spatial alternatives. In addition to this finding, the flexibility with the weighing factors enable decision-makers to understand the procedures and alternatives in relevance with selective strategies for coastal management.

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