• Title/Summary/Keyword: 동적 신뢰성 모형

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Rolling Horizon Implementation for Real-Time Operation of Dynamic Traffic Assignment Model (동적통행배정모형의 실시간 교통상황 반영)

  • SHIN, Seong Il;CHOI, Kee Choo;OH, Young Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.135-150
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    • 2002
  • The basic assumption of analytical Dynamic Traffic Assignment models is that traffic demand and network conditions are known as a priori and unchanging during the whole planning horizon. This assumption may not be realistic in the practical traffic situation because traffic demand and network conditions nay vary from time to time. The rolling horizon implementation recognizes a fact : The Prediction of origin-destination(OD) matrices and network conditions is usually more accurate in a short period of time, while further into the whole horizon there exists a substantial uncertainty. In the rolling horizon implementation, therefore, rather than assuming time-dependent OD matrices and network conditions are known at the beginning of the horizon, it is assumed that the deterministic information of OD and traffic conditions for a short period are possessed, whereas information beyond this short period will not be available until the time rolls forward. This paper introduces rolling horizon implementation to enable a multi-class analytical DTA model to respond operationally to dynamic variations of both traffic demand and network conditions. In the paper, implementation procedure is discussed in detail, and practical solutions for some raised issues of 1) unfinished trips and 2) rerouting strategy of these trips, are proposed. Computational examples and results are presented and analyzed.

Assessment of Available Water for 5 River basins of South Korea using Green and Blue Water Concepts based on SWAT (SWAT 기반의 블루워터, 그린워터를 활용한 5대강 유역 가용수 평가)

  • Kim, Jinuk;Lee, Jiwan;Park, Jongyoon;Woo, Soyoung;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.412-412
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    • 2022
  • 지속가능한 물관리를 위해서는 강우, 수문학적 반응의 동적 순환과 생공업 및 농업 기반시설과 같은 관리 조치에 사용되는 물을 포함한 가용수(Available Water)의 시공간적 영향을 파악할 수 있어야 한다. 가용수의 구성요소를 파악하기 위해 블루워터와 그린워터의 개념이 제안되었다. 블루워터는 강수로 인해 형성된 지표수, 지하수 및 호수·저수지의 저류량을 포함하며, 그린워터는 강수로부터 불포화 토양층에 저장된 토양수분과 수역, 초목에서 대기 중으로 방출되는 증발산을 말한다. 블루워터와 그린워터를 산정하기 위해서는 동적 수자원과 인적 요소에 의존되는 수자원을 정확하게 구별해야 하며 물 가용성 평가를 용이하게 하는 통합 기반 개념의 수문학적 모델이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 5대강을 대상으로 각 유역의 가용수량의 변화를 파악하기 위해 각 유역별 블루워터와 그린워터를 평가하고자 하였다. 5대강 유역의 장기간 변화와 광범위한 분석을 위해 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형의 수문모델링 결과를 활용하였다. SWAT 모형의 신뢰성 있는 수문 검보정을 위해 전체 기간(2005~2020) 중 모형의 보정(2005~2009) 및 검증(2010~2017)기간을 설정하였으며, 각 유역의 다목적댐과 다기능 보의 실측방류량을 이용하여 댐 운영모의를 고려하였다. 검보정된 SWAT 결과를 활용하여 블루워터와 그린워터를 분류하였으며 가용수량을 평가하는 방법을 제시하였다.

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An Experimental Study on the Similitude Requirements of Reinforced Concrete Structures (철근콘크리트구조물의 상사법칙에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Chung, Lan;Park, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Jeong-Seob
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 1995
  • It is well known that the behavior of R /C members under static cyclic loading is somewhat different from that under dynamic cyclic loading, such as earthquake loading, because static loading rate is substantially lower than that corresponding to the Frequencies of seismic excitation. The purpose of this research is to estabilish the reliance for modeling techniques of small-scale specirr~ens subjected to dynamic cyclic loading. This research focused on the similitude requirements for reinforced concrete frame structures subjeced to dynamic cyclic loading. Length scale ratio of specimens were 1 : 2 : 4, and eleven specimens were tested at the frequencies of 0.0025Hz-2.OHz. It was confirmed that rnode1ir.g techniques based on the similitude requirements were useful methods to evaluate the behavior of full-size R /C structures subjected to earthquake type loading.

Application of Quality Control Procedure to Improve Reliability of GPS Positioning (관측데이터 처리의 품질제어를 통한 GPS 측위의 신뢰성 향상)

  • Lee, Kyeong-Seong;Lee, Hung-Kyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2D
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    • pp.319-327
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    • 2009
  • In order to estimate accurate position by GPS observations, it is prerequisite to define both of the correct function model and the realistic stochastic model. In the case that un-modeled outliers exist in observations, estimates become biased, and their standard deviations are unable to be used as a measure which represents their accuracy. Hence, such outliers should be appropriately removed from the observations before estimating final solutions, so that the accuracy can be maximized with the improvement of the reliability. For this purpose, this research deals with quality control and quality measure computation algorithms for GPS stand-alone positioning. After theoretical studies, all the algorithms have been implemented and tested with real observations. Results of the tests indicate that the reliability of the estimated position is improved by increasing redundancy as well as using good satellite geometry and more realistic stochastic model. Moreover, the adaptation of the quality control procedure enable to improve positioning reliability and accuracy by appropriately excluding outlier in observations.

Learning Algorithm of Dynamic Threshold in Line Utilization based SARIMA model (SARIMA 모델을 기반으로 한 선로 이용률의 동적 임계값 학습 기법)

  • Cho, Kagn-Hong;Ahn, Seong-Jin;Chung, Jin-Wook
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.9C no.6
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    • pp.841-846
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    • 2002
  • We applies a seasonal ARIMA model to the timely forecasting in a line utilization and its confidence interval on the base of the past data of the line utilization that QoS of the network is greatly influenced by. And this paper proposes the learning algorithm of dynamic threshold in line utilization using the SARIMA model. We can find the proper dynamic threshold in timely line utilization on the various network environments and provide the confidence based on probability. Also, we have evaluated the validity of the proposed model and estimated the value of a proper threshold on real network. Network manager can overcome a shortcoming of original threshold method and maximize the performance of this algorithm.

Experimental Techniques for Evaluating Seismic Performance of Base-Isolated Structure (기초격리된 구조물의 내진성능평가를 위한 실험기법)

  • 윤정방;정우정;김남식;김두훈
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 1997
  • This paper describes a series of shaking table and pseudodynamic tests for evaluation of seismic performance of base-isolated structures subjected to various seismic earthquake inputs. The main objectives of this study are : (1) evaluation of the effectiveness of base-isolation systems for low-rise structures against severe seismic loads through shaking table tests, (2) verification of the substructuring pseudodynamic test method for the base-isolated structures in comparison with the shaking table test results. In the shaking table test, a quarter scaled three-story structure base-isolated by laminated rubber bearings is tested. In the pseudodynamic test, only the laminated rubber bearing s are tested using the substructuring technique, while the concurrent seismic responses of the superstructure are computed using on-line numerical integration. Comparison with the shaking table test results indicates that the substructuring pseudodynamic test method is very effective for determining the dynamic responses of the base-isolated structure.

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A Method of Checking Errors and Consistency in the Process of Object-Oriented Design (객체지향 분석과정에서 오류와 일관성 점검 방법)

  • Kim, Do-Hyeong;Jeong, Gi-Won
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.380-392
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    • 1999
  • 객체지향 분석과정중에 오류를 검출하고 일관성을 점검하여 무결성을 유지하는 것은 중요한 일이다. 그러나, 현재의 객체지향 개발 방법론은 객체지향 분석모델들에 대하여 오류 검출과 일관성 점검을 위한 정형화된 방법을 제시하지 못하고 있다. 본 논문은 지식베이스를 이용하여 , 객체지향 분석모델들에 대한 오류와 일관성 검증방법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법은 모형화 단계, 정형화 단계, 검증 단계의 세단계로 이루어져 있다. 모형화 단계에서는 시스템을 분석하여 OMT(Object Modeling Technique)방법론의 세 가지 모델인 객체모델, 동적 모델, 기능모델을 생성한다. 이 단계는 OMT의 분석단계에 해당한다. 정형화 단계에서는 이 세가지 모델들을 Atomic Formula 형태로 정형 명세하여 응용 지식베이스에 저장한다. 검증 단계에서는 오류 검출 규칙과 일관성 점검 규칙을 이용하여 오류를 점검하고 일관성을 유지한다. 그리고 본 논문에서 제안한 점검 방법을 적용하여 ATM(Automated Teller Machine)예제의 분석결과를 검증했다. 제안한 방법을 이용하면 보다 더 신뢰할 수 있는 분석모델을 얻을 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Verification of the HWAW (Harmonic Wavelet Analysis of Waves) Method Using Multi Layered Model Testing Site (실대형 모형부지를 이용한 HWAW(Harmonic Wavelet Analysis of Waves) 기법의 검증)

  • Kim, Jong-Tae;Park, Hyong-Choon;Kim, Dong-Soo;Bang, Eun-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 2007
  • HWAW (Harmonic Wavelet Analysis of Wave) method, which is non-destructive method using body and surface waves, has the advantages of obtaining 2D subsurface imaging because it uses a short receiver spacing to obtain the $V_s$ profile of whole depth. Even though the reliability of HWAW method has already been verified by using the numerical simulation in the various layered models, it is very difficult to evaluate the reliability of HWAW in the field because the exact $V_s$ values of the experimental site are unknown. In this study, a model testing site where the material properties and layer information could be controlled was constructed to verify the reliability of HWAW method. The detailed geometry of the testing site was strictly measured by surveying, and 140 vertical and horizontal geophones were established at the boundary of each layer to evaluate the dynamic material properties. Using the interval travel times between the upper and lower geophones, the body wave velocities of each layer were 2 dimensionally obtained as reference data, and comparative study using HWAW method was performed. By comparing 2D Vs profile obtained by HWAW method to the reference data, the reliability of HWAW method was verified.

인터넷 경로배제위협이 유통구조에 미치는 영향에 관한연구

  • Lee, Dong-Il
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.6
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    • pp.367-390
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    • 2000
  • 인터넷 경로의 활성화에 따라 인터넷 유통기관과 물리적 유통기관 간의 유통갈등이 관 찰되고 새로운 형태의 유통구조에 대한 이해의 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 이러한 배경하에서 인터넷 환경변화에 따른 인터넷 중간상과 물리적 유통경로 참가자 간의 관계에 대한 실증적 연구의 필요성이 제기되고 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 필요성에 따라 인터넷 환경의 대두에 따른 인터넷 경로배제위협이 물리적 유통경로 참가자에 대해 인터넷 중간상의 역 할에 대한 기대를 형성시키는지, 또한 이러한 역할기대가 자신의 유통경로 상의 역할을 재 조정하여 인터넷 중간상에 대한 공급업자로 참여하도록 하는지에 대해 실증적 연구를 진 행하였다. 실증연구는 전자상가의 입점업체를 대상으로 하여 설문조사방식으로 진행되었고, 이론모형에 대한 검증은 신뢰성, 타당성에 대한 검증을 거쳐 공변량 구조분석을 통해 실시하였다. 검증결과 모든 가설적 경로에 대해 유의미한 결과가 나와 기존의 탈중간상화 가설이 부정되었고, 더 나아가 경로구조의 동적 변화과정에서 물리적 유통경로 참가자들이 역할에 대한 재구조화를 통해 재중간상화 과정에 참여하는 것으로 확인되었다.

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Motion of Cylindrical Buoy and Its Mooring Line Tension by Installation Depth under the Action of Waves (부설 수심의 변화에 따른 파랑 중 원통형 부체의 운동 및 계류삭 장력 해석)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.360-366
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a method analyzing the motion of cylindrical buoy moored at 2 points and tensions action on each mooring line under the action of periodic waves. It was found that submersible buoy was more effective than floating one in the severe conditions considering its dynamic motions, wave forces, and mooring line tensions. The wave induced its dynamic responses and mooring line tensions peak when the ratio d/${\lambda}$ of the buoy length d to the waves length ${\lambda}$ was 0.66 due to its natural frequency. The results of this study were in agreement with the existing measurement ones, however, further verifications are needed considering resonance of cylindrical buoy and its displacements to wave height by a series of model tests.