• Title/Summary/Keyword: 미래예측

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The Exploration of Intersectoral Convergence of Spatial Information Industry and Forecast of its Market Size (공간정보산업 융·복합부문 탐색 및 시장규모 전망 연구)

  • Kwon, Young-Hyun
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.121-135
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to explore the convergence sector of the spatial information industry based on the business transaction data of spatial information companies and to predict the market size of the industry using the Seemingly Unrelated Regression(SUR) model. The convergence part of spatial information industry, which cannot be identified in the Spatial Data Industry Survey, was analyzed by exploring keywords related to spatial information using the business DB of Korea Enterprise Data (2010-2019). The convergence of spatial information businesses mainly appeared in the business relationship between the value chain between Seoul and Gyeonggi Province. The convergence business has the largest sales in the value chain 2 (utilization, service) & 3 (convergence), and also the convergence in the value chain 1 (production, construction) & 2, 2 & 3 stages has doubled in 2019 compared to 2010. In 2019, the total sales of the spatial information industry based on the Statistical Korea were announced at about 8 trillion won, but in this study, the total sales of the spatial information industry were estimated at 28 trillion won considering convergence activities. Finally, when scenario 1 (0.38% population growth, 2020-2024) and 0.07% (2026-2030) were applied using the SUR model to predict the expected market size of the industry, sales decreased by -0.37% to 0.069% in 2025 and 2030 by respectively. When scenario 2 (average wage growth 1.2%) was applied during the same period, sales in the industry increased by 2.326% to 12.185%. In other words, the sales in the spatial information industry depends on Labor, Total Factor Productivity, and Capital Productivity so it is necessary to additional research on policy development and alternatives of enhancing each productivity.

A Study on the Tangibility and Intangibility Value Contents Influence Factor of Jongmyo Shrine Using Text Mining Analysis (텍스트 마이닝 분석을 활용한 종묘의 유·무형 콘텐츠 영향요인 연구)

  • Park, Eun Soo;Kim, Ji Eun
    • Korea Science and Art Forum
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    • v.22
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    • pp.169-183
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    • 2015
  • As time is rapidly changing, the culture to represent an era is getting more subdivided and complex. Due to cultural diversity, the influence, cause, characteristics which could be understood in individual field centered by space in the past cannot be understood now only by the viewpoint of one field, and it has become difficult to predict and correspond to the change of the future. With the development of information and knowledge delivery system, various cultural contents to form a space are being created and lapsed, but there are a lot of parts which cannot be explained or understood by only one point of view. To inspect these situation, this study is aimed to draw the Tangibility and Intangibility Value causes that became the influence with Jongmyo Shrine, designated from UNESCO at February 1995, a traditional space with historical superiority, analyze the key factors that became the main factor to form the space, and consider the importance of the related factors. The unconstructured data technique which is applied as the method of analysis in this study can be said to be a new value judgement and viewpoint in interpreting the space. Therefore, this study is a new trial to provide a frame for multilaterally interpreting the various traditional space and culture of Korea from the past to the present.

A Study on the Cultural and Technical Influence Factor Using Unstructured Data Analysis (비정형 데이터 분석을 이용한 수원 화성의 문화·기술적 영향요인 연구)

  • Park, Eun Soo;Kim, Ji Eun
    • Korea Science and Art Forum
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    • v.20
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    • pp.227-241
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    • 2015
  • As time is rapidly changing, the culture to represent an era is getting more subdivided and complex. Due to cultural diversity, the influence, cause, characteristics which could be understood in individual field centered by space in the past cannot be understood now only by the viewpoint of one field, and it has become difficult to predict and correspond to the change of the future. With the development of information and knowledge delivery system, various cultural contents to form a space are being created and lapsed, but there are a lot of parts which cannot be explained or understood by only one point of view. To inspect these situation, this study is aimed to draw the cultural and technical causes that became the influence with Suwon Hwaseong, a traditional space with historical superiority, analyze the key factors that became the main factor to form the space, and consider the importance of the related factors. Suwon Hwaseong is a new town formed by the order of King Jeongjo. Suwon Hwaseong at that time was a space with the will and effort of many people who dreamed a new era, and it has a meaning of varoius time ans space as historical facts and cultural values as well as the progress and development of scientific technology. The unstructured data technique which is applied as the method of analysis in this study can be said to be a new value judgement and viewpoint in interpreting the space. Therefore, this study is a new trial to provide a frame for multilaterally interpreting the various traditional space and culture of Korea from the past to the present.

Information Security Model in the Smart Military Environment (스마트 밀리터리 환경의 정보보안 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Seunghoon;An, Jae-Choon;Kim, Jae-Hong;Hwang, Seong-Weon;Shin, Yongtae
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 2017
  • IoT, Cloud, Bigdata, Mobile, AI, and 3D print, which are called as the main axis of the 4th Industrial Revolution, can be predicted to be changed when the technology is applied to the military. Especially, when I think about the purpose of battle, I think that IoT, Cloud, Bigdata, Mobile, and AI will play many role. Therefore, in this paper, Smart Military is defined as the future military that incorporates these five technologies, and the architecture is established and the appropriate information security model is studied. For this purpose, we studied the existing literature related to IoT, Cloud, Bigdata, Mobile, and AI and found common elements and presented the architecture accordingly. The proposed architecture is divided into strategic information security and tactical information security in the Smart Military environment. In the case of vulnerability, the information security is divided into strategic information security and tactical information security. If a protection system is established, it is expected that the optimum information protection can be constructed within an effective budget range.

A Spatial Projection of Demand for Green Infrastructure and Its Application to GeoDesign - Evidence-Based Design for Urban Resilience - (융합도시모델링을 통한 그린인프라 수요 예측 및 지오디자인 적용 - 도시 레질리언스를 위한 근거 기반 디자인 -)

  • Kwak, Yoonshin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.30-43
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    • 2023
  • Green infrastructure(GI) is considered a key strategy in establishing sustainable communities. However, research on GI from the perspective of urban system dynamics and resilience lacks depth, as does its integration with physical design. This research addresses two primary causes. First, there is a gap in methods between existing GI planning, which considers static variables, and urban modeling research, which addresses dynamic variables. Second, there is a gap in information between landscape design and urban modeling research. To address these issues, this study proposes an integrated modeling approach in consideration of design decision-making. By combining the LEAM model and MCDA model, this study evaluates the relationship between GI services and socioeconomic growth, while spatially forecasting the geographies of GI demand in 2050. The resulting information reveals a potential degradation in ecosystem services over the region due to Chicago's sub-urbanization. This indicates that there would be a spatial shift in GI demand, emphasizing the need for comprehensive, dynamic GI strategies. This study further discusses the applications of evidence-based design in a studio environment. This study aims to contribute to the GeoDesign literature in terms of the creation of a more resilient urban environment by facilitating efficient evidence-based decision-making.

A Study on the Development of Educational Subjects for Nurturing Autonomous Ship Officers Using Delphi Survey (델파이 조사를 활용한 자율운항선 해기사 양성을 위한 교과목 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Jang-Yun;Shin, Yong-John
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 2023
  • The Autonomous ships are equipped with a function to judge and navigate the sea conditions on their own, so the job of the ship officer who operates it changes. The educational curriculum to nurture ship officer with the ability to operate and manage autonomous ships must also be changed. This study aimed to develop the curriculum for training autonomous ship officer by using the Delphi survey method suitable for predicting the uncertain future. Among the current 61 subjects for training ship officer identified in the Delphi survey, 32 subjects with high importance should be maintained in the training for autonomous ship officer, and subjects with low importance should be abolished or integrated into other subjects. These subjects were collectively referred to as 'general courses'. The expert panel of the Delphi survey suggested 42 items as new subjects, with 18 items of 'high', 14 items of 'middle', and 10 items of 'low'. Through in-depth analysis of these items by experts, 27 subjects were adjusted and three courses were proposed : 1)'Basic course(10 courses)' for developing basic capabilities such as basic theories for understanding advanced technology and information applied to autonomous ships, 2)'Job course(10 courses)' for practical competency directly related to autonomous ship operation, 3)'Intensive course(7 subjects)' for fostering land remote operators of autonomous ships. Since the introduction and spread of autonomous ships will progress rapidly, research to develop and supplement autonomous ship pilot training courses should be continued by reflecting the level of autonomous navigation of autonomous ships.

The Crime Effect on Societal Anxiety (범죄발생이 사회불안 지각에 미치는 영향)

  • Beom Jun Kim
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.127-153
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    • 2007
  • The study aims to examine the effects of crime on societal anxiety. For this purpose, two studies were conducted. In study 1, the data were collected from 286 students(male 160, female 126) regarding perceived seriousness of crime, estimation of crime occurrence, societal anxiety, and estimation of change in these 3 variables every 3 years from 1993 to 2011. The means of the 3 variables were higher than the midpoint of the scale. And the means of all the 3 variables gradually increased from 1993 to 2011 and the change patterns were very similar. Furthermore, the estimation of crime occurrence and perceived seriousness of crime were significant predictors of societal anxiety. Study 2 was conducted to explore the effect of frequency estimation of the criminal acts on the societal anxiety. The data from 259 subjects(male 141, female 118) were analysed. The occurrence of frequency of 7 types of crimes including 25 criminal acts were estimated and societal anxiety was measured. The results of study 2 showed that only the major crime was significant a predictor of societal anxiety, and among the major crimes, arson was a significant predictor of the dependent variable. Implications and limits of the studies are discussed.

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Suitability Assessment of Arbor Day Using Satellite-Based Soil-Thaw Detection and Analyses (위성 기반의 토양 융해 탐지 자료를 이용한 식목일의 적합성 검토)

  • Kangmin PARK;Sunyurp PARK
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.40-55
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    • 2023
  • Arbor Day is a day that encourages people to plant trees and symbolizes the timing of planting. Arbor Day has been honored on April 5th in Korea, but it often does not agree to actual planting time due to global warming. This study confirmed the discrepancy between Arbor Day and regional soil-thawing times and reviewed alternative dates for tree planting using satellite-based soil-thaw data (FT-ESDR) from 1991 to 2020. Study results showed that the start time of planting on the Korean Peninsula, which was indicated by soil-thaw dates, was March 24 during 1991-2000, and it progressively changed to March 17 during 2011-2020. Should Arbor Day be changed based on soil-thaw periods, mid-March would be the most comprehensive, suitable alternative period considering the number of governmental administration units (cities and counties) and the land area of soil-thaw. Tree-Planting Day (March 14) and International Day of Forests (March 21) were found suitable for alternative dates to Arbor Day because they were close to the average soil-thaw time of Korean Peninsula (March 19) and land area whose soil-thaw time was within 10 days from those two dates ranged from 52.5% to 58.8% centered geographically on the mid-section of the peninsula. Since the periods of soil-thaw will continue to change due to climate change, it is necessary to reflect the trend of advancing planting periods in the future if Arbor Day is changed to an earlier date.

A Study on the Impact of Prejudice and Environmental Factors on Entrepreneurship Intention: Mediating Role of Fear of Failure (편견과 환경요인이 창업 의지에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 실패두려움의 매개효과)

  • Lee, Ji Youn;Jeong, Chan Gu
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.141-157
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    • 2023
  • Start-ups are the driving force of economic development and play an important role in improving national competitiveness. The country's start-up support policies are increasing every year, but indicators that do not challenge them and do not consider future start-ups can predict employment reduction and unemployment can increase further. You can. The increase in the number of young people doing nothing is causing economic hardship and neglect of future precious human resources, which calls for a more realistic national entrepreneurship policy. Accordingly, this study sought to identify bias and environmental factors in order to reveal factors that influence the will to start a business among potential entrepreneurs in Korea. For this purpose, descriptive statistical analysis was performed using SPSS on a sample of 227 responses from the general public who are potential entrepreneurs interested in starting a business. As a result, prejudice decreased the will to start a business and increased fear of failure. On the other hand, the entrepreneur's environmental factors reduced the fear of failure and increased the will to start a business. Lastly, fear of failure was found to play a mediating role between the two independent variables and the will to start a business. The results of this study showed that prejudice was a negative factor in the will to start a business, and the environment was a positive factor. These research results suggest that in order to revitalize entrepreneurship, positive environmental factors that can provide entrepreneurs' correct recognition and support for entrepreneurship are necessary.

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Proximal Policy Optimization Reinforcement Learning based Optimal Path Planning Study of Surion Agent against Enemy Air Defense Threats (근접 정책 최적화 기반의 적 대공 방어 위협하 수리온 에이전트의 최적 기동경로 도출 연구)

  • Jae-Hwan Kim;Jong-Hwan Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2024
  • The Korean Helicopter Development Program has successfully introduced the Surion helicopter, a versatile multi-domain operational aircraft that replaces the aging UH-1 and 500MD helicopters. Specifically designed for maneuverability, the Surion plays a crucial role in low-altitude tactical maneuvers for personnel transportation and specific missions, emphasizing the helicopter's survivability. Despite the significance of its low-altitude tactical maneuver capability, there is a notable gap in research focusing on multi-mission tactical maneuvers that consider the risk factors associated with deploying the Surion in the presence of enemy air defenses. This study addresses this gap by exploring a method to enhance the Surion's low-altitude maneuvering paths, incorporating information about enemy air defenses. Leveraging the Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) algorithm, a reinforcement learning-based approach, the research aims to optimize the helicopter's path planning. Visualized experiments were conducted using a Surion model implemented in the Unity environment and ML-Agents library. The proposed method resulted in a rapid and stable policy convergence for generating optimal maneuvering paths for the Surion. The experiments, based on two key criteria, "operation time" and "minimum damage," revealed distinct optimal paths. This divergence suggests the potential for effective tactical maneuvers in low-altitude situations, considering the risk factors associated with enemy air defenses. Importantly, the Surion's capability for remote control in all directions enhances its adaptability in complex operational environments.