• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 관리계획

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Quantification of Schedule Delay Risk of Rain via Text Mining of a Construction Log (공사일지의 텍스트 마이닝을 통한 우천 공기지연 리스크 정량화)

  • Park, Jongho;Cho, Mingeon;Eom, Sae Ho;Park, Sun-Kyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2023
  • Schedule delays present a major risk factor, as they can adversely affect construction projects, such as through increasing construction costs, claims from a client, and/or a decrease in construction quality due to trims to stages to catch up on lost time. Risk management has been conducted according to the importance and priority of schedule delay risk, but quantification of risk on the depth of schedule delay tends to be inadequate due to limitations in data collection. Therefore, this research used the BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) language model to convert the contents of aconstruction log, which comprised unstructured data, into WBS (Work Breakdown Structure)-based structured data, and to form a model of classification and quantification of risk. A process was applied to eight highway construction sites, and 75 cases of rain schedule delay risk were obtained from 8 out of 39 detailed work kinds. Through a K-S test, a significant probability distribution was derived for fourkinds of work, and the risk impact was compared. The process presented in this study can be used to derive various schedule delay risks in construction projects and to quantify their depth.

Identification and Effect Analysis of Risk Factors for Build Transfer Lease Projects (BTL민간투자사업의 리스크 식별 및 영향도 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Jung-Man;Park, Young-Min;Kim, Soo-Yong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.1 s.35
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2007
  • The Build-Transfer-Lease(BTL) system is a new way of attracting private capital to social infrastructure construction projects. Private companies will get back their investment by leasing facilities to the government. In January 2005, government introduces a 'Korean New Deal Policy' to initiate BTL system in the field of social infrastructure development such as education, public welfare, housing, culture etc. As BTL being still in premature phase, thus it is lack of knowledge in BTL and there is no such studies about problems and impacts of BTL projects. However, there could be so many problems underlying within BTL projects. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to identify various risk factors during implementation of BTL projects. For this purpose, five BTL undertaking projects were studied. Field survey was conducted based-on interview instruments. Prevailing risk factors in operating the BTL Project were collected from the both officials of project promoters and concessionaires. In addition, a distinct need has emerged for analysis of risk factors for BTL projects. Based on real cases, this study resulted in risk factors influencing every phases and grouped risk factors into each phase. Moreover, this study also perform sensitivity analysis in order to know how risk factors affect to BTL projects. From analyzing the data, the study addresses that both major BTL project participants 'the competent authority' and 'Special purpose company(SPC)' have many problems and difficulties to operate the projects.

A Study of Port Facility Maintenance and Decision-making Support System Development (항만시설 유지관리 의사결정 지원 시스템 개발 연구)

  • Na, Yong Hyoun;Park, Mi Yeon;Choi, Doo Young
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.290-305
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Currently, port facility informatization technology is focused on the planning and design phases, so the necessity of research and technology development on the port facility maintenance system based on life cycle-level information is emphasized. Method: Based on the maintenance history data of port facilities and facility operation information, from the perspective of the life cycle of port facilities, the system is configured to enable maintenance decisions for port facilities through analysis of aging patterns, performance degradation prediction models, and risk analysis and proposed a method of expressing information. Result: A function was developed to simultaneously display the SOC performance evaluation and the comprehensive performance evaluation developed in this study, so that mid-to long-term maintenance and reinforcement and facility expansion can be applied and comparatively judged. Conclusion: The integrated port performance system developed in this study induces and supports the risk minimization of port facility management by proactively promoting appropriate repair and reinforcement measures through historical and operational information on port facilities.

Data-driven Interactive Planning Methodology for EPC Plant Projects (EPC 플랜트 프로젝트의 초기 공정계획을 위한 통합 데이터 활용 방안)

  • Wang, Hankyeom;Choi, Jaehyun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2019
  • EPC plant projects are large and complex, requiring systematic working methodologies, accumulated data, and thorough planning through communications between the entities. In this study, the method of extracting the process planning information using asset data of the plant project and using it to present the initial process plan is presented through the concept of IAP(Interactive Planning). In order to carry out the effective IAP at the early stage of the project, this study extracted the schedule element information from the asset data, created the process plan for each work package, and applied it to the sample project case. Through the proposed IAP methodology, it is possible to promote the utilization of asset data, to identify schedule risks, and to develop countermeasures, which can form the basis for establishing the process management strategy to successfully complete the project.

Analysis on the International Trends in Safe Management of Very Low Level Waste Based upon Graded Approach and Their Implications (차등접근법에 근거한 극저준위폐기물의 안전관리 국제동향 및 시사점에 대한 고찰)

  • Cheong, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2011
  • Recently, International Atomic Energy Agency and major leading countries in radioactive waste management tend to subdivide the categories of radioactive waste based upon risk-graded approach. In this context, the category of very low level waste has been newly introduced, or optimized management options for this kind of waste have been pursued in many countries. The application of engineered surface landfill type facilities dedicated to dispose of very low level waste has been gradually expanded, and it was analyzed that their design concept of isolation has been much advanced than those of the old fashioned surface trench-type disposal facilities for low and intermediate level waste, which were usually constructed in 1960's. In addition, the management options for very low level waste in major leading countries are varied depending upon and interfaced with the affecting factors such as: national framework for clearance, legal and practical availability of low and intermediate level waste repository and/or non-nuclear waste landfill, public acceptance toward alternative waste management options, and so forth. In this regard, it was concluded that optimized long-term management options for very low level waste in Korea should be also established in a timely manner through comprehensive review and discussions, in preparation of decommissioning of large nuclear facilities in the future, and be implemented in a systematic manner under the framework of national policy and management plan for radioactive waste management.

Risk-based Profit Prediction Model for International Construction Projects (해외건설공사의 리스크 분석에 기초한 수익성 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Du-Yon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4D
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    • pp.635-647
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    • 2006
  • Korean construction companies first advanced to the international markets in 1960's and so far have brought more than 4,900 projects which account for 193 billion dollars approximately. With the large increase of national employment and income being followed by the achievement, Korea's construction industry has made an enormous contribution to the improvement of domestic economy for the last 40 years. However, recently the increased risk in international markets as well as the sharpening competition with foreign companies promising in terms of advanced technologies and low labor cost have been driving Korean construction away from the market shares. According to ENR (Engineering News Record, 1994~2003), it is revealed that 15.1% of top 225 global contractors are suffering from loss in international construction markets. This phenomenon is largely due to the highly uncertain characteristics of international projects, which are inherently exposed to various and complicated risky situations. Furthermore, especially for Korean construction companies, it is often the case that the failure in an international construction project cannot be offset by even a sufficient number of successful domestic achievements. Therefore, not only the selective screening among the nominated projects which have strong possibility of collapse but the systematic strategies for controlling potential risk factors are also considered indispensable in international construction portfolio management. The purpose of this study is to first analyze the causal relationships of the profit-influencing variables and the project success, and develop the profitability forecasting model in international construction projects.

A Study on Disaster Recovery Planning and Automation Support System Implementation in a Data Consolidation Center of Multi-organizations (다기관 통합전산센터의 재해복구체계 및 자동화시스템 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Im, Seong-Muk;Lee, Yeong-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.215-219
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 다기관 통합전산센터의 다양한 운영모형 분석을 통한 효과적인 운영 대안을 수립하고, 최적 운영대안의 상시운영체계(BCP) 구성방향을 제시한다. 또한 현행 다기관 통합전산센터의 리스크 분석과 리스크 관리 특성을 모형화하여 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영계획 이행 절차의 자동화 시스템 구축 방안을 제시한다. 이를 위해 본 연구는 4가지 사항을 중점적으로 다루었다. 첫째, 통합전산센터와 관련한 다양한 용어에 대해 정리를 하고, 통합전산센터의 국내외 사례를 살펴봄으로써 통합전산센터의 중요요소를 도출하였다. 둘째, 다기관 통합전산센터의 논리적 운영모형을 분류하여 각 모형에 따른 장${\cdot}$단점과 실현가능성을 진단하고, 대표적인 모형에 대한 가상환경을 구성하여 운영비용 측면에서 비교하였다. 또한 AHP기법을 이용하여 관련 전문가 인터뷰를 통한 정성적인 측면에서의 비교도 실시하였다. 셋째, 운영모형분석을 통하여 도출된 최적대안에 대한 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영체계의 수립 방향에 대하여 기존의 정보시스템을 위한 방법론과의 비교를 통하여 설명하였다. 넷째, 다기관 통합전산센터의 상시운영체계의 구성방향을 반영한 자동화시스템의 기본적인 구축방안에 대하여 간략하게 정리하고 그 기대효과를 제시하였다.

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Identification and importance analysis of hazards affecting the stability of TBM tunnelling works (TBM 터널 굴착 안정성에 영향을 미치는 위험요소 도출 및 중요도 결정)

  • Seong, Joo-Hyun;Youn, Jun-Ung
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.973-984
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    • 2017
  • There is a growing need to apply TBM tunnelling method for the construction of underground facilities such as subways and utility tunnels in urban areas. Due to the variability and uncertainty of the ground, tunnelling in urban areas has various safety hazards which could cause damage to people and properties and it is very costly to recover from accidents. Therefore, it is very important to identify hazards from the planning and design phase and to establish risk mitigation measures. In this study, a total of 31 hazards affecting the stability of TBM tunnelling works in urban areas were listed from both the technical literature and correspondence with experts in tunnelling area. The importance and priorities of the hazards were analyzed by conducting Delphi technique, which is a decision-making method by consensus among experts. Finally, 12 hazards that satisfy the content validity criteria were settled and could be used as major control factors for accident prevention during TBM tunnelling works.

Current Status and Prospect of Techniques for Identification of Sabotage Targets (에너지 시스템의 사보타지 표적 인식 기법의 현황 및 전망)

  • Kim, Seong-Ho;Choi, Y.;Jung, W.S.;Kim, K.Y.;Yang, J.E.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Energy Engineering kosee Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.288-293
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    • 2007
  • 미국 911 테러 발생 이후로, 국가 기반시설(예: 송/배전 전력망, 석유/가스 파이프라인, 원자력 발전소, 정보통신 시설, 교통 시설, 금융 시설, 매스미디어 시설 등)에 대한 테러리스트의 사보타지 리스크를 관리하는 도전문제에 정부 차원이나, 기업 차원에서 국내외적으로 뜨거운 이목이 집중되고 있다. 그 가운데 에너지 시스템, 특히 원자력 발전소의 물리적 보안은 국가 안보 차원에서 매우 중대한 이슈가 되고 있다. 이는 사보타지로 인한 이러한 시스템의 파손이 국민, 작업자, 또는 외부 환경에 방사성물질 누출과 같은 중대한 결말을 초래할 수 있기 때문이다. 원전과 같은 복잡 시스템에서 설계 기준 위협이 초래할 수 있는 이러한 결말은 그 시스템의 특정 핵심 표적(예: 부품, 구역, 자산, 행위, 인원)의 방호를 통해 효과적으로 방어될 수 있다. 다시 말하면, 표적 인식에서는 어떻게 방어할 것인가에 앞서서 무엇을 방어할 것인가를 다루려는 것이다. 이 연구의 주요 목적은 여태까지 개발된 다양한 표적 인식 기법의 개발 추세를 소개하고 향후 전망을 제시하는 데에 있다. 이를 통해 표적 인식 기법의 수월성, 신뢰성, 및 경제성을 제고할 수 있으리라 본다. 표적 인식 기술의 활용성 측면에서 볼 때, 표적 인식은 하드웨어 적이거나 소프트웨어적인 방호 시스템의 설계에 필수적이므로, 신뢰성 높은 표적 인식은 다음과 같은 긍정적인 파급 효과를 줄일 수 있다: 1) 사보타지 리스크 감소에 직간접적으로 기여할 수 있다; 2) 제한적인 보안 재원을 효율적으로 할당할 수 있다; 3) 보안 대응군대의 훈련 시나리오를 개발할 수 있다; 4) 발전소 규제요건인 안전조치 계획을 비용이나 보안 측면에서 향상시켜 국민 안심(public easiness)을 도모할 수 있다. 향후에는 보다 더 광의적인 복잡 시스템 사이에서 상호 연계적인 사보타지에 대한 표적 인식의 기법들이 점검될 필요성이 있다고 본다.

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A study on reliability analysis model of the repair and replacement cycle of a building which utilizes Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 활용한 건축물 수선교체주기 신뢰성 분석 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Rok;Jung, Young-Han;Son, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2010
  • This study presented a model that can enable a reliability analysis for the repair and replacement cycle of a building by using background repair and replacement data and expert opinion as foundation data and applying Monte Carlo Simulation. The presented model offers the time of the repair and replacement of building elements for the period of a year, and supports the prediction of repair and replacement and expenses demand in advance while planning the maintenance of a building. In addition, the model will significantly reduce the risks to the building owner with regard to maintenance decisions. In addition, when a person in charge of the maintenance of large-scale building assets is having difficulties making decisions regarding the repair and replacement of existing building elements due to a lack of background data to support a long-term policy on the repair and replacement requirements, an engineering solution that can ensure the adequacy of this is provided. In summary, it can be largely divided into three study results. First, a method of estimating the repair and replacement cycle that can deal with the development of a construction system was developed. Second, a probabilistic methodology that can quantify the risk of the repair and replacement cycle was proposed. Third, the proposed model can be used as a means of supporting designer and constructor in making decisions for the life cycle plan of a building during a construction project.