• Title/Summary/Keyword: 밀도확률

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A Study on the Availability Modelling and Assessment with Failure Density Function of Major Equipment for a Sewage Treatment Plant (하수처리장 주요 기자재의 고장확률밀도함수를 이용한 가용도 모델링 및 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hong-Cheol;Kwak, Pilljae;Lee, Hyundong;Hwang, In-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.35 no.11
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    • pp.763-768
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    • 2013
  • The simulation investigation on the availability with failure density function of major equipment for a sewage treatment plant has been carried out. This study focuses on the availability of the plant and criticality with equipment module induced by component layout and its failure function. The equipment classification of sewage treatment plant and its failure function are established. Also solution methodologies are introduced as Monte-Carlo simulation method and event algorithm for uncertainty problem. The availability in the case of serial connection of equipment with all exponential function is calculated as around 50.4%. In other case of parallel combination with back up equipment, the availability showed over 80.1%. The criticality that a ffects availability showed high value over 77% in the dehydration and concentration process of sludge.

Density estimation of summer extreme temperature over South Korea using mixtures of conditional autoregressive species sampling model (혼합 조건부 종추출모형을 이용한 여름철 한국지역 극한기온의 위치별 밀도함수 추정)

  • Jo, Seongil;Lee, Jaeyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1155-1168
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    • 2016
  • This paper considers a probability density estimation problem of climate values. In particular, we focus on estimating probability densities of summer extreme temperature over South Korea. It is known that the probability density of climate values at one location is similar to those at near by locations and one doesn't follow well known parametric distributions. To accommodate these properties, we use a mixture of conditional autoregressive species sampling model, which is a nonparametric Bayesian model with a spatial dependency. We apply the model to a dataset consisting of summer maximum temperature and minimum temperature over South Korea. The dataset is obtained from University of East Anglia.

Development of MKDE-ebd for Estimation of Multivariate Probabilistic Distribution Functions (다변량 확률분포함수의 추정을 위한 MKDE-ebd 개발)

  • Kang, Young-Jin;Noh, Yoojeong;Lim, O-Kaung
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2019
  • In engineering problems, many random variables have correlation, and the correlation of input random variables has a great influence on reliability analysis results of the mechanical systems. However, correlated variables are often treated as independent variables or modeled by specific parametric joint distributions due to difficulty in modeling joint distributions. Especially, when there are insufficient correlated data, it becomes more difficult to correctly model the joint distribution. In this study, multivariate kernel density estimation with bounded data is proposed to estimate various types of joint distributions with highly nonlinearity. Since it combines given data with bounded data, which are generated from confidence intervals of uniform distribution parameters for given data, it is less sensitive to data quality and number of data. Thus, it yields conservative statistical modeling and reliability analysis results, and its performance is verified through statistical simulation and engineering examples.

HMM Topology Optimization using HBIC and BIC_Anti Criteria (HBIC와 BIC_Anti 기준을 이용한 HMM 구조의 최적화)

  • 박미나;하진영
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.30 no.9
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    • pp.867-875
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    • 2003
  • This paper concerns continuous density HMM topology optimization. There have been several researches for HMM topology optimization. BIC (Bayesian Information Criterion) is one of the well known optimization criteria, which assumes statistically well behaved homogeneous model parameters. HMMs, however, are composed of several different kind of parameters to accommodate complex topology, thus BIC's assumption does not hold true for HMMs. Even though BIC reduced the total number of parameters of HMMs, it could not improve the recognition rates. In this paper, we proposed two new model selection criteria, HBIC (HMM-oriented BIC) and BIC_Anti. The former is proposed to improve BIC by estimating model priors separately. The latter is to combine BIC and anti-likelihood to accelerate discrimination power of HMMs. We performed some comparative research on couple of model selection criteria for online handwriting data recognition. We got better recognition results with fewer number of parameters.

Boundary Detection using Adaptive Bayesian Approach to Image Segmentation (적응적 베이즈 영상분할을 이용한 경계추출)

  • Kim Kee Tae;Choi Yoon Su;Kim Gi Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.303-309
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, an adaptive Bayesian approach to image segmentation was developed for boundary detection. Both image intensities and texture information were used for obtaining better quality of the image segmentation by using the C programming language. Fuzzy c-mean clustering was applied fer the conditional probability density function, and Gibbs random field model was used for the prior probability density function. To simply test the algorithm, a synthetic image (256$\times$256) with a set of low gray values (50, 100, 150 and 200) was created and normalized between 0 and 1 n double precision. Results have been presented that demonstrate the effectiveness of the algorithm in segmenting the synthetic image, resulting in more than 99% accuracy when noise characteristics are correctly modeled. The algorithm was applied to the Antarctic mosaic that was generated using 1963 Declassified Intelligence Satellite Photographs. The accuracy of the resulting vector map was estimated about 300-m.