• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.337-337
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• 2019

지구 온난화에 따른 기후변화로 인하여 태풍, 폭염, 홍수 및 가뭄 등과 같은 다양한 자연재해는 해마다 증가하고 있으며, 이에 따른 사회적 우려의 목소리가 커지고 있다. 특히 극한 강우와 홍수는 막대한 재산피해와 인명사고 등과 같은 재난에 직결된다. 자연재해에 대한 피해를 사전에 방지하기 위해서는 수자원 시스템을 이해하고, 미래 기후변화를 고려하는 것이 중요하다. 이미 많은 국가들은 기후변화에 대한 영향을 분석하고, 이에 적응하기 위한 노력을 하고 있다. 일반적으로 기후 모델로부터 생산된 모의자료를 이용하여 현재기간에 대비한 미래기간의 변화를 분석하게 되며, 이미 수문통계학 분야에서는 미래 강수량 변화를 살펴보기위해 다양한 연구가 수행되었다. 본 연구는 HadGEM3-RA 기후 모델의 강수 자료에서 연최대 자료를 추출하였고, 이를 이용하여 비정상성 지역빈도해석을 수행하였다. 지역빈도해석 방법은 홍수지수법(index flood method)을 이용하였고, 대상유역으로 한강유역을 선정하여 적용하였다. 또한 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathways) 시나리오는 RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5를 적용하였으며, 각 시나리오에 따른 강수량 변화율은 전망 기간(S0:1979-2005, S1:2011-2040, S2: 2041-2070, S3:2071-2100)에 따라 비교 분석하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.80-86
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• 2021

The purpose of this study is to diagnose the level of disaster safety perception (disaster safety importance, accident possibility, personal safety, and regional safety) of local residents, and to analyze the impact of individual and accident cause characteristics. The analysis method used multiple regression analysis, and the main analysis results are as follows. First, disaster safety importance and accident possibility were higher as residents who had experience in safety education and were willing to visit the safety experience center in the province. Second, disaster safety importance was higher as the cause of the accident was the lack of response 119 and police. And accident possibility was higher as the cause of the accident was the lack of prior treatment by the state and local governments. Third, personal safety and regional safety were higher for men, and especially personal safety was lower as residents with children. The results of this study can be used as basic data for establishing regional customized disaster safety policies based on the perception of local residents, who are policy consumers.

• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.125-134
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• 2022

Forest fires in Korea usually start in the fall and occur every year until spring. Most wildfires are human resources that combine topographical characteristics and carelessness, and failure to respond in the initial stage and lack of cleanup are spreading to large-scale wildfires. In order to prevent these wildfires, active cooperation from the public is essential. As can be seen from recent wildfires, the attention of the public is needed above all else because large-scale wildfires in Korea are occurring due to the people's negligence. If a wildfire spreads and becomes large, it causes damage to life and property, and the damage is irreversible. In this study, various methods were used to prevent forest fires and improve initial suppression ability. In order to minimize damage, the model analyzed by the 119 Special Rescue Team in Gangwon, Chungcheong and nearby forest fires was analyzed on the combustion progress and wind direction by time period. The propagation speed by the wind direction was simulated. Until now, most of the wildfires have been extinguished by firefighting, but I hope that the Forest Service will take the lead and maintain coordination with related organizations.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.97-97
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• 2023

최근 재해분야에서 인공신경망(ANN), 기계학습(ML), 딥러닝(DL) 등 AI 기술이 활용성이 점차 증가하고 있으며, 센싱정보와 연계한 시설물 안전관리, 원격탐사와 연계한 재해감시(녹조, 산사태, 산불 등), 수문시계열(수위, 유량 등) 예측, 레이더·위성강수 자료의 보정과 예측, 상하수도 관망누수예측 등 다양한 분야에서 AI 기술이 적용되고 그 활용성이 검증된 바 있다. 본 연구에서는 ML, DL, 물리기반신경망(Pysics-informed Neural Networks, PINNs)을 이용한 다양한 재해분석 사례를 소개하고, 그 활용성과 한계에 대해서 논의하고자 한다. 주요사례로는 (1) SAR영상과 기계학습을 이용한 재해피해지역(울진 산불) 감지, (2) 국가 디지털 정보를 이용한 산사태 위험지역 판별(인제 산사태) (3) 기계학습 및 딥러닝 기법을 이용한 위성강수 자료의 보정·예측 및 유출해석, (4) 수리해석을 위한 수치해석분야에서의 PINNs의 적용성(1차원 Saint-Venant 식 해석) 평가 연구결과를 공유한다. 특히, 자료의 입·출력 자료만으로 학습된 인공신경망 모형 대신 지배방정식(물리방정식)을 만족하도록 강제한 PINNs의 경우, 인공신경망 모형보다 우수한 모의능력을 보여주었으며, 향후 복잡한 수리모델링 등 수치해석분야에서 그 활용가능성이 매우 높을 것으로 판단된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.292-292
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• 2020

방조제는 국토 확장, 수자원 확보 및 배수 개선에 사용되는 구조물로, 재난 발생 시 자산, 국가산업 및 환경에 큰 영향을 끼칠 위험이 있다. 따라서, 파도월류, 지진, 투수, 액상화와 같은 다양한 피해 원인에 대비하여 구조적 사용성과 안정성을 확보하기 위해 신중한 검토 및 분석이 수행된다. 그러나 변화하는 환경조건에서 방조제는 다양한 외력의 변동성과 불확실성에 노출되며, 설계 시 고려된 손상 요인이 개별적으로 발생하기보다는 여러 요인이 복합적으로 반응하고 그 영향이 전달되어 피해의 발생과 전파 과정이 복잡한 양상을 나타낸다. 따라서 방조제에 대한 사고 예방 및 안정적인 유지관리를 위해서는 발생 가능한 위험을 종합적으로 고려한 위험도 평가가 중요하게 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 방조제 손상 원인 중 큰 비중을 차지하는 제체 내부 침식 위험에 대하여 위험인자 간 상호작용을 고려할 수 있는 확률통계학적 접근으로 Bayesian network 기법을 도입하였다. 위험인자에 대한 파괴 메커니즘을 조사하여 분류 후, 설계값과 측정자료를 기반으로 위험변수의 통계적 특성을 반영하기 위해 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 파괴 매커니즘의 위험도를 계산하였다. 위험도는 연간기대피해액으로 제공되었으며, 이는 방조제 손상으로 인한 피해에 대비하여 예방할 수 있는 솔루션을 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.19 no.9
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• pp.112-121
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• 2019

Title of management of cultural asset architectures made of wood managed by nation or local government is separated and there is a high concern about the disappearance of many national cultural asset architectures by fire. This study investigated the effectiveness of major installed appliances in terms of disaster prevention, and problems by early suppression in the event of fire and by mobilization of fire engines in depth. Also, this study derived problems by conducting an in-depth individual interview on interested parties for installation of fire extinguishing system by related law and to improve system to make realistic maintenance. As a result, it was identified that they have reached the positive aspects of protecting cultural asset architectures from disaster as fire by maintaining and managing facilities by establishing proper disaster prevention measures because they are surrounded by mountain or buildings are contiguous. Wooden cultural asset architectures are often excluded from regulation for installation of fire-fighting facilities under the Fire Services Act because most of wooden cultural assets are detached buildings, occupy small area, and are one-storied architecture. The best method is having extinguishing ability themselves according to the manual by making fire manual as management policy before the outbreak of fire. This study intends to suggest a follow-up study for practical considerations to establish or designate a professional management agency for them to protect important national cultural heritage buildings at the state level before they are destroyed by fire.

• Maritime Security
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.311-343
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• 2020

Because of the global warming, the Arctic Ocean is expected to be ice-free by the year 2035. When the Arctic Ocean will be opened, a number of national interests will become more salient as experiencing a shortened sailing distance and decreasing navigation expense, possibility of natural resources transport by sea from Arctic Circle, and indirect-profit making by building a herb port in Asia. To secure the national interests and support the free activities of people in this region, R.O.K government is trying to make advanced policies. In order to carry out the naval tasks in the Arctic Ocean, using the operational characteristics(mobility, flexibility, sustainability, presence of capabilities, projection) is necessary. To this end, ROK Navy should analyze the operational environment (O.E.) by its capability(weakness and strength), opportunity, and threat. R.O.K. Navy should make an effort over the following issues to implement the tasks in the Arctic Ocean: first, Navy needs to map out her own plan (Roadmap) under the direction of government policies and makes crews participate in the education·training programs in home and abroad for future polar experts. Third, to develop the forces and materials for the tasks in cold, far operations area, Navy should use domestic well-experienced shipbuilding skills and techniques of the fourth industrial revolution. Next, improving the combined operations capabilities and military trust with other countries in the Arctic region to cover the large area with lack of forces' number and to resolve the ports of call issues. Lastly, preparation in advance to execute a variety of missions against military and non-traditional threats such as epidemics, HA/DR, SOLAS, in the future operation area is required.

• Journal of Space Technology and Applications
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.23-32
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• 2021

The high-level Space Situational Awareness (SSA) objective is to provide to the users dependable, accurate and timely information in order to support risk management on orbit and during re-entry and support safe and secure operation of space assets and related services. Therefore the risk assessment for the re-entry of space objects should be managed nationally. In this research, the Software for Re-Entry Prediction of space objects (SREP) was developed for national SSA system. In particular, the rate of change of the drag coefficient is estimated through a newly proposed Drag Scale Factor Estimation (DSFE), and is used for high-precision orbit propagator (HPOP) up to an altitude of 100 km to predict the re-entry time and position of the space object. The effectiveness of this re-entry prediction is shown through the re-entry time window and ground track of space objects falling in real events, Grace-1, Grace-2, Tiangong-1, and Chang Zheng-5B Rocket body. As a result, through analysis 12 hours before the final re-entry time, it is shown that the re-entry time window and crash time can be accurately predicted with an error of less than 20 minutes.

• Korea Trade Review
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• v.42 no.1
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• pp.165-188
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• 2017

Foreign direct investment is the means for companies to enter the overseas market and strengthen their competitiveness. The holding of intellectual properties, representing advantages of firms, may affect foreign direct investment. By expanding previous studies, we define intellectual properties as including trademarks and design as well as patents. Using a random-effect panel data model, we examine the effects of both intellectual properties of Korea and host countries on Korea's foreign direct investment in 128 countries from 1981 to 2014. The results are as follow. First, the coefficients of Korea's intellectual properties, patent, trademark, and design are significantly positive. This implies that Korean firms may invest abroad to take their advantages of technologies, brand value, and the capability of product differentiation. Second, except for patents, intellectual properties of host countries have a positive impact on foreign direct investment. In other words, foreign direct investment to acquire the ability of branding or product design from host countries may occur. Third, the coefficients of Korea's intellectual properties are significantly greater than those of host countries' properties. Foreign direct investment to take advantages of the firms' capabilities overseas is greater than one to acquire knowledge of host countries. Finally, Korea's intellectual properties have a greater positive impact on foreign direct investment in high growth countries than in low growth countries. It is interpreted that Korean firms are more motivated to exploit their intellectual properties in developing countries with a high growth than developed countries. Overall, it is confirmed that Korea's foreign direct investment not only to utilize some advantages but also to seek the brand value or product differentiation ability from host countries can occur. Our findings provide the contribution that some innovative activities in firms and R&D investments policies which encourage the possession of intellectual properties can improve foreign direct investment.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.1-9
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• 2012

Informatization of society through the computer and the Internet, because large amounts of information production and exchange and new way of communicating is born. Passive way past the one-sided information flows actively interact to evolve in a manner of information producers and information consumers distinction and personal relationships that enhance the online Social Networking Service (SNS) has developed into the social structure of. Thus, the spread of information work closely with the social network structure spark social conflict may act as a factor, and systems and the environment, personal and cultural adaptation of speed to keep up with the rapid development of science and technology as the inability conflict and confusion should lead to even. This paper the characteristics of the information society, with a look at the evolution of social risk factors as the wavelength of information about this look at the role of private security sought to evaluate. Information Society in time and space by shrinking the area of human life that has brought the convenience and simplicity, whereas the non-performance due to the nature of anonymous raises many social side-effects are. This made the preparation of national regulatory measures, but for the protection of personal protection devices in the private sector has not yet been discussed. Way of life and property of the purchaser to protect an individual's private security will have to charge it.