• Title/Summary/Keyword: 글로벌금융위기

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Using fuzzy-neural network to predict hedge fund survival (퍼지신경망 모형을 이용한 헤지펀드의 생존여부 예측)

  • Lee, Kwang Jae;Lee, Hyun Jun;Oh, Kyong Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1189-1198
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    • 2015
  • For the effects of the global financial crisis cause hedge funds to have a strong influence on financial markets, it is needed to study new approach method to predict hedge fund survival. This paper proposes to organize fuzzy neural network using hedge fund data as input to predict hedge fund survival. The variables of hedge fund data are ambiguous to analyze and have internal uncertainty and these characteristics make it challenging to predict their survival from the past records. The object of this study is to evaluate the predictability of fuzzy neural network which uses grades of membership to predict survival. The results of this study show that proposed system is effective to predict the hedge funds survival and can be a desirable solution which helps investors to support decision-making.

Measuring Relative Efficiency of Korean and Japanese Construction Firms Using Data Envelopment Analysis (자료포락분석을 이용한 한국과 일본 건설기업의 상대적 효율성 분석)

  • Choi, Jae-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2015
  • The aim of this study is to compare relative efficiency Korean and Japanese construction firms over the period of 2000-2013, and to analysis relative efficiency using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). This study employs DEA in analyzing of 7 Korean construction firms and 8 Japanese construction firms using 2 input and 1 output variables. The efficiency results of this study is temporarily lowered due to IT Bubble Decay and Global Financial Crisis. The efficiency of Korean construction firms from 2000-2001 is lower Japanese construction firms, but the efficiency of Korean construction firms from 2002-2013 is higher Japanese construction firms. These results mean that the management of Korean construction firms were operating more efficiently than Japanese construction firms.

The Entrepreneurship of Convergence Companies Affect Learning Orientation (융합기업의 기업가정신이 학습지향성에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Seung-Il;Kim, Dong-Il
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.243-250
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    • 2017
  • Since the global financial crisis in 2008, countries around the world have emphasized the activation of entrepreneurship and entrepreneurship as essential strategies for survival. In the case of developed countries, the United States, the European Union and China actively promote entrepreneurship and entrepreneurship. In Korea, on the other hand, the importance of entrepreneurship is emphasized by stagnating growth of companies and strengthening their competitiveness through convergence within companies or companies. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between entrepreneurship and learning orientation in order to enhance competitiveness of Korean companies and to be the basis of management strategy for growth of convergence companies based on this. For the progress of this study, the convergence companies were targeted and the hypothesis was verified through the questionnaire survey through the statistical program. The results of the study showed that Innovation influenced learning orientation. Second, Initiative was found to affect learning orientation. Finally, it is shown that risk sensitivity does not affect learning orientation.

Analyzing Expected Inflation Based on a Term Structure Model: A Case of Korea (이자율모형을 이용한 우리나라 기대인플레이션의 추정 및 특징)

  • Song, Joonhyuk
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.65-101
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    • 2014
  • This paper estimates and characterizes expected inflations using an affine term structure model based on the empirical stochastic process of the interest rates in Korea. The empirical results show that the expected inflation which marked above 4% before the global financial crisis has dampened and stabilized after the crisis. Moreover, we investigate the rationality of the various expected inflation measures in terms of the unbiasedness and efficiency and find that unbiasedness is not rejected across the all measures, while the efficiency cannot be empirically warranted. Besides, we run Granger causality tests and conclude that the expected inflations compiled from the Consensus, BOK-Expert have the cross-causality with the long-run actual inflation, while the expected inflation estimated from the term structure model has the cross-causality with the short-run actual inflation. These results connote that expected inflations collected from different sources and methods have their targets and horizons and the central bank needs to watch all of them with a balanced view instead of preferring one to the other.

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A Study on Crisis Response Strategies for Global Solar Energy Companies - Focusing of M&A and Restructuring - (글로벌 태양광기업의 위기극복전략 연구 - 기업 인수합병과 구조조정을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Chang Seok;Yoo, Sung Yeon;Han, Ki Ju;Cha, Jae Hyung;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2017
  • Korean solar energy companies are currently suffering bankruptcy, receivership, liquidation of operation, lay-off or other similar event and most of the conglomerate are also downsized or discontinued operations in the industry. This study aims to assist Korean solar energy companies in making decision to overcome the current industrial crisis through looking into the Korean companies' growth, encounter with the crisis and strategies to survive. The main research topic in this study is a comparison between respective effect of M&A and restructuring on corporate value to understand such effects on solar energy companies. In this study, we utilized a variety of research methodologies, including dummy regression analysis, binary analysis of variance, analysis of cross addition to T-test was carried out empirical analysis. As a result, it seems that the companies who chose an M&A are facing a better situation in terms of survival and market share despite the ongoing crisis. Through this study, it could be found that, for a technology company, an M&A would be a better option than restructuring to grow and overcome a crisis.

A Study on Global Marketing Strategy for Improving the Ship-Parts Exports (조선기자재 수출확대를 위한 글로벌 마케팅 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Sun-Woo;Shin, Dong-Ho;Kim, Hwan-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.127-128
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    • 2019
  • After the financial crisis in 2008, Korean ship-parts manufacturing companies faced the survival of companies due to the difficulty in securing the volume of orders by sharp dropping in orders from big-three Korean shipbuilders. In ship-parts industry, product diversification and overseas market entry are important targets. Based on the expert Delphi survey and SWOT analysis, this study analyzes the key factors of overseas advancement by the growth stage of ship-parts companies and suggests a systematic and efficient overseas marketing strategy. Also, we propose a systematic and efficient advancement into overseas market by suggesting the traditional offline marketing strategy of exporting materials, marketing and marketing, and suggesting the need to build an integrated online and offline platform.

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Empirical Analysis on Labor Market Slackness and Monetary Policy Implications in Korea (우리나라 노동시장의 유휴생산능력 추정 및 통화정책에 대한 시사점 분석)

  • Kim, Tae Bong;Lee, Hangyu
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.1-34
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    • 2020
  • After the global financial crisis, doubts have been raised about the usefulness of traditional unemployment rate for the labor market slackness, hence, this study provides alternative indicators that can help estimate the labor market slackness in Korea, and investigates the degree of biasness of traditional indices of Korean labor market. In particular, this study intends to focus on the possibility of employing the labor underutilization index officially announced by Statistics Korea (KOSIS) from 2015. To do this, we first define the labor underutilization indices from 2003 to 2014 by applying current definitions of labor underutilization indices retrospectively to these periods. Based on these indices, the empirical analysis shows that the employment gap using labor underutilization indices is highly correlated with total output gap, and has significantly improved the performance of forecasting inflation rate compared to other labor market slackness indicators.

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A Trade Effect Analysis of the Introducing the Euro in the Members of the Eurozone (유로존 국가들의 유로화 도입으로 인한 무역효과 분석)

  • Kang, Bo-Kyung
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.203-219
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    • 2010
  • Nowadays an instability of the exchange rate on accounts of global finance crisis brings on a lot of an economic damage such as recession, decreasing of total trade and so on. However some countries which belong to be membership of the eurozone could escape economic slump shortly and easier than others. The reason for this is that they share with the Euro as a their own currency which is the second vehicle currency all of the world. This paper analyzes the correlation of joining the Euro zone and trade with pooled OLS, random effect estimation, and fixed effect estimation. A membership of the Euro zone are able to increase trade 11.3% ~ 25.3% one another on average since some country belongs to the Euro zone. It is very important for some countries which have a plan to affiliate the Euro zone sooner or later to realize economic effect because of a protection of the Euro zone as well as political power.

A Study on the Support System for Reinforcement of Competitiveness of Small Business persons - Mainly Focused on Support System for Small Business Persons - (소상공인 경쟁력 강화의 지원제도에 관한 연구 - 소상공인 지원제도를 중심으로 -)

  • Woo, Dae-IL;Lee, Sang-Youn
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.95-110
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    • 2011
  • As global economic conditions are getting uneasy and polarization of our economy is intensified, the economic sentiment of small businesses is still low and unstable. The collapse of worldwide banking systems due to sub prime crisis in 2007 became the catalyst that shakes financial industries in each country in the world; the most sentiment people, small businesspersons, also have hard time facing survival way out, facing a great crisis. All organizing powers including manufactures, wholesales and retails are being gradually greater in mutual relations and dependence, and unstable factors about risks are also increasing. For exterior environmental and physical risk factors which cannot make small businesses survive themselves by developing ways out are eventually increasing, those who cannot cope with these factors face a great crisis. Although the government tries hard to overcome this situation conducting many ways, the effect does not continue. It is the real state that independent business markets including overall employment and establishing business have vicious cycle that they cannot be improved, due to increase of employment centered on short-term labors which lack durability in creation of employment and decline of household income. Recently, growth shows indication of slowdown because of multinational risk factors including financial crisis in each country in Europe, the death of Kim Jung-il, relationship with North Korea, and unstability of war situation in the Middle East Asia. Experts expect that growth rate will be about 4%, and independent business that ordinary people feel is still gloomy. It's reality that there is no adequate alternative for lack of jobs, unstable employment and a means of living after retirement. Also, the fact that large companies enter the market which is narrow and in the excessive competition should be an environmental factor that makes the situation worse. The business concept, a franchise, is the part we should think about whether it is the institutional solution that can guarantee independent businessmen stable life. Major companies are frightfully entering the market today, breaking the barrier to entry and shouting of a win-win with independent businesses. It's the small businesspersons who go through painful domestic recession, cannot predict the future and manage confusing and unstable independent business. It's very important to restore the domestic economy through wisely boosting consumption as soon as possible. It's also important to lead the situation by gathering powers of the government and related organizations, agonizing, suggesting solutions, and establishing accurate directions. The purpose of this study, therefore, is to suggest ways to strengthen competitiveness of small businesspersons by examining small business support policies which are currently implemented.

A study on the relationship between the onshore and offshore Chinese Yuan markets (중국 역내·외 위안화 현물시장간의 상호 연계성 연구)

  • Lee, Woosik;Chun, Heuiju
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1387-1395
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    • 2015
  • Since the financial crisis of 2008, the People's Republic of China has aggressively been pursuing the internationalization of the Chinese Yuan or Renminbi. In this regard, rapidly increasing use of the Chinese Yuan in the onshore and offshore markets are important milestones. This paper analyzes relationship between the onshore and offshore Chinese Yuan spot markets. Major findings of this paper are as follows : First, there is full feedback relationship between the Onshore and Offshore Chinese Yuan Markets. Second, the difference between the yuan's offshore exchange rate and the onshore was getting tight. Third, the offshore Yuan market affects on the onshore market based on the empirical tests.