• Title/Summary/Keyword: 러시아-우크라이나 전쟁

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Effects of the Russia's Ukraine Invasion on the Korea National Security (러시아의 우크라이나침공이 한국안보에 미치는 영향)

  • Jong Wha Lim
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.175-180
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    • 2023
  • On the day of 24 February 2022, Ukraine was invaded by Russia which signed to ensure definitely the Ukraine's national sovereignty, territorial integrity and security under the UN General Assembly Security Council A/49/765, named as the Budapest Agreement. This invasion is the 2nd invasion succeeded in Crimean Peninsula invasion of March 2014 after the Ukraine's national independence in 1991 from the USSR. However this invasion has been continuing for much more than one year. Although Ukraine President appealed the 'peace' toward Russia and claimed also to justify the Budapest Agreement of 1994 toward U.S.A., even any justifications were not appealed. The critical moment of the national abolition could be escaped from the unified desperate spirit of all nations including the president, political-social leaders and military members. Such patriotic and self-help spirits in Ukraine resulted in the active supports from the U.S.A., western and eastern free democratic countries, NATO and EU, and even the neutral countries. Furthermore these supports are increasing much more day-after-day. The lessons which the Ukraine War offers to the Korean national security should be cored with the development of self-reliant national defense capabilities, self-strenuous efforts and unity strengthening of the Korean-U.S. Alliance with the deep confidence.

A Study on the Expansion of Secondary Battery Manufacturing Technology through the Scale of V4 and Energy Platform (V4와 에너지 플랫폼 규모화를 통한 2차 전지 제조 기술 확대 방안)

  • Seo, Dae-Sung
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2022
  • This paper seeks to raise inflection points of battery manufacturing bases in Korea in the V4 region through the reorganization of new industrial technologies in accordance with ESG. As a result, the global supply chain market is cut off. The Russian-Ukraine war and the U.S.-China hegemony are competing in the economic crisis caused by COVID-19. It is showing diversification of new suppliers in an environment where mineral, grain procurement, gas, and even wheat imports from China and Russia are not possible. As a protective glocal, this area is used as a buffer zone(Pro-Russia, Hungary). to an isolated zone(anti-Russia, Poland) by war. In this paper, economic growth is expected to slow further due to the EU tapering period and high inflation in world countries. Due to these changes, the conversion of new tech industry and the contraction of Germany's structure due to energy supply may lose the driving force for economic growth over the past 20 years. This is caused by market disconnection(chasm) in the nominal indicators in this area. On the other hand, Korea should actively develop into the V4 area as an energy generation export (nuclear and electric hydrogen generation) area as a bypass development supply area due to the imbalance in the supply chain of rare earth materials that combines AI. By linking this industry, the energy platform can be scaled up and reliable supply technology (next generation BT, recycling technology) in diversification can be formed in countries around the world. This paper proves that in order to overcome the market chasm caused by the industries connection, new energy development and platform size can be achieved and reliable supply technology (next-generation battery and recycling technology, Low-cost LFP) can be diversified in each country.

The Development of Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Combat Swarm Drones in the Future Intelligent Battlefield (지능화 전장에서 인공지능 기반 공격용 군집드론 운용 방안)

  • Hee Chae;Kyung Suk Lee;Jung-Ho Eom
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2023
  • The importance of combat drones has been highlighted through the recent outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war. The combat drones play a significant role as a a game changer that alters the conventional wisdom of traditional warfare. Many pundits expect the role of combat swarm drones would be more crucial in the future warfare. In this regard, this paper aims to analyze the development of artificial intelligence-enabled combat swarm drones. To transform the human-operated swarm drones into fully autonomous weaponry system our suggestions are as follows. Developments of (1) AI algorithms for optimized swarm drone operations, (2) decentralized command and control system, (3) inter-drones' mission analysis and allocation technology, (4) enhanced drone communication security and (5) set up of ethical guideline for the autonomous system. Specifically, we suggest the development of AI algorithms for drone collision avoidance and moving target attacks. Also, in order to adjust rapidly changing military environment, decentralized command and control system and mission analysis allocation technology are necessary. Lastly, cutting-edging secure communication technology and concrete ethical guidelines are essential for future AI-enabled combat swarm drones.

A Study on the Causality between Geopolitical Risk and Stock Price Volatility of Shipping Companies (지정학적 위기와 해운기업 주가 변동성의 인과관계에 관한 연구)

  • Chi Yeol Kim
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.206-213
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    • 2024
  • This paper aims to investigate the causal relationship between geopolitical risk and stock price volatility in the shipping industry. Given its international nature and dependence on global trade, this industry is exposed to various uncertainties and risk factors. This study specifically focuses on the impact of geopolitical risk, which has gained significant attention in recent years due to events such as the Russia-Ukraine War and the Israel-Hamas War. To analyze this relationship, the study utilizes vector autoregressive model-based causality tests. The research estimates the causal relationship between geopolitical risk indicators and the stock price volatility of five shipping companies listed on the Korea Exchange. The study covers the period from 2000 to 2023. The results indicate the following: Firstly, an increase in geopolitical risk leads to a rise in stock price volatility for shipping companies. Moreover, the impact of actual geopolitical events, rather than just diplomatic disputes, is statistically significant. Lastly, the impact of geopolitical risk is particularly significant in the bulk shipping sector.

Analysis of the Spillover Effect of the Freight Rate Market and Commodity Market Using the Frequency Connectedness Method (주파수 연계성 방법을 적용한 해상운임지수와 상품시장의 전이효과분석)

  • Kim, BuKwon;Won, DooHwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.223-242
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzes the spillover effects of returns and volatility between the commodity market and the maritime freight market across various frequency domains (short-term, medium-term, long-term). The key findings of the study can be summarized as follows. First, from the perspective of returns, a high linkage is observed in the short-term between the commodity and maritime freight markets, with the metal commodities market playing a particularly significant role in information transmission effect of return series. Second, in terms of volatility, the total connectedness increases from the short- to the long-term, with substantial long-term risk transmission effects observed especially in the BDI, BDTI, agricultural, and energy commodity markets. Notably, during major global events such as the U.S.-China trade war, COVID-19, and the Russia-Ukraine conflicts, a marked increase in the risk transmission effect in the energy commodities market was identified.

A Case Study on FPV Drone Combats of the Ukrainian Forces (우크라이나군의 FPV드론 전투 사례 연구)

  • Kang-Il Seo;Sang-Keun Cho;Sang-Hyuk Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.263-270
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    • 2023
  • The Ukraine-Russia war is a testing ground for High-Tech weapons and the first full-scale drone warfare. The Ukrainian military has been aggressively deploying a variety of reconnaissance and attack drones on the battlefield, and more recently, FPV drones, also known as racing drones, have been fitted with bombs as a game-changer in small-unit combat. To better understand these FPV drones, this article reviews their definition, aircraft components, and key characteristics, and draws implications from the Ukrainian military's FPV combat experience. In the future, the combination of artificial intelligence and swarming technology will make FPV drones even more lethal. Accordingly, the need to develop FPV drones suitable for the future operational environment on the Korean Peninsula is increasing, and follow-up research is needed to specify fighting methods and optimize related technologies.

A Critical Essay on 'new cold war' Discourses: The Political Consequences of the 'cold peace' ('신냉전(new cold war)' 담론에 관한 비판적 소론: '차가운 평화(cold peace)'의 정치적 결과)

  • Jun-Kee BAEK
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.27-59
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to serve as a critical comparison of the currently controversial 'new cold war' discourse. It took three triggers for the 'new cold war' discourse to emerge as a major issue in the media and academia and to have real political impact. With the launch of China's 'Belt and Road' project and Russia's annexation of Crimea leading to the 'Ukraine crisis,' the 'new cold war' discourse has begun to take shape. Trump's U.S.-China trade spat has brought the 'new cold war' debate to the forefront. The 'new cold war' debate is currently being intensified by the Biden administration's framing of "democracy versus authoritarianism" and Putin's invasion of Ukraine. Currently, there is no consensus among scholars on whether the controversial 'new cold war' is a new version, or a continuation of the historically defined concept of the Cold War. The term 'New Cold War' is less of an analytical concept and more of a topical term that has yet to achieve analytical status, let alone a theoretical validation and systematization, and the related debate remains at the level of assertion or discourse. Through this comparative analysis, I will argue that the ongoing discourse of the 'New Cold War' does not have the instrumental explanatory power to analyze the transitional phenomena of the world order today.

A Study on the Possibility of Securing Command of the Air in Local War (지상군의 국지제공권 확보 가능성 연구)

  • Lee, Chang In;Jung, Min Sup;Cho, Sang Keun;Park, Sang-Hyuk
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.173-179
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    • 2022
  • Through the 2014 Donbas conflict and the 2022 Ukraine-Russia war, we are experiencing that the command of the air is no longer only secured by the Air Force. Long-range surveillance reconnaissance and strikes carried out by the Air Force could be replaced by drones and missiles, and the enemy's aerial attacks could be controlled by air defense systems such as Panchir and portable anti-aircraft missiles, allowing ground forces to carry out maneuvers freely. In other words, it is much more advantageous for the air force and the navy to take control of the air through long-distance operations, and the ground forces should support them. Therefore, this study aims to consider the cost-effectiveness aspect of the delivery command of the air; it provides implications for quickly responding to enemy air attacks by developing the air defense weapon system, drones, missiles, precision-guided munitions, etc rather than focusing on expensive fighter jets.

Forecasting LNG Freight rate with Artificial Neural Networks

  • Lim, Sangseop;Ahn, Young-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2022
  • LNG is known as the transitional energy source for the future eco-friendly, attracting enormous market attention due to global eco-friendly regulations, Covid-19 Pandemic, Russia-Ukraine War. In addition, since new LNG suppliers such as the U.S. and Australia are also diversifying, the LNG spot market is expected to grow. On the other hand, research on the LNG transportation market has been marginalized. Therefore, this study attempted to predict short-term LNG 160K spot rates and compared the prediction performance between artificial neural networks and the ARIMA model. As a result of this paper, while it was difficult to determine the superiority and superiority of ARIMA and artificial neural networks, considering the relative free of ANN's contraints, we confirmed the feasibility of ANN in LNG 160K spot rate prediction. This study has academic significance as the first attempt to apply an artificial neural network to forecasting LNG 160K spot rates and are expected to contribute significantly in practice in that they can improve the quality of short-term investment decisions by market participants by increasing the accuracy of short-term prediction.

A Comparative Analysis of the Germany and Korea's Bilateral Cooperation Strategy to Secure Overseas Clean Hydrogen: Focusing on the Geopolitical Perspective (독일과 한국의 해외 청정수소 확보를 위한 양자협력 전략 비교 분석: 지정학적 관점을 중심으로)

  • JUN, EUNJIN;WOO, AMI;PARK, MIRA;JUNG, HYOUNDUK;SHIN, HYUN WOO
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.470-498
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the world has been considering hydrogen energy as the primary energy transition means to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. In order to achieve the goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, Korea is also promoting a clean hydrogen economy. However, it is necessary to introduce various clean hydrogen from overseas so that the projected demand can not meet the domestically produced. For this study, we conducted the policy comparison approach between countries other than the generally considered technical and economic approaches. The finding proposes the direction of bilateral cooperation for a strategy of securing overseas clean hydrogen from a geopolitical perspective. Germany was a target country for the policy comparison since it has a high proportion of manufacturing, like Korea, and is taking the lead in the renewable-based energy transition policy. According to the survey and analysis of the policy establishment status and new projects of the two countries, Germany is promoting bilateral international cooperation in the hydrogen area with about 33 countries based on 7 types of activities. In comparison, Korea is involved in bilateral cooperation with about 12 countries on relatively few activities. Among the types of bilateral cooperation, R&D cooperation with advanced countries for hydrogen technology was a common activity type. Germany preemptively promotes cooperation for demonstration and commercialization, considering geopolitical means and strengthening manpower training and assistance on policy and regulation to preoccupy the market for the future. Therefore, it is necessary to consider establishing a network of an entire life cycle of supply and demand network that links the future market with securing clean hydrogen considering the geopolitical distribution. To this end, Korea also needs to expand bilateral cooperation countries by activity type, and it seems necessary to seek various geopolitical-based bilateral cooperation and support measures for developing countries to diversify the supply sources of hydrogen.