• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다중 시나리오

Search Result 242, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Impact Assessment of Climate Change and Land use change on Water Resources in Han River (기후변화와 토지피복변화를 고려한 한강 유역의 수자원 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bo-Kyung;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Yoon, Seok-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.929-933
    • /
    • 2009
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화와 이상기후에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. IPCC(2001)는 "기후변화"라는 요소가 기온 증가, 강우강도 및 빈도 변화와 이들로 인한 증발산의 변화, 유출량의 시 공간적 변동을 초래하여 수자원의 효율적 관리 및 안정적인 공급에 어려움을 증대시킬 것으로 전망하였다. 이에 따라 세계 각국은 미래 기후에 대한 보다 정확한 정보를 얻기 위하여 IPCC 권장 시나리오인 SRES(Special Report in Emission Scenario)기반의 GCM(General Circulation Model)과 RCM(Regional Circulation Model)을 이용하고 있으며 특히, 최근에는 고해상도 자료를 생산함으로써 국부지역에 대한 지형학적 특성을 효과적으로 모의할 수 있는 RCM 모형을 이용한 연구가 국외를 중심으로 진행되고 있다(권현한 등, 2008). 본 연구에서는 미래 한강 유역의 수자원 변동성을 평가하기 위하여 CA-Markov Chain 기법으로부터 토지이용변화를, 기온과 강수자료을 독립변수로 이용한 다중 회귀식으로부터 미래 NDVI를 추정하고 기상청에서 제공하는 RegCM3-지역지후모형으로부터 축소기법을 이용하여 추정된 KMA RCM 50set 기후변화시나리오를 SLURP 모형에 입력하였다. 2001년부터 2090년까지 총 90년에 대한 한강 유역의 미래 유출모의를 실시한 후 각 댐별 과거와 미래 유출량을 월별로 비교하고 이들의 유황분석을 실시하였다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Development of System for Dispatcher (상황실 화재 접수자 중심의 화재상황별 시스템 개발 연구)

  • Choi, Doo-Chan;Ko, Min-Hyeok;Min, Se-Hong
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.203-209
    • /
    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study aims to support the dispatcher to analysis the architecture type of fire. Method: Analysis the dispatch protocol guideline (released by gyunggi fire brigade) and make the dispatch scenario by site, combustibles, evacuation, fire extinguish systems. Result: After making scenario, develop the system (for dispatcher), is based on the tablet PC. Conclusion: Dispatch systems apply not only fire but rescue and disaster. This study focus on the fire, but It is need to expend the rescue and disaster. in korea, Fire Safety Evaluation and Multishop DB are possible to link to this system.

Development of Radar HILS System and Verification Radar Performance Scenario-based (레이다 비행 모의 장치 개발 및 시험 시나리오 기반 레이다 성능 검증)

  • Yong-kil Kwak
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.27 no.5
    • /
    • pp.574-579
    • /
    • 2023
  • The radar flight test has many restrictions on simulating various targets, clutter and jamming signal. Therefore, in this study, a radar HILS system that performs a radar operation simulation function according to an operation scenario was developed. Radar HILS simulates the radar mission environment through radar beam operation simulation, radar operation control, simulated signal generation, and flight attitude simulation.. HILS generates and modulates simulated target signals(single, multiple targets) containing radar mission environments(clutter, jamming etc.) based on flight scenarios, and transmits them to AESA radar over RF. And Scenario-based radar performance was verified by detecting simulated targets and confirming detection results.

Performance Evaluation of WCDMA with Multiple Access Interference in Mixed Service Environments (다중접속 간섭과 혼합서비스 환경에서 WCDMA 시스템의 성능분석)

  • 정연호
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
    • /
    • v.2 no.3
    • /
    • pp.45-49
    • /
    • 2001
  • Wideband code division multiple access (WCDMA) is the most widely adopted third generation air interface. The physical layer of the air interface is the main discussion topic during standardization processes. This paper aims to investigate the performance of uplink WCDMA over many conceivable transmission scenarios in realistic operating conditions. The focus of the study is placed on the performance under frequency selective fading channel conditions with multiple access interference (MAI) in mixed services environments. For the investigation, a simulator has been developed and it encompasses a variety of WCDMA air interface features. The results show that the performance is greatly affected by MAI and is further aggravated with the presence of frequency selective fading, thereby necessitating a suitable compensation measure.

  • PDF

Performance Evaluation of WCDMA for UMTS in the Presence of Multiple Access Interference (다중접속 간섭 환경에서 UMTS WCDMA 시스템의 성능분석)

  • 정연호;고연화;하덕호
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
    • /
    • 2001.06a
    • /
    • pp.5-8
    • /
    • 2001
  • Wideband code division multiple access (WCDMA) is the most widely adopted third generation air interface. The physical layer of the air interrace is the main discussion topic during standardization processes. This paper aims to investigate the performance of uplink WCDMA over many conceivable transmission scenarios in realistic operating conditions. The focus of the study is placed on the performance under frequency selective fading channel conditions with multiple access interference (MAI) in mixed services environments. For the investigation, a simulator has been developed and it encompasses a variety of WCDMA air interface features. The results show that the performance is greatly affected by MAI and is further aggravated with the presence of frequency selective fading, thereby necessitating a suitable compensation measure.

  • PDF

Establishment of Complex Disaster Scenario on the Utility Tunnel Study for Digital Twin System Application (디지털트윈 시스템 적용을 위한 공동구 복합재난 시나리오 구축)

  • Yon Ha Chung; So Dam Kim;Hyun Jeong Seo;Hojun Lee;Tae Jung Song
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.18 no.4
    • /
    • pp.861-872
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to establish a complex disaster scenario that can comprehensively consider various disaster situations that may occur in the utility tunnel. Method: In order to comprehensively consider the correlation between disasters, a composite disaster scenario was derived from a combination of damage factors, respectively. A risk assessment was performed in order to derive the priorities of the scenarios. And based on the results, the priorities of complex disaster scenarios were set. Result: Based on the disaster cases in the utility tunnel, a plan was prepared for complex disaster scenarios centered on damage. A complex disaster scenario was specified using a semi-quantitative evaluation method for single and multiple disaster factors such as fire, flooding, and earthquake. Conclusion: The composite disaster scenario derived from this study can be used for the prevention and preparation of damage when the precursor symptoms of a disaster are detected. In addition, the results of this study are expected to be used as basic data for preparing strategic plans and preparing complex disaster response technologies to induce rapid response and recovery in case of emergency disasters.

A Study on Scenario to establish Coastal Inundation Prediction Map due to Storm Surge (폭풍해일에 의한 해안침수예상도 작성 시나리오 연구)

  • Moon, Seung-Rok;Kang, Tae-Soon;Nam, Soo-Yong;Hwang, Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.19 no.5
    • /
    • pp.492-501
    • /
    • 2007
  • Coastal disasters have become one of the most important issues in every coastal country. In Korea, coastal disasters such as storm surge, sea level rise and extreme weather have placed many coastal regions in danger of being exposed or damaged during subsequent storms and gradual shoreline retreat. A storm surge is an onshore gush of water associated with a tow pressure weather system, typically in typhoon season. However, it is very difficult to predict storm surge height and inundation due to the irregularity of the course and intensity of a typhoon. To provide a new scheme of typhoon damage prediction model, the scenario which changes the central pressure, the maximum wind radius, the track and the proceeding speed by corresponding previous typhoon database, was composed. The virtual typhoon scenario database was constructed with individual scenario simulation and evaluation, in which it extracted the result from the scenario database of information of the hereafter typhoon and information due to climate change. This virtual typhoon scenario database will apply damage prediction information about a typhoon. This study performed construction and analysis of the simulation system with the storm surge/coastal inundation model at Masan coastal areas, and applied method for predicting using the scenario of the storm surge.

Study for the Transformation and Growth of MMORPGs: TIME FLOW Scenario Design (MMORPG 온라인게임의 변화와 성장을 위한 디자인 설계 TIME FLOW 시나리오 연구)

  • Jeong, Seong Hwa;Kyung, Byung Pyo;Lee, Dong Lyeor;Lee, Wan Bok;Ryu, Seuc Ho
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
    • /
    • v.15 no.4
    • /
    • pp.79-92
    • /
    • 2015
  • The trend in the domestic MMORPG online game market is on decline because of the change in customers attitude and the advent of mobile or foreign games. The underlying cause of depressed domestic game market is that it has been failing to provide quality service arising from not revising existing game design. For this reason, this paper sets out to gather game users' opinions and to analyze successful domestic and foreign games comparatively to approve the importance and necessity of scenario development and to solve current problems in the MMORPG market. As one solution, this paper proposes a new design method, TIME FLOW scenario technique. This technique aims to establish a system in which story and environment change as time progresses and thus can provide different contents to its users over time. It is expected to enable a new frame for game design environment and to restructure education environment for human resource cultivation.

Development of Extreme Event Analysis Tool Base on Spatial Information Using Climate Change Scenarios (기후변화 시나리오를 활용한 공간정보 기반 극단적 기후사상 분석 도구(EEAT) 개발)

  • Han, Kuk-Jin;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.475-486
    • /
    • 2020
  • Climate change scenarios are the basis of research to cope with climate change, and consist of large-scale spatio-temporal data. From the data point of view, one scenario has a large capacity of about 83 gigabytes or more, and the data format is semi-structured, making it difficult to utilize the data through means such as search, extraction, archiving and analysis. In this study, a tool for analyzing extreme climate events based on spatial information is developed to improve the usability of large-scale, multi-period climate change scenarios. In addition, a pilot analysis is conducted on the time and space in which the heavy rain thresholds that occurred in the past can occur in the future, by applying the developed tool to the RCP8.5 climate change scenario. As a result, the days with a cumulative rainfall of more than 587.6 mm over three days would account for about 76 days in the 2080s, and localized heavy rains would occur. The developed analysis tool was designed to facilitate the entire process from the initial setting through to deriving analysis results on a single platform, and enabled the results of the analysis to be implemented in various formats without using specific commercial software: web document format (HTML), image (PNG), climate change scenario (ESR), statistics (XLS). Therefore, the utilization of this analysis tool is considered to be useful for determining future prospects for climate change or vulnerability assessment, etc., and it is expected to be used to develop an analysis tool for climate change scenarios based on climate change reports to be presented in the future.

Scenario-based Vulnerability Assessment of Hydroelectric Power Plant (시나리오 기반 수력플랜트 설비의 취약성 평가)

  • Nam, Myeong Jun;Lee, Jae Young;Jung, Woo Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.9-21
    • /
    • 2021
  • Recently, the importance of eco-friendly power generation facility using renewable energy has newly appeared. Hydropower plant is a very important source of electricity generation and supply which is very important to secure safety because it is commonly connected with multi facility and operated on a large scale. In this study, a scenario-based analysis method was suggested to assess vulnerability of a penstock system caused by water hammer commonly occurred in the operation of hydropower plants. A hypothetical hydropower plant was used to demonstrate the applicability of a transient analysis model. In order to verify reliability of the model, the prediction of pressure behaviors were compared with the results of commercial model (SIMSEN) and measured data, then a real hydroelectric power plant was applied to develop all potential water hammer scenarios during the actual operation. The scenario-based simulation and vulnerability assessment for water hammer in the penstock system were performed with internal and external load conditions. The simulation results indicated that the vulnerability of a penstock system was varied with the operating conditions of hydropower facilities and significantly affected by load combination consisting of different load scenarios. The proposed numerical method could be an useful tool for the vulnerabilityty assessment of the hydropower plants due to water hammer.