• Title/Summary/Keyword: 등확률

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COVID_19 fake news and real news discrimination system (코로나19 가짜뉴스와 진짜뉴스 판별 시스템)

  • Lee, Jimin;Lee, Jisun;Woo, Jiyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2022.01a
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    • pp.411-412
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문에서는 코로나19 뉴스와 코로나19 가짜뉴스의 데이터셋을 활용하여 입력 받은 뉴스가 가짜뉴스일 확률을 예측한다. 가짜 뉴스 본문에는 코로나19, 대통령, 정부, 가짜, 언론 등의 키워드의 빈도가 높았다. 위의 키워드를 토대로 나이브 베이즈 모델링을 하여 이를 적용해 가짜 뉴스를 가려내는 웹페이지를 개발하였다.

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A Study on the Crime Analysis of NFT Transactions (NFT 거래에 따른 범죄분석 연구)

  • Song, Hye-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.287-288
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    • 2023
  • 매년 20여명 정도의 경찰이 자살에 이르고 있다. 업무량이 많은 타 공무원에 비해서도 높은 수준이다. 경찰의 자살에는 여러 가지 원인이 있지만, 특히 조직의 폐쇄성으로 인해 개인문제로 치부하는 경향이 높다. 경찰의 치안환경은 더욱 안 좋아지고, 위험성에 노출될 확률이 과거에 비해 높아졌으며, 잔혹한 범죄를 마주해야 하는 상황이 많아짐에 따라 우울증이나 업무부담 등으로 인해 자살을 하게되는 경우를 볼 수 있다. 따라서 경찰의 자살을 예방하기 위해서는 심리부검을 도입하는 방안을 법적으로 검도하고, 자살유형들을 분석하여 그에 맞는 자살예방모형 개발하여 자살률을 감소시킬 수 있는 방안을 모색해보고자 한다.

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A Study on the Damage of Fireball by the Butane-Can Explosion (부탄 캔 파열로 인한 화구의 피해에 관한 연구)

  • Leem, Sa-Hwan;Huh, Yong-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.110-116
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    • 2007
  • There have been 3E problems of energy, economy and environment since the earth has its history. Especially, as the industrial society is highly developing, human need in daily life has also changed drastically. With the introduction of 40 hour working week system, more households enjoy picnics on weekends. More gas accidents take place on Saturdays and on Sundays than any other days of week. Consequently, this study tries to find out the influence of flame caused by the explosion of butane canister on the adjacent combustibles and people by simulating relevant quantity of TNT. In addition, the damage estimation was conducted by using API regulations. If the scale of the radiation heat is known by calculating the distance of flame influence from the explosion site, the damage from the site can be easily estimated. And the accident damage was estimated by applying the influence on the adjacent structures and people into the PROBIT model. According to the pro bit analyze, the spot which is 50cm away from the flame has 97% of the damage probability by the first-degree burn, 8% of the damage probability by the second-degree burn and 4% of the death probability by the fire.

Decision of Gaussian Function Threshold for Image Segmentation (영상분할을 위한 혼합 가우시안 함수 임계 값 결정)

  • Jung, Yong-Gyu;Choi, Gyoo-Seok;Heo, Go-Eun
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2009
  • Most image segmentation methods are to represent observed feature vectors at each pixel, which are assumed as appropriated probability models. These models can be used by statistical estimating or likelihood clustering algorithms of feature vectors. EM algorithms have some calculation problems of maximum likelihood for unknown parameters from incomplete data and maximum value in post probability distribution. First, the performance is dependent upon starting positions and likelihood functions are converged on local maximum values. To solve these problems, we mixed the Gausian function and histogram at all the level values at the image, which are proposed most suitable image segmentation methods. This proposed algoritms are confirmed to classify most edges clearly and variously, which are implemented to MFC programs.

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On Statistical Inference of Stratified Population Mean with Bootstrap (층화모집단 평균에 대한 붓스트랩 추론)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Lee, Doo-Ri;Cho, Joong-Jae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2012
  • In a stratified sample, the sampling frame is divided into non-overlapping groups or strata (e.g. geographical areas, age-groups, and genders). A sample is taken from each stratum, if this sample is a simple random sample it is referred to as stratified random sampling. In this paper, we study the bootstrap inference (including confidence interval) and test for a stratified population mean. We also introduce the bootstrap consistency based on limiting distribution related to the plug-in estimator of the population mean. We suggest three bootstrap confidence intervals such as standard bootstrap method, percentile bootstrap method and studentized bootstrap method. We also suggest a bootstrap test method computing the $ASL_{boot}$(Achieved Significance Level). The results of estimation are verified using simulation.

Driving State of the stroke patients after Cognitive Perceptual Assessment for Driving evaluation at the National Rehabilitation Center (국립재활원에서 운전인지평가를 받은 뇌졸중 환자의 운전 실태조사)

  • Lee, J.A.;Choi, H.;Lee, S.
    • Journal of rehabilitation welfare engineering & assistive technology
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2013
  • Objective : To investigate the actual driving state of the stroke patients who had assessed CPAD. Methods : We conducted a follow-up survey with 48 stroke patients who had assessed CPAD. First, we reviewed the medical chart and then carried out the telephone survey. Results : Of the 48 subjects, 12 were driving and 36 were not driving. Current drivers' CPAD score, it was 54.13, was higher than non-drivers' CPAD score(p<0.05). Those who passed the CPAD were driving more than who failed(OR=8.3, 95%CI=1.931-35.558). Conclusion : The pass group of CPAD have higher chance of driving than fail group and have lower chance of car accidence than fail group. Thus we can apply the CPAD for driving cognitive evaluation tests.

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Statistical Variability of Mechanical Properties of Reinforcements (철근 콘크리트용 봉강의 역학적 특성의 통계적 변동성)

  • Kim, Jee Sang;Paek, Min Hee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.2A
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2011
  • The strength of reinforced concrete members has uncertainty from material properties of, concrete and reinforcements, section dimensions, and construction errors and so on. The accurate evaluation of these uncertainties is necessary to assure the reasonable safety. The uncertainties should be taken into account in design using structural reliability theory which requires probabilistic models for such uncertainties. In current Korean design code, most reliability evaluations were performed based on foreign data because of lack of local data. In this paper, the probabilistic models for yield strength of reinforcements were developed based on local data. The effects of various factors, nominal yield strength, diameter of reinforcements, and companies, on the models are also examined. According to data analysed, the effects of those factors are not significant. The probability model for yield strength of reinforcements in Korea can be expressed with Beta distribution based on collected data.

Statistical Prediction for the Demand of Life Insurance Policy Loans (생명보험의 보험계약대출 수요에 대한통계적예측)

  • Lee, Woo-Joo;Park, Kyung-Ok;Kim, Hae-Kyung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.697-712
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    • 2010
  • This paper is concerned with the statistical analysis and development of stochastic models for the demand for life insurance policy loans. For these, firstly the characteristics of the regression trend, periodicity and dependence of the monthly demand for life insurance policy loans are investigated by a statistical analysis of the monthly demand data for the years 1999 through 2008. Secondly, the causal relationships between the demand for life insurance policy loans and the economic variables including unemployment rate and inflation rate for the period are investigated. The results show that inflation rate is main factor influencing policy loan demands. The overall evidence, however, failed to establish unidirectional causality relationships between the demand series and the other variables under study. Finally, based on these, univariate time series model and transfer function model where the demand series is related to one input series are derived, respectively, for the prediction of the demand for life insurance policy loans. A statistical procedure for using the model to predict the demand for life insurance policy loans is also proposed.

Performance Analysis of DMF Acquisition System in Frequency-Selective Rayleigh Fading Channel (주파수 선택적 레일리 페이딩 채널에서의 DMF 초기동기 장치의 성능분석)

  • 김성철;이연우;조춘근;박형근;차균현
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.24 no.7B
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    • pp.1351-1360
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    • 1999
  • In frequency selective channels, conventional PN code acquisition schemes are not ideal candidates. This is because they are primarily designed for the AWGN channel. In this paper, a direct-sequence spread-spectrum(DSSS) PN code acquisition system based on digital matched filtering (DMF) with automatic threshold control(ATC) algorithm is presented and analyzed with regards to probability of detection and probability of false alarm. These two important probabilities, the probability of detection ($P_D$) and the probability of false alarm ($P_{FA}$) are derived and analyzed in considering Doppler shift, sampling rate, mean acquisition time, and PN chip rate in frequency selective Rayleigh fading channel when using serial-search method as detection technique. From computer simulation results of a DMF acquisition system model, it is shown that the performance of the acquisition system using ATC algorithm is better than that of constant threshold system.

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Probabilistic K-nearest neighbor classifier for detection of malware in android mobile (안드로이드 모바일 악성 앱 탐지를 위한 확률적 K-인접 이웃 분류기)

  • Kang, Seungjun;Yoon, Ji Won
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.817-827
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    • 2015
  • In this modern society, people are having a close relationship with smartphone. This makes easier for hackers to gain the user's information by installing the malware in the user's smartphone without the user's authority. This kind of action are threats to the user's privacy. The malware characteristics are different to the general applications. It requires the user's authority. In this paper, we proposed a new classification method of user requirements method by each application using the Principle Component Analysis(PCA) and Probabilistic K-Nearest Neighbor(PKNN) methods. The combination of those method outputs the improved result to classify between malware and general applications. By using the K-fold Cross Validation, the measurement precision of PKNN is improved compare to the previous K-Nearest Neighbor(KNN). The classification which difficult to solve by KNN also can be solve by PKNN with optimizing the discovering the parameter k and ${\beta}$. Also the sample that has being use in this experiment is based on the Contagio.