• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다중 회귀

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A Study on the Development of a Technique to Predict Missing Travel Speed Collected by Taxi Probe (결측 택시 Probe 통행속도 예측기법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Byoung Jo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.1D
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2011
  • The monitoring system for link travel speed using taxi probe is one of key sub-systems of ITS. Link travel speed collected by taxi probe has been widely employed for both monitoring the traffic states of urban road network and providing real-time travel time information. When sample size of taxi probe is small and link travel time is longer than a length of time interval to collect travel speed data, and in turn the missing state is inevitable. Under this missing state, link travel speed data is real-timely not collected. This missing state changes from single to multiple time intervals. Existing single interval prediction techniques can not generate multiple future states. For this reason, it is necessary to replace multiple missing states with the estimations generated by multi-interval prediction method. In this study, a multi-interval prediction method to generate the speed estimations of single and multiple future time step is introduced overcoming the shortcomings of short-term techniques. The model is developed based on Non-Parametric Regression (NPR), and outperformed single-interval prediction methods in terms of prediction accuracy in spite of multi-interval prediction scheme.

A Development of Formula on Time of Concentration and Storage Constant in Sumjin River Basin (섬진강 유역의 도달시간 및 저류상수 산정공식 개발)

  • 이신재;박양래;김명수;박상우
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1193-1197
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 강우에 내한 유역의 반응시간에 관한 연구로써 우리나라 자연하천유역에 적합한 도달시간 및 저류상수 산정공식을 개발하기 위하여 섬진강 유역을 대상으로 유역특성인자 및 강우 특성인자를 분석하고, 이를 다중회귀분석방범 중 최적의 회귀모형을 추출하기 위한 단계별 회귀분석방법을 이용하여 산정공식을 개발하였다. 그리고 개발된 산정공식으로부터의 도달시간 및 저류 상수들을 기존 경험공식의 값들과 비교하였으면, 또한 이를 Clark 모형에 적용하여 실제 호우사상들에 대한 유출수문곡선을 분석하여 관측수문곡선과 비교 검토하였다. 그 걸과 계산된 유출수문곡선과 관측수문곡선은 첨두유량 및 첨두발생시간에서 비교적 적은 오차를 보였으며, 유출수문곡선의 양상에서도 상호 높은 상관성을 보여 개발된 산정공식에 대한 적합성을 잘 나타내주고 있다.

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A study on Prediction of Simulator Sickness in Driving Simulation (자동차 모의운전환경에서 Simulator Sickness의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김도희
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.170-173
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구에서는 시뮬레이터나 그와 유사한 가상현실환경(Virtual Reality Environment ; VRE)에서 일어날 수 있는 Simulator Sickness가 어떤 사람들에게 쉽게 발생하는지를 예측하기 위하여 다중선형회귀(Multiple linear regression) 방정식으로 예측회귀모형을 제시하였다. 이 회귀모형에서의 종속변수는 김도희 외(1998)에 의해 개발된 RSSQ의 종합점수이고, 독립변수는 실제운전경력에 1을 더한 값에 나이를 곱한 값, 과거 멀미를 경험한 정도, 1주일 평균 동화상 시간, 현재의 건강상태로 되어져 있다. 이 회귀모형의 R2값은 약 0.52로 Kolasinski(1996)의 모델보다 설명력이 18% 증가하였고, 부수적인 별도의 실험을 하지 않고도 간단한 개인 신상에 관한 간단한 자료만으로도 훨씬 좋은 결과를 예측할 수 있게 되었다. 따라서 시뮬레이터나 가상현실에서 일어나는 Simulator Sickness가 어떠한 사람에게 걸리기가 쉬운지를 쉽게 예측할 수 있게 되었고, 이러한 사람들에게는 시뮬레이터나 가상현실의 이용을 자제시키거나 주의를 주어 특별관리 함으로써 시뮬레이터나 가상현실을 운영하는데 많은 도움을 줄 수 있을 것이다.

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Application of Multiple Regression Method to Prediction of Noise Level in Ship Cabins (회귀분석법에 의한 선박 소음 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Dong-Hae Kim;Kyoon-Yang Chung
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.112-118
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    • 1994
  • In this paper, statistical approach to prediction of A-weighted noise level in ship cabins. based on multiple linear regression analysis, is conducted. The best regression formula is composed of seven parameters of the deadweight, the type of ship, the location of engines and cabins, the type of deckhouse and the propeller skew angle. Verification work was carried out with other 210 cabins' data in 6 ships. As a result, the formula ensures the accuracy of 3 dB(A) in 77 % of cases.

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Short-term Peak Power Demand Forecasting using Model in Consideration of Weather Variable (기상 변수를 고려한 모델에 의한 단기 최대전력수요예측)

  • 고희석;이충식;최종규;지봉호
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2001
  • BP neural network model and multiple-regression model were composed for forecasting the special-days load. Special-days load was forecasted using that neural network model made use of pattern conversion ratio and multiple-regression made use of weekday-change ratio. This methods identified the suitable as that special-days load of short and long term was forecasted with the weekly average percentage error of 1∼2[%] in the weekly peak load forecasting model using pattern conversion ratio. But this methods were hard with special-days load forecasting of summertime. therefore it was forecasted with the multiple-regression models. This models were used to the weekday-change ratio, and the temperature-humidity and discomfort-index as explanatory variable. This methods identified the suitable as that compared forecasting result of weekday load with forecasting result of special-days load because months average percentage error was alike. And, the fit of the presented forecast models using statistical tests had been proved. Big difficult problem of peak load forecasting had been solved that because identified the fit of the methods of special-days load forecasting in the paper presented.

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Optimal National Coordinate System Transform Model using National Control Point Network Adjustment Results (국가지준점 망조정 성과를 활용한 최적 국가 좌표계 변환 모델 결정)

  • Song, Dong-Seob;Jang, Eun-Seok;Kim, Tae-Woo;Yun, Hong-Sic
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.25 no.6_2
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    • pp.613-623
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    • 2007
  • The main purpose of this study is to investigate the coordinate transformation based on two different systems between local geodetic datum(tokyo datum) and international geocentric datum(new Korea geodetic datum). For this purpose, three methods were used to determine seven parameters as follows: Bursa-Wolf model, Molodensky-Badekas model, and Veis model. Also, we adopted multiple regression equation method to convert from Tokyo datum to KTRF. We used 935 control points as a common points and applied gross error analysis for detecting the outlier among those control points. The coordinate transformation was carried out using similarity transformation applied the obtained seven parameters and the precision of transformed coordinate was evaluated about 9,917 third or forth order control points. From these results, it was found that Bursa-Wolf model and Molodensky-Badekas model are more suitable than other for the determination of transformation parameters in Korea. And, transforming accuracy using MRE is lower than other similarity transformation model.