• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변동준

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Features of Korean Rainfall Variability by Western Pacific Teleconnection Pattern (서태평양 원격패턴에 따른 한국 4월 강수량의 변동 특성)

  • Choi, Jae-Won;Park, Ki-Jun;Lee, Kyungmi;Kim, Jeoung-Yun;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.7
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    • pp.893-905
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the correlation between Western Pacific (WP) teleconnection pattern index (WPI) in April during 1954-2008 and rainfall amounts in the same month. Based on the results, it is identified that there have been strong positive correlations between central China, Korea and the southwestern part of Japan in the East Asian region. Through differences between 10 positive WP years and 10 negative WP years selected from the April WPI excluding ENSO years, it is found that rainfall amounts increase in April of positive WP years due to the following characteristics. Increases in rainfall amounts are evident in the East Asian middle latitudinal region where the positive correlation between the two variables is the highest and this is because anomalous southwesterlies are strengthened in the East Asian middle latitudinal region due to the spatial pattern of a south-low-north-high anomalous pressure system centered on this region that is made by anomalous anticyclones centered on the southeastern side of the region and other anomalous anticyclones centered on the northeastern side of the region. In addition, anomalous westerlies (jet) are strengthen in the upper troposphere of the East Asian middle latitudinal region and as a result, anomalous upward flows are strengthened in this region and thus anomalous warm air temperatures are formed in the entire level of the troposphere in the region. In addition to atmospheric environments, anomalous warm sea surface temperatures are formed in the seas in the East Asian middle latitudinal region to help the rainfall amount increases in the East Asian middle latitudinal region.

Application of the Width Function Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph: A Case Study of Cheongmi River (폭함수 단위도법을 이용한 청미천 수문곡선 산정)

  • Seo, Yongwon;Park, Junehyeong;Rhee, Dong Sop;Kim, Young-Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1425-1432
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    • 2013
  • This paper examines the applicability of the Width Function Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph (WFIUH) with a case study of Cheongmi River in South Korea. The parameter values of WFIUH can be physically determined compared to the lumped hydrologic models, which are typically accompanied by parameter estimation procedures with gage records. Assuming uniformly distributed rainfall, the hydrographs obtained with the WFIUH show good agreement with observed data and also the results from HEC-1. A simple investigation of the effect from the rainstorm movement with the WFIUH demonstrates the ability of the proposed model and the need to consider the rainstorm movement effect on the resulting hydrographs for prediction purposes.

Nonlinear impact of temperature change on electricity demand: estimation and prediction using partial linear model (기온변화가 전력수요에 미치는 비선형적 영향: 부분선형모형을 이용한 추정과 예측)

  • Park, Jiwon;Seo, Byeongseon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.703-720
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    • 2019
  • The influence of temperature on electricity demand is increasing due to extreme weather and climate change, and the climate impacts involves nonlinearity, asymmetry and complexity. Considering changes in government energy policy and the development of the fourth industrial revolution, it is important to assess the climate effect more accurately for stable management of electricity supply and demand. This study aims to analyze the effect of temperature change on electricity demand using the partial linear model. The main results obtained using the time-unit high frequency data for meteorological variables and electricity consumption are as follows. Estimation results show that the relationship between temperature change and electricity demand involves complexity, nonlinearity and asymmetry, which reflects the nonlinear effect of extreme weather. The prediction accuracy of in-sample and out-of-sample electricity forecasting using the partial linear model evidences better predictive accuracy than the conventional model based on the heating and cooling degree days. Diebold-Mariano test confirms significance of the predictive accuracy of the partial linear model.

Analysis of Flood Level Variation in Oship Stream Using HEC-RAS: Focuses on the Impact of the Typhoon Sanba (HEC-RAS를 이용한 오십천의 수위변화 해석: 태풍산바의 영향을 중심으로)

  • Jun, Kye-Won
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.498-504
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the frequency of typhoons have increased due to the effects of climate change. As a result, in mountain streams, it has caused streamflow increase upstream and frequent water surface elevation downstream. This study analyzed the effects of the heavy rainfalls caused by Typhoon Sanba, which had a direct impact on Korea between September 17 and 18, on the water level variations downstream in mountainous streams. In addition, the drainage basin of Samcheok Oship stream was chosen as the object of this study. This study analyzed the flood level by applying HEC-RAS model. The observed water level measured in 2012 and the water level simulated by HEC-RAS model showed similar results. In addition, the simulation results showed the maximum flood level was 5.32m the mean flow velocity was 2.33m/sec and the maximum channel water depth was 7.51m. The analysis showed that the heavy rainfalls caused by Typhoon Sanba had an impact on the water surface elevation in Oship stream. The final results from this study will give a reasonable and important data to perform the Design of Hydraulic Structure.

Development and Application of Life-Assessment Guidelines for Fossil-Fuel Power Plant Facilities in Korea (한국 화력 발전설비의 수명평가기준 개발 및 활용)

  • Choi, Woo-Sung;Song, Gee-Wook;Kim, Bum-Shin;Hyun, Jung-Seob;Heo, Jae-Sil
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.1265-1272
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    • 2010
  • In view of the frequent start-ups and load changes in the recent past, there is a need for fossil-fuel power plants to be more efficient and reliable for long-term operation. Under high-temperature and high-pressure conditions, severe creep and fatigue damages can occur in major plant facilities, particularly, turbines and boilers. For highly stable operation and better maintenance, various techniques that facilitate a systematic assessment of the service life of critical facilities have been developed. However, to date, in Korea, to evaluate the remaining life of major facilities of fossil power plant, qualitative or semiquantitative analyses are carried out without following any standard guidelines or procedure. In this study, a standard code for assessing the remaining life of major plant facilities is proposed. This code takes into account creep and fatigue damage, which are generally accepted as dominant causes of damage to facilities. KEPIC (Korea Electric Power Industry code) is scheduled to include this guideline in 2010.

A Study on the Han River Estuary Affected by Flood and Tide in the Ganghwa Strait (강화해협이 홍수 및 조석에 대하여 한강하류부에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Park, Hyo-Seon;Choi, Gye-Woon;Byeon, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.62-62
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    • 2011
  • 한강하구지역의 강화해협은 한강, 임진강과 예성강의 강물이 흘러들어오는 하구형 수로로서 폭이 좁고, 유속이 매우 빠른 특성을 갖는다. 또한 조류(潮流)의 영향을 강하게 받아 상당량의 유량을 경기만으로 내보내고, 한강의 상류로부터 유입되는 상당량의 물질이 하구로 운반되어 침전하여 쌓이거나 하류의 외해로 배출하는 역할을 한다. 본 연구에서는 한강하류부에 위치한 강화해협의 유 무에 따른 한강과 임진강의 흐름특성 변화를 분석하였다. 수치모의를 위해 복잡한 하구지역의 물의 흐름해석이 가능한 일차원적인 모델링 도구인 MIKE 11 모형을 이용하여 정류 및 부정류 해석을 실시하였다. 상류경계조건은 홍수 시 방류량이 크게 증가하는 홍수기 유량과 조위의 영향을 많이 받는 평수기 시 유량으로 설정하였고, 하류경계조건은 평수기를 비롯하여 홍수기에도 임진강과 한강의 유량에 영향을 미치는 서해 조위로 설정하였다. 강화해협의 폐쇄에 따른 수위 변화의 영향은 홍수기 시 실제 강우 사상을 모의 하였을 때 최대 8.21% 수위가 상승하였으며, 200년 빈도 계획홍수량을 모의한 결과로는 정류 해석의 경우 최대 8.25%의 변화율을 보였고, 부정류 해석의 경우 최대 13.08%의 변화율을 보였다. 평수기는 창조기에 수위 변화가 적었던 반면 낙조기에는 창조기에 비해 수위 변동이 심하게 일어나는 것으로 나타났다. 추후 강화해협 뿐만 아니라 해양생태계의 중요한 가치를 지니고 있는 한강하구의 다른 수로에 의한 영향을 분석함으로써 수로의 중요성을 평가하고, 2차원 수치해석 등을 통한 다양한 분석을 실행하여, 홍수 및 해양환경 훼손으로부터 하구 환경을 보호하는 보다 정량적인 대응체계가 정립되어야할 것으로 사료된다.

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Study on Additives of Non-cyanide Cu-Sn Alloy Plating Solution (비 시안계 Cu-Sn 합금 도금액의 첨가제에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Jang, Si-Seong;Bok, Gyeong-Sun;Lee, Seong-Jun;Lee, Gi-Baek;Choe, Jin-Seop;Jeong, Min-Gyeong;Yun, Deok-Hyeon;Jeong, Gwang-Mi
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Surface Engineering Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.68.2-68.2
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    • 2017
  • 인체접촉시 니켈도금의 알러지 반응을 억제하기 위한 대체 도금기술인 비 시안계 Cu-Sn 합금도금을 개발함에 있어서, 황산구리5수화물과 황산제일주석을 금속염으로 하여 황산 및 계면활성제, 유화제 등을 포함한 각종 유기첨가제를 포함하였고 특히 은백색조의 외관 색상과 안정적인 Cu-Sn 합금전착을 위해 2종의 착화제인 EDTP (Ethylenediaminetetrapropanol, $C_{14}H_{32}N_2O_4$)와 TEA (Triethanolamine)를 첨가한 비 시안계 Cu-Sn 합금 도금액을 도출하였다. Cu-Sn 합금도금 피막 조성의 균일화를 도모하기 위해서는 합금 도금액중의 Cu와 Sn 금속이온 농도를 일정하게 유지하는 것이 필요하다. 그러나 합금 도금액 중 2가 주석이온($Sn^{2+}$)은 수용액 중에서 4가 주석이온($Sn^{4+}$)으로 산화됨으로써 도금액 색상이 백탁이 되고 Stannic Hydroxide($Sn(OH)_4$, $SnO_2{\cdot}2H_2O$)이 생성되어 대량의 침전물이 침강하는 문제점이 발생되는 등시간 경과에 따른 도금액의 경시 변화가 발생되었다. 상기 침전물은 연속여과에 의해 제거 가능하나 합금 도금액 중 $Sn^{2+}$ 농도가 지속적으로 감소하게 된다. 이는 합금 도금액 중 금속이온 비율이 변동함으로써 합금도금 피막의 조성비를 일정하게 유지하는 것이 곤란해진다. 이에 $Sn^{4+}$ 침전물 생성을 방지하기 위한 산화방지제를 개발하고 또한 산화방지제의 첨가에 따른 도금 피막 외관에 미치는 영향을 평가하여 외관 개선을 위한 광택제를 개발하고자 한다. 본 연구의 결과를 토대로 니켈도금과 동등 이상의 기능 특성을 갖는 비 시안계 Cu-Sn 합금도금액을 개발하여 실용화하는 것을 목적으로 하였다.

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Shear Strength Model for HPFRCC Beams with Main Longitudinal Tensile Reinforcements (주인장 철근을 가진 HPFRCC 보 부재 전단 강도 예측 모델)

  • Lee, Seong-Cheol;Shin, Kyung-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.60-67
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    • 2020
  • Recently, many studies have been conducted on the structural behavior of HPFRCC, but most of the studies focused on the flexural behavior while studies on the shear behavior are limited. In this study, a model has been developed to reasonably predict the shear strength of a HPFRCC beam without stirrups. To develop the model, a HPFRCC beam was simply idealized with upper & lower chords resisting bending moment and a web shear element resisting shear forces. Then, taking into the account of the tensile behavior of HPFRCC, the main diagonal compressive strut angle and shear stress of the web shear element were evaluated on shear failure. Then, the shear strength of the HPFRCC beam could be evaluated. For the verification of the proposed model, the predictions by the proposed model were compared with the test results of 48 HPFRCC beams exhibiting shear failure. The results showed that the proposed model reasonably predicted the actual shear strength with an average of 1.045 and CoV of 0.125. This study are expected to be useful for related researches and design of members or structures to which HPFRCC is applied.

Change in Species Composition of Fish in Chonsu Bay 1. Demersal fish (천수만 어류의 종조성 변화 1. 저어류)

  • LEE Tae Won
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.71-83
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    • 1996
  • Seasonal samples of demersal fish in Chonsu Bay were collected by an otter trawl from May 1991 to February 1992, and analyzed in terms of species composition, abundance and community structure. These data were compared with those obtained just after reclamation in 1986. The species composition of the demersal fish of the present study shows a similar seasonal trend to the previous one. However, the abundance in some species was changed. Gobiid fish such as Cryptocentrus filifer, Chaeturichthys stigmatias and Acanthogobius hasta were diminished, while Repomucenus lunatus, Leiognathus nuchalis and Sillago japonica were increased. This change in abundance of the fish seems to be related to sedimentation of fine particles and irregular discharge of freshwater with high organic content from the reservoir to the bay.

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Comparison of Damping for Steel Tall Buildings by Half Power Bandwidth and Random Decrement Method (철골조 고층건물의 하프파워법과 RD법에 의한 감쇠율 비교)

  • Yoon, Sung-Won;Ju, Young Kyu;Shin, Sang Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the damping ratios of two methods, namely the half-power bandwidth method and random decrement method from the vibration measurement were examined. Ambient vibration tests were conducted on two steel-framed and one composite tall building ranging from 27 to 36 stories. The performance of the half-power bandwidth method was investigated using four sample sizes, such as 1024, 2048, 4096 and 8192. Damping by the half-power bandwidth method is slightly more overestimated than the random decrement method due to insufficient record length. Damping evaluation by the half-power bandwidth method was found to be enhanced when using the narrower bandwidth with long recorded data.