• Title/Summary/Keyword: 동태적 일관성

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The Impact of Oil Exploration and Development on the Dynamic Structure of Tariff Imposed by Oil Importing Country: The Case of OPEC (석유 탐사 및 개발이 석유 수입관세의 동태적 부과구조에 미치는 영향: OPEC의 경우)

  • Lee, Dug Man
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.255-276
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    • 2016
  • This paper is designed to investigate the dynamic structure of optimal tariff imposed by the oil importing country from OPEC when OPEC increases the oil reserves through exploration and development. For this purpose, we used a Stckelberg differential game modeling approach, and tried to analyze two cases such that the one is the extraction cost is dependent on the oil reserves and the other is the extraction cost is independent of it. On the basis of this analysis, we propose that the importing contry has to impose dynamically inconsistent tariffs if the extraction cost is dependent on the oil reserves. Otherwise, she should impose dynamically consistent tariffs announced at initial time. In addition, we found that whether or not the exporting country uses some portion of oil produced for domestic consumption does not affect our policy proposition stated above.

시스템 다이내믹스 (System Dynamics): VENSIM을 이용한 동태적 동기모델의 검증

  • 손태원;정한규
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 1999.08a
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    • pp.59-86
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    • 1999
  • 조직행동론의 제 분야들 중에서 가장 다양한 이론들이 제시되고 있는 영역은 개인의 성취동기와 관련된 분야이다. 개인의 성취동기와 관련된 현상을 이해하고 설명하며 예측을 시도하려는 노력으로 다양한 이론들 내지는 개념적 모형들이 제시되어 왔다. 그러나 이론들을 일관성 있는 체계로서 통합하기란 상당히 어렵다. 이는 다양한 이론들을 통해 일관성 있게 정의된 구성개념이 없어 이론이나 모형들 간의 분명한 비교와 평가가 어렵기 때문이다. 또한 만족과 같은 주요 변수들에 대한 명확한 정의가 부족하기 때문이다 (Schwab & Cummings, 1970)(중략)

The Structure of Optimal Tariff Levied on Non-Renewable Resource : A Dynamic Approach (비재생자원 수입관세의 동태적 구조에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dug Man;Lee, Young Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.221-235
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we analyzed the dynamic structure of optimal tariff levied on importing non-renewable resources such as petroleum, iron, coal, etc. According to the previous literature that have studied this objective, the time inconsistent open loop tariff has been suggested to be imposed in order to improve the welfare level of importing country. We set up the efficient model to identify how to impose the optimal tariff over time. Based on this model, we have found that the previous literature ignored that the costate variable for the stock for non-renewable resource decomposed between the scarcity effect and the cost effect. On the basis of the role of costate variable, we, however, have found that the proposition of the previous literature has led into errors. Hence, we suggest that the dynamically consistent open loop tariff for non-renewable resources would improve the welfare level of importing country.

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자본조달순위이론에 관한 연구

  • Gwak, Se-Yeong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.215-229
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    • 2004
  • 이 연구는 우리나라 상장 제조기업의 자본조달행태를 외환위기를 기준으로 구분하여 분석함으로써 자본조달순위이론의 타당성 여부를 탐색하였다. 최적자본구조의 존재여부와 결정요인을 탐색하는 정태적 자본구조이론과 달리 우선순위에 따라 자본조달을 한다고 제시된 것이 동태적 성격의 자본조달순위이론이다. 1981년부터 2002년까지 우리나라 상장 제조업의 패널자료를 이용하여 분석한 결과 현금흐름의 회귀계수가 일관성 있게 음(-)의 부호를 나타냈는데 이것은 우리나라 기업들이 대체로 자본조달순위이론과 같은 행태로 자본을 조달하는 것으로 해석된다. 총자산 수익률변수도 자본조달순위이론을 지지하는 결과를 보여주었으며 외환위기이전과 이후의 차이는 크지 않은 것으로 나타났다.

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Dynamic Hedging Performance and Test of Options Model Specification (시뮬레이션을 이용한 동태적 헤지성과와 옵션모형의 적격성 평가)

  • Jung, Do-Sub;Lee, Sang-Whi
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.227-246
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    • 2009
  • This study examines the dynamic hedging performances of the Black-Scholes model and Heston model when stock prices drift with stochastic volatilities. Using Monte Carlo simulations, stock prices consistent with Heston's(1993) stochastic volatility option pricing model are generated. In this circumstance, option traders are assumed to use the Black- Scholes model and Heston model to implement dynamic hedging strategies for the options written. The results of simulation indicate that the hedging performance of a mis-specified Black-Scholes model is almost as good as that of a fully specified Heston model. The implication of these results is that the efficacy of the dynamic hedging performances on evaluating the specifications of alternative option models can be limited.

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An Empirical Test of the Dynamic Optimality Condition for Exhaustible Resources -An Input Distance Function- (투입물거리함수를 통한 고갈자원의 동태적 최적이용 여부 검증)

  • Lee, Myunghun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.673-692
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    • 2006
  • In order to test for the dynamic optimality condition for the use of nonrenewable resource, it is necessary to estimate the shadow value of the resource in situ. In the previous literatures, a time series for in situ price has been derived either as the difference between marginal revenue and marginal cost or by differentiating with respect to the quantity of ore extracted the restricted cost function in which the quantity of ore is quasi-fixed. However, not only inconsistent estimates are likely to be generated due to the nonmalleability of capital, but the estimate of marginal revenue will be affected by market power. Since firms will likely fail to minimize the cost of the reproducible inputs subject to market prices under realistic circumstances where imperfect factor markets, strikes, or government regulations are present, the shadow in situ values obtained by estimating the restricted cost function can be biased. This paper provides a valid methodology for checking the dynamic optimality condition for a nonrenewable resource by using the input distance function. Our methodology has some advantages over previous ones: only data on quantities of inputs and outputs are required; nor is the maintained hypothesis of cost minimization required; adoption of linear programming enables us to circumvent autocorrelated errors problem caused by use of time series or panel data. The dynamic optimality condition for domestic coal mining does not hold for constant discount rates ranging from 2 to 20 percent over the period 1970~1993. The dynamic optimality condition also does not hold for variable rates ranging from fourth to four times the real interest rate.

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An Improvement of Coherence and Validity between CLD and SFD of System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스의 CLD와 SFD의 일관성 및 타당성 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Jae Un;Kim, Hyun Soo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2014
  • System Dynamics(SD) is one of the complexity theories that has attracted attention as a computer-aided simulation methodology to analyze a dynamic problem and to develop a policy(strategy) in social science. Though there are properly unproven cases in research models which were developed in various fields by SD methodology during the last five decades, they are utilized as models to represent SD sub-theories. For this reason, this study targeted the population dynamics model which was frequently utilized to explain SD fundamentals and it proved errors of reasoning a structure of the existing causal and dominant feedback loop. Consequently, we presented a strategy to strengthen the coherence between CLD(causal loop diagram) and SFD(stocks-and-flows diagram) for improving validity of the existing model. The findings of this study contribute to the advancement of the existing SD and to the reinforcement of validation for policy research models of SD.

A Study on Price Discovery and Dynamic Interdependence of ETF Market Using Vector Error Correction Model - Focuse on KODEX leverage and inverse - (VECM을 이용한 상장지수펀드 시장의 가격발견과 동태적 상호의존성 - KODEX 레버리지와 인버스 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Soo-Kyung;Kim, Woo-Hyun;Byun, Youngtae
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2019
  • This study attempts to analyze the role of price discovery and the dynamic interdependence between KOSPI200 Index and KODEX Leverage(KODEX inverse), which are Korea's representative ETFs, using the vector error correction model. For the empirical analysis, one minute data of KODEX leverage, KODEX inverse and KOSPI200 index from April 10, 2018 to July 10, 2018 were used. The main results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, between KODEX Leverage and KOSPI200 index, we found evidence that KODEX leverage plays a dominant role in price discovery. In addition, the KOSPI200 index is superior to price discovery between KODEX inverse and KOSPI200 index. Second, the KOSPI200 index has a relatively strong dependence on KODEX leverage, which is consistent with the KODEX leverage index playing a dominant role in price discovery compared to the KOSPI200 index. On the other hand, KOSPI200 index has a dependency on KODEX inverse index, but it is weaker than KODEX leverage index. These results are expected to be useful information for investors in capital markets.

Technological Change and Organizational Strategy as an Evolutionary Process (진화론적 관점의 기술혁신의 동태성: 정보기술산업과 조직경쟁유형의 진화)

  • Cha, Dae-Kyu
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.11
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    • pp.15-38
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    • 1998
  • This study explores the evolution of technical innovation over time. It focuses on sectors of the information technology because this industry can be referred to as one of the most dynamic industries of all times. Following evolutionary theorists, we argue that technological change is gradual and that superior firms and technologies are reward by the' selection' environment. In the initial phase of the industry life cycle, technological change is expected to be radical and uncertainty is high. Over time a product or technology is likely to arise which stands out above all other products or technologies. These so-called 'basic designs' serve as sorts of 'technological guideposts' for further developments in the technology. Once a basic design established, technological progress tends to follow consistent paths or trajectories. The cumulative character of technological progress facilitates a rapid expansion of the boundaries of the technology until the natural limits of the technology are approached and technological progress slows down. Following ecological theories, supply-side developments in the industry are described on the basis of five different organizational types. On the basis of this pattern of market and technological evolution we came up with seven basic propositions.

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The Locational Conditions and Declining Function of Iksan Free Trade Zone (익산자유무역지대의 기능약화와 입지여건의 문제점)

  • 문남철
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.249-275
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    • 2002
  • Iksan Export Free Zone which was established for the export promotion, the employment augmentation, the technological improvement and the regional development promotion through the attraction of foreign direct investment is declining function with diminution of foreign direct investment, exportation and employment since the middle of the 1980s. The decline factor of the function was inherent in disregard of the necessary locational factors for Export Free zone's function promotion and without respect to conditions in a choice of location. And the present labor intensive industrial structure of region has some difficulties with a modification of Export Free Zone's industrial structure to a technology intensive industry. According to the lack of coherent policy, a limited plottage and a lack of the extensible space decrease the effect of agglomeration and economic of scale. And the lack of governmental policy to create a dynamic advantage comparative with an amelioration of the locational conditions of region diminish the regional attractive force to foreign direct investment.

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