• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.719-731
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• 2017

In September 2010, the Korea government increased the speed limit on the Gyeongbu Expressway (Cheonan IC.-Yangjae IC) from 100 to 110 km per hour. This paper considers ARIMA-Intervention model to analyze the effects of the speed limit change on the incidences of traffic accidents and injuries. In addition, in order to investigate the effects more clearly, we also analyze the difference between the two lines of Cheonan IC-Yangjae IC and Busan IC-Cheonan IC. As a result, we observe that the numbers of accidents and injuries have increased after the speed limit change. The increases are strikingly distinctive in comparison to other lines (Busan IC-Cheonan IC) where there have been no changes in the maximum speed limit.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.49-57
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• 2011

This study deals with the traffic accident of arterial link sections in the case of Cheongju. The purpose of the study is to develop the traffic accident model by the function of arterial links. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to developing the appropriate models using the accident data of main and minor arterial roads divided by 472 small link sections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, as the t test on the accident characteristics of main and minor arterial roads shows that there are differences in the number of accident and EPDO(equivalent property damage only) between two roads, the development of models by function is analyzed to be appropriate. Second, it is analyzed that ZINB models are all statistically suitable to the number of accident and EPDO of main arterial roads. Third, the analysis shows that EPDOs of minor arterial roads fit to ZINB, and the number of the accident fit to ZIP model. Finally, the common variables of main arterial roads are evaluated to be the traffic volume and the number of inflection point, and those of minor be the average grade.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.31 no.5
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• pp.16-25
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• 2013

This study deals with the relationships between flashing operation and traffic accident at signalized intersections. The objective of this study is to analyze safety effects of the yellow flashing operation at night. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attention to evaluating the safety results from signal operation of Cheongju's 190 signalized intersections using before-after evaluation with comparison group that are categorized by highway function. The main results are as follow. First, the numbers of traffic accidents and of fatalities/injuries in two highway types (arterial and collector road) have increased after operating the yellow flashing signal at night. Second, the numbers of accidents, fatalities/injuries, severe accidents and of fatalities/severe injuries in group A(arterial) have increased by 19%, 36%, 15% and 14%, respectively. Finally, the numbers of accidents, fatalities/injuries, severe accidents and fatalities/severe injuries in group B (collector) have increased by 50%, 64%, 41% and 77%, respectively.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.14-25
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• 2018

In recent years, it has become technically easier to explain factors related with traffic accidents in the Big Data era. Therefore, it is necessary to apply the latest analysis techniques to analyze the traffic accident data and to seek for new findings. The purpose of this study is to compare the predictive performance of the negative binomial regression model and the deep learning method developed in this study to predict the frequency of traffic accidents in expressways. As a result, the MOEs of the deep learning model are somewhat superior to those of the negative binomial regression model in terms of prediction performance. However, using a deep learning model could increase the predictive reliability. However, it is easy to add other independent variables when using deep learning, and it can be expected to increase the predictive reliability even if the model structure is changed.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.2
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• pp.119-129
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• 2014

This study aims to evaluate the accident reduction effects of 'Section Speed Enforcement System' (SSES) operation in freeways. In pursuing the above, this study collects the accident data for 5 years (2 years before operation and 3 years after operation) at all 9 sections where SSESs are operated, and evaluates annually the effects before and after operation using the comparison group method (C.G. Method). The measures of effectiveness are total accidents (TAs), fatal and serious accidents (FSAs), total injuries (TIs) and fatal and serious injuries (FSIs). The main results are as follows. First, TAs and TIs are reduced to 41.7 and 17.1%, respectively. Second, FSAs and FSIs are reduced to 41.7 and 32.2%, respectively. Therefore, SSES has more effectiveness at fatal and serious accident. Third, the accident reduction effect has been increasing, and particularly the effect of 'after three years' is evaluated to be notable.

• Annual Conference of KIPS
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• 2010.11a
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• pp.399-400
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• 2010

산업의 발전과 경제성장을 바탕으로 대한민국의 자동차 등록수는 매년 꾸준한 증가세를 보이고 있다. 이와 더불어 자동차 사고 또한 급격히 증가하고 있다. 대한민국은 OECD회원국중 교통사고 발생건수가 높은 편이고 사망자수 또한 상위에 랭크되어 있다. 이러한 사망자 수는 각 나라별 교통사고 발생건수 대비 사망자수와 비교시 높은 사망률을 보이고 있다. 또한 자동차 충돌 사고에서 빈번히 발생되는 운전자의 의식불명에 따른 초기 응급조치의 미흡, 뺑소니 또는 사고 후 방치되는 상황을 방지하기 위해 차량용 블랙박스와 사고발생 통보 시스템이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 가속도센서를 이용하여 사고 발생시 충격 임계점을 계산한 후 사고 발생을 블루투스를 이용하여 스마트폰으로 전송한다, 또한, 교통사고 발생 후 환자의 응급 후송 및 2차 교통사고를 방지하기 위한 시스템의 필요성에 따라 블랙박스를 접목한 차량용 응급상황 감지 및 통보 시스템을 설계 및 구현하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.2 s.95
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• pp.63-72
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• 2007

The purpose of this study is to develop a traffic characteristic analysis, a correlation analysis with the variables of traffic characteristics, and accident estimation models while recognizing the seriousness of the traffic accidents. The analyses deal with the 181 4-legged signalized intersections that accounted for 1,183 out of 3,115 accidents in Cheongju in 2004. After measuring ADT, intersection area, average lane width, elevation, and other items as independent variables and the number of traffic accidents, the traffic accident rate (accidents per million entering vehicles) and equivalent property damage only (EPDO) figures as dependent variables which are estimated as influencing signalized intersection accidents, the estimation models are developed using correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis. In the analysis of the number of traffic accidents, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.612, and five independent variables are taken as significant factors. In the analysis of traffic accident rates, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.304 and five significant factors, including intersection area and ADT. Also, for the analysis or the EPDO numbers, which coincides with understanding the seriousness of the traffic accidents and the traffic characteristic analysis, the model indicates an $R^2$ of 0.559, and four independent variables (ADT, main street average lane width, elevation, and speed limit) as significant factors.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.361-369
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• 1998

교통사고의 형태가 점차 복잡하고 대형화되면서, 물적·인적손실도 예전과는 비교할 수 없게 커지고 있다. 교통사고는 당사자와 그 가족에게는 지울 수 없는 상처를 남기고, 국가적으로도 국력낭비라는 문제점을 만든다. 교통사고를 줄이기 위해서는 개별 교통사고에 대한 철저한 조사와 교통사고 잦은 지역에 대한 분석이 필수적이다. 이러한 분석을 바탕으로 철저한 조사와 교통사고 잦은 지역에 대한 분석이 필수적이다. 이러한 분석을 바탕으로 교통안전시설물의 개5js 및 보간, 부적절한 도로 개선 등 교통사고 방지를 위한 효율적인 대책을 수립할 수 있게 된다. 교통사고 발생지점 자료의 미비로 인하여 사고지점 및 노선 축별 분석이 불가능한 현재의 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 지리정보 시스템(GIS)을 이용한 효율적인 지점별 교통사고 분석이 요구된다. 지리정보시스템 (GIS)을 이용하게 되면, 특정지점의 교통사고에 관련된 발생건수, 사고유형, 사고내용, 발생시기 등 여러 가지 교통사고 정보를 관리하고, 교통사고 잦은 지점의 환경적요인 등을 분석함으로서 교통사고를 미연에 방지하기 위한 의사결정을 지원할 수 있다. 본 연구는 GIS를 활용하여 급증하는 교통사고에 관련된 다양한 교통사고 정보를 효율적으로 전산 관리하고, 교통사고 잦은 지점 및 사고발생 원인 등을 분석할 수 있는 시스템 개발에 목적이 있으며, 특히 개발된 시스템은 교통사고 실무담당자 활용에 편의를 도모하는데 주안점을 두었다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.17-28
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• 2009

To analyze the risk according to accident types by novice and experienced drivers, it is used the accidents data which occurred for 2 years(2005~2006) in Korea. It is defined that novice driver is a people who is not passed 1 year after getting a driving licence and experienced driver is a people who is passed 1 year in this study. It is used a risk model to compare and analyze about the risk between two groups. The risk model is developed to apply together two variables which is accidents frequency and severity. Then it is used a conceptual weight to find that proper rate between accident frequency and fatal accident frequency. It is found a weight($\omega=0.6$) to suitable value to apply a risk model. The results showed that collision with obstacles, angle collision($90^{\circ}$) types to novice driver group have bigger risk than experienced driver group.

• The tire
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• s.93
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• pp.40-41
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• 1981

일본도로공단에서는 요즈음 동공단에석 관리하고 잇는 전국고속도로와 일반유료도로에서 1979년(1월~12월)에 발생한 교통사고와 차량고장의 건수를 도로별ㆍ원인별로 조사하는 한편 차종별ㆍ원인별로도 종합분석 하였다.