• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로짓 모델

Search Result 58, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Effects of Multicollinearity in Logit Model (로짓모형에 있어서 다중공선성의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Si-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.113-126
    • /
    • 2008
  • This research aims to explore the effects of multicollinearity on the reliability and goodness of fit of logit model. To investigate the effects of multicollinearity on the multinominal logit model, numerical experiments are performed. The exploratory variables(attributes of utility functions) which have a certain degree of correlations from (rho=) 0.0 to (rho=) 0.9 are generated and rho-squares and t-statistics which are the indices of goodness of fit and reliability of logit model are traced. From the well designed numerical experiments, following findings are validated : 1) When a new exploratory variable is added, some of rho-squares increase while the others decrease. 2) The higher relations between generic variables lead a logit model worse with respect to goodness of fit. 3) Multicollinearity has a tendency to produce over-evaluated parameters. 4) The reliability of the estimated parameter has a tendency to decrease when the correlations between attributes are high. These results suggest that we have to examine the existence of multicollinearity and perform the proper treatments to diminish multicollinearity when we develop logit model.

Formulating the Landscape Preference Model Using a Mixed Conditional Logit (조건부 로짓함수를 이용한 경관선호 모델: 지리산 국립공원 방문자를 대상으로)

  • Lee, Deokjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.95 no.6
    • /
    • pp.768-777
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study lies in formulating the landscape preference model using a conditional logit that involves the effect of visual elements as well as landscape itself on landscape preferences. To measure landscape preferences, a photo-questionnaire composed of paired photographs of the Cairngorms National Park of Scotland and the Jirisan National Park of Korea was distributed to visitors to the Jirisan National Park of Korea. Visual elements of landscape quantitatively measured by photogrammetry were reduced to orthogonal principal components that were subsequently used as explanatory variables in a conditional logit. As a result, the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself satisfied the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) property and showed reliable goodness of fit (${\rho}^2=0.25$). It was concluded that the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself was appropriate for landscape preference model rather than usual conditional logit excluding the effect.

An Analysis on an Action about Port Choice of Shipper using Fuzzy-Neural Network (퍼지-뉴로를 이용한 화주의 항만선택 행동 분석)

  • Jang, Woon-Jae;Keum, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.31 no.8
    • /
    • pp.725-731
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper aims to analyze an action about a port choice of shipper between two ports. For this propose, this paper analyzed a port choice action for Kwangyang and Busan port using a fuzzy logic and neural network. Also, this paper compared classification performance of fuzzy-neural network to Logit model, and analyzed a port choice action into change Para-meta such as freight volumes and service standard.

The Analysis of Older Driver's Traffic Accident Characteristic at Express-way using Logit model (로짓모델을 이용한 고령운전자 고속도로 교통사고 특성 분석 연구)

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Kim, Young-Suck;Lee, Soo-Beom
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-7
    • /
    • 2009
  • Traffic accident by aging drivers is expected to be on the rise rapidly as the number of aging drivers is rising along with the aging trend being progressed. In this study, traffic accident features depending on the classification of aging population and non aging one was evaluated. As a result of this evaluation, effect factors influencing over the aging population was found to be expressed differently from that of the non aging one. Odds ratio between the aging population and non aging one was evaluated through logit model and a model with potential accident probability of the aged drivers was developed. Accident risk of the aged drivers under the condition of curved road, cutting section and moistured road was revealed to be higher than that of the non aging population.

  • PDF

Analyzing the Impact for Housing Occupied Form of HouseNomad ('하우스노마드족'의 주거점유형태에 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Yun, Jin-Young;Oh, Jongryul
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.14 no.11
    • /
    • pp.955-963
    • /
    • 2014
  • According to the "Population and Housing Census of 2010", announced by the National Statistical Office, "House Nomad group" was increased by more than 70% compared to 2005. Emergence of House Nomad tribe about the cause of the increase of influence and House Nomad tribe give the housing market, but prior to the discussion often, there is no place that still it became clearly evident in the research. The purpose of this study, are looking for the emergence and increasing cause of House Nomad group in terms of consumption behavior of the house. For this reason, We use the Population and Housing Census 1% of the data 2010. and Multinomial Logit Models., is a useful method that can be utilized when there is no rank and order the consumer choice. The results were as follows. House Nomad group was found to be higher probability of living place and good environmental characteristics of housing that has been expressed in the properties of the housing. Also appeared to have a relatively longer time commuting. And that residential mobility is high.

A Gap-acceptance Model Considering Driver's Propensity at Uncontrolled Intersection (운전자 특성 등을 고려한 무통제교차로의 간격수락 모델)

  • Jang, Jeong-Ah;Lee, Jung-Woo;Choi, Kee-Choo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.26 no.6
    • /
    • pp.71-80
    • /
    • 2008
  • Typically uncontrolled intersections are characterized by the absence of signal, stop and yield sign, and by very light traffic volume. In this study, a gap acceptance model for such uncontrolled intersections has been modeled. The motivation is to identify the behavior of drivers so that the traffic flow phenomena can be easily understood. For this, actual traffic survey was accomplished at intersections in Suwon and the data have been fed into modeling process. The logit model was used and the results showed that total delay experienced by drivers, turning right movement, age, sex, and the existence of passenger affected gap acceptance. For example, male drivers, with experiencing longer delay and having passenger(s) with them, accepted shorter gaps. These identified characteristics regarding gap acceptance could be used for facility design and/or safety oriented traffic information dissemination near uncontrolled intersections.

Disaggregate Demand Forecasting and Estimation of the Optimal Price for UTIS Service (무선교통정보수집제공시스템(UTIS) 서비스의 이용 수요 예측 및 이용료 적정 수준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Seok-Yong;Jung, Hun-Young;Ko, Sang-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.26 no.5
    • /
    • pp.101-115
    • /
    • 2008
  • This study reports UTIS(Urban Traffic Information System), which has been generalized in developed countries through brisk research and development and is being promoted for introduction by National Police Agency and Road Traffic Authority to reduce the astronomical amount of social expenses including traffic congestion expenses. Also this study investigates the proper charges for using by the preestimate of demand and contentment according to methods of payment after the service is introduced. The results of this study are as follows. First, demand forecast model is constructed by Binary Logit Model. Second, forecast models of using aspects of UTIS service according to methods of payment are established by Ordered Probit Model. Third, the proper charges for using of UTIS service according to methods of payment are presented to the supplier in the aspects of users. For this, preferences by using aspects and methods of payment are captured. And unit elasticity of coefficient of utilization is understood through responsiveness analysis according to methods of payment.

Predicting Interesting Web Pages by SVM and Logit-regression (SVM과 로짓회귀분석을 이용한 흥미있는 웹페이지 예측)

  • Jeon, Dohong;Kim, Hyoungrae
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.47-56
    • /
    • 2015
  • Automated detection of interesting web pages could be used in many different application domains. Determining a user's interesting web pages can be performed implicitly by observing the user's behavior. The task of distinguishing interesting web pages belongs to a classification problem, and we choose white box learning methods (fixed effect logit regression and support vector machine) to test empirically. The result indicated that (1) fixed effect logit regression, fixed effect SVMs with both polynomial and radial basis kernels showed higher performance than the linear kernel model, (2) a personalization is a critical issue for improving the performance of a model, (3) when asking a user explicit grading of web pages, the scale could be as simple as yes/no answer, (4) every second the duration in a web page increases, the ratio of the probability to be interesting increased 1.004 times, but the number of scrollbar clicks (p=0.56) and the number of mouse clicks (p=0.36) did not have statistically significant relations with the interest.

Public Transportation Information Profit Model in Using CVM(Focused on BIT) (CVM기법을 이용한 대중교통수익모델 연구(BIT를 중심으로))

  • Park, Bum-Jin;Moon, Byeong-Sup
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.11 no.8
    • /
    • pp.459-467
    • /
    • 2011
  • BIS(Bus Information Systems) supplies the bus arrived time information for users in using BIT(Bus Information Terminal) installed on the bus stop. BIT is the device using peoples directly. So, BIT need a quick response when it flew. These are an important factor in the strategy of the BIS maintenance. BIT need a maintenance cost to operate smoothly. So, Suppose that commercial advertisement can be displayed on BIT screen in this study. And we researched an advertisement rates of the optimum level in using Contingent Valuation Method. In addition, we analyzed a characteristic of user's depending on each time using multinomial Logit Modeling method, and studied for BIT operation and ad. displaying strategy considered user's sex, ages and using times.

Changes in National-Level Locational Pattern of Professional Sports Franchises in the U.S. during 1950-2001 : Focusing on Four Major Sports Leagues (미국 프로스포츠 프랜차이즈의 입지패턴과 그 변화양상(1950-2001))

  • Pillsung Byun;Ahn, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.37 no.5
    • /
    • pp.498-510
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study has the following two focuses to analyze the changes in national-level locational pattern of the U.S. professional sports franchises during 1950-2001. The first is to empirically clarify spatial orientation in the changing locational pattern of sports franchises. The second is to identify compared characteristics of the relocation cases reflecting the orientation to other cases, for the variables indicative of franchises' and leagues' pursuits of their relocation-related interests ultimately affecting franchises' relocations, by employing a legit model. As a result of the analyses, sports franchises and leagues, respectively have shown spatial orientation toward relocating to and toward locating new franchises in southern and western areas, responding to the changes in U.S. urbanization pattern. And, relocation cases reflecting the orientation have displayed a feature of the higher annual population growth rate in destination urban area than in origin area, in comparison to other cases.