• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.26 no.12
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• pp.71-79
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• 2010

The reliable evaluation of the coefficient of variation (COV) of soil properties is required for the determination of adequate design values and the application of a probabilistic method for the design of geotechnical structures. In this paper, the applicability of methods for estimating the standard deviation, such as the. Three-Sigma Rule and a statistical method, is evaluated by using site investigation data of the Songdo area. It is found that the Three-Sigma Rule provides similar results to those of a statistical method when using $N_{\sigma}$=6 for the property with small variability and $N_{\sigma}$=4.2~5.3 for the property with large variability. It is also observed that, for the undrained shear strength that has an increasing trend with depth, a $N_{\sigma}$ value of 4 is adequate for the evaluation of the variability by the Three-Sigma Rule. The COVs of soil properties determined in this paper could be used in the estimation of the confidence interval and characteristic values of soil properties.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.1-23
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• 2014

This paper has studied the monetary policy in Korea with a time varying VAR model using four key macroeconomic variables. First, inclusion of the exchange rate was a crucial factor in evaluating Korean monetary policy since the monetary policy demonstrated sensitivity to exchange rate movements during the crisis periods of both the Asian financial crisis of 1997 and the global financial crisis of 2008. Second, a specification of the stochastic volatilities in TVP-VAR model is important in explaining excessive movements of all variables in the sample. The overall moderation of variables in 2000s was more or less due to a reduction of the stochastic volatilities but also somewhat due to the macroeconomic fundamental structures captured by impulse response functons. Third, the degree of the monetary policy effectiveness of inflation was mitigated in recent periods but with increased persistence. Lastly, the monetary policy stance towards inflation stabilization has advanced ever since the inflation targeting scheme was adopted. However, there still seems to be a room for improvement in this aspect since the degree of the monetary policy stance towards inflation stabilization was relatively weaker than to output stabilization.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.247-255
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• 1985

This paper describes a new method for the design of variable structure model-following control systems(VSMFC). This design concept is developed using the theory of variable structure systems (VSS) and slide mode. The new results are presented on the sliding control methodology to achieve accurate tracking for a class of nonlinear, multi-input multi-output(MIMO), time varying systems in the presence of parameter variations. The design requires little computational effort. The dynamic response is insensitive to parameter variations. The feasibility and the advantages of the method are illustrated by applying it to a 1000 MWe boiling water reactor(BWR). The control is studied in the range of 85%∼90% of rated power for load-following control. A set of 12 nonlinear differential equations is used to simulate the total plant. A 6-th order linear model has been developed from these equations at 85% of rated power. The obtained controller is shown by simulations to be able to compensate for a plant parameter variation over a wide power range.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.223-231
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• 2007

Considering wind speed uncertainty, reliability analysis of the LNG unloading arm at Tongyoung Production Site was performed. Extreme distribution of wind speed was estimated from the data collected at the weather center and wind load was calculated using wind velocities and coefficients of wind pressure. The unloading arm was modeled with plate and solid elements. Contact elements were used to describe the interface between base of structure andground. Response surface for maximum effective stress was found for reliability analysis and then reliability functions was defined and used to determine exceeding probability of allowable and yield stresses. In addition, sensitivity analysis was also performed to estimate the effect of possible material deterioration in the future.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.94-110
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• 2008

This study examines the unemployment and labor market demand dynamics as well as their implication for social exclusion in the metropolitan areas of Korea since the financial crisis of 1997. The unemployment research containing significant implication for social exclusion is a key area to be explored with the research of skill and income polarization due to structural economic transformation. Skill polarization usually results in the job loss for some people, which most likely leads to the economic deprivation and social exclusion. The unemployment rate and its regional disparity began to fall since 2000, but the disparity reversed to increase after 2005. The labor market dynamics of the metropolitan areas are turned out to be related with the size of the city and the relative shares of both manufacturing and service sectors. In addition, the employment growth is turned out to be related with the changes of both output and productivity. It is also found that the unemployment is affected with the job change and the tertiarization of the economy. However, it is of more significance to recognize that the dynamics and patterns of the labor market in the metropolitan areas are quite spatially differentiated and the differentiation is likely determined by the factors such as industrial structure, employment dynamics and job demand changes.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.343-356
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• 2007

This paper explored the characteristics of the interannual sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the equatorial Pacific by analyzing the simulated data from a newly coupled general circulation model (CGCM). The CGCM simulates well the realistic ENSO variability as well as the mean climatologies including SST, seasonal cycle, precipitation, and subsurface structures. It is argued that the zonal gradient of SST in the equatorial Pacific is responsible for the over-energetic SST variability near the equatorial western boundary in the model. This variability could also be related to the strong westward propagation of SST anomalies which resulted from the enhanced the zonal advection feedback. The simple two-strip model supports this by sensitivity tests. Analysis of the relationship between zonal mean thermocline depth and NINO3 SST index suggested that the ENSO variability is controlled by the recharge-discharge oscillator of the model. The lead-lag regression result reveals that heat buildup process in the western equatorial Pacific associated with the increase of the barrier layer thickness (BLT) is a precedent condition for El $Ni\widetilde{n}o$ to develop.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 2003.04a
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• pp.335-347
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• 2003

본 논문에서는 설계 하중에 지배되는 구조물에 있어서, 입력 파라미터들의 불확실성을 표준편차와 패턴의 변동, 두 차원에서 접근, 처리할 수 있는 방안을 제시하기 위해서 구조물에 입력으로 작용하는 하중 패턴의 결정과 구조물의 형상의 진화를 동시에 고려할 수 있는 Co-Evolutionary Structural Design framework라 명명한 새로운 구조 설계 방식을 개발하였다. 공학자의 직관과 경험 의존적인 하중을 대상으로 최적화된 구조물은, 성능에 완벽한 안전을 보장해 줄 수 없으며, 이에 관한 문제를 해결하기 위해서 주어진 상황 속에서 다양한 하중이 작용하더라도 안전할 수 있는 구조물의 설계 방식에 관해서 설명한다. 본 프레임워크는 연성을 가지는 두 Disciplinary Modules, 즉 구조 형상설계와 하중설계로 이루어지며 하중에 관한 DB로 연결되어 순차적인 MDO 설계과정을 거치게 된다. 두 Discipline은 설계과정을 거치면서 상호 견제의 틀 속에서 진화하며 기존 방식과 달리 극한 하중 패턴을 스스로 찾아서 설계 반영하는 특징을 가진다. 본 접근 방식의 유용성을 평가하기 위해서 10-bar truss 구조물과 Jacket-Type 구조물로 테스트해 보았다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.31 no.4A
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• pp.323-329
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• 2011

Most current design codes of concrete structures adopt the partial safety factor format to assure the proper safety margin or reliability against various limit states as a practical design tool. The safety factors, load and resistance factors and so on, are determined based on the theory of structural reliability, which takes into account the statistical uncertainties of both loads and resistances. The establishment of statistical models for load and resistance should be preceded the application of reliability theory. In this paper, especially the influence of the statistical variations of resistance models, which are described in terms of strength of concrete, strength of reinforcements and sectional dimensions and so on, are examined and the probabilistic models for resistance of reinforced concrete members were developed. The statistical data were collected on local tests and experiments in Korea and the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) technique was used. The results of this paper may be useful and valuable in calibration of design code in this country.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.2A
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• pp.137-148
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• 2010

This study proposes the optimal ratio of vertical load-carrying capacity (${\beta}$) by investigating structural performances and economic efficiency in the extradosed bridges. Without design standards for the extradosed bridge, Japanese design standards have been used domestically. For the design live load, DL24 is found to be more adequate than DB24. Using the DL24 load, parameter studies are carried out. The parameters are 'main tower height', 'main girder stiffness', and 'cable arrangement'. As a result, it is found that one side cable-stayed extradosed bridges are more economical than double side cable-stayed extradosed bridges. This study also shows that when the ratio of vertical load-carrying capacity(${\beta}$) is 30~50% in the extradosed bridge with the ratio of tower height to main span length 1/6, the extradosed bridge is most economical because of the cable stress less than the allowable stress.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.357-395
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• 1999

음력설이 다가오면서 과일, 채소류 등 식료품물가가 통상 크게 오름에 따라 매년 초에 물가상승과 이로 인한 경제적 부작용을 우려하는 논의가 있어 왔다. 이를 고려하여 본고에서는 음력설이 소비자물가에 미치는 영향을 RegARIMA모형과 쌍체검정을 이용하여 분석하고 그 시사점을 찾아보았다. 분석결과 음력설은 농수축산물을 중심으로 식료품 가격의 변동성을 확대시켜 체감물가를 높임으로써 물가불안심리를 유발하는 측면이 있으나 전체 소비자물가에 미치는 영향은 크지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 음력설을 앞두고 발생하는 이러한 식료품 중심의 물가상승은 제수용품 등을 중심으로 일시적 수요증가에 주도되는 구조적인 측면이 크므로 이를 완화하는 방안을 강구하여 물가불안심리와 경제적 부작용을 줄일 필요가 있다.