• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다 기준 의사 결정

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Analyzing Accessibility of Emergency Shelters Based on Service Population: The Case of Outdoor Evacuation Places for Earthquake in Jung-gu, Seoul (생활인구를 고려한 대피시설 접근성 분석: 서울 중구지역 지진 옥외 대피장소를 사례로)

  • Kim, Sang-Gyoon;Shin, Sang-Young;Nam, Hyeon-Jung
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study analyzes accessibility of outdoor evacuation places for earthquake and the accessibility improvement effects when expanding the evacuation places in accessibility-deficient areas. In order to consider real-world evacuees, the accessibility analysis is based on service population not on resident population. Method: Location-allocation model as a GIS-based spatial optimization mode is used to analyze accessibility and vulnerable areas to evacuation places. Of location-allocation problem types, 'Maximize Coverage' method is chosen to allocate as many potential evacuees as possible to evacuation places. And impedence cutoffs or evacuation distances (times) are applied to three classes: 500m (7.5 minutes), 1,000m (15 minutes), and 1,500m (22.5 minutes). Case study area is Jung-gu areas, Seoul as a high-density downtown area. Result: Results show that accessibility-deficient areas and population to evacuation places are much more in service population than in resident population. Accessibility is significantly improved when increases when expanding the evacuation places in accessibility-deficient areas. Yet, accessibility-deficient areas are still remained since available lands are insufficient in the high-density downtown area. Conclusion: The study suggests that temporary evacuation facilities like outdoor evacuation places for earthquake need to consider real potential evacuees based not only on resident population but also on service population. Also, policy measures to provide emergency shelters need to more utilize spatial optimization tools like location-allocation model.

Diagnosis and Treatment of Latent Tuberculosis Infection in Korea (국내에서 잠복결핵의 진단 및 치료)

  • Shim, Tae Sun;Koh, Won-Jung;Yim, Jae-Joon;Lew, Woo Jin
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.101-117
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    • 2004
  • 현증 결핵환자가 감소하고, 면역억제환자가 증가하고 있는 국내 추세에서 잠복결핵(latent tuberculosis)의 진단 및 치료 지침이 필요한 실정이다. 그러나 결핵의 유병률, 발생률 그리고 비씨지 접종률 등이 외국과 다른 국내의 현실에서 현증이 없는 잠복결핵의 진단 및 치료에 대한 방침은 필연적으로 외국과 다를 수 밖에 없으며, 현 시점에 국내에서 이에 대한 자료가 불충분하여 국내의 환경에 적합한 근거 중심의 지침을 설정하기는 어려운 상황이다. 그러나 결핵의 기본 병태 생리를 근거로 하여 최소한 결핵균 감염 이후 결핵 발병의 위험성이 높은 대상 환자에서는 잠복결핵 진단을 위한 검사를 시행하여 치료 여부를 결정하여야 한다. 고위험군은 사람면역결핍바이러스(human immunodeficiency virus, HIV) 감염자, 장기이식환자, 면역억제제를 장기간 사용하는 환자, 6세 이하의 소아 중 최근 전염성 결핵환자 접촉자 등을 우선적으로 고려해야 한다. 미국은 발병 위험도의 고, 중, 저에 따라 투베르쿨린 검사(tuberculin skin test, Mantoux test)의 양성기준을 달리 하여 잠복결핵을 진단하고 있으나, 국내에는 아직 이에 대한 자료가 부족하므로 발병의 위험이 높은 상기 고위험군을 대상으로 하여 PPD RT-23 2TU (Tuberculin unit)를 이용한 피부반응검사에서 10mm이상의 경결(induration)이 생성되는 경우를 양성으로 정하고 추후 연구 결과에 따라 재조정이 필요하다. 그 동안은 투베르쿨린 검사 결과 5-10 mm 사이의 경결반응을 보이는 면역억제 환자에 대하여는 개별적으로 의사의 판단에 따라 잠복결핵의 진단 및 치료 여부를 결정한다. 그러나 면역억제제를 사용하는 등 결핵 발병의 고위험군에서는 피부반응검사상 음성이라도 과거 결핵 치료력이 없이 흉부사진상 명백하게 과거에 결핵을 앓은 흉터가 남아있는 경우(석회화된 1차 결핵 소견은 제외)에는 잠복결핵의 치료를 시행한다. 상기 잠복결핵의 진단 및 검사의 적응증은 최소한 시행하여야 할 경우를 나열한 것으로 이외의 환자에 대하여는 환경 및 대상에 따라 개별화되어야 한다. 치료제로는 isoniazid (INH) 9개월 매일 치료(최소 한 6개월 이상, HIV양성 환자인 경우는 9개월), rifa-mpicin (RFP) 4개월 치료 및 INH/RFP 3개월 매일 치료를 시행할 수 있다. 상기 치료가 어려운 경우에는 RFP/pyrazinamide (PZA) 2개월 매일 치료를 고려할 수 있으나 중증 간독성의 가능성에 대한 철저한 교육 및 추적검사가 필요하다. 향후 국내 환경의 변화 및 연구결과에 따라 추후 부족한 부분에 대한 지침의 재정립이 필요하다.

Legal Issues on the Collection and Utilization of Infectious Disease Data in the Infectious Disease Crisis (감염병 위기 상황에서 감염병 데이터의 수집 및 활용에 관한 법적 쟁점 -미국 감염병 데이터 수집 및 활용 절차를 참조 사례로 하여-)

  • Kim, Jae Sun
    • The Korean Society of Law and Medicine
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.29-74
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    • 2022
  • As social disasters occur under the Disaster Management Act, which can damage the people's "life, body, and property" due to the rapid spread and spread of unexpected COVID-19 infectious diseases in 2020, information collected through inspection and reporting of infectious disease pathogens (Article 11), epidemiological investigation (Article 18), epidemiological investigation for vaccination (Article 29), artificial technology, and prevention policy Decision), (3) It was used as an important basis for decision-making in the context of an infectious disease crisis, such as promoting vaccination and understanding the current status of damage. In addition, medical policy decisions using infectious disease data contribute to quarantine policy decisions, information provision, drug development, and research technology development, and interest in the legal scope and limitations of using infectious disease data has increased worldwide. The use of infectious disease data can be classified for the purpose of spreading and blocking infectious diseases, prevention, management, and treatment of infectious diseases, and the use of information will be more widely made in the context of an infectious disease crisis. In particular, as the serious stage of the Disaster Management Act continues, the processing of personal identification information and sensitive information becomes an important issue. Information on "medical records, vaccination drugs, vaccination, underlying diseases, health rankings, long-term care recognition grades, pregnancy, etc." needs to be interpreted. In the case of "prevention, management, and treatment of infectious diseases", it is difficult to clearly define the concept of medical practicesThe types of actions are judged based on "legislative purposes, academic principles, expertise, and social norms," but the balance of legal interests should be based on the need for data use in quarantine policies and urgent judgment in public health crises. Specifically, the speed and degree of transmission of infectious diseases in a crisis, whether the purpose can be achieved without processing sensitive information, whether it unfairly violates the interests of third parties or information subjects, and the effectiveness of introducing quarantine policies through processing sensitive information can be used as major evaluation factors. On the other hand, the collection, provision, and use of infectious disease data for research purposes will be used through pseudonym processing under the Personal Information Protection Act, consent under the Bioethics Act and deliberation by the Institutional Bioethics Committee, and data provision deliberation committee. Therefore, the use of research purposes is recognized as long as procedural validity is secured as it is reviewed by the pseudonym processing and data review committee, the consent of the information subject, and the institutional bioethics review committee. However, the burden on research managers should be reduced by clarifying the pseudonymization or anonymization procedures, the introduction or consent procedures of the comprehensive consent system and the opt-out system should be clearly prepared, and the procedure for re-identifying or securing security that may arise from technological development should be clearly defined.

Prioritization of Species Selection Criteria for Urban Fine Dust Reduction Planting (도시 미세먼지 저감 식재를 위한 수종 선정 기준의 우선순위 도출)

  • Cho, Dong-Gil
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.472-480
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    • 2019
  • Selection of the plant material for planting to reduce fine dust should comprehensively consider the visual characteristics, such as the shape and texture of the plant leaves and form of bark, which affect the adsorption function of the plant. However, previous studies on reduction of fine dust through plants have focused on the absorption function rather than the adsorption function of plants and on foliage plants, which are indoor plants, rather than the outdoor plants. In particular, the criterion for selection of fine dust reduction species is not specific, so research on the selection criteria for plant materials for fine dust reduction in urban areas is needed. The purpose of this study is to identify the priorities of eight indicators that affect the fine dust reduction by using the fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making model (MCDM) and establish the tree selection criteria for the urban planting to reduce fine dust. For the purpose, we conducted a questionnaire survey of those who majored in fine dust-related academic fields and those with experience of researching fine dust. A result of the survey showed that the area of leaf and the tree species received the highest score as the factors that affect the fine dust reduction. They were followed by the surface roughness of leaves, tree height, growth rate, complexity of leaves, edge shape of leaves, and bark feature in that order. When selecting the species that have leaves with the coarse surface, it is better to select the trees with wooly, glossy, and waxy layers on the leaves. When considering the shape of the leaves, it is better to select the two-type or three-type leaves and palm-shaped leaves than the single-type leaves and to select the serrated leaves than the smooth edged leaves to increase the surface area for adsorbing fine dust in the air on the surface of the leaves. When considering the characteristics of the bark, it is better to select trees that have cork layers or show or are likely to show the bark loosening or cracks than to select those with lenticel or patterned barks. This study is significant in that it presents the priorities of the selection criteria of plant material based on the visual characteristics that affect the adsorption of fine dust for the planning of planting to reduce fine dust in the urban area. The results of this study can be used as basic data for the selection of trees for plantation planning in the urban area.

A Study on the Power Supply and Demand Policy to Minimize Social Cost in Competitive Market (경쟁시장 하에서 사회적 비용을 고려한 전력수급정책 방향에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Byung-Hun;Song, Byung Gun;Kang, Seung-Jin
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.817-838
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, the resource adequacy as well as the optimum fuel mix is obtained by the following procedures. First, the regulation body, the government agency, determine the reliability index as well as the optimum portfolio of the fuel mix during the planning horizon. Here, the resources with the characteristics of public goods such as demand-side management, renewable resources are assigned in advance. Also, the optimum portfolio is determined by reflecting the economics, environmental characteristics, public acceptance, regional supply and demand, etc. Second, the government announces the required amount of each fuel-type new resources during the planning horizon and the market participants bid to the government based on their own estimated fixed cost. Here, the government announces the winners of the each auction by plant type and the guaranteed fixed cost is determined by the marginal auction price by plant type. Third, the energy market is run and the surplus of each plant except their cost (guaranteed fixed cost and operating cost) is withdrew by the regulatory body. Here, to induce the generators to reduce their operating cost some incentives for each generator is given based on their performance. The performance is determined by the mechanism of the performance-based regulation (PBR). Here the free-riding performance should be subtracted to guarantee the transparent competition. Although the suggested mechanism looks like very regulated one, it provides two mechanism of the competition. That is, one is in the resource construction auction and the other is in the energy spot market. Also the advantages of the proposed method are it guarantee the proper resource adequacy as well as the desired fuel mix. However, this mechanism should be sustained during the transient period of the deregulation only. Therefore, generation resource planning procedure and market mechanisms are suggested to minimize possible stranded costs.

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A Hybrid System of Wavelet Transformations and Neural Networks Using Genetic Algorithms: Applying to Chaotic Financial Markets (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 웨이블릿분석 및 인공신경망기법의 통합모형구축)

  • Shin, Taek-Soo;Han, In-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.03a
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 1999
  • 인공신경망을 시계열예측에 적용하는 경우에 고려되어야 할 문제중, 특히 모형에 적합한 입력변수의 생성이 중요시되고 있는데, 이러한 분야는 인공신경망의 모형생성과정에서 입력변수에 대한 전처리기법으로써 다양하게 제시되어 왔다. 가장 최근의 입력변수 전처리기법으로써 제시되고 있는 신호처리기법은 전통적 주기분할처리방법인 푸리에변환기법(Fourier transforms)을 비롯하여 이를 확장시킨 개념인 웨이블릿변환기법(wavelet transforms) 등으로 대별될 수 있다. 이는 기본적으로 시계열이 다수의 주기(cycle)들로 구성된 상이한 시계열들의 집합이라는 가정에서 출발하고 있다. 전통적으로 이러한 시계열은 전기 또는 전자공학에서 주파수영역분할, 즉 고주파 및 저주파수를 분할하기 위한 기법에 적용되어 왔다. 그러나, 최근에는 이러한 연구가 다양한 분야에 활발하게 응용되기 시작하였으며, 그 중의 대표적인 예가 바로 경영분야의 재무시계열에 대한 분석이다. 전통적으로 재무시계열은 장, 단기의사결정을 가진 시장참여자들간의 거래특성이 시계열에 각기 달리 가격으로 반영되기 때문에 이러한 상이한 집단들의 고요한 거래움직임으로 말미암아 예를 들어, 주식시장이 프랙탈구조를 가지고 있다고 보기도 한다. 이처럼 재무시계열은 다양한 사회현상의 집합체라고 볼 수 있으며, 그만큼 예측모형을 구축하는데 어려움이 따른다. 본 연구는 이러한 시계열의 주기적 특성에 기반을 둔 신호처리분석으로서 기존의 시계열로부터 노이즈를 줄여 주면서 보다 의미있는 정보로 변환시켜줄 수 있는 웨이블릿분석 방법론을 새로운 필터링기법으로 사용하여 현재 많은 연구가 진행되고 있는 인공신경망의 모형결합을 통해 기존연구과는 다른 새로운 통합예측방법론을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 제시하는 통합방법론은 크게 2단계 과정을 거쳐 예측모형으로 완성이 된다. 즉, 1차 모형단계에서 원시 재무시계열은 먼저 웨이브릿분석을 통해서 노이즈가 필터링 되는 동시에, 과거 재무시계열의 프랙탈 구조, 즉 비선형적인 움직임을 보다 잘 반영시켜 주는 다차원 주기요소를 가지는 시계열로 분해, 생성되며, 이렇게 주기에 따라 장단기로 분할된 시계열들은 2차 모형단계에서 신경망의 새로운 입력변수로서 사용되어 최종적인 인공 신경망모델을 구축하는 데 반영된다. 기존의 주기분할방법론은 모형개발자입장에서 여러 가지 통계기준치중에서 최적의 기준치를 합리적으로 선택해야 하는 문제가 추가적으로 발생하며, 본 연구에서는 이상의 제반 문제들을 개선시키기 위해 통합방법론으로서 기존의 인공신경망모형을 구조적으로 확장시켰다. 이 모형에서 기존의 입력층 이전단계에 새로운 층이 정의된다. 이렇게 해서 생성된 새로운 통합모형은 기존모형에서 생성되는 기본적인 학습파라미터와 더불어, 본 연구에서 새롭게 제시된 주기분할층의 파라미터들이 모형의 학습성과를 높이기 위해 함께 고려된다. 한편, 이러한 학습과정에서 추가적으로 고려해야 할 파라미터 갯수가 증가함에 따라서, 본 모델의 학습성과가 local minimum에 빠지는 문제점이 발생될 수 있다. 즉, 웨이블릿분석과 인공신경망모형을 모두 전역적으로 최적화시켜야 하는 문제가 발생한다. 본 연구에서는 이 문제를 해결하기 위해서, 최근 local minimum의 가능성을 최소화하여 전역적인 학습성과를 높여 주는 인공지능기법으로서 유전자알고리즘기법을 본 연구이 통합모델에 반영하였다. 이에 대한 실증사례 분석결과는 일일 환율예측문제를 적용하였을 경우, 기존의 방법론보다 더 나운 예측성과를 타나내었다.

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Basic Study on Bridge Asset Management Framework and LOS for Efficient Downtown Bridge Maintenance (효율적인 도심지 교량관리를 위한 교량자산관리 체계 및 서비스수준(LOS) 개발을 위한 기초연구)

  • Kim, Gyung-Hyun;Kim, Dong-Jin;Lim, Jong-Kwon;Park, Mi-Yun;Lee, Min-Jae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.671-679
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    • 2016
  • Bridges, which constitute one of the key facilities in a social infrastructure, are easily accessed and used by users, so that keeping their performance above a certain level is essential. According to various cases in the U.S., Japan and Europe with a long construction history, it is expected that the maintenance cost of bridges in Korea will increase continuously in the future, so a rational decision making system based on engineering factors is necessary to optimize the performance of and maintain them by allocating the limited budget efficiently. This study is a preliminary basic study for the purpose of developing a common asset management system for managing all of the bridges and maintaining the level of service provided by them. The scope of this preliminary study is limited to bridges in urban areas. The bridge asset management system for bridges in urban areas, their level of service (LOS) and performance measure (PM) were developed by carrying out a workshop consisting of both experts and stakeholders. The analysis on the weights of the value and performance measure for each performance indicator was carried out by using the multi-attribute utility theory and the AHP method. In order to confirm the application of the weight of the performance measure and value of the performance indicator, six bridges in an example city were selected, LOS analysis was applied and its results were reviewed.

Performance and Economic Analysis for Rut-resistance Pavement Considering Life Cycle Cost (LCC를 고려한 내유동포장의 공용성 및 경제성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Do, Myungsik;Han, Daeseok;Yoo, Inkyoon;Lee, Soohyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5D
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    • pp.783-796
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    • 2006
  • Rut-resistance pavement is adopted to prevent pavement from plastic deformation since 1998. The objective of this paper is to investigate performance and economic efficiency between rut-resistance pavement and conventional hot-mix asphalt(HMA) on national highway. The pavement deterioration models incorporated in HDM-4 have been calibrated and adapted to local road conditions based on observed pavement rut-depth data. Based on calibration result of HDM-4, the economic evaluation including road agency cost and user cost is performed for 34 road pavement sections. Furthermore, we presented optimal timing for maintenance and performance levels subject to different budget. We found that rut-resistance pavement is performing better than conventional hot-mix asphalt in most road sections. Furthermore, we confirmed that the application of HDM-4 is useful for pavement project planning and evaluation. More investigation is needed to enlarge the scope of the pavement data and to explore more deeply socio-environmental cost and delay cost.

A Study on the Retransmission Consent and Arbitration for the Retransmission of Terrestrial Broadcasting Signal in Japan (지상파채널의 재전송 동의와 중재 기준에 관한 연구 - 일본의 사례분석을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.48
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    • pp.46-62
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    • 2009
  • The current study attempted to review the standards of retransmisison consent and arbitration for the terrestrial broadcasting signal. The standards are based upon the principles encouraged by the MIAC(Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications). It has been criticized that the standards of judgement for the retransimission consent and arbitration are ambiguous and arbitrary in Japan. In 2009, MIAC announced five decisions regarding the retransmission of over-the-air. The result of the current study found that the regulations of compulsory over-the-air signal retransmission have been sustained until now. The retransmission policy of the Japan government based upon three principles; localism, proper cause and copyright act. The judgment is dependent on the intrepretation of MIAC's standard about these three principles.

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A Study on the Intelligent Quick Response System for Fast Fashion(IQRS-FF) (패스트 패션을 위한 지능형 신속대응시스템(IQRS-FF)에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hyun-Sung;Park, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.163-179
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    • 2010
  • Recentlythe concept of fast fashion is drawing attention as customer needs are diversified and supply lead time is getting shorter in fashion industry. It is emphasized as one of the critical success factors in the fashion industry how quickly and efficiently to satisfy the customer needs as the competition has intensified. Because the fast fashion is inherently susceptible to trend, it is very important for fashion retailers to make quick decisions regarding items to launch, quantity based on demand prediction, and the time to respond. Also the planning decisions must be executed through the business processes of procurement, production, and logistics in real time. In order to adapt to this trend, the fashion industry urgently needs supports from intelligent quick response(QR) system. However, the traditional functions of QR systems have not been able to completely satisfy such demands of the fast fashion industry. This paper proposes an intelligent quick response system for the fast fashion(IQRS-FF). Presented are models for QR process, QR principles and execution, and QR quantity and timing computation. IQRS-FF models support the decision makers by providing useful information with automated and rule-based algorithms. If the predefined conditions of a rule are satisfied, the actions defined in the rule are automatically taken or informed to the decision makers. In IQRS-FF, QRdecisions are made in two stages: pre-season and in-season. In pre-season, firstly master demand prediction is performed based on the macro level analysis such as local and global economy, fashion trends and competitors. The prediction proceeds to the master production and procurement planning. Checking availability and delivery of materials for production, decision makers must make reservations or request procurements. For the outsourcing materials, they must check the availability and capacity of partners. By the master plans, the performance of the QR during the in-season is greatly enhanced and the decision to select the QR items is made fully considering the availability of materials in warehouse as well as partners' capacity. During in-season, the decision makers must find the right time to QR as the actual sales occur in stores. Then they are to decide items to QRbased not only on the qualitative criteria such as opinions from sales persons but also on the quantitative criteria such as sales volume, the recent sales trend, inventory level, the remaining period, the forecast for the remaining period, and competitors' performance. To calculate QR quantity in IQRS-FF, two calculation methods are designed: QR Index based calculation and attribute similarity based calculation using demographic cluster. In the early period of a new season, the attribute similarity based QR amount calculation is better used because there are not enough historical sales data. By analyzing sales trends of the categories or items that have similar attributes, QR quantity can be computed. On the other hand, in case of having enough information to analyze the sales trends or forecasting, the QR Index based calculation method can be used. Having defined the models for decision making for QR, we design KPIs(Key Performance Indicators) to test the reliability of the models in critical decision makings: the difference of sales volumebetween QR items and non-QR items; the accuracy rate of QR the lead-time spent on QR decision-making. To verify the effectiveness and practicality of the proposed models, a case study has been performed for a representative fashion company which recently developed and launched the IQRS-FF. The case study shows that the average sales rateof QR items increased by 15%, the differences in sales rate between QR items and non-QR items increased by 10%, the QR accuracy was 70%, the lead time for QR dramatically decreased from 120 hours to 8 hours.