• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교통정보 변동성

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Expansion of Sample OD Based on Probe Vehicle Data in a Ubiquitous Environment (유비쿼터스 환경의 프로브 차량 정보를 활용한 표본 OD 전수화 (제주시 시범사업지역을 대상으로))

  • Jeong, So-Young;Baek, Seung-Kirl;Kang, Jeong-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2008
  • Information collection systems and applications in a ubiquitous environment has emerged as a leading issue in transportation and logistics. A productive application example is a traffic information collection system based on probe vehicles and wireless communication technology. Estimation of hourly OD pairs using probe OD data is a possible target. Since probe OD data consists of sample OD pairs, which vary over time and space, computation of sample rates of OD pairs and expansion of sample OD pairs into static OD pairs is required. In this paper, the authors proposed a method to estimate sample OD data with probe data in Jeju City and expand those into static OD data. Mean absolute percentage difference (MAPD) error between observed traffic volume and assigned traffic volume was about 22.9%. After removing abnormal data, MAPD error improved to 17.6%. Development of static OD estimation methods using probe vehicle data in a real environment is considered the main contribution of this paper.

An Empirical Study on the Correlation between TOD Planning Elements and Subway Ridership in Busan Metropolitan City (부산시 역세권 TOD계획요소의 공간특성과 지하철 이용객 수의 상관성에 관한 실증연구)

  • Choi, Don-Jeong;Suh, Yong-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 2014
  • Public transportation ridership and walkability of urban district can be enhanced through high quality of TOD(Transit Oriented Development) elements. Generally, TOD have been evaluated several physical components such as the diversity of land use pattern, accessibility of public transportation and aspects of urban design around the station area. Especially, Spatial characteristics of TOD planning elements have many potential dependent when considering the characteristics of Rail Station-Influenced Area Development which is performing around subway station. Therefore, researchers should be considering the variation of spatial properties for planning elements according the set of spatial area and their socioeconomic factors. However, existing many cases related TOD does not consider about this point. In this paper, the changes of TOD characteristics were analyzed by different spatial units surrounding subway station in Busan Metropolitan City. Multiple Regression Analysis was performed for an investigation of effective spatial unit of TOD planning elements in this area using subway ridership data. In addition, the application validity of socioeconomic variables was examined through a comparative analysis of regression results with the multiple regression that implied only physical TOD elements. As the result, the variation of spatial properties for TOD planning elements according to the set of spatial unit was found. Furthermore, the specific spatial unit to applicable TOD elements in this area was derived. And the multiple regression model which added socioeconomic variables was derived more improved estimate results than the multiple regression model that implied only physical TOD elements.

Multi-step Ahead Link Travel Time Prediction using Data Fusion (데이터융합기술을 활용한 다주기 통행시간예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Ihn;Kim, Sung-Hyun;Yoon, Ji-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.4 s.82
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2005
  • Existing arterial link travel time estimation methods relying on either aggregate point-based or individual section-based traffic data have their inherent limitations. This paper demonstrates the utility of data fusion for improving arterial link travel time estimation. If the data describe traffic conditions, an operator wants to know whether the situations are going better or worse. In addition, some traffic information providing strategies require predictions of what would be the values of traffic variables during the next time period. In such situations, it is necessary to use a prediction algorithm in order to extract the average trends in traffic data or make short-term predictions of the control variables. In this research. a multi-step ahead prediction algorithm using Data fusion was developed to predict a link travel time. The algorithm performance were tested in terms of performance measures such as MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MARE(mean absolute relative error), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), EC(equality coefficient). The performance of the proposed algorithm was superior to the current one-step ahead prediction algorithm.

Evaluation of ECMWF subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) hydrometeorological forecast across Australia (호주에서의 ECMWF 계절내-계절 수문기상 예측치 평가)

  • Jongmin Park
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.268-268
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    • 2023
  • 전 지구적 급격한 기후변화로 인해 수문기상인자들의 비선형적 변동성이 발생함과 동시에 가뭄, 홍수와 같은 수재해의 발생빈도 및 강도가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 이에 따라, 세계의 유수기관 (NASA, ESA 등)에서는 대기모형과 해양 모형의 결합 및 수치해석적 접근법을 활용하여 계절내-계절 (Subseasonal to seasonal; S2S) 예측치를 생산하여 제공하고 있다. 이에 따라, 본 연구에서는 European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF)에서 산정되는 수문기상인자 (강수량, 증발산량 및 유출량)에 대한 정확도를 평가하고자 한다. 연구지역으로는 다양한 기후대 및 토지 피복으로 구성되어 있으며, El-Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Indian Ocean Diapole (IOD)와 같은 기후 현상이 빈번히 발생하는 호주지역을 대상으로 연구를 수행하였다. ECMWF S2S 자료에 대한 통계적 검증은 1) 지점 기반 관측치와 더불어 2) 물수지 모델 기반 수문 추정치 (The Australian Water Resources Assessment Landscape Model; AWRA-L)와 비교하였다. 연구 결과 S2S 강우 및 증발산량 산정치의 경우 비교적 짧은 예측기간(약 2주)에서 상대적으로 높은 상관관계 (R=0.5~0.6)와 낮은 편차 (강수량 = 0.10 mm/day, 증발산량 = 0.21 mm/day)를 나타내었다. 유출량의 경우, 강우 및 증발산량에 비해 상대적으로 낮은 정확도를 나타내었으며, 예측 기간이 길어짐에 따라 불확실성이 상당히 높아지는 것으로 확인되었다. 이는, S2S 계산과정에서 강우 및 증발산량 뿐만아니라 지표 유출로 도달하기 전까지의 수문기상인자들의 불확실성이 모두 모여 유출량의 불확실성이 높아진 것으로 확인할 수 있었다. 계절적 검증에서는, 강우 및 증발산량 모두 여름철에 높은 상관관계를 나타내었지만 불확실성은 상대적으로 큰 값을 나타내었다. 자세한 분석을 위해, 공간적인 불확실성을 분석해본 결과 ECMWF S2S가 매우 습윤하거나 건조한 지역에서 수문기상인자를 예측하는데 있어 한계성이 나타난 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구를 토대로, 추후 S2S 예측치에 대한 보정과 더불어 미래의 수재해 발생 위험도에 대한 정보를 획득하는데 적용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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A Digital Twin-based Approach for VANET Simulation in Real Urban Environments

  • Jonghyeon Choe;Youngboo Kim;Sangdae Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.29 no.8
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, we conducted a thorough investigation of existing simulators for running simulations of Vehicular Adhoc Networks (VANET) in realistic road environments, such as digital twins. After careful consideration, we chose a simulator that combines OSM (OpenStreetMap), SUMO (Simulation of Urban MObility), and OMNeT++ due to its open-source nature and efficient performance. Using this integrated simulator, we carried out VANET simulations in both simple virtual road environments and realistic road environments. Our findings revealed significant differences in VANET performance between the two types of environments, emphasizing the need to consider realistic road and traffic environments for reliable VANET operation. Furthermore, our simulations demonstrated significant performance variability, with performance degradation observed as vehicle density decreased and dynamic changes in network topology increased. These results underscore the importance of digital twin-based approaches in VANET research, highlighting the need to simulate real-world road and traffic conditions rather than relying on simple virtual road environments.

A Current Review on the Publicness of Electronic Communication Networks: Focused on the Idea of Transport Economics and Network Neutrality (전자 커뮤니케이션 네트워크의 사회적 공공성에 대한 시론: 교통 경제학과 네트워크 중립성 논의를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Young-Joo
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.36
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    • pp.7-41
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    • 2006
  • This study criticizes the wave of liberalization, privatization, thoughtless and uncontrolled over-competition in the electronic communication networks area. This criticism is based on the 'transport economics' on one side, the 'network neutrality debate' on the other side. Through these standpoints, this study insists that it needs to deal with a social agenda related to the problems such as unplanned and unbalanced development of electronic communication networks, double/tripple-investment in the communication industry, conflicts among network companies and the decline of public values. Also does this study stress on the new ideas in the electronic communication network policy and planning to manage these problems. Electronic communication networks are converging and their borders are blurred. As a result of these flows, the field of information technology, media and contents is faced with radical changes. These changes could be so critical and complicated that nobody can diagnose their multi-level implications. However, the one thing sure is that we should start from the communication networks to think and control a communication system. Therefore, we should discuss and plan the now-and-future of communication infrastructure and its management. we need not only a market mentality but also a socio-cultural mentality. In this respect, this study does insist that it requires the vision of digital democracy and democratic communication ecology to put the steps toward social communication system.

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A Path Travel Time Estimation Study on Expressways using TCS Link Travel Times (TCS 링크통행시간을 이용한 고속도로 경로통행시간 추정)

  • Lee, Hyeon-Seok;Jeon, Gyeong-Su
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.209-221
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    • 2009
  • Travel time estimation under given traffic conditions is important for providing drivers with travel time prediction information. But the present expressway travel time estimation process cannot calculate a reliable travel time. The objective of this study is to estimate the path travel time spent in a through lane between origin tollgates and destination tollgates on an expressway as a prerequisite result to offer reliable prediction information. Useful and abundant toll collection system (TCS) data were used. When estimating the path travel time, the path travel time is estimated combining the link travel time obtained through a preprocessing process. In the case of a lack of TCS data, the TCS travel time for previous intervals is referenced using the linear interpolation method after analyzing the increase pattern for the travel time. When the TCS data are absent over a long-term period, the dynamic travel time using the VDS time space diagram is estimated. The travel time estimated by the model proposed can be validated statistically when compared to the travel time obtained from vehicles traveling the path directly. The results show that the proposed model can be utilized for estimating a reliable travel time for a long-distance path in which there are a variaty of travel times from the same departure time, the intervals are large and the change in the representative travel time is irregular for a short period.

Study on the Optimum Route Travel Time for Bus to Improve Bus Schedule Reliability (정시성 확보를 위한 버스노선 당 적정 운행시간 산정 연구)

  • Kim, Min ju;Lee, Young ihn
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.112-123
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    • 2017
  • The accurate forecasting of the public transportation's transit and arrival time has become increasingly important as more people use buses and subways instead of personal vehicles under the government's public transportation promotion policy. Using bus management system (BMS) data, which provide information on the real-time bus location, operation interval, and operation history, it is now possible to analyze the bus schedule reliability. However, the punctuality should always be considered together with the operation safety. Therefore, this study suggests a new methodology to secure both reliability and safety using the BMS data. Unlike other studies, we calculated the bus travel time between two bus stops by dividing the total travel length into 6 sections using 5 different measuring points. In addition, the optimal travel time for each bus route was proposed by analyzing the mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation of the each section's measurement. This will ensure the reliability, safety and mobility of the bus operation.

Application of Throughput Costing in Smart Factory Manufacturing Environment (스마트공장 제조환경에서의 초변동원가회계의 적용)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ihl
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.8-13
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a throughput costing as a performance measurement tool to measure cost indicators, which are one of the indicators for evaluating organizational performance in a smart factory manufacturing environment. An empirical study by questionnaire was conducted, and 60 experts were surveyed to verify the hypothesis. As a result of the study, it was concluded that the information provided based on throughput costing is helpful in cost measurement and in evaluating organizational performance efficiency and effectiveness, and it was confirmed that this method has usefulness to support the planning and control process. It is proposed that the use of throughput costing by constraint theory, which can maximize throughput and optimize inventory levels in the manufacturing process, can find solutions to bottlenecks affecting the efficiency and effectiveness of organizational performance.

A Study on Development of Bus Arrival Time Prediction Algorithm by using Travel Time Pattern Recognition (통행시간 패턴인식형 버스도착시간 예측 알고리즘 개발 연구)

  • Chang, Hyunho;Yoon, Byoungjo;Lee, Jinsoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.833-839
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    • 2019
  • Bus Information System (BIS) collects information related to the operation of buses and provides information to users through predictive algorithms. Method of predicting through recent information in same section reflects the traffic situation of the section, but cannot reflect the characteristics of the target line. The method of predicting the historical data at the same time zone is limited in forecasting peak time with high volatility of traffic flow. Therefore, we developed a pattern recognition bus arrival time prediction algorithm which could be overcome previous limitation. This method recognize the traffic pattern of target flow and select the most similar past traffic pattern. The results of this study were compared with the BIS arrival forecast information history of Seoul. RMSE of travel time between estimated and observed was approximately 35 seconds (40 seconds in BIS) at the off-peak time and 40 seconds (60 seconds in BIS) at the peak time. This means that there is data that can represent the current traffic situation in other time zones except for the same past time zone.