• Title/Summary/Keyword: 매개 모델

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A Development of Bivariate Drought Regional Frequency Analysis Model using Bayesian Copula (Bayesian Copula 기법을 활용한 이변량 가뭄 지역빈도해석 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.54-54
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    • 2019
  • 최근 이변량 가뭄 빈도해석시 Copula 함수 기반의 빈도해석모델을 활용한 분석이 이루어지고 있다. 그러나 기존 연구에서는 이변량 가뭄 빈도해석시 지점빈도해석에 국한되어 분석이 이루어지며, 지역을 대표하는 수문자료의 특성이 반영된 빈도분석에 대한 연구는 미진한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 Bayesian 기법과 이변량 Copula 가뭄 빈도해석 기법을 연계한 Bayesian 이변량 Copula 지역빈도해석 모델을 개발하였다. 개발된 모델에 모의자료를 적용하여 가정한 가뭄특성 및 매개변수를 추정하였으며, 유사하게 도출된 결과를 통해 모델의 적합성을 평가하였다. 최종적으로 최근 발생한 가뭄사례를 중심으로 이변량 가뭄 지역빈도해석을 수행한 결과, 기존 지점빈도해석보다 가뭄의 특성을 효과적으로 반영된 빈도해석이 이루어지는 것을 확인하였으며, 기존 Copula 모델에 Bayesian 기법을 도입하여 매개변수에서 발생하는 불확실성을 정량화 하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 모델의 검증과정과 도출된 결과를 통해 가뭄자료의 지역적 분포특성 및 자료간의 상관성을 효과적으로 재현하는데 유리할 뿐만 아니라, 매개변수의 불확실성을 평가할 수 있는 장점을 제공할 것으로 판단된다.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Hydrogeologic Parameters by Groundwater Table Fluctuation Model in Jeju Island (지하수위 변동 해석모델을 이용한 제주지역의 수리지질 매개변수 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Kim, Youn Jung;Chung, Il-Moon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1409-1420
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    • 2014
  • In this work, we have carried out a sensitivity analysis of hydrogeologic parameters such as reaction factor and drainable pore space in groundwater table fluctuation model and have found characteristics of parameter distribution according to the altitude. We found that drainable pore space which is hydrogeologic parameter of aquifer didn't show any trend with altitude while reaction factor which is groundwater flow characteristic showed clear trend with altitude. To find a sensitivity of parameters, we compared RMSE of estimated groundwater recharges by using the mean value and linear relationship of parameters. As results, the linear equation derived for entire watersheds could be applied to estimate parameters for ungauged watershed. Furthermore, the features of parameter distribution can be used to predict hydrogeologic parameter in ungauged watersheds and it is expected that those features could be used for a basic data for groundwater modeling.

A Design of Time-based Anomaly Intrusion Detection Model (시간 기반의 비정상 행위 침입탐지 모델 설계)

  • Shin, Mi-Yea;Jeong, Yoon-Su;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.1066-1072
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    • 2011
  • In the method to analyze the relationship in the system call orders, the normal system call orders are divided into a certain size of system call orders to generates gene and use them as the detectors. In the method to consider the system call parameters, the mean and standard deviation of the parameter lengths are used as the detectors. The attack of which system call order is normal but the parameter values are changed, such as the format string attack, cannot be detected by the method that considers only the system call orders, whereas the model that considers only the system call parameters has the drawback of high positive defect rate because of the information obtained from the interval where the attack has not been initiated, since the parameters are considered individually. To solve these problems, it is necessary to develop a more efficient learning and detecting method that groups the continuous system call orders and parameters as the approach that considers various characteristics of system call related to attacking simultaneously. In this article, we detected the anomaly of the system call orders and parameters by applying the temporal concept to the system call orders and parameters in order to improve the rate of positive defect, that is, the misjudgment of anomaly as normality. The result of the experiment where the DARPA data set was employed showed that the proposed method improved the positive defect rate by 13% in the system call order model where time was considered in comparison with that of the model where time was not considered.

A Study on Behaviors of Pile Protective Structures by Simplified Collision Model (간이충돌모델을 이용한 파일형 선박충돌방호공의 충돌거동 연구)

  • Lee, Gye Hee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, the deformation-energy curves of the plastic hinges and the vessel bow, which are the major energy dissipation mechanism of a pile protective structures, were estimated, and the parametric study was performed by using those curves to apply the simplified collision model which developed in the previous study. Considered parameters were the mass of slab, the number of piles, the mass of vessel and the collision speed. As results, the difference of energy dissipation mechanism of two pile types (filled and non-filled) were revealed, and the collision behaviors of the protective structures could be tuned by the control of the inertia mass of capping slab. Therefore the simplified collision model can be used in a primary design and optimal design.

Creep Behavior of Unconsolidated Rock with Mathematical Concept Solution (수학적 개념 해를 적용한 미고결 암석의 Creep거동 해석)

  • Jang, Myoung-Hwan
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2018
  • Burger's model was used to analyze creep characteristics of unconsolidated rock. Burger's model should determine four physical parameters from two pairs of data. In this study, physical parameters of Burger's model were determined by applying mathematical concept solution. Creep was accelerated for three years using the determined physical parameters of the Burger's model for unconsolidated rocks. As a result, the creep behavior showed a continuous deformation behavior without convergence. Therefore, in this mine, it is analyzed that the application of U-Beam is more appropriate than roofbolt in terms of stability.

Characteristics of River Sand Soil Parameter for Single Work-Hardening Constitutive Model to Stress Path (강모래의 응력경로에 따른 단일항복면 구성모델의 토질매개변수 특성)

  • Lee, Jong-Cheon;Cho, Won-Beom
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.395-400
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    • 2012
  • The stress-strain relationship of soil is dependent on a number of factors such as soil type, density, stress level and stress path. Th accurate stress-stain relationship can be predict using a constitutive model incorporated all influencing factors. In this study, an isotropic compression-expansion test and a series of drained conventional triaxial tests with several stress paths were performed on Baekma river sand to investigate parameters characteristics of Lade's single work hardening model depending on the stress path.. Based on test results, the parameters of yield function (h, ${\alpha}$) are not much influenced by stress level and stress path, the these parameters do affect a little bit of stress-strain behavior. The parameters h and ${\alpha}$ are closely related to failure criterion ${\eta}_1$, they can be replaced by failure criterion parament. We also observed that predicted values from the Lade's single hardening constitutive model are well matched with the observed data.

Prediction of Equivalent Stress Block Parameters for High Strength Concrete (고강도 콘크리트의 등가응력 매개변수 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Do Hyung;Jeon, Jeongmoon;Jeong, Minchul;Kong, Jungsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.3A
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    • pp.227-234
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    • 2011
  • Recently, a high strength concrete of more than 40 MPa has been increasingly used in practice. However, use of the high strength concrete may influence on design parameters, particularly stress distribution. This is very true since the current everyday practice employs equivalent rectangular stress distribution that is derived from normal strength concrete. Subsequently, the stress distribution seems to be reevaluated and then a new distribution with new parameters needs to be suggested for the high strength concrete. For this purpose, linear and multiple regression analyses have been carried out in term of using experimental data for the high strength concrete of 40 to 80 MPa available in literatures. Accordingly, new parameters associated with the stress distribution have been proposed and employed for the design of flexural and compressive members. Comparative design examples indicate that designs with new parameters reduce section dimensions compared to those with the current code parameters for concrete strengths of 40 to 70 MPa. In particular, for compressive members, design with new parameters exhibit conservative compressive force compared to those with the current code parameters.

The Suggestion of Nonlinear 4-Parameters Model for Predicting Creep Deformation of Concrete (콘크리트 크리프 변형 예측을 위한 비선형 4-매개변수 모델의 제안)

  • Lee, Chang Soo;Kim, Hyeon Kyeom
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1A
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2006
  • To obtain realistic stress-strain relation in concrete, it is necessary to improve the constitutive model for creep and shrinkage of concrete. This study is made up with predicting model of creep using rheological approach and mathematical development which is solution for phenomenon of concrete creep. Long-term deformation components are combined based on traditional 4-parameters model. Creep deformation is obtained adequately using 4-parameters determined by considering aging effect and microprestress among gels. And coefficient of effective viscosity is able to represent both basic creep and total creep included drying creep. This study attempt to establish mathematical model considering effects of aging, hydration, and variations of pore humidity. It can predict both basic creep and total creep. Values of result between prediction and experiment have greater than correlation factor 99%. Additionally experimental results report bad consentaneity with highway design specification adopting FIB MC 90. Rather than those are similar to FIB MC 90 rev.99.

RoutingConvNet: A Light-weight Speech Emotion Recognition Model Based on Bidirectional MFCC (RoutingConvNet: 양방향 MFCC 기반 경량 음성감정인식 모델)

  • Hyun Taek Lim;Soo Hyung Kim;Guee Sang Lee;Hyung Jeong Yang
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we propose a new light-weight model RoutingConvNet with fewer parameters to improve the applicability and practicality of speech emotion recognition. To reduce the number of learnable parameters, the proposed model connects bidirectional MFCCs on a channel-by-channel basis to learn long-term emotion dependence and extract contextual features. A light-weight deep CNN is constructed for low-level feature extraction, and self-attention is used to obtain information about channel and spatial signals in speech signals. In addition, we apply dynamic routing to improve the accuracy and construct a model that is robust to feature variations. The proposed model shows parameter reduction and accuracy improvement in the overall experiments of speech emotion datasets (EMO-DB, RAVDESS, and IEMOCAP), achieving 87.86%, 83.44%, and 66.06% accuracy respectively with about 156,000 parameters. In this study, we proposed a metric to calculate the trade-off between the number of parameters and accuracy for performance evaluation against light-weight.

An Automated Parameter Selection Procedure for Updating Finite Element Model : Example (유한요소모델 개선을 위한 자동화된 매개변수 선정법 : 예제)

  • Gyeong-Ho, Kim;Youn-sik, Park
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.882-886
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    • 2004
  • In this section, the proposed parameter selection procedure is applied to two example problems, one is the plate example given in section 2.2 and the other is a cover structure of hard disk drive (HDD).

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