• Title/Summary/Keyword: 밀도확률

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Geographical Impact on the Annual Maximum Rainfall in Korean Peninsula and Determination of the Optimal Probability Density Function (우리나라 연최대강우량의 지형학적 특성 및 이에 근거한 최적확률밀도함수의 산정)

  • Nam, Yoon Su;Kim, Dongkyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.251-263
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    • 2015
  • This study suggested a novel approach of estimating the optimal probability density function (OPDF) of the annual maximum rainfall time series (AMRT) combining the L-moment ratio diagram and the geographical information system. This study also reported several interesting geographical characteristics of the AMRT in Korea. To achieve this purpose, this study determined the OPDF of the AMRT with the duration of 1-, 3-, 6-, 12-, and 24-hours using the method of L-moment ratio diagram for each of the 67 rain gages in Korea. Then, a map with the Thiessen polygons of the 67 rain gages colored differently according the different type of the OPDF, was produced to analyze the spatial trend of the OPDF. In addition, this study produced the color maps which show the fitness of a given probability density function to represent the AMRT. The study found that (1) both L-skewness and L-kurtosis of the AMRT have clear geographical trends, which means that the extreme rainfall events are highly influenced by geography; (2) the impact of the altitude on these two rainfall statistics is greater for the mountaneous region than for the non-mountaneous region. In the mountaneous region, the areas with higher altitude are more likely to experience the less-frequent and strong rainfall events than the areas with lower altitude; (3) The most representative OPDFs of Korea except for the Southern edge are Generalized Extreme Value distribution and the Generalized Logistic distribution. The AMRT of southern edge of Korea was best represented by the Generalized Pareto distribution.

The Acquisition of the PN Code in the DS/CDMA System Considering Phase Error and Rake Receiver (위상 오류와 레이크 수신기를 고려한 DS/CDMA 시스템의 PN 부호 획득)

  • 김원섭;장문기;박진수
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, efficiency in the acquisition of the PN code of the DS/CDMA system was analyzed by using the Nakagami-m probability density function that can model diverse fading channels. The system considers the fading environment that inevitably exists in the mobile communications channel environment. To analyze the efficiency of the system, the equations related to detection probability PD and false alarm probability PFA required for the acquisition of the PN code were induced by using the Nakagami-m probability density function. They were verified through simulation. For the DS/CDMA system an adaptive serial search technique was applied to acquire the PN code. To correct phase error, the equations related to detection probability PD and false alarm probability PFA that influence the time to acquire codes were induced after adding the PLL to each branch of the Rake Receiver. By using an induced equation, detection probability PD and false alarm probability PFA were verified through simulation.

Uncertainty Assessment of Emission Factors for Pinus densiflora using Monte Carlo Simulation Technique (몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 소나무 탄소배출계수의 불확도 평가)

  • Pyo, Jung Kee;Son, Yeong Mo;Jang, Gwang Min;Lee, Young Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.4
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    • pp.477-483
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to calculate uncertainty of emission factor collected data and to evaluate the applicability of Monte Carlo simulation technique. To estimate the distribution of emission factors (Such as Basic wood density, Biomass expansion factor, and Root-to-shoot ratio), four probability density functions (Normal, Lognormal, Gamma, and Weibull) were used. The two sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and cumulative density figure were used to compare the optimal probability density function. It was observed that the basic wood density showed the gamma distribution, the biomass expansion factor results the log-normal distribution, and root-shoot ratio showd the normal distribution for Pinus densiflora in the Gangwon region; the basic wood density was the normal distribution, the biomass expansion factor was the gamma distribution, and root-shoot ratio was the gamma distribution for Pinus densiflora in the central region, respectively. The uncertainty assessment of emission factor were upper 62.1%, lower -52.6% for Pinus densiflora in the Gangwon region and upper 43.9%, lower -34.5% for Pinus densiflora in the central region, respectively.

Identification of Two-Phase Flow Patterns Based on Statistical Characteristics of Differential Pressure Fluctuations (차압교란치의 통계적 특성에 의한 2상유동양식의 판별)

  • 이상천;이정표;김중엽
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.1290-1299
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    • 1990
  • Characteristics of flow patterns in horizontal gas-liquid two-phase flow for two different sizes of pipe were investigated based upon a statistical analysis of differential pressure fluctuations at an orifice. The probability density function and the power spectral density function of the traces indicate peculiar shapes depending upon the two-phase flow regime. Mixed and separated flows also could be identified by the autocorrelation function. The transition region from separated flow to mixed flow also could be identified by these statistical properties. The experimental data determined by this method were compared with the flow pattern maps suggested by other investigators. The result indicates that the statistical characteristics of differential pressure fluctuations at orifices may be a useful tool for identifying flow patterns of horizontal gas-liquid two-phase flow.

Estimation on the Power Spectral Densities of Daily Instantaneous Maximum Fluctuation Wind Velocity (변동풍속의 파워 스펙트럴 밀도에 관한 평가)

  • Oh, Jong Seop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2017
  • Wind turbulence data is required for engineering calculations of gust speeds, mean and fluctuating loading. Spectral densities are required as input data for methods used in assessing dynamic response. This study is concerned with the estimation of daily instantaneous maximum wind velocity in the meteorological major cities (selected each 6 points) during the yearly 1987-2016.12.1. The purpose of this paper is to present the power spectral densities of the daily instantaneous maximum wind velocity. In the processes of analysis, used observations data obtained at Korea Meteorological Adminstration(KMA), it is assumed as a random processes. From the analysis results, in the paper estimated power spectral densities function(Blunt model) shows a very closed with von Karman and Solari's spectrum models.

Blind Equalization based on Maximum Cross-Correntropy Criterion using a Set of Randomly Generated Symbol (랜덤 심볼을 사용한 최대 코렌트로피 기준의 블라인드 등화)

  • Kim, Nam-Yong;Kang, Sung-Jin;Hong, Dae-Ki
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.1C
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2010
  • Correntropy is a generalized correlation function that contains higher order moments of the probability density function (PDF) than the conventional moment expansions. The criterion maximizing cross-correntropy (MCC) of two different random variables has yielded superior performance particularly in nonlinear, non-Gaussian signal processing comparing to mean squared error criterion. In this paper we propose a new blind equalization algorithm based on cross-correntropy criterion which uses, as two variables, equalizer output PDF and Parzen PDF estimate of a set of randomly generated symbols that complies with the transmitted symbol PDF. The performance of the proposed algorithm based on MCC is compared with the Euclidian distance minimization.

A Study of the high return period flood quantiles Estimation using upper bounded statistical models (상한분포함수를 활용한 고빈도 홍수빈도해석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Park, Rae-Kon;Kim, Kyung-Wook;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.402-402
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    • 2017
  • 수공구조물 설계 시, 설계홍수량 산정에는 실측 홍수량 자료를 활용한 홍수빈도해석이 필요하다. 그러나 홍수량 자료의 관측연한, 유역변화 등의 신뢰성 문제로 확률강우량을 활용한 빈도홍수량 간접추정방법이 표준화된 실정이다. 문제는 확률강우량 산정에 활용된 확률밀도함수와 그 매개변수에 따른 불확실성이 존재한다는 점이다. 특히 저빈도에서 고빈도로 갈수록 확률밀도함수의 불확실성은 크게 증가하여, 사실상 추정결과에 대한 물리적 의미를 부여하기 어렵다. 이에 본 연구에서는 PMF를 물리적 상한선으로 설정하는 상한분포함수(Upper bounded distribution functions)를 적용하여, 실측 홍수량에 대한 홍수빈도해석 방법을 제안하고자 한다. 검정방법은 먼저, 임의 유역을 대상유역으로 선정하여 홍수빈도해석을 수행하고, 상한분포함수는 EV4, LN4, TDF를 적용한다. 최종적으로 빈도홍수량 간접추정방법과 비교 분석하여, 적용성을 검토하고자 한다. 본 연구결과는 빈도홍수량 간접추정방법에 대한 비교 검토방법에 대한 적절한 대안이 없다는 측면에서 의의를 찾을 수 있으며, 향후 홍수량 자료 신뢰성이 확보되는 시점에서 지역홍수빈도 분석으로 확장할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Calculation of Probability Precipitation using Hydrological climatic indices at Seoul (수문기상인자를 이용한 서울지점의 확률강우량 산정)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Yoon, Hyun-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1393-1396
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    • 2009
  • 일반적으로 확률강우량은 관측된 강우자료의 분석을 통해 산정하게 된다. 관측된 강우자료의 빈도해석을 통해 산정된 확률강우량은 기후변화 등을 반영하기 매우 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 통계적 기법을 이용하여 수문기상인자를 반영하여 서울지점의 확률강우량을 산정하였다. 수문기상인자와 연최대시간강우량사이의 상관관계에 기초하여 확률강우량을 산정할 수 있는 CPPM(Climate Pattern and Precipitation Model)을 구축하고 서울 지점을 대상으로 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과에서 매개변수적 지점빈도해석의 결과와 CPPM 확률강우량은 비슷한 Qunatile을 산정하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 본 연구의 결과를 지구온난화 등에 따른 기후변화에 따라 극한강우인 연최대강우량의 변화를 예측하는데 있어 기초자료로 활용 할 수 있을 것으로 기대 된다.

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Probability Distribution of Displacement Response of Structures with Friction dampers Excited by Earthquake Loads Generated Using Kanai-Tajimi Filter (Kanai-Tajimi 필터 인공지진 가진된 마찰형 감쇠를 갖는 구조물의 변위 응답 확률분포)

  • Youn, Kyung-Jo;Park, Ji-Hun;Min, Kyung-Won;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.623-628
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    • 2007
  • The accurate peak response estimation of a seismically excited structure with frictional damping system(FDS) is very difficult since the structure with FDS shows nonlinear behavior dependent on the structural period, loading characteristics, and relative magnitude between the frictional force and the excitation load. Previous studies have estimated that by replacing a nonlinear system with an equivalent linear one or by employing the response spectrum obtained based on nonlinear time history and statistical analysis. In the case that an earthquake load is defined with probabilistic characteristics, the corresponding response of the structure with FDS has probabilistic distribution. In this study, nonlinear time history analyses were performed for the structure with FDS subjected to artificial earthquake loads generated using Kanai-Tajimi filter. An equation for the probability density function (PDF) of the displacement response is proposed by adapting the PDF of the normal distribution. Finally, coefficients of the proposed PDF are obtained by regression analysis of the statistical distribution of the time history responses. Finally the correlation between PDFs and statistical response distribution is presented.

A Study on Teaching Continuous Probability Distribution in Terms of Mathematical Connection (수학적 연결성을 고려한 연속확률분포단원의 지도방안 연구)

  • Hwang, Suk-Geun;Yoon, Jeong-Ho
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.423-446
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    • 2011
  • In school mathematics, concepts of definite integral and integration by substitution have mathematical connection with introduction of probability density function, expectation of continuous random variable, and standardization of normal distribution. However, we have difficulty in finding mathematical connection between integration and continuous probability distribution in the curriculum manual, 13 kinds of 'Basic Calculus and Statistics' and 10 kinds of 'Integration and Statistics' authorized textbooks, and activity books applied to the revised curriculum. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to provide a teaching method connected with mathematical concepts of integral in regard to three concepts in continuous probability distribution chapter-introduction of probability density function, expectation of continuous random variable, and standardization of normal distribution. To find mathematical connection between these three concepts and integral, we analyze a survey of student, the revised curriculum manual, authorized textbooks, and activity books as well as 13 domestic and 22 international statistics (or probability) books. Developed teaching method was applied to actual classes after discussion with a professional group. Through these steps, we propose the result by making suggestions to revise curriculum or change the contents of textbook.

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