• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.415-415
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• 2012

유역의 홍수위험도를 평가하기 위하여 선행 연구로서 DPSIR framework를 적용한 인자를 선정하였다. 이때 인자의 범위를 사회적, 경제적, 환경적 분야로 구분하고 각 분야에 대하여 홍수로 인하여 야기되는 유역의 다양한 영향요소를 포함하여 인자를 선정하였다. 본 연구에서는 이를 대상으로 각 인자의 가중치를 선정하기 위하여 패널식 조사연구기법인 Delphi 방법을 적용하였다. Delphi 기법은 델파이 절차가 반복되는 동안 조사 참여자에게 전회의 조사 결과, 즉 통계적 집단 반응을 피드백하며 참여자는 이를 참고하여 자신의 판단을 수정 보완 할 수 있는 방법이다. 따라서 1차 설문조사를 통하여 각 패널은 홍수위험도 평가 인자에 대해서 주관적인 가중치를 선정하고 이를 분석한 결과를 피드백 받아 참고한 후 2차 설문조사에 응하여 가중치를 재선정하게 된다. 조사에 참여할 패널의 선정은 수자원분야의 전문가를 대상으로 하였다. 또한 각 인자에 대한 가중치를 수집하는 방법을 다양하게 설정하여 기법에 따른 영향을 검토하였다. 수집기법은 상대적 가중치 결정법 중에서 가장 많이 사용되는 순위법과 직접입력법, 절대적인 기준에 대한 가중치를 수집하기 위하여 Fuzzy 가중치 입력법을 사용하였으며 이 때 각 인자가 소속되는 분야와 DPSIR framework 요소에 대해서도 별도로 가중치를 수집하여 최종적인 인자의 가중치를 결정하였다. 본 연구는 추가 연구를 통해 남한강에 적용되며 인자의 자료는 문헌조사, 통계자료 조사 및 수리학적 수치모형 등의 분석을 통해 수집될 예정이다. 이를 통하여 사회, 경제, 문화, 환경적인 측면을 고려한 인자들을 반영한 하천의 구간별 상대적 홍수취약도를 정량적으로 제시할 수 있으며 하천 구간별 치수관리 우선순위를 결정하는데 적극적으로 활용될 수 있다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.43 no.2
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• pp.239-247
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• 2023

The FIDIC Red Book is an international standard contract condition in which the Employer designs and the Contractor performs the construction. The Engineer of FIDIC Red Book shall agree or determine any matter or Claim in accordance with Sub-Clause 3.7 neutrally, not as an agent of the Employer. This study aimed to derive Key Risk Sub-Clauses out of 49 Sub-Clauses that the Engineer of FIDIC Red Book recently revised in 18 years shall agree or determine according to Sub-Clause 3.7 using the Delphi method. A panel of 35 experts with more than 10 years of experience and expertise in international construction contracts was formed, and through total three Delphi surveys, errors and biases were prevented in the judgment process to improve reliability. As for the research method, 49 Sub-Clauses that engineers shall agree on or determine according to Sub-Clause 3.7 of the FIDIC Red Book were investigated through the analysis of contract conditions. In order to evaluate the probability and impact of contractual risk for each 49 Sub-Clause, the Delphi survey conducted repeatedly a closed-type survey three times on a Likert 10-point scale. The results of the first Delphi survey were delivered during the second survey, and the results of the second survey were delivered to the third survey, which was re-evaluated in the direction of increasing the consensus of experts' opinions. The reliability of the Delphi 3rd survey results was verified with the COV value of the coefficient of variation. The PI Risk Matrix was applied to the average value of risk probability and impact of each of the 49 Sub-Clauses and finally, 9 Key Risk Sub-Clauses that fell within the extreme risk range were derived.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.209-222
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• 2020

The purpose of this paper is to predict the future changes of housing through the Delphi technique. The targets to predict were set by housing type, housing space, housing demand, and architectural technology. The results were as follows: ① The influences of social and value perspectives on the change of housing type, space, and demand would be high, on the other hands, the influence of political perspective would be low. ② In terms of housing type, the increase in demand for downsizing housing for high-rise buildings and the possibility of realizing remote medical support services and homecare using big data are highly predicted. That is, ③ it is anticipated that IoTs will have a significant influences on future housing changes, and ④ enactment of co-housing and related laws by the sharing economy, services for maintenance through the supply of high-rise and high-density homes, housing support for residents, and advanced lease markets by developed architectural technology are expected as anticipated forms of future housing.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.77-87
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• 2024

In this paper, we propose a study applying the Delphi technique to domestic blockchain experts to determine urgent and pivotal conditions for NFT proliferation. We examine these conditions from a PEST (Political, Economic, Social, and Technological Analysis of the Macro Environment) perspective, as well as the functions of digital assets (measurement, storage, and exchange). Through two rounds of expert surveys on the seven NFT perspectives, we identify 6 activating factors that can help guide future policy-making for the NFT market. These factors have broad implications for the development of new industries using blockchain technology and tokens. The Delphi method employed in this study is a group discussion technique that gathers opinions from experts anonymously through two rounds and to address drawbacks related to expert selection bias and opinion alignment, additional opinion collection and review of projections were conducted in each round.

• The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.13-26
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• 2010

The purpose of this study is to develop the enrichment curriculum connected to a Revised Version of 7th National Informatics Curriculum in Middle School for gifted students in IT education. This study uses a Delphi Method to develop a curriculum which is comprised of educational objectives, educational contents, teaching-learning method and educational evaluation. This study carried out a three-round delphi survey in 'The problem-solving method and its procedure' field from grade 1 to grade 3. In this study, first, the responses of the experts about educational objectives, educational contents, teaching-learning method and educational evaluation of each grade were analyzed. Second, organized items were designed. Finally, important items were selected by statistics.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.27-36
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• 2018

Although the current evaluation system has been revised four times since it was revised in 1996, it is insufficient to utilize it as a basis for predicting the performance degradation from the long-term viewpoint and prioritization decision for the budget input due to the evaluation system limited to securing the structural safety. Therefore, this study proposes a new evaluation system suitable for the performance evaluation of conventional (ASSM) tunnels among the various types of existing road tunnels using Delphi technique and AHP technique. Since the existing evaluation systems and evaluation items in domestic and overseas are limited in scope of evaluation criteria, the survey was conducted in conjunction with closed questionnaires on existing items and open questionnaires for eliciting new items. The validity of the questionnaire results were verified and the performance evaluation factors suitable for conventional (ASSM) tunnels were derived. After calculating weighted value of the derived evaluation item using AHP technique, a new evaluation system is proposed to meet the characteristics of the ASSM tunnel, so that they can be used as reference materials for revising and supplementing detailed guidelines of performance evaluation in the future.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.15 no.6_2
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• pp.45-53
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• 2015

The security activity suitable for the port can be achieved, provided that the physical security factors specialized for the port security should be presented as preceding conditions. The advanced research about the theoretical data of the port security factors is incomplete and the study on the physical security factors of the port facilities should be done. In this study, the necessity and suitability of port security factors was evaluated with Delphi technique. Consequently, 19 variables of physical security factors were derived in the primary survey and through the second survey of necessity evaluation and the third survey of suitability evaluation 12 variables were selected as the physical security factors of th port facilities.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.66-77
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• 2015

The main objective of this study was to identify the difference in the perceptions of the product attributes and the expected benefits for consumers and professionals in the performing arts industry. First, the Delphi method by using email and telephone was used to explore the professionals' perceptions of the attributes of performing arts and the expected benefits. Second, on-line consumer survey was used to explore the consumer perceptions of the attributes of performing arts and the expected benefits. Finally, this study tried to draw some difference of perceptions from both professionals and consumers. Contents of the arts, location of a theater, ticket price, relief of stress, and improvement of lifestyle were found to be commonly important factors for both parties. Among them, statistical differences between two groups were confirmed in the factors such as the reputations of the cast members and theatres, locations of theatres, and time duration of a performance.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.249-258
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• 2019

Currently, people are paying more attention to smart home businesses. Therefore, the research on smart home system is becoming important. Smart Home App, which is an important component of smart home system, needs to consider the development of evaluation indicators for usability. In this regard, this paper takes smart home App as the object to develop the usability evaluation indicators of smart home App design. For this purpose, this study performed three rounds of survey by using the Delphi method. In the first round, 8 suitable areas were selected by collecting opinions from experts and analyzing the Content Validity Ratio, which was derived from literature review. Based on the results of the first survey, a total of 38 evaluation items were collected through prior research and user interview surveys. For the 38 collected evaluation items, 27 evaluation items have been selected by analyzing Average Value, Standard Deviation, Content Validity Ratio, Consultation and Convergence in the second and third rounds. The result of this study can be used as a guideline when evaluating the usability of smart home App design.

• Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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• v.34 no.6
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• pp.549-558
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• 2014

Integrated concepts that are broad enough to embrace facts, principles, laws, and concepts of multiple disciplines could become the core of integrated education. Integrated concept-centered education enables effective and practical learning. In this study, the Delphi Method was implemented targeting experts in science (physics, life science, chemistry, and earth science) and humanities (history, geology, economics, ethics, and politics) to find out the integrated concept that can be used to design the concept-centered integrated education in the Republic of Korea. 124 experts participated in this survey. Delphi survey was conducted for three rounds. In the first round, an open questionnaire was given to experts to collect feasible integrated concepts in each major field. Then, in the second round experts were asked to select integrated concepts that could be used practically in the field of their major. In the third round, the integrated concept with selection frequency over medium value were given. They were asked to evaluate the applicability of integrated concepts by using the Likert-scale questionnaire. Through this process, content validity was analyzed. As a result, five integrated concepts (change, interaction, space-time, energy, and equilibrium) were selected for the inter-science integration. And thirteen integrated concepts (conflict, community, relationship, structure, power, diversity, culture, change, society, interaction, freedom, justice, and equality) were chosen for the inter-humanities integration. Finally, for the science-humanities integration, seven integrated concepts (structure, diversity, change, interaction, cycle, system, and environment) were determined.