• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2001.04a
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• pp.369-371
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• 2001

본 논문에서는 경량전철시스템 기술개발사업에서 개발하고자하는 차량시스템, 신호제어시스템, 전력공급시스템 및 선로구축불의 목표신뢰도를 정의하였다. 이 목표신뢰도의 배분은 국내지하철의 고장유형 및 철도분야에 축적되어있는 고장율을 바탕으로 작성되었다. 특히, 차량시스템분야는 보다 자세히 목표신뢰도를 배분하였다. 이러한 목표신뢰도 배분을 통하여 경량전철 시스템의 각 개발단계마다 이루어지는 개발활동(설계, 제작 및 구매)의 검증을 수행하여야 신뢰성을 확보한 경량전철시스템개발이라는 궁극적인 목적을 달성할 수 있다. 목표신뢰도 배분에 맞추어 경량전철시스템개발동안 제동장치, 추진장치, 출입문장치, 제어장치 등 고장시 열차의 운행을 정지시킬 수 있는 구성품에 대한 신뢰도를 모델링하여 신뢰도 예측 및 분석하고 이에 맞추어 설계검증 및 보안을 한다. 또한 경량전철시스템의 시험선로에서의 주행시험을 통하여 국내 경량전철시스템에 적합한 신뢰도 기준을 마련하고자 한다.

• Journal of Teachers' Pension
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• v.5
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• pp.97-133
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• 2020

전략적 자산배분에서 가장 중요한 것은 목표를 결정하는 것이다. 여기서 목표는 자산운용에서 발생하는 향후 포트폴리오의 예상되는 분포와 이에 영향을 받는 조직의 기대효용을 극대화하는 것으로 정의하는 것이 과학적이고 학술적인 방식이다. 실무는 대체로 이러한 방식과 다르다. 예를 들어 기금운용평가의 가이드라인에서는 목표 수익률에 초점을 두고 있다. 특히 기금운용평가에서는 ALM 기반의 목표 수익률 산출을 제안한다. 하지만, 비현실적인 목표 수익률의 산출과 그 의미의 모호성으로 많은 기금들은 이를 적용하지 않고 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 ALM 기반의 목표수익률 설정 및 자산배분의 문제점을 확인하고, ALM 기반 자산배분에 대한 두 가지 대안을 제시한다. 첫 번째, 기금 자산운용의 목표 설정에 대해서는 Doran(1981)의 SMART (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Time-limited) 기준에 따른 목표수립을 제안한다. 두 번째, 목표 수익률 산출에서는 목표기반투자 (Goal based Investing, GBI) 에 따른 목표 수익률 산출 방법을 제시한다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.37 no.8
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• pp.663-674
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• 2004

In this study, the principle of water allocation is proposed based on efficiency, equity, sustainability. Also weighting factors are estimated with sectoral factors and regional factors. The former represents relative weights among water use and the latter represents physical characteristics of water demand places. The AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) is applied to estimate the sectoral factors, and compounded regional-characteristic factors and regional-scale factors, which reflects socioeconomic statistics for the regional factors. By applying these weighting factors, water allocation rules for dam is developed and applied to Andong dam which supplies water to parts of Busan Shi, Daegu Shi and Goryeong Gun in a water-deficit situation. As a result, it is estimated that Water allocation by priorities distributes the entire water shortage to the lowest rank of water sectors or regions, while water allocation by relative weighting factors disperse all the burdens of water shortage to all sectors and regions.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.889-914
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• 2011

This paper is to review assessment indicator on priorities for budget allocation of the national R&D program. In priority setting of programs for the budget allocation process of the national R&D program using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), the survey result on the major influencing factors is as follows: the significance of components of evaluation for the priority of the national R&D programs in budget allocation was as following order: "accomplishment and ripple effect of the project," "basis and driving force for the promotion of project," "feasibility of project goals," and the "possibility of overlapping and linkage among projects". The importance of the final evaluation indicator was as following order: "clarity and possibility for accomplishment of business objectives," "ripple effects in terms of science and technology", "ripple effects in terms of the economy and overall society" and "appropriate correspondence with mid- to long-term plans" (the importance for these four indicators was over 10%) while the importance of "overlapping" and "appropriateness of budget size" indicators which fell below 5% were considered to be relatively less important. there is a need for a clear criteria and conceptions of evaluation indicators for budget allocation of national R&D programs.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.71-105
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• 2013

Now that fiscal soundness is increasingly important influenced by the euro area fiscal crisis, early budget execution has been under the spotlight as a tool for economy control, other than typical expansionary method, such as supplementary budget. Basically, early budget execution is a fiscal policy instrument that reponses to economic fluctuations through modifying the inter-temporal allocation of fiscal expenditure within budget, without affecting fiscal soundness. This study empirically examines how effective the intert-temporal reallocation of fiscal expenditure is in economy control. Using Korea's Consolidated Fiscal data, the size of inter-temporal reallocation of fiscal expenditure is defined as changes of fiscal expenditure for one year excluding seasonal factors and used to explain real economic growth rate, a dependent variable. The result shows that the macroeconomic effect of the inter-temporal reallocation turns out meaningful in general, though some policy time lag exists. Meanwhile, a simulation using macroeconomic model finds that overall effect on economic growth is not large because increase in fiscal expenditure allocation at a certain point of time is canceled by the opposite direction within the same fiscal year. However, the inter-temporal reallocation is found to reduce volatility of key macroeconomic variables so as to contribute to partially stabilizing macroeconomy. In particular, such effect of economic stabilization seems to be highly apparent at the time of financial crisis, but not very noticeable in normal economic cycle.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.18 no.11
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• pp.130-137
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• 2017

To maintain traffic safety during the target lifetime of bridges, it is essential to secure an appropriate maintenance budget and allocate that budget appropriately. This paper proposes a reasonable budget allocation system that considers various impact factors to improve the conventional budget allocation method simply considering the bridge scale. The maintenance action rate model and the unit cost model based on the prior maintenance history were developed to allocate appropriately the bridge maintenance budget for the total bridges of the management organization with the target management level. A method to determine the optimal budget allocation ratio for each management subject was proposed and case analysis was conducted using the proposed model. Proper budget allocation was made considering the bridge types, current safety level, and service life as well as the bridge size as an impact factor of the budget allocation of the bridge. The developed method can prevent budget waste and provide a rational basis for budget allocation by implementing the rational budget distribution.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.162-167
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• 2007

수질오염총량관리제에서 단위유역 할당부하량은 지자체의 개발용량과 밀접한 관계를 가지고 있기 때문에 상 하류 지역간의 첨예한 관심거리가 되고 있다. 총량관리제는 기준유량과 목표수질에 대한 기준배출부하량의 달성을 목적으로 하고 있기 때문에 합리적이고 과학적인 기준유량 및 목표수질의 설정이 무엇보다 중요하다. 또한 합리적인 수질모델링을 필요로 하는데, 유량배분은 모델링 과정에서 중요한 영향을 미치며, 지역의 기준배출부하량을 결정하는 결정적인 요소 중의 하나이다. 기존의 유량배분은 대부분 관측지점을 기준으로 한 단순한 면적비 유량배분기법(SAWA; simple area-based water-balance analysis)에 의존해왔다. 그러나 SAWA는 특정유역의 토지피복, 토양, 지형경사 및 강우분포 등의 수문학적 특성을 고려하지 못하는 한계점을 가지고 있다. 즉, 동일한 면적의 유역이라도 이러한 수문 특성인자에 따라 유출되는 유량이 달라지는 현상을 고려하지 못하고 있다. 이는 곧 지역의 기준배출부하량의 신뢰성에 영향을 미치기 때문에 지역간 분쟁의 소지가 될 수 있다. 본 연구는 기존의 유량배분 방법인 SAWA가 가지는 한계점을 극복하고자 강우분포 및 토지피복의 수문학적 특성을 이용한 유량배분기법(HIWA; hydro-infomatical water-balance analysis)의 개발을 목적으로 수행되었다. 강우분포와 토지피복이 하천유량에 미치는 영향을 분석하고 공간정보화 한 후 지형정보체계(GIS)의 수문분석 기법을 이용하여 유량을 배분하였다 ARC/INFO의 KRIGING 보간법을 이용하여 구축한 등강우분포도와 토지피복에 따른 유출특성을 분석하여 강우유출 해석을 위한 가중지형정보를 생성하였다. 연구는 2003년 10월-2004년 3월의 미호천수계 및 수질오염총량관리단위유역 말단지점의 실측자료를 이용하였으며, 연구결과 기존의 SAWA보다 본 연구에서 제안한 HIWA가 유량배분의 정확도를 높일 수 있음이 입증되었다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.28 no.6
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• pp.1113-1120
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• 2015

We propose a multi-proportions randomized response model by stratified simple random sampling for surveys of sensitive issues of a polychotomous population composed of several stratum. We also systemize a theoretical validity to apply multi-proportions randomized response model (Abul-Ela et al.' model, Eriksson's model) to stratified simple random sampling and derive the estimate and its dispersion matrix of the proportion of sensitive characteristic of population using the suggested model. Two types of sample allocations (proportional allocation and optimum allocation) are considered under the fixed cost. In efficiency, the Eriksson's model by stratified sampling are compared to the Abul-Ela et al.' model.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.1-32
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• 2014

Auction is widely used in allocation and procurement of resources due to its desirable properties: efficiency and revenue maximization. It is well-known, however, that auction may fail to achieve efficiency when allocative externalities exist. Such a result may happen in the auction of the resources that are very scarce, for example, radio spectrum. This is because allocation of the resources has effects on competition of the firms in the aftermarket, and thus a firm that utilizes the resources less efficiently may make a higher bid to lessen competition. This paper shows first that efficient allocation may not be achieved by auction even when the number of bidders is 2, while it is shown in the literature that auction may result in inefficient allocation when the number of bidders is greater than or equal to 3. There exist 2 firms, who make a bid to win the scarce resources that increase the value or decrease the production cost of their own product. After the auction ends, the firms engage in Bertrand competition on the Hotelling line. Inefficient allocation may happen even under the second-price auction rule, and it happens only when the firms are different in the initial value or the initial cost of their products as well as in the value of the auctioned resources. The firm who has been the leader loses a large portion of the market if it fails to win the auction, and thus makes a high bid even when the other firm can use the resources more efficiently. Allocative efficiency Pareto improves when the smaller firm's bid counts more than the leader's bid. This paper suggests a modified rule that the smaller firm wins the auction when its bid multiplied by some constant is greater than the leader's bid. The multiplier can be calculated from the market shares. It is equal to 1 when the two firms are the same, and is increasing in the leader's market share. Allocation is efficient in a strictly larger set of parameters under the modified rule than under the standard second-price auction rule.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.171-198
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• 2009

The issue of burden sharing between sectors has become a pertinent national issue with respect tothe establishment of national greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets, and the means to achieve these targets. This study explores methods for equitable sectoral allocation to reduce GHGs based on an allocation index taking into account relevant attributes in line with national GHG emissions trends and structures. This paper considered potential for GHG reduction, rate of increase of emissions, and ability to pay as suitable criteria for analysis of each sector. As a result of the analysis, it was found that equitable allocation methods have significantly different burden sharing compared to allocation that considers only potential for GHG reduction. Accordingly, further empirical study on various simulations based on national economic impact will be essential for better policy solutions. This study will contribute to applying national allocation plans in a logical, consistent and transparent manner.