• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크분석

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Schedule Risk Management of Reinforced Concrete Construction at the Preconstruction Phase (착공전 단계에서의 철근콘크리트 공사 공정리스크 관리 방안)

  • Ryu, Han-Guk;Kim, Sun-Kuk;Lee, Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.5 s.27
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2005
  • According to the recent systemic changes such as construction market reduction, five days per week system, introduction of construction duration reduction bidding system and post-construction sale system, the bidding competition have been enhanced. However, there are many construction schedule risks which could delay construction completion. Without the proper identification of construction schedule risks and the structured construction schedule risk management, the competitive advantages of construction project could not be made. Previous researches to solve the problem have been focused on the construction schedule categorization, construction schedule management, and the system development to manage the construction schedule risk. Therefore, this study selected the reinforeced concrete construction as the studied work due to the major impact characteristics on the total construction duration and the quite accident rate, and then proposed the real construction schedule risks of reinforced concrete construction and the construction risk management method based on the previous studies, many times of expert interviews and brainstorming.

A Study on Composition and Application of Risk Management Planning and Procedure for Successful Overseas Construction Projects - Based on the PRINCE2 Methodology in the UK - (성공적인 해외 건설 프로젝트 수행을 위한 리스크 관리 계획·절차 구축 및 활용 방안에 대한 연구 - 영국의 사업관리 기법인 PRINCE2를 기반으로 -)

  • Kang, Sinbong;Kim, Seungchul
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2016
  • Risk management is an important element for successful management of overseas construction projects. This study reports a case study in which we proposed a risk management planning and procedure for plant construction which can be applied throughout the project life cycle. We analyzed the risk management practices of Korean construction companies by applying the concept of the PRINCE2 method developed in the UK, and proposed a risk management planning and procedure with organizational structure and working process. The suggested risk management planning and procedure was applied to an overseas plant construction project, and produced good results. It is believed that the procedure suggested here can also be aplied to other companies to enhance the competency in the global construction market.

A Study on Cybersecurity Risk Assessment in Maritime Sector (해상분야 사이버보안 위험도 분석)

  • Yoo, Yun-Ja;Park, Han-Seon;Park, Hye-Ri;Park, Sang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.134-136
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    • 2019
  • The International Maritime Organization (IMO) issued 2017 Guidelines on maritime cyber risk management. In accordance with IMO's maritime cyber risk management guidelines, each flag State is required to comply with the Safety Management System (SMS) of the International Safety Management Code (ISM) that the cyber risks should be integrated and managed before the first annual audit following January 1, 2021. In this paper, to identify cyber security management targets and risk factors in the maritime sector and to conduct vulnerability analysis, we catagorized the cyber security sector in management, technical and physical sector in maritime sector based on the industry guidelines and international standards proposed by IMO. In addition, the Risk Matrix was used to conduct a qualitative risk assessment according to risk factors by cyber security sector.

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An Analysis of the Importance of the Risk Factors Influencing the Calculation of the Subcontract Construction Bidding Cost (건설공사 하도급 입찰단가 산정에 영향을 미치는 리스크 요인의 중요도 분석)

  • Lee, Sung-Goo;Park, Tae-Keun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2007
  • The construction environment has the trend of oversizing and professionalizing, the increase of the construction period, and the risk factors and the uncertain factors which are important in the construction bid. The misunderstanding and the lack of knowledge of the subcontractor result in the decrease of the profit or the deficit. In conclusion, these are supposed to give the financial burden to the subcontractor. So, it is very important to predict the construction preparation cost calculation by the risk factors in the bidding stage and to calculate the bid unit cost considering the target profit of the subcontractor in the process of the mutual agreement and performance of the contract. In these points of view, this study analyzes how the importance of the risks influencing the bidding cost calculation affect the construction cost, and this analysis can be used as the basic data to establish the suitable bid strategy of the subcontractor.

A Study on Perception of Risk Factor in Supply Chain - Focus on Distribution Center - (공급사슬에서 존재하는 위험(Risk)요소의 인지에 관한 연구 - 물류센터를 중심으로 -)

  • Shin, Chang-Hoon;Jeoung, Dong-Hun;Choi, Min-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.269-274
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    • 2005
  • This study gathered the factor of supply chain risk through literature review, and measured the importance of risk factors which have been recognized by domestic companies. This study has purposes and necessities as follows. First, supply risk factors were classified and explored through positive studies about supply chain risk. Most of previous studies helps grasping the meaning of supply chain risk but limited in conceptual side. Second, this study used AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) method which makes decision-making problem classified, simplicated and systematized to evaluate the importance of supply-chain risk recognized by the companies. Finally, this study suggests registration-point in companies's efficient supply activity would be great by measuring the importance of supply-chain through AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process).

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A Study on Oil Price Risk Affecting the Korean Stock Market (한국주식시장에 파급되는 국제유가의 위험에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Ji-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.75-106
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    • 2007
  • In this study, it is analyzed whether oil price plays a major role in the pricing return on Koran stock market and examined why the covariance risk between oil and return on stock is different in each industry. Firstly, this study explores whether the expected rate of return on stock is pricing due to global oil price factors as a function of risk premium by using a two-factor APT. Also, it is examined whether spill-over effects of oil price volatility affect the beta risk to oil price. Considering the asymmetry of oil price volatility, we use the GJR model. As a result, it shows that oil price is an independent pricing factor and oil price volatility transmits to stock return in only electricity and electrical equipment. Secondly, the two step-analyzing process is introduced to find why the covariance between oil price factor and stock return is different in each industry. The first step is to study whether beta risk exists in each industry by using two proxy variables like size and liquidity as control variables. The second step is to grasp the systematic relationship between the difference of liquidity and size and beta to oil price factor by using the panel-data model which can be analyzed efficiently using the cross-sectional data formed with time series. Through the analysis, we can argue that oil price factor is an independent pricing factor in only electricity and electrical equipment having the greatest market capitalization, and know that beta risk to oil price factor is a proxy of size in the other industries. According to the result of panel-data model, it is argued that the beta to oil price factor augments when market capitalization increases and this fact supports the first assertion. In conclusion, the expected rate of return of electricity and electrical equipment works as a function of risk premium to market portfolio and oil price, and the reason to make beta risk power differentiated in each industry attributes to the size.

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An Integrative Method of FTA and FMEA for Software Security Analysis of a Smart Phone (스마트 폰의 소프트웨어 보안성 분석을 위한 FTA와 FMEA의 통합적 방법)

  • Kim, Myong-Hee;Toyib, Wildan;Park, Man-Gon
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.2 no.12
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    • pp.541-552
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    • 2013
  • Recently software security of the smart phone is an important issue in the field of information science and technology due to fast propagation of smart technology in our life. The smart phone as the security critical systems which are utilizing in terminal systems of the banking, ubiquitous home management, airline passengers screening, and so on are related to the risk of costs, risk of loss, risk of availability, and risk by usage. For the security issues, software hazard analysis of smart phone is the key approaching method by use of observed failures. In this paper, we propose an efficient integrative framework for software security analysis of the smart phone using Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Failure Mode Effect Analysis (FMEA) to gain a convergence security and reliability analysis technique on hand handle devices. And we discuss about that if a failure mode effect analysis performs simpler, not only for improving security but also reducing failure effects on this smart device, the proposed integrative framework is a key solution.

Comparative risk analysis of NATM and TBM for mixed-face large-diameter urban tunneling (도심지 대단면 복합지반 NATM 과 TBM 터널공법의 비교위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Geun;Moon, Joon-Shik;Shim, Jai-Beom;Lee, Seung-Bok;Choi, Chang-Rim;Chun, Youn-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2011
  • The risk assessment is essential for tunnel design in order to minimize risks associated with uncertainty about geological conditions and tunneling method. This paper provides a comparative risk analysis of a large single bore TBM driven tunnel against sequentially excavated NATM tunnel for a mixed-face large-diameter urban tunnel project near or under a river. The focus of this assessment is on the risks associated with the tunnel excavation methods, in particular whether a TBM or NATM presents more or less risk to achieve the planned excavation duration and bring the project within the estimated bid price. First, the impacts and risks to tunnel construction under each method were discussed, and the risks were scored and ranked in the order of perceived severity and likelihood. Finally, the assessment from a risk based perspective was conducted to decide which alternate tunneling method is more likely to deliver the project with the least time and cost. It is very important to note that this study is only applied to this tunnel project with specific geological conditions and other contract requirements.

Development of integrated disaster mapping method (II) : disaster mapping with risk analysis (통합 재해지도 작성 기법 개발(II) : 리스크 분석을 적용한 재해지도 작성)

  • Park, Jun Hyung;Kim, Byunghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2022
  • In this study, a method for an integrated flood risk mapping was proposed that simultaneously considers the flood inundation map indicating the degree of risk and the disaster vulnerability index. This method creates a new disaster map that can be used in actual situations by providing various and specific information on a single map. In order to consider the human, social and economic factors in the disaster map, the study area was divided into exposure, vulnerability, responsiveness, and recovery factors. Then, 7 indicators for each factor were extracted using the GIS tool. The data extracted by each indicator was classified into grades 1 to 5, and the data was selected as a disaster vulnerability index and used for integrated risk mapping by factor. The risk map for each factor, which overlaps the flood inundatoin map and the disaster vulnerability index factor, was used to establish an evacuation plan by considering regional conditions including population, assets, and buildings. In addition, an integrated risk analysis method that considers risks while converting to a single vulnerability through standardization of the disaster vulnerability index was proposed. This is expected to contribute to the establishment of preparedness, response and recovery plans for providing detailed and diverse information that simultaneously considers the flood risk including social, humanistic, and economic factors.

A Sensitivity Analysis for Risk Management of Private Investment Projects - Focused on BTL Projects - (민자유치사업의 리스크 관리를 위한 민감요인 분석 - BTL 사업을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Sun-Kuk;Park, Tong-Kyu
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.1 s.29
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    • pp.168-175
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    • 2006
  • Since the partly changed 'Private Investment Act for Social Infrastructure Projects' set forth in January 2005, the number of BTL(Build-Transfer-Lease) projects offered to the market has rapidly increased. The scope of BTL projects offered covers not only legally defined facilities but several facilities for the private schools. A BTL project, by definition, is a way of project management that includes the entire process of development such as planning, design, construction and operation over the period of 20-30 years. As a result, various types of risk may happen at each stage of the project and it is extremely important to efficiently control the sensitive factors that affect the risk profiles of the project. The examples of the sensitive factors are construction cost, interest rate, discount rate, lease amount, rental fee, O&M cost and so on. This study examines the characteristics of these sensitivity factors, analyzes their impact on the project feasibility and suggests the alternatives to manage them efficiently.