• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교통사고 요인

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Analysis of Contributory Factors in Causing Crashes at Rural Unsignalized intersections Based on Statistical Modeling (지방부 무신호교차로 교통사고의 영향요인 분석 및 통계적 모형 개발)

  • PARK, Jeong Soon;OH, Ju Taek;OH, Sang Jin;KIM, Young Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.123-134
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    • 2016
  • Traffic accident at intersections takes 44.3% of total number of accidents on entire road network of Korea in 2014. Although several studies addressed contributory factors of accidents at signalized intersection, very few is known about the factors at rural unsignalized intersections. The objective of this study is therefore to investigate specific characteristics of crashes at rural unsignalized intersection and to identify contributory factors in causing crashes by statistical approach using the Ordered Logistic Regression Model. The results show that main type of car crashes at unsignalized intersection during the daytime is T-bone crashes and the number of crashes at 4-legged intersections are 1.53 times more than that at 3-legged intersections. Most collisions are caused by negligence of drivers and violation of Right of Way. Based upon the analysis, accident severity is modeled as classified by two types such as 3-legged intersection and 4-legged intersection. It shows that contributory factors in causing crashes at rural unsignalized intersections are poor sight distance problem, average daily traffic, time of day(night, or day), angle of intersection, ratio of heavy vehicles, number of traffic violations at intersection, and number of lanes on minor street.

New Methodology about the Criteria for Appointing School Zones (어린이보호구역 지정 기준의 방법론 제시에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yo-Sep;Park, Je-Jin;Park, Kwang-Won;Park, Seong-Yong;Kim, Jeong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2008
  • Police agency is indicated that the number of children's traffic accident is tending downwards, however about one child is dead every day due to traffic accident. Major parts of the accidents happen during walking; among the rest, jaywalking is the biggest reason. Many accidents take plate on the road to school or near the home so government legislate children safeguard zone at 1995. According to the legislation, drivers have to reduce speed and there are safety facilities for children at children safeguard zone. This study finds the problems of children safeguard zone and suggest more effective and quantitative method for children safeguard zone. Firstly this study grasps the characters of children's pattern movement and children's traffic accident at children safeguard zone and then divides specific danger factors of children's traffic accident at children safeguard zone. Secondly, each factor is given danger level depending on danger degree and suggests effective method for assignment standard of children safeguard zone using all of these things.

밀도 기반 공간 군집체계를 반영한 해양사고 위험 예측 모델 개발에 관한 연구

  • 양지민;최충정;백연지;임광현;노유나
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.146-147
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    • 2023
  • 해양사고는 도로교통과 달리 지속적으로 증가하고 있으며, 인명피해가 주로 발생하는 주요 사고의 치사율은 도로교통의 11.7배 이상이다. 해양사고는 외부 환경에 따라 사고 위치가 변하고 즉각적인 조치가 어려워 타 교통에 비해 대형 사고로 이어질 가능성이 매우 크다. 그러나 여전히 사고가 발생하고 난 후 대응하는 등 사후적 관리 단계에 무르고 있어 사고의 주요 요인을 사전에 식별·관리하는 선제적 관리단계로의 전환 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해양사고 발생 지점 밀도 기반의 가변 공간 군집체계를 반영한 해양사고 예측모델을 개발하였다. 반복적인 공간 가산분석을 통해 밀도가 높을수록 작은 규모의 격자 체계를 가질 수 있도록 상세한 공간 군집체계를 구성하였으며, 단순 사고 위험도 예측뿐만 아닌 사고 인과관계를 설명할 수 있는 BN(Bayesian Network) 기반의 모형을 사용하여 해양사고 위험예측 모델을 개발하였다. 또한, Cost-of-Omission을 통해 해양사고 예측확률의 변화와 각 변수들의 영향력을 확인하였으며, 월별 해양사고예측 결과를 GIS를 활용하여 2D/3D 기반으로 시각화하였다.

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The Development of Traffic Accident Severity Evaluation Models for Elderly Drivers (고령운전자 교통안전성 평가모형 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Lee, Ki-Young;Choi, Yoon-Hwan;Park, Je-Jin
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.118-127
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    • 2009
  • This study tries to develop model in order to assess personal factors of senior traffic accidents that are widely recognized as one of the social problems. For the current practice. it gathers data (Simulation & Questionnaire Survey) of KOTSA and conducts Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Analysis to develop traffic accident severity model. The results show that elderly drivers' accidents are mainly affected by attentiveness selection, velocity prediction ability and attentiveness distribution ability in a positive(+) way. Second, non-senior drivers' accidents are also positively(+) influenced by attentiveness selection, velocity prediction, distance perception, attentiveness distribution ability and attentiveness diversion ability. Therefore, influencing factors of senior and non-senior drivers to vehicle accidents are different. This eventually poses a indication that preliminary education for car accident prevention should be implemented based up[n the distinction between senior drivers and non-senior drivers.

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The Analysis of Factors affecting Expressway Accident Involving Human Injuries using Logit Model (로짓모형을 활용한 고속도로 인적피해에 영향을 주는 요인분석)

  • Seo, Im-Ki;Lee, Ki-Young;Lee, Seong-Kwan;Park, Je-Jin
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.102-111
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    • 2012
  • Expresway traffic accident is fatal accident by high speed, especially human injury is a great social issue. This paper aims to identify characteristic differences of highway accidents that involve human injuries or not. To analysis the elements that affect the two types of accidents used the logistic regression model. The analysis showed that human injury accident rate is increased in case of straight road, flat, or cut-slope areas, barriers, male driver, and older driver. These results provide the ground for actions to counter the problems. By discovering factors for accidents leading to fatality, this study can provide important implications for authorities that establish highway safety measures and policies in preventing human injuries or deaths from car accidents.

A Study on the Traffic Accident Characteristics Analysis in Expressway Longitudinal Tunnel using a Logit Model (로짓모형을 이용한 고속도로 장대터널 교통사고 특성분석에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Im-Ki;Park, Je-Jin;AhnNam, Byung-Ho;Lee, Jun-Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.6D
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    • pp.549-556
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    • 2012
  • Longitudinal tunnels are defined as tunnels with length of over 1km. Because of Korea's topographical conditions and as safety measures for linear design, many tunnels are inevitably being constructed in Korea. The number of longitudinal tunnels constructed on expressways amounted to 104 as of the end of 2010 with a total length of 192km. Given the increasing demand for tunnels and the increasing length of tunnels, a safety evaluation of longitudinal tunnels needs to be conducted. As such, this study selected design elements, transportation environment and delineation system as elements to check and tried to determine factors influencing road crashes. For this, tunnels have been classified based on history of crashes; ones with crashes and ones without crashes and statistically meaningful explanatory variables were selected. By using these variables, a logit model was development in order to better grasp the factors that directly and strongly influence crashes. The result, related to crashes as well as the analysis were utility tunnel interior materials of driving lane and passing lane, which are related to driver's visibility, lateral width widening to consolidate space in a tunnel, and annual average daily traffic (AADT) per lane. These results may be used in the future as analysis indicators when drawing up plans to prevent crashes in longitudinal tunnels.

A Study on Extraction Method of Hazard Traffic Flow Segment (고속도로 위험 교통류 구간 추출 방안 연구)

  • Chong, Kyusoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2021
  • The number of freeway traffic accidents in Korea is about 4,000 as of 2020, and deaths per traffic accident is about 3.7 times higher than other roads due to non-recurring congestion and high driving speed. Most of the accident types on freeways are side and rear-end collisions, and one of the main factors is hazard traffic flow caused by merge, diverge and accidents. Therefore, the hazard traffic flow, which appears in a continuous flow such as a freeway, can be said to be important information for the driver to prevent accidents. This study tried to classify hazard traffic flows, such as the speed change point and the section where the speed difference by lane, using individual vehicle information. The homogeneous segment of speed was classified using spatial separation based on geohash and space mean speed that can indicate the speed difference of individual vehicles within the same section and the speed deviation between vehicles. As a result, I could extract the diverging influence segment and the hazard traffic flow segment that can provide dangerous segments information of freeways.

Spatial Distribution Characteristic Analysis of Traffic Accidents in Ulsan (울산광역시 교통사고 유형별 공간적 분포 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Mi-Song;Goo, Sin-Hoi;Pyo, Kyung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2016.11a
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    • pp.261-262
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    • 2016
  • 교통사고의 발생요인에는 다양한 원인들이 있지만 본 연구에서는 공간적으로 접근하여 사고유형별 분포특성을 도출하기 위해 공간적 자기상관성 분석을 수행하였다. 논문에서는 2012년부터 2014년까지 울산광역시에서 발생된 교통사고를 대상으로 분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과 울산시 전체 교통사고 약 53%는 안전운전불이행이며 다음으로는 안전거리미확보, 신호위반 순으로 나타났다. 밀도분석 결과는 사고유형별로 분포가 차이가 있었으며 안전운전불이행의 경우 가장 큰 군집은 중심시가지인 달동과 삼산동 중심에 나타났으며 중앙선침범은 도시의 중심부 보다는 면지역에 넓게 퍼져서 발생되었으며 산업단지가 있는 동구지역에 군집이 크게 나타났다. 따라서 읍면동별 공간적 특성을 파악하기 위해 Moran's I분석과 LISA분석을 수행한 결과 안전운전불이행, 안전거리미확보, 신호위반, 교차로운행방해 모두 중심시가지인 신정동, 달동, 삼산동이 공간적 자기상관성이 높았으며 중앙선침범의 경우 밀도분석 결과와 마찬가지로 중심시가지 이외에 읍면 지역도 자기상관성이 더 높게 나타났다. 이를 통해 사고유형별 공간의존성 및 이질성을 파악하여 교통사고 다발지역을 도출하고 이를 토대로 지역특성에 맞는 저감 대책 마련에 활용되고자 한다.

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Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Occurrence Rate (교통사고율에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Im, Seon-Ho;Park, Eun-Mi;Jang, Hyeon-Bong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2009
  • For 5 years and 6 months, ranging from January 2003 to June 2008, SPSS 12.0 Statistical Program was used to analyze the overall analysis, analysis of center line encroachment, analysis of signal violations, analysis of drinking while intoxicated, analysis of driving without license, analysis of two-wheel vehicle, analysis of pedestrian, analysis of safety equipment, analysis of traffic publicity or education and automobile registration accounts, and casualty of traffic accidents that are determined as having statistical implication based on the statistics available from the policy to take a look at traffic accident in the Daejeon area, and there were some meaningful results. With the proof that there is a certain level of ratio for the correlations between traffic control and traffic accident that the effect of traffic control has shown with certain time interval. The relationship of traffic control and the casualty of traffic accident has very low coefficient of correlations that it is not statistically noticeable that traffic control of the police has almost no effect in preventing traffic accident. This is a display of the fact that the conversion of direction for traffic safety measure undertaken to this point is rather urgent that there is a dire need of establishing the effective alternatives.

Analysis of Traffic Accident Reduction Effect When Introducing Motorcycle Safety Inspection (이륜자동차 안전검사제도 도입 시 교통사고절감효과 분석)

  • KOO, Jahun;JANG, Jinyoung;CHOO, Sang Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze traffic accident reduction effect of the introduction of motorcycle safety inspection. To analyze the effect of motorcycle inspection, we first estimate the number of defective motorcycles, and calculate the probability of accident occurrences caused by the defect using four year traffic accident data. Finally, we estimate the number of reduced accidents due to the introduction of the inspection and the total reduced accident cost. In this study, we analyzed three scenarios. It is analyzed that when the safety inspection system is applied to all motorcycles, 642 cases of traffic accidents and 325 million won per year of traffic accident costs are reduced. It is approximately 0.1% of 2014 total traffic accident cost of 26.5725 trillion won per year. It suggests that the cost of traffic accidents and traffic accidents due to vehicle factors are reduced when the safety inspection system is introduced.