• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.137-146
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• 2005

Neural network is one of the most notable technique. It usually provides more powerful forecasting models than the traditional time series techniques. Employing the Ensemble technique in forecasting model, one should provide a initial distribution. Usually the uniform distribution is assumed so that the initialization is noninformative. However, it would be expected a sequential informative initialization based on data rather than the uniform initialization gives further reduction in forecasting error. In this note, a modified Ensemble algorithm using sequential initial probability is developed. The sequential distribution is designed to have much weight on the recent data.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.39 no.4
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• pp.5-17
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• 2023

The advancement in large-scale underground excavation in urban areas necessitates monitoring and predicting technologies that can pre-emptively mitigate risk factors at construction sites. Traditionally, two methods predict the deformation of retaining walls induced by excavation: empirical and numerical analysis. Recent progress in artificial intelligence technology has led to the development of a predictive model using machine learning techniques. This study developed a model for predicting the deformation of a retaining wall under construction using a boosting-based algorithm and an ensemble model with outstanding predictive power and efficiency. A database was established using the data from the design-construction-maintenance process of the underground retaining wall project in a manifold manner. Based on these data, a learning model was created, and the performance was evaluated. The boosting and ensemble models demonstrated that wall deformation could be accurately predicted. In addition, it was confirmed that prediction results with the characteristics of the actual construction process can be presented using data collected from ground measurements. The predictive model developed in this study is expected to be used to evaluate and monitor the stability of retaining walls under construction.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.31 no.8
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• pp.826-832
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• 2007

Fully flexible cell preserves Hamiltonian in structure so that the symplectic time integrator is applicable to the equations of motion. In the direct formulation of fully flexible cell N-Sigma-T ensemble, a generalized leapfrog time integration (GLF) is applicable for fully flexible cell simulation, but the equations of motion by GLF has structure of implicit algorithm. In this paper, the time integration formula is derived for the fully flexible cell molecular dynamics simulation by using the splitting time integration. It separates flexible cell Hamiltonian into terms corresponding to each of Hamiltonian term. Thus the simple and completely explicit recursion formula was obtained. We compare the performance and the result of present splitting time integration with those of the implicit generalized leapfrog time integration.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.691-708
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• 2022

As the technology of machine learning and deep learning became common, it began to be applied to research on anomaly(abnormal) detection of industrial control systems. In Korea, the HAI dataset was developed and published to activate artificial intelligence research for abnormal detection of industrial control systems, and an AI contest for detecting industrial control system security threats is being conducted. Most of the anomaly detection studies have been to create a learning model with improved performance through the ensemble model method, which is applied either by modifying the existing deep learning algorithm or by applying it together with other algorithms. In this study, a study was conducted to improve the performance of anomaly detection with a post-processing method that detects abnormal data and corrects the labeling results, rather than the learning algorithm and data pre-processing process. Results It was confirmed that the results were improved by about 10% or more compared to the anomaly detection performance of the existing model.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.80-98
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• 2023

This study explores the effectiveness of various data preprocessing algorithms for improving subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) climate predictions from six climate forecast models and their Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) using a deep learning-based postprocessing model. A pipeline of data transformation algorithms was constructed to convert raw S2S prediction data into the training data processed with several statistical distribution. A dimensionality reduction algorithm for selecting features through rankings of correlation coefficients between the observed and the input data. The training model in the study was designed with TimeDistributed wrapper applied to all convolutional layers of U-Net: The TimeDistributed wrapper allows a U-Net convolutional layer to be directly applied to 5-dimensional time series data while maintaining the time axis of data, but every input should be at least 3D in U-Net. We found that Robust and Standard transformation algorithms are most suitable for improving S2S predictions. The dimensionality reduction based on feature selections did not significantly improve predictions of daily precipitation for six climate models and even worsened predictions of daily maximum and minimum temperatures. While deep learning-based postprocessing was also improved MME S2S precipitation predictions, it did not have a significant effect on temperature predictions, particularly for the lead time of weeks 1 and 2. Further research is needed to develop an optimal deep learning model for improving S2S temperature predictions by testing various models and parameters.