• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2005.05b
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• pp.314-318
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• 2005

잠실 및 신곡 수중보의 영향을 모의할 수 있도록 개선된 FLDWAV 모형을 한강 하류부의 하천구간에 적용하여 모형의 보정을 수행하였다. FLDWAV 모형에 포함된 자동추정 기법을 적용하여 부분 선형함수 가변 조도계수 모형의 매개변수를 추정하였다 팔당대교부터 전류까지의 하천구간을 3개 구간으로 구분하고, 유량 등급별 조도계수의 초기 가정치를 변화시켜 가며 각 경우에 대하여 홍수사상별로 매개변수 추정을 수행하였다. 최소유량(영) 등급 및 최대유량 등급에 대한 조도계수 추정치들은 초기 가정 값에 민감하여 초기치가 최종 추정치로 종료되는 경우가 다수 발생하였다. 대부분의 홍수사상에 대하여 추정 매개변수를 사용한 계산수위와 관측수위의 편차 합은 영에 근접하나, RMS 오차는 다양한 값들을 나타내었다. 양의 오차들과 음의 오차들이 서로 상쇄됨으로써 편차가 영에 근접하게 되는 경우가 빈번히 발생하였으며, 이는 편차 합을 최소화하는 목적함수를 만족시키는 최적해가 유일하지 않음을 의미한다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.927-934
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• 2010

In this paper, we introduce a method of parameter estimation of progressive Type I interval censored sample and progressive type II censored sample. We propose a new parameter estimation method, that is converting the data which obtained by progressive type I interval censored, those data be used to estimate of the parameter in progressive type II censored sample. We used exponential distribution with unknown scale parameter, the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter calculates from the two methods. A simulation is conducted to compare two kinds of methods, it is found that the proposed method obtains a better estimate than progressive Type I interval censoring method in terms of mean square error.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.148-153
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• 2010

In speech signal processing, speech signal corrupted by noise should be enhanced to improve quality. Usually noise estimation methods need flexibility for variable environment. Noise profile is renewed on silence region to avoid effects of speech properties. So we have to preprocess finding voice region before noise estimation. However, if received signal does not have silence region, we cannot apply that method. In this paper, we proposed SNR estimation method for continuous speech signal. A Speech signal consists of Voice and Unvoiced Band in The MBE excitation model. And the energy of speech signal is mostly distributed on voiced region, so we can estimate SNR by the ratio of voiced region energy to unvoiced. We use the IMBE vocoder for the Voice or Unvoice band of segmented speech signal. Continuously we calculate the segmented SNR using that information and the energy of each band. And we estimate the SNR of continuous speech signal.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.81-87
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• 1997

안정상태 시뮬레이션의 출력 분석에서 백분율의 추정은 시스템 설계와 성능분석에 매우 유용하다. 그러나 지금까지 지속적으로 발전된 대부분의 안정상태 시뮬레이션 연구는 그 대상이 주로 시스템의 평균값에 치중되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 시뮬레이션 출력 과정의 안정상태 백분율에 대하여 Bonferroni 동시 신뢰구간 추정 방법과 붓스트랩을 이용하는 신 뢰구간 추정 방법을 제시한다. 이 방법들은 전통적인 방법보다 적은 수의 관찰 값을 가지고 상대적으로 좁은 신뢰구간을 얻으며, 시뮬레이션 출력 분석에 있어 널리 사용되는 배치 평 균 방법을 응용하므로 적용하기도 쉽다. 새로운 두 가지 추정 방법의 타당성을 검증하기 위 하여 이들을 전통적인 배치 백분율 방법과 서로 비교, 평가한다. 대기 행렬 모델(MIMI)과 시계열 모델(AR(1))에 적용한 결과, 새로운 방법들은 전통적인 방법에 비하여 상당히 적은 수의 관찰 값만으로 신뢰성 있는 추정치를 얻을 수 있었다.

• Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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• 2008.04a
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• pp.461-468
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• 2008

<그림 1>과 <그림 2>, <그림 3>은 통계 패키지(Econometric Views)를 사용하여 제조업용 로봇의 수출입을 2007년부터 2008년까지 추정한 값이며, 자료는 2001년도 이후의 관세청 수출입 실적자료를 활용하였다. <그림 1>은 SAENGF는 제조업용 로봇 국내생산의 추정치이며, 점선은 95% 신뢰구간을 의미한다. <그림 2>는 통계 패키지(Econometric Views)를 사용하여 제조업용 로봇의 수출을 2007년부터 2008년까지 추정한 값이며, EXPORTF는 제조업용 로봇 수출의 추정치이며, 점선은 95% 신뢰구간을 의미한다. <그림 3>은 통계 패키지(Econometric Views)를 사용하여 제조업용 로봇의 수입을 2007년부터 2008년까지 추정한 값이며, IMPORTF는 제조업용 로봇 수출의 추정치이며, 점선은 95% 신뢰구간을 의미한다. <표 1>은 국내 제조업용 로봇의 국내생산, 수출과 수입의 추정치이며, ARIMA모형을 사용하였으며, 자료는 2001년도 이후의 데이터로 관세청 수출입 실적자료를 활용하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.1 s.87
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• pp.73-84
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• 2006

This study was carried out to set up the logic to determine lengths of the homogeneous sections effectively in order to provide dynamic travel time on real time base for the application of the model. First, considering real time traffic pattern fluctuation, lengths of the homogeneous sections for each time period and the final homogeneous sections were determined. In order to determine lengths of the homogeneous sections according to traffic condition, the cluster analysis was used based on real time data. In order to verify the homogeneous section the case with detectors in all links and the case with detectors in homogeneous section for each time period are used. As the results of verification, each cases showed similar estimation results. The results of this study are expected to be used for National Highway traffic management and the system to Provide a traffic information in the future. According to this study, when the homogeneous section decision model are used to the ITS project for National Highway, operation cost is expected to be cut by effectively establishing point detectors.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.10 no.6
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• pp.63-73
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• 2011

Travel speed is an important parameter for measuring road traffic. UTIS(Urban Traffic Information System) was developed as a mobile detector for measuring link travel speeds in South Korea. After investigation, we founded that UTIS includes some missing data caused by the lack of probe vehicles on road segments, system failures and etc. Imputation is the practice of filling in missing data with estimated values. In this paper, we suggests a new model for imputing missing data to provide accurate link travel speeds to the public. In the field test, new model showed the travel speed measuring accuracy of 93.6%. Therefore, it can be concluded that the proposed model significantly improves travel speed measuring accuracy.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.737-746
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• 2013

The Bayesian method can be applied successfully to the estimation of the censored regression model introduced by Tobin (1958). The Bayes estimates show improvements over the maximum likelihood estimate; however, the performance of the Bayesian interval estimation is questionable. In Bayesian paradigm, the prior distribution usually reflects personal beliefs about the parameters. Such subjective priors will typically yield interval estimators with poor frequentist properties; however, an objective noninformative often yields a Bayesian procedure with good frequentist properties. We examine the performance of frequentist properties of noninformative priors for the Tobit regression model.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.331-343
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• 2014

We propose two estimating procedures to analyze clustered interval-censored data with an informative cluster size based on a marginal model and investigate their asymptotic properties. One is an extension of Cong et al. (2007) to interval-censored data and the other uses the within-cluster resampling method proposed by Hoffman et al. (2001). Simulation results imply that the proposed estimators have a better performance in terms of bias and coverage rate of true value than an estimator with no adjustment of informative cluster size when the cluster size is related with survival time. Finally, they are applied to lymphatic filariasis data adopted from Williamson et al. (2008).

• The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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• v.11D no.1
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• pp.219-228
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• 2004

Confidence interval estimators for proportions using normal approximation have been commonly used for coverage analysis of simulation output even though alternative approximate estimators of confidence intervals for proportions were proposed. This is -because the normal approximation was easier to use in practice than the other approximate estimators. Computing technology has no problem with dealing these alternative estimators. Recently, one of the approximation methods for coverage analysis which is based on arcsin transformation has been used for estimating proportion and for controlling the required precision in [12]. In this paper, we compare three approximate interval estimators, based on a normal distribution approximation, an arcsin transformation and an F-distribution approximation, of a single proportion. Three estimators were applied to sequential coverage analysis of steady-state means, in simulations of the M/M/1/$\infty$ and W/D/l/$\infty$ queueing systems on a single processor and multiple processors.