• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크분석

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Effect of Supply Chain Risk on Port Container Throughput: Focusing on the Case of Busan Port (공급망 리스크가 항만 컨테이너 물동량에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 부산항 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Sung-Ki;Kim, Chan-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2023
  • As the scope of supply chains expands globally, unpredictable risks continue to arise. The occurrence of these supply chain risks affects port cargo throughput and hinders port operation. In order to examine the impact of global supply chain risks on port container throughput, this study conducted an empirical analysis on the impact of variables such as the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI), Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI), Industrial Production Index, and Retail Sales Index on port traffic using the vector autoregressive(VAR) model. As a result of the analysis, the rise in GSCPI causes a short-term decrease in the throughput of Busan Port, but after a certain point, it acts as a factor increasing the throughput and affects it in the form of a wave. In addition, the industrial production index and the retail sales index were found to have no statistically significant effect on the throughput of Busan Port. In the case of SCFI, the effect was almost similar to that of GSCPI. The results of this study reveal how risks affect port cargo throughput in a situation where supply chain risks are gradually increasing, providing many implications for establishing port operation policies for future supply chain risks.

A Study of the Analysis and Identification of Risk Factor in Regard to Cash Flow in Public Rental Housing Development Project (공공건설임대주택사업의 현금흐름에 대한 리스크분석)

  • Lee Sang-Gon;Lee Jae-Young;Lee Hak-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.423-426
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    • 2004
  • Costs of public rental housing development project consist on various kinds of profits and expenses such as national housing fund, rental cost, construction cost, financing cost. Therefore, project would not be executed without minute management and precise prediction about each item. Cash (low prediction and analysis are necessary to grasp current situation of project, because construction project which is conducted for a long period has fluent risks and inflows and outflows of cash. Although cash flow analysis has been conducted, cash flow has never been expected and managed. General matters to expect cash flow can be known by actual results and literatures. Hut there is no thesis which is studied about risk to enhance precision of expectation of cash flow. As existing thesises studied the risk about whole project, we haven't known precise relations of cash flow and project. Therefore, in this study, we are supposed to analysis and distinguish risk facts which can affect each item of cash flow for precise cash flow expectation and management of public rental housing development project.

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A Case Study of the Risk Identification in Construction Project (건설사업의 리스크 식별에 관한 사례연구)

  • Ahn, Sanghyun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2015
  • In the construction industry, risk management has gained constant attention as the factor not only to evaluate global competitiveness of the country but also to secure competitiveness of public institutions and private companies. For effective construction risk management, the specific work process improvement that can be employed in the field in terms of risk management of the entire corporation such as financial, insurance and safety management is necessary. To manage construction risks, what is important is the step to identifying inherent risks in the construction project. The identification of risks will be followed by the step to seeking ways to establish and manage strategies responding to the risks. This study suggests ways and processes to make a checkslit to identify risks through case studies. To that end, the focus will be placed on working process improvement of risk identification among stages to manage construction risks such as risk identification and analyses, planning to respond to risks, risk monitoring and management. The case study checklists show that setting up the system to classify risks by stage is helpful to figure out causes of risks to reduce or eliminate risk factors. The checklist making process that considers features of the project is expected to contribute to successful completion of the project by enabling effective risk identification and systematic risk management.

The Concept of 'Risk' and the Proportionality Review of Infectious Disease Prevention Measures (감염병 팬데믹에서의 '리스크' 개념과 방역조치에 대한 비례성 심사의 구체화 -집합제한조치에 대한 국내외 판결을 중심으로-)

  • You, Kihoon
    • The Korean Society of Law and Medicine
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.139-207
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    • 2022
  • As various state restrictions on individual freedom were imposed during the COVID-19 pandemic, concerns have been raised that excessive infringements on fundamental rights were indiscriminately permitted based on the public interest of preventing infectious diseases. Therefore, the question of how to set acceptable limits of liberty restrictions on individuals has emerged. However, since the phenomenon of infections spreading to the population is only predicted statistically, how to deal with the risk of the infected individual as a subject of legal analysis has become a problem. In the absence of a theoretical framework of legal analysis of risk, the risk of infected individuals during the pandemic was not analyzed strictly, and proportionality review of infection prevention measures was often only an abstract comparison of the importance of public interest and individual rights. Therefore, this research aims to conduct a theoretical review on how risk can be conceptualized legally in a public health crisis, and to develop a theoretical framework for proportionality review of the risk of liberty-limiting measures during a pandemic. Chapter 2 analyzes the legal philosophical concepts of risk, which are the basis for liberty restrictions during a public health crisis, and applies and extends them to the pandemic. Chapter 3 reviews previous studies related to liberty restriction measures in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, and points out they have a limitation that specific criteria for the proportionality review of public health measures in the pandemic have not been presented. Accordingly, Chapter 3 specifies the methodological framework for proportionality review, referring to the theoretical discussion on risks in Chapter 2. Chapter 4 reviews the legitimacy of gathering restriction orders, applying the theoretical discussion in Chapter 2 and the criteria for proportionality review established in Chapter 3. In particular, Section 4 examines logic of proportionality review in judicial precedents over the ban on gathering restrictions implemented in the COVID-19 pandemic. In analyzing the precedents, the logic of proportionality review in each case is critically reviewed and reconstructed based on the theoretical framework presented in this research.

Social Issue Risk Type Classification based on Social Bigdata (소셜 빅데이터 기반 사회적 이슈 리스크 유형 분류)

  • Oh, Hyo-Jung;An, Seung-Kwon;Kim, Yong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2016
  • In accordance with the increased political and social utilization of social media, demands on online trend analysis and monitoring technologies based on social bigdata are also increasing rapidly. In this paper, we define 'risk' as issues which have probability of turn to negative public opinion among big social issues and classify their types in details. To define risk types, we conduct a complete survey on news documents and analyzed characteristics according to issue domains. We also investigate cross-medias analysis to find out how different public media and personalized social media. At the result, we define 58 risk types for 6 domains and developed automatic classification model based on machine learning algorithm. Based on empirical experiments, we prove the possibility of automatic detection for social issue risk in social media.

An Effect Analysis of Risk Factors for Build Transfer Lease Projects (BTL 민간투자사업의 리스크인자에 대한 영향도 분석)

  • Lee, Yang-Woo;Kim, Soo-Yong;Park, Young-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2006
  • In the recent years, the government pay more interested in BTL projects, this led to rapid growth of BTL projects. But the project stakeholder has encountered with some problems during initial phase. As a result, a distinct need has emerged for analysis of risk factors for BTL projects. Based on real cases, this study resulted in risk factors influencing every phases and grouped risk factors into each phase. In addition, this study also perform sensitivity analysis in order to know how risk factors affect to BTL projects. Moreover, the result of this study can be used as a tools for anyone who study or encounter the same problems in the future. The paper can be used as standards for risk assignment that occur between competent authorities and private enterprises.

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Development of Reasoning System and Database for Construction Safety Management (건설안전관리 데이터베이스 및 추론 시스템 구축)

  • Chung Byoung-Hwa;Chung Young-Shik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.3 no.3 s.11
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2002
  • This paper describes the second stage of the work aiming at proposing a reasonable risk management response system for construction safety. By means of questionnaires/interviews and two sample t-tests, significant risk factors are identified for three different conditions. Then a Case-Based Reasoning System is built for use at construction sites to simulate possible accidents. This Construction Management Reasoning System(CMRS) nay be used by safety managers at sites every day (or education and training of workers to prevent accidents. The case base built so far is limited to the construction of expressway bridges. There is much need for further research since the simulation of possible accidents is to be a good means to enhance safety awareness of construction workers.

A Study on the Risk Evaluation of Construction Management Based on Risk Identification (위험도 기반 건설경영 리스크 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Chul;Lee, Gun;Yeo, Sang-Ku;Go, Seong-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2009
  • Construction industry is a complex industry which should be invested with plenty capital, manpower and resources. Investment factors and inner and outer environmental factors should be managed systemically in terms with risk factors possible to occur. It maximizes the profit to establish construction management by managing risk systemically. While previous studies were executed with risk related to some special progress lively, studies about risk in managing construction company leave much to be desired. Therefore, this study examined risk in the whole construction management, showed the checklist and deduced the quantitative factors through questionnaire analysis from specialists. Also, priority and grade of construction management factors were evaluated by analyzing weight of construction risk factors.

A Study of Considerations and Way to promote Enterprise Risk Management in Construction Company (건설기업의 전사적 리스크 관리 체계 적용을 위한 고려 사항 및 추진 방안에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-Won;Lee, Jae-Ho;Yu, Jung-Ho;Kim, Chang-Duk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.539-544
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    • 2007
  • Owing to diversification of social desire and increase of demand as economic growth, construction industry recently is trending toward diversification, complication, gigantism. It means that is changing to difficult environment as existing construction company operation. Specially, some big construction companies are promoting get down to construction business risk management skill & development. Enterprise risk management system, recognized to risk portfolio, is suggested. instead of individually risk management. This study indicates ERM basic model, considering construction risk character, for apply to ERM to field of construction . And it is including analysis of recognition level and reality about ERM in construction company.

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Bibliometric Network Analysis on Supply Chain Risk Management Research (공급사슬 리스크 관리 연구동향 분석: 네트워크 분석을 중심으로)

  • Pyun, Jebum;Rha, Jin Sung
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2018
  • Recently, most firms have difficulties in predicting business context due to uncontrollable factors such as natural disasters, terrorism, social and political interests, as well as market factors such as rapid technological change, diversification of customer needs, and intensification of competition with competitors, thereby increasing the importance of risk management. The purpose of this study is to analyze trends of the risk management field concentrating on SCM, which is increasingly interested, and to identify key researches in this field and provide useful academic information. This study collected the information of the articles published in journals using the Scopus database, and analyzed both the network generated by keywords proposed in the articles and the network generated by the information for citations and co-authorship.