• Title/Summary/Keyword: 금융시장

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Fund Flow and Market Risk (펀드플로우와 시장위험)

  • Chung, Hyo-Youn;Park, Jong-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.169-204
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    • 2010
  • This paper examines the dynamic relationship between fund flow and market risk at the aggregate level and explores whether sudden sharp changes in fund flow (fund run) can cause a systemic risk in the Korean financial markets. We use daily and weekly data and regression and VAR analysis. Main results of the paper are as follows: First, in the stock market, a concurrent and a lagged unexpected fund flows have a positive relationship with market volatility. A positive shock in fund flow predicts an increase in stock market volatility. In the bond market, an unexpected fund flow has a negative relationship with the default risk premium, but a positive relationship with the term premium. And an unexpected fund flow of the money market fund has a negative relationship with the liquidy risk, but the explanatory power is very low. Second, for examining whether changes in fund flow induce a systemic risk, we construct a spillover index based on the forecast error variance decomposition of VAR model. A spillover index represents that how much the shock in fund flow can explain the change of market risk in a market. In general, explanatory powers from spillover indexes are so fluctuant and low. In the stock market, the impact of shocks in fund flow on market risk is relatively high and persistent during the period from the end of 2007 to 2008, which is the subprime-mortgage crisis period. In bond market, since the end of 2008, the impact of shocks in fund flow spreads to default risk continually, while in the money market, such a systematic effect doesn't take place. The persistent patterns of spillover effect appearing around a certain period in the stock market and the bond market suggest that the shock to the unexpected fund flow may increase the market risk and can be a cause of systemic risk in the financial markets. However, summarizing the results of regression and VAR model analysis, and considering the very low explanatory power of spillover index analysis, we can conclude that changes in fund flow have a very limited power in explaining changes in market risk and it is not very likely to induce the systemic risk by a fund run in the Korean financial markets.

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WORLD NEWS-베트남 부동산 시장

  • 강구슬
    • 주택과사람들
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    • s.222
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    • pp.60-61
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    • 2008
  • 미국의 서브프라임 사태로 촉발된 금융 위기가 전 세계로 확산되고 있다. '아시아의 떠오르는 용'이라 불리던 베트남도 예외가 아니다. 인플레이션과 높은 이자율, 정부의 긴축 정책으로 인한 유동성 저하 등으로 최근 냉각기를 겪고 있는 베트남 부동산 시장에 대해 살펴보자

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서울시 주택시장 안정을 위한 종합대책

  • 한국주택협회
    • 주택과사람들
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    • s.93
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    • pp.51-67
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    • 1998
  • IMF 구제금융체제하에서 주택건설 및 주택가격에 미치는 영향이 지대할 것으로 예상되는 바, 주택건설업계의 경쟁력을 제고하고 주택시장 안정을 위한 종합대책을 조기에 수립$\cdot$시행하여 경제위기 극복에 적극적으로 대처코자 함

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Financial Determinants of Credit Default Swap Spreads for Financial Institutions Headquartered in the Republic of Korea (국내 금융기관들의 신용부도스왑 스프레드에 대한 재무적 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Hanjoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.338-357
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    • 2012
  • This study investigated any possible financial attributes of the CDS spreads of a firm belonging to financial industries headquartered in the Republic of Korea. There were few studies on this issue, especially for the firms located in emerging capital markets. Coupled with the models such as a multiple regression and a principal component analysis(PCA), this research has identified that only two explanatory variables such as SLOPE and INTER3 (i.e. interaction effect between the BETA and the SLOPE) consistently showed their statistically significant influence on the CDS spreads through the 'selected' model without and with applying a stepwise regression procedure for the robustness. Given the rapid developments of sophisticated financial derivatives, this study may suggest a valuable insight to foreign and domestic investors to identify the possible determinants of CDS spreads at the firm- and/or the industry-level.

Determinants of Stock Market Participation Decision: The Case of Korean Households (한국 가계의 주식시장 참가 결정요인 분석)

  • Lim, Kyung-Mook
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.35-69
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    • 2004
  • Using household survey data set during 1993~1998 period, this paper analyzes patterns and determinants of household stock market participation. The results shows that the age profile of stock market participation in Korean household is humped-shaped as in other developed countries. Also, households with a higher level and lower variability of income, bigger financial asset, and higher education level are more likely to be stockholders. The stock market participation rate of the self-employed is substantially lower than that of the employed. In Korea, the high proportion of self-employed among total labor force seems to lower the stock market participation rate.

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Free Market Economy in Korea: from Monetary and Financial Market Point of View (한국의 자유시장경제: 화폐금융시장적 고찰)

  • Donghun Joo
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.151-170
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    • 2024
  • This article examines various interdisciplinary perspectives on Korea's free market economy, which has often been taken for granted by economists, and explores ways to identify a desirable market economy within Korean society. It does so by analyzing the transformation of the Bank of Korea's monetary policy from supporting industrial policies to adopting a market-oriented approach. The market economy can take on various forms depending on the degree of government intervention in politics and law. However, in economics, the market economy is often regarded as inherently correct, with many economists believing that greater market freedom will lead to economically or socially desirable outcomes. This faith in the market is deeply ingrained in the training of economists. Nevertheless, it is clear that simply relying on market mechanisms, without government regulation or intervention, has limitations, particularly when responding to unpredictable economic shocks. Historical changes in monetary policy reveal these limitations. The question of which market economy to pursue is ultimately a question of what role the government should play, like two sides of the same coin. To address the imbalances caused by the spread of market economy logic in the historical process of market institution establishment in the Korean economy such as concentration in the metropolitan area and low birth rates, along with other challenges facing Korean society, a flexible approach to market institutions rather than an absolute faith in the market would be more effective.

Electronic Banking and the Changes of Economy Activity (전자금융의 성장과 경제활동의 변화)

  • 김세인
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.107-125
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    • 1999
  • The growing popularity of Internet and the technology revolution of information communication has affected our financial system, and electronic banking has increased its scale and range since '90. Now this changes, deeply and fast, invade the our economical-social environments. Without having to go to a bank, customer and merchants will be able to perform freely complicated financial transactions by accessing online banking network and CD/ATM etc. Customer can use the various payment method - cash, credit card, smart cards, electronic money in real world and cyberspace, and manager the assets more efficiently. They increased their money liquidity yet. Banks need to expand the various baskets of transaction services and methods to satisfy their customer needs and create new participator, Government had to evaluate and forecast the trend of electronic banking, and establish a new rules and standards in the new electronic payment system.

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기후변화의 위험헷지와 기온파생상품

  • Son, Dong-Hui;Im, Hyeong-Jun;Jeon, Yong-Il
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.465-491
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    • 2012
  • Climate change, a result of increasing global warming, has been receiving more public attention due to its serious impact upon many industries. In this study we consider sustainable- (Green-) Growth and Green-Finance, and in particular temperature derivatives, as appropriately active responses to the world's significant climate change trends. We characterize the daily average temperatures in Seoul, South Korea with their seasonal properties and cycles of error terms. We form forecasting models and perform Monte Carlo simulations, and find that the risk-neutral values for CDD call-options and HDD put-options have risen since 1960s, which implies that the trend of temperature increase can be quantified in the financial markets. Contrary to the existing models, the Vasicek model with the explicit consideration of cycles in the error terms suggests that the significant option-values for the CDD call -options above certain exercise prices, implying that there is the possibility of explicit hedging against the considerable and stable increase in temperature.

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Earning Inequality in Korea After the Financial Crisis (금융위기 이후 소득 불균등에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Joon
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.61-80
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    • 2000
  • Using raw data of the 'Family income and expenditure survey,' we find that the earning distribution worsened in Korea after the financial crisis; the gap between ninetieth and tenth percentile grew larger after the crisis more than before. Such a phenomenon is apparent within narrowly defined education and labor market experience variables. We found that the increase in earning inequality came from the rapidly increasing return to the components of skill other than the schooling and experience, which is caused by the increasing demand of skill after the crisis. Therefore, we can interpret the growing demand for skill is an important factor leading the increase in the earning inequality after the Crisis. And then, we think that the reason for the increasing demand for skill after the crisis can be found in the changes of the technology, the organizational and personnel practice, the globalization, and the labor market. We can derive policy implications from this : To narrow the inequality we must invest the industrial demand-oriented education.

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Risk Attitude Analysis between Construction Investor and Loan Investor in International PPP Project (해외투자개발사업의 건설투자자와 금융투자자간 리스크 태도 분석)

  • Park, Chan Young;Han, Seung-Heon;Jung, Wooyong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2019
  • Many construction developers have tried to develop the international PPP (Public-Private Partnership) projects but frequently failed to gain loan investor approval from loan investor. Many of these failures were caused by the risk attitude gaps among project stakeholder. This study aims to compare the risk attitude between the construction investor and loan investor. This study investigated how much differently 21 construction investors and 21 loan investor recognize the risk magnitude corresponding to the same three risk status of 27 risk factors. Construction investors show a more risk-seeking attitude than loan investor in 58 of 81 risk status. Loan investors show a more risk-averse attitude than construction investors in 9 risk factors. These results will contribute to developing the successful PPP project by reducing the risk perception gap between construction investors and loan investors.