• Title/Summary/Keyword: 델파이분석

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임팩트 투자의사 결정요인에 관한 연구

  • 고병기;김다혜;성창수
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2023.04a
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2023
  • 임팩트 투자(impact investment)는 사회적 가치와 재무적 이익을 동시에 추구하는 소셜벤처에 투자하는 행위이다. 그동안 국내에서는 정부 주도로 임팩트 투자 생태계가 조성되고 성장하였다. 선순환 투자 생태계를 위해서는 소셜벤처가 가지는 사회혁신의 가치와 임팩트 투자의 연계가 중요하다. 사회적 형평과 시장의 효율의 두 가치 중심으로 수요와 공급이 맞는 임팩트 투자에 대한 이해가 필수적이다. 특히, 임팩트 투자 지원정책과 투자가 공공에서 민간으로 확대되는 시점에서 임팩트 투자의사 결정요인을 규명하는 차별화된 접근이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구는 임팩트 투자의사 결정요인을 분석하고 우선순위를 도출하고자 하였다. 먼저 문헌분석을 통해 투자 결정에 영향을 미치는 요인을 확인하고 임팩트 투자 심사역을 대상으로 자문·설문조사를 수행한 뒤, 델파이 기법을 적용하여 주요 투자의사 결정요인을 도출하였다. 다음으로는 임팩트 투자 심사역 10명을 대상으로 AHP분석을 실시하여 투자의사 결정요인의 우선순위를 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 상위요인의 중요도는 시장-창업가(팀)-제품·서비스-재무의 순서로 확인되었으며, 세부요인의 중요도는 '시장의 경쟁강도 및 진입장벽-시장성장 및 확장 가능성-팀의 전문성 및 역량-신시장 창출 가능성-영업활동 및 고객관리-창업가의 신뢰성 및 진정성의 순서로 나타났다. 이러한 연구 결과는 임팩트 투자에 대한 지원정책과 투자가 공공에서 민간으로 확대되는 시점에서 고유한 투자의사 결정요인을 규명하여 투자를 희망하는 이해관계자들에게 기초 자료를 제시했다는 데 의의가 있다.

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Analysis by Delphi Survey of a Performance Evaluation Index for a Salt Reduction Project (델파이 조사를 통한 저염화사업 성과평가 지표 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Hee;Shin, Eun-Kyung;Lee, Hye-Jin;Lee, Nan-Hee;Chun, Byung-Yeol;Ahn, Moon-Young;Lee, Yeon-Kyung
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.486-495
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the performance evaluation index for a salt reduction project. Questionnaires were developed in order to investigate salt reduction programs nationwide. The evaluation index and programs were analyzed through the case study of a salt reduction program in public health centers. The validity of the salt reduction program's evaluation index was determined based on study of the Delphi survey and on discussion with nutrition and health care professionals. The Delphi survey showed that daily salt intake was the most valid nutritional evaluation index. Stroke mortality and stomach cancer mortality were good health care evaluation indexes. The method for measuring salt intake that had the greatest validity was a 24-hour urine collection. However, 24-hour urine collection had the lowest score for ease of performance. The combined scores of validity and ease of performance showed that the survey method for dietary attitude and dietary behavior, dietary frequency analysis (DFQ 15), and a salty taste assessment, in that order, were proper methods. The high reliability of the salty taste assessment indicated that the percentage of the population that exhibits proper salt intake (2,000 mg sodium or less daily) and the percentage of the population that consumes low-salt diets as nutritional evaluation indexes also will be helpful to evaluate performance of salt reduction programs.

Vulnerability Analysis of Water Resources Considering Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 수자원 분야의 취약성 분석)

  • Kim, Da-Eun;Jung, Yong;Park, Moo-Jong;Yoon, Jae-Young;Kim, Sang-Dan;Choi, Min-Ha
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2011
  • Climate change is the variation of long term weather pattern based on statistical diversities in terms of natural and artificial factors. Recent numerous extreme weather phenomena have increasingly obtained people's awareness of climate change. Since water resources field especially has higher vulnerability caused by climate variation, the major part of future preparation should be focused on risk minimization of water resources. However, in reality validation of water resources vulnerability is not well built up. For this research, Delphi Method was applied to evaluate middle/small size rivers in Korea with respect to the degree of vulnerability due to the climate change. Delphi Survey is based on iterative, anonymous characteristics with experts' opinion sharing on the given issues. For this study, three iterative surveys were operated for the degree of vulnerability. First round was for selecting vulnerability indicators in terms of the magnitude of total score, and second and third rounds were for collecting experts' idea with opinion convergence. Per the variance of standard deviation of 2nd and 3rd surveys divergence, we clearly see the achievement of opinion agreement. For the future study, we may need to find an applicable field using delphi indicators with various circumstances.

Defining a Concept of Forest Garden through Understanding Values of Forest and Garden (숲과 정원의 가치파악을 통한 숲 정원 개념의 정립)

  • Hong, Kwang-Pyo;LEE, Hyukjae
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.171-178
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    • 2020
  • Amid public's growing interest on garden and more leisure time of modern life-style, there is an effort by the government to utilize forest as public garden. In order to utilize forests as pubic garden, a new concept of "Forest Garden" should be defined and introduced first. Furthermore, introducing a new concept requires academically analyzing values of a new concept before a new concept is widely used. Thus, we aimed to clarify the concept of forest garden by conducting Delphi technique research and factor-analysis of survey results. More specifically, delphi technique research was conducted to extract composition elements and explanation elements of forest garden. Factor analysis was conducted on the top 25 elements and 5 values were extracted as a result. They are form, scenery, ecology, history/cuture and usefulness which are essential values required of forest garden. Forest garden should have all of 5 values and be capable of function as both forest and garden which would also need continuous maintenance. We believe this study is the first one to establish definition of forest garden and more specific and realistic definitions need to be built through continuous research, 000 experiment and on-site evaluation. We also believe that this study will serve as foundation for further efforts in building forest garden in various space and in defining proper concept of forest garden.

A Study on change for Marine Administration of telecommunications (정보통신에 의한 해양행정의 변화에 관한 연구)

  • 박민수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 1999
  • This paper was studied on change for Marine Administration of telecommunications. Analysis method was studied of Policy Delphi. The three kinds of telecommunications network influence on Marine administration is National Information Infrastructure Network, Integrated Services Digital Network and Local Area Network. The five kinds of telecommunications service influence on Marine administration is Telecommuting Service, Electronic Approval Service, Teleconference Service, Electronic Data Interchange Service, and Internet Service. The results of this as follow: First, all Marine agency must be innovation. Second, Marine Administration must be use Telecommunications. Marine Administration must be for customer.

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The Study on the Priority of First Person Shooter game Elements using Delphi Methodology (FPS게임 구성요소의 중요도 분석방법에 관한 연구 1 -델파이기법을 이용한 독립요소의 계층설계와 검증을 중심으로-)

  • Bae, Hye-Jin;Kim, Suk-Tae
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.20 no.3 s.71
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2007
  • Having started with "Space War", the first game produced by MIT in the 1960's, the gaming industry expanded rapidly and grew to a large size over a short period of time: the brand new games being launched on the market are found to contain many different elements making up a single content in that it is often called the 'the most comprehensive ultimate fruits' of the design technologies. This also translates into a large increase in the number of things which need to be considered in developing games, complicating the plans on the financial budget, the work force, and the time to be committed. Therefore, an approach for analyzing the elements which make up a game, computing the importance of each of them, and assessing those games to be developed in the future, is the key to a successful development of games. Many decision-making activities are often required under such a planning process. The decision-making task involves many difficulties which are outlined as follows: the multi-factor problem; the uncertainty problem impeding the elements from being "quantified" the complex multi-purpose problem for which the outcome aims confusion among decision-makers and the problem with determining the priority order of multi-stages leading to the decision-making process. In this study we plan to suggest AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) so that these problems can be worked out comprehensively, and logical and rational alternative plan can be proposed through the quantification of the "uncertain" data. The analysis was conducted by taking FPS (First Person Shooting) which is currently dominating the gaming industry, as subjects for this study. The most important consideration in conducting AHP analysis is to accurately group the elements of the subjects to be analyzed objectively, and arrange them hierarchically, and to analyze the importance through pair-wise comparison between the elements. The study is composed of 2 parts of analyzing these elements and computing the importance between them, and choosing an alternative plan. Among these this paper is particularly focused on the Delphi technique-based objective element analyzing and hierarchy of the FPS games.

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A Development of Evaluation Indicators for Performance Improvement of Horticultural Therapy Garden (원예치료정원의 성능개선을 위한 평가지표 개발)

  • Ahn, Je-Jun;Park, Yool-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Traditional Landscape Architecture
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this research is to develop evaluation indicators forperformance improvement of horticultural therapy garden. In order to achieve a therapeutic purpose, the gardening activity held by the trained horticultural therapist. Moreover, horticultural therapy is 'a medical model' for the treatment and basic premise of the research was set, as horticultural therapy garden is characterized area to support activities of patients and horticultural therapist functionally and efficiently. For this study, three times of Delphi and AHP techniques were proceeded to export panels who were recruited by purposive sampling. Through these techniques, it was possible to deduct the evaluation indicator which maximizes the performance of the horticultural therapy garden. The evaluation items were prioritized by typing and stratification of the indicator. The results and discussions were stated as followings. Firstly, a questionnaire of experts was conducted to horticultural therapists and civil servants who were in charge of horticultural therapy. As results(horticultural therapists: 87.8%, civil servants: 75.2%), It is possible to conclude that both positions have the high recognition and agreed on the necessity of horticultural therapy. Secondly, Delphi investigation was conducted three times in order to develop the evaluation indicator for performance evaluation. After Delphi analysis, total 34 of evaluation elements to improve the performance of the horticultural therapy garden by reliability and validity analysis results. Thirdly, AHP analysis of each evaluation indicator was conducted on the relative importance and weighting. Moreover, the results showed 'interaction between nature and human' as the most important element, and in order of 'plan of the program', 'social interaction', 'sustainable environmental', and 'universal design rule', respectively. On the other hand, the exports from the university and research institute evaluated the importance of 'interaction between nature and human', while horticultural therapists chose 'plan of the program' as the most important element. Fourthly, the total weight was used to develop weight applied evaluation indicator for the performance evaluation of the horticultural therapy garden. The weight applying to evaluation index is generally calculated multiply the evaluation scores and the total weight using AHP analysis. Finally, 'the evaluation indicator and evaluation score sheet for performance improvement of the horticultural therapy garden' was finally stated based on the relative order of priority between evaluation indicators and analyzing the weight. If it was deducted the improvement points for the efficiency of already established horticultural therapy garden using the 'weight applied evaluation sheet', it is possible to expand it by judging the importance with the decision of the priority because the item importance decided by experts was reflected. Moreover, in the condition of new garden establishment, it is expected to be helpful in suggesting ways for performance improvement and in setting the guidelines by understanding the major indicators of performance improvement in horticultural therapy activity.

A Study on the Decision Factors for AI-based SaMD Adoption Using Delphi Surveys and AHP Analysis (델파이 조사와 AHP 분석을 활용한 인공지능 기반 SaMD 도입 의사결정 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Byung-Oh Woo;Jay In Oh
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.111-129
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    • 2023
  • With the diffusion of digital innovation, the adoption of innovative medical technologies based on artificial intelligence is increasing in the medical field. This is driving the launch and adoption of AI-based SaMD(Software as a Medical Device), but there is a lack of research on the factors that influence the adoption of SaMD by medical institutions. The purpose of this study is to identify key factors that influence medical institutions' decisions to adopt AI-based SaMDs, and to analyze the weights and priorities of these factors. For this purpose, we conducted Delphi surveys based on the results of literature studies on technology acceptance models in healthcare industry, medical AI and SaMD, and developed a research model by combining HOTE(Human, Organization, Technology and Environment) framework and HABIO(Holistic Approach {Business, Information, Organizational}) framework. Based on the research model with 5 main criteria and 22 sub-criteria, we conducted an AHP(Analytical Hierarchy Process) analysis among the experts from domestic medical institutions and SaMD providers to empirically analyze SaMD adoption factors. The results of this study showed that the priority of the main criteria for determining the adoption of AI-based SaMD was in the order of technical factors, economic factors, human factors, organizational factors, and environmental factors. The priority of sub-criteria was in the order of reliability, cost reduction, medical staff's acceptance, safety, top management's support, security, and licensing & regulatory levels. Specifically, technical factors such as reliability, safety, and security were found to be the most important factors for SaMD adoption. In addition, the comparisons and analyses of the weights and priorities of each group showed that the weights and priorities of SaMD adoption factors varied by type of institution, type of medical institution, and type of job in the medical institution.

A Study on Required Competency for Each Field of Intellectual Property in the 4th Industrial Revolution Era (4차 산업혁명 시대의 지식재산 분야별 필요 역량 분석)

  • Park, Ki-Moon;Lee, Kyu-Nyo;Lee, Byung-Wook
    • 대한공업교육학회지
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.108-130
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    • 2020
  • In order to cope with the rapid changes in science and technology and various societies and complex economies with the advent of the 4th Industrial Revolution, intellectual property education is essential above all. In this study, therefore, intellectual property and the required competences were derived and verified for each field. As for the research method, Delphi technique was used twice for literature review and experts, and the conclusions of the research are as follows. First, the field of intellectual property required in the era of the 4th Industrial Revolution was classified, through literature review and Delphi technique, in eleven sections such as IP-R & D consulting, IP information search analysis, IP entitlement, IP strategic planning, IP transaction, IP finance, IP value evaluation, IP management, global IP management, IP commercialization, and IP disputes, of which validity was verified. Second, It was analyzed that the validity of required competencies derived from each field of intellectual property was reliable. Third, it is generally appropriate to nurture manpower in each field of intellectual property in universities or graduate schools. In addition, it is judged that regular job training of industries such as enterprises and public institutions is necessary regardless of the field.

Capability Assessment on Korean Meteorological Technology: A Comparative Analysis of US, Japan, and UK (한국의 기상기술력 평가: 미국, 일본, 영국과 비교분석)

  • Kim, Hye-min;Park, So-yeon;Lee, Kyoungmi;Lim, Byung-hwan;Yoo, Seung-hoon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.34-61
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to assess the capability of meteorological technology in Korea, the United States, Japan, and the United Kingdom as of 2015 and compare them with the previous values for Korea, the United States, and Japan. For the comparison, the indicators and weights for the assessment similar to those used in previous studies are used and Gordon's rating model is applied here to evaluate the indicators and conduct a survey of weather experts. The survey was administered to 200 of experts in meteorology using the Delphi method. More specifically, we investigate four categories of observation, data processing, forecast, and climate. The overall results show that the United Kingdom has the highest capability of meteorological technology among the four countries. With the result of indicator evaluation on this study the United Kingdom has the highest capability of meteorological technologies compared with Korea, the United States, and Japan. The capability of meteorological technology in Korea is 88.5% of the United Kingdom, 89.9% of Japan, and 90.6% of the United States. The countries in order of score on survey evaluation are the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, and Korea. Through the result of survey evaluation, the level of meteorological technology in Korea was 88.9% of the United States, 91.6% of the United Kingdom, and 92.2% of Japan.