• Title/Summary/Keyword: 과대평가

Search Result 334, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

KAERI 폐 카운터를 이용한 LLNL 팬텀과 JAERI 팬텀과의 비교

  • 이종일;이태영;김종수;장시영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
    • /
    • 1998.05b
    • /
    • pp.600-605
    • /
    • 1998
  • 체내방사능 측정시스템의 교정인자는 측정결과에 주요한 요인으로 작용한다. 교정인자는 특정 집단으로부터 표준체위와 표준장기를 도출, 이를 기초로 하여 제작한 펜텀으로부터 구하는 것이 일반적인 방법이다. 그러나 팬텀의 기하학적 구조 및 내부장기의 형상은 특정 집단에 따라 다르므로 이로 인한 측정오차가 발생할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 북아메리카 성인남성의 표준자료에 근거하여 제작된 LLNL 팬텀과 일본성인 남성의 표준자료에 근거하여 제작된 JAERI 팬텀을 한국원자럭연구소 폐 카운터를 이용하여 상호비교.분석하였다. 이와 함께 LLNL 팬텀으로 교정된 폐 카운터의 성능시험을 JAERI 팬텀으로 DOELAP 성능시험범주 I, II, III 및 IV에 대해 수행하여 편텀의 구조 및 형상으로부터 발생하는 측정오차를 분석하였다. 비교.분석결과 1.7 cm ~ 3.7 cm 근육등가 가슴벽두께 범위내에서 JAERI 팬텀에 의한 교정인자가 전반적으로 LLNL 팬텀의 것보다 다소 높은 수치를 보였으나 허용수준이었고, 성능시험결과 상대편중은 DOELAP 성능 용인 기준을 만족하였다. 결국 두 팬텀간의 측정오차는 측정 및 체내피폭선량 평가시 수반되는 오차와 비교해 보면 그다지 크지 않은 것으로 결론지울 수 있다. 따라서 LLNL 펜텀으로부터 구한 교정인자를 국내 성인남성의 일상 모니터링에 사용할 경우 측정결과가 다소 과대평가되기는 하나 허용수준으로서 큰 문제가 없는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

Estimation of fracture toughness and characteristics of stretched zone formation in dual phase steel (複合組織鋼의 破壞靭性 評價와 스트렛치죤의 特性)

  • 김정규;오재민
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
    • /
    • v.10 no.5
    • /
    • pp.680-688
    • /
    • 1986
  • In order to obtain the optimal estimation method of fracture toughness of dual phase steel in which martensitic phase encapsulated islands of ferritic phase, the stretched zone (SZ) method and the R-curve method of the JSME S 001 was discussed. The results obtained are as follows. (1) The $J_{IC}$ values estimated by the SZ method are overestimated as compared with those by the R-curve method. (2) The $J_{IC}$ by the R-curve method decreases with the increase of the ferrite grain size and the martensite hardness. (3) The overestimation of $J_{IC}$ by the SZ method is due to the continuous plastic blunting of ferrite after the formation of stable crack which affects the critical stretched zone width.

Overestimation of Ultimate Tendon Stress in a Prestressed Concrete Beam with Unbonded Tendons (비부착 긴장재를 갖는 프리스트레스트 콘크리트 보에서 긴장재 응력의 과대평가)

  • 이종윤;임재형;문정호;신경재
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.73-81
    • /
    • 1999
  • The present study is to examine the ACI code equations for computing the unbonded tendon stress at flexural failure of prestressed beams. The equations examined for their validity are Eq. 18-4 and Eq. 18-5 of the ACI 318-95. Since the possibility of overestimation was expected with the equations, a numerical study, first, was carried out with influential variables included. From this study, it was found that amount of reinforcements, effective prestress, location of tendons, and loading type may affect the overestimation of the unbonded tendon stress. Then, an experimental study was carried out with those variables. A total of 8 specimens was tested to prove the theoretical findings as well as the effect of those variables. As a result. it was proven that the ACI Code equations can overestimate significantly the unbonded tendon stress for certain cases.

VAR를 이용한 금융위험 측정

  • Yu, Il-Seong;Lee, Yu-Tae
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.191-214
    • /
    • 2004
  • VaR에 의한 금융위험의 측정은 국제결제은행 바젤위원회의 내부모델 허용에 힘입어 금융산업에서 표준방식으로 확고한 입지를 차지하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 한국주식시장포트폴리오를 거래투자자산으로 보유한 경우의 VaR를 극단치이론에 입각하여 측정하고 이의 성과를 RiskMetrics의 성과와 비교하여 검토하였다. GPD의 모수적 추정에 의한 VaR의 사후검정결과는 표본내 사후검정이나 표본외 사후검정에서 어떤 신뢰수준에서도 기대되는 범위와 크게 벗어나지 않은 안정된 결과를 보였다. RiskMetrics의 EWMA방식도 역시 표본내와 표본외 사후검정 어느 경우에나 기대되는 범위에서 크게 벗어나지 않았지만 높은 신뢰수준에서는 그 성과가 GPD VaR에 비하여 상대적으로 불안정하였으며 위험의 과소평가 성향을 확인할 수 있었다. 비모수적 GEV추정에 입각한 VaR의 경우에는 위험을 과대평가하고 지나치게 보수적인 성향을 나타내었다. GPD의 모수적 접근에 의한 VaR 측정은 다양한 신뢰수준에서 정확한 검정결과를 보여주고 있으며, 시간적 흐름에 따르는 VaR의 행태도 지나친 변동성을 보이지 않아 외부규제 및 내부통제를 위한 금융위험의 측정지표로서 실용적인 가치가 있음을 확인할 수 있다.

  • PDF

Applicability of PDA and SPT-based methods for Toe Bearing Capacity of PHC Piles Driven in the Thick Deltaic Deposits (대심도 연약지반에 항타매입된 PHC 말뚝의 선단지지력을 위한 CPT와 SPT법의 적용성 분석)

  • Dung, N.T.;Chung, Sung-Gyo;Kim, Sung-Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2008.10a
    • /
    • pp.713-720
    • /
    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 낙동강 하구 대심도 연약지반에 항타관입된 PHC 말뚝에 대하여 SPT 지지력 공식으로 부터 계산된 선단지지력 값과 PDA 시험에서 얻어진 선단지지력 측정값을 비교하였다. 또한, SPT N값이 50이 넘는 경우에 대하여는 N값과 롯드 관입깊이의 선형관계를 가정하여 30cm 관입깊이에 해당하는 N값을 적용한 경우와 CPT $q_c$와의 상관성을 이용하여 $q_c$값으로부터 N값을 산정한 경우의 2가지 분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과, 본 연구에서 적용한 SPT 지지력 공식 모두 측정된 선단지지력 값과 차이가 났으며, SPT 지지력 공식은 대심도 연약지반에 항타 근입된 말뚝에 대하여 실제적인 설계를 수행할 때 신뢰하기 어려운 것으로 나타났다. 또한, N>50인 경우에 대하여 N값과 롯드 관입깊이의 선형관계를 적용하는 것은 지지력을 매우 과대평가하는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

The Ultimate Load Capacity of Plates by Elastic-Perfectly Plastic Model (탄성-완전소성모델에 의한 평판의 극한내하력 산정)

  • 박진환;정우성;우광성
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 1999
  • 선형탄성이론을 기초로 한 구조해석의 경우 사용하중상태에서의 변형과 응력은 만족할 만한 결과를 나타내지만, 항복후의 처짐과 파괴시의 극한하중 산정의 정확한 해석이 불가능하다. 평판의 극한해석시, 상한계 이론을 바탕으로 한 항복선 이론이 널리 사용되고 있으나 이론적으로 평판의 강도를 과대평가하게 된다. 그러므로, 임의의 하중조건과 경계조건에 대한 비선형 거동과 극한내하력을 산정할 수 있는 해석기법이 필요하다. 평판의 정확한 극한하중을 위해 p-Version 유한요소법을 제안하며, p-Version의 해석치를 범용 구조해석 프로그램인 ADINA의 결과와 문헌의 이론치와 비교하였다.

  • PDF

Estimating North Korea's GNP by Physical Indicators Approach (실물지표(實物指標)에 의한 북한(北韓)의 GNP 추정(推定))

  • Chun, Hong-tack
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.167-189
    • /
    • 1992
  • The most difficult problem one faces in estimating North Korea's GNP is the lack of basic national income data. In addition, there is no appropriate foreign exchange rate available to convert North Korea's GNP to dollar values. The physical indicators method is particularly useful in estimating North Korean GNP because it requires only a modest amount of data and obtains dollar GNP directly by applying a relationship between physical indicators and GNP, which is estimated from reference countries, to physical indicators of North Korea. The estimated result of North Korean GNP in 1990 is 27.1 billion dollars and per capita GNP 1,268 dollars. The trade participation ratio (Trade/GNP) implied by the GNP estimate was plausible and so was the ratio of fiscal expenditure to GNP. This paper examined the physical indicators method's logic, the quality of the North Korean data that was used in the estimation, and the plausibility of estimation result. Relatively simple data requirement, comparative ease of computation and plausible estimation results suggest that use of physical indicators method could enhance the reliability of North Korean GNP estimate.

  • PDF

A Study on Estimation of Degree of Compaction by Correction for Coarse Particle Ratio of Fill Material (성토재료의 조립자율 보정에 의한 다짐도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Jae-Won;Im, Jong-Chul;Seo, Min-Su;Kim, Changyoung;Kang, Sang-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.65-74
    • /
    • 2018
  • The degree of compaction of embankments is generally measured using the sand replacement method or a soil density gauge. However, these methods include coarse particles, which are relatively large. The degree of compaction is overestimated if the in-situ soil density is simply compared with the density obtained from a Proctor compaction test (KS F 2312, 2001), because the density of coarse particles is higher than that of soil. However, there is no recommended correction for the coarse particle ratio in Korea, thus intentionally increasing the degree of compaction for structures to which large loads are applied or for which compaction is critical. Here, a correction considering the Korean Proctor compaction test and the difference between the maximum allowable particle sizes was recommended after corrections for coarse particle ratios in other countries were collected and analyzed. The degree of compaction was re-estimated by applying the recommended correction to the results of both Proctor compaction and sand replacement tests. The degree of compaction without the correction of coarse particle ratio was overestimated, because the re-estimated degree of compaction decreased as the coarse particle ratio increased. The relatively accurate results obtained from the field application of the correction will offer long-term cost savings due to reduced maintenance fees during operation.

Evaluation of Site-Specific Seismic Amplification Characteristics in Plains of Seoul Metropolitan Area (서울 평야 지역에 대한 부지 고유의 지진 증폭 특성 평가)

  • Sun, Chang-Guk;Yang, Dae-Sung;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.9 no.4 s.44
    • /
    • pp.29-42
    • /
    • 2005
  • Total 350 borehole profiles were selected from the database of borehole logs in Seoul, for the site-specific seismic evaluation at two 4km${\times}$4km plain areas. Equivalent-linear site response analyses for the selected 350 sites were conducted based on shear wave velocity (Vs) Profiles, which were determined from the N-Vs correlation established using borehole seismic testing results in the inland areas of Korea. Most sites were categorized as site classes C and D based on the mean Vs to 30 m in depth (Vs30) ranging from 250 to 550 m/s. The she periods of the plains in Seoul ranging between 0.1 and 0.4 sec were significantly lower than those of the western US, from which the site coefficients in Korea were derived. For plains in Seoul, the site coefficients, Fa's and Fv's specified in the Korean seismic design guide, underestimate the ground motion in short-period (0.1-0.5 sec) band and overestimate the ground motion in mid-period (0.4-2.0 sec) band, respectively, because ol the differences in the geotechnical conditions between Seoul and the western US, although the Fa's in several sites overestimate the motion due to the base Isolation effect resulted from the soft layer in soil deposit.

$\sqrt{s}$- Observational Procedure for Consolidation Analysis (압밀해석을 위한 $\sqrt{s}$- 예측기법)

  • 정성교;최호광
    • Geotechnical Engineering
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.41-54
    • /
    • 1998
  • Predictions of consolidation settlement and time must be always erroneous because of heterogeneity of soil media. errors associated with the measurement of soil parameters, drawback of consolidation theories and so on. When filling is done on compressible soils, the observational procedure is a useful means in practice of evaluating the final consolidation settlement and time. However, the existing observational procedures including some disadvantages such as the difficulty of ending the linearity in the settlement curves, the unavoidable personal error, and so on. A new observational procedure($\sqrt{s}$ method) is suggested here for the consolidation analysis in field. As the results of applying the $\sqrt{s}$ method with other methods to two field data. the fecal settlements predicted by the s method as well as by the Asaoka'$\sqrt{s}$ method agreed well with the measured values. However, results obtained from the hyperbolic method(Tan, 1991) were always overestimated. and there happened many cases not to be predicted by the Hoshino's method. In the settlement curve from the $\sqrt{s}$method, the linearity between 60 and 90 eye of the average degree of consolidation is shown. and then the possibility of a personal error seems to be unusual. The final consolidation times(at $U_{95}$) predicted by the $\sqrt{s}$ method agreed well with the measured ones. but the ones by Asaoka and Tan(1996) methods were very much underestimated or overestimated. where $U_{95}$, is the average degree of consolidation of 95%. The big errors of these two methods seem to result from unconsidering the effect of stage construction.

  • PDF