• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.6 no.6 s.28
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• pp.142-151
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• 2005

On public constructions, that the first planed projects delay than the scheduled completion day occurrence frequently because gap between the scheduled construction durations and the actual construction durations. These facts connect with not only problems of the construction during as the construction delay but also brought about the distribution costs increase as the failure of facility use plan and the people discomfort weight, failure of the production and the supply using facility then tremendous loss of each part etc. For reduce these loss, it must improve accuracy of the scheduled construction duration estimating when it order. This study try contribute to a successful manage of public project and reduce the construction duration extension frequent of the construction during, and then ensure the suitable construction duration by present the estimation model of the scheduled construction duration that include the construction duration correct element using as an index on the scheduled construction duration estimation.

• Land and Housing Review
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.93-101
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• 2021

As the number of small households (1 to 2 persons per household) in Korea gradually increases, so does the importance of housing supply policies for small households. In response to the increase in small households, the government has been continuously supplying urban housing for these households. Since housing for small households is a sales and rental business similar to apartments and general business facilities, it is important for the building owner to calculate the project's estimated construction duration during the planning stage. Review of literature found a model for estimating the duration of construction of large-scale buildings but not for small-scale buildings such as urban housing for small households. Therefore this study aimed to develop and verify a model for estimating construction duration for urban housing at the planning stage based on multiple regression analysis. Independent variables inputted into the estimation model were building site area, building gross floor area, number of below ground floors, number of above ground floors, number of buildings, and location. The modified coefficient of determination (R_a²) of the model was 0.547. The developed model resulted in a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 171.26 days and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 26.53%. The developed estimation model is expected to provide reliable construction duration calculations for small-scale urban residential buildings during the planning stage of a project.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.107-119
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• 2021

Recently, interest in remodeling apartment houses has been increasing due to problems such as a lack of parking spaces for old apartment houses. However, no method was suggested to predict the construction period of the apartment remodeling project. Unlike general apartment new construction, apartment remodeling construction involves demolition or reinforcement work, so a realistic remodeling construction period calculation plan differentiated from the existing construction period should be proposed. Therefore, this study intends to present a model for deriving the construction period of the underground parking lot of the apartment remodeling construction. Each construction period was calculated based on 19 activities of underground parking lot remodeling work through review of previous studies and expert advice. Activity's workload data and productivity data were derived to calculate the construction period, and the number of inputs and equipment inputs by Activity were determined to correct the productivity data. The construction period of Activity was calculated using the derived data, and the criteria for calculating the overlapping period for each Activity were presented to enable realistic construction period and scheduled schedule. As a result of predicting the accuracy of the construction period through the verification of the case complex, it is expected that it will be possible to predict the approximate construction period of the underground parking lot of the apartment remodeling construction in the future.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.26-33
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• 2009

The required level of detail in scheduling depends on the stages in the construction life-cycle. The objective of this study is to provide a Standardized Schedule Model (SSM) with an aim to facilitate the estimating of construction duration in the planning stage. The SSM modularizes work items; establishes relations between preceding and succeeding activities; and calculates approximate construction duration. The estimated duration of the SSM was compared with the detailed duration from the commercial scheduling tool using actual work activities. The difference showed to be ranged between -3.1% and +15%, which demonstrates that the SSM can be feasibly applied to the approximate estimation of construction duration.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.18 no.12
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• pp.200-207
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• 2017

3D printing is making a huge difference to existing industries and is beginning to be applied in the field of construction. 3D printing construction differs from existing construction techniques. Therefore, new construction processes need to be developed. In particular, the accurate construction duration is linked directly to a successful project. A method for estimating the construction duration for 3D printing construction is necessary. In this study, a 3D printing construction process and duration estimation method were derived to prepare for the future introduction of 3D printing in construction. The scope of the study was assumed to be 3D printing equipment capable of pouring concrete, and limited to a frame structure construction. The developed construction period estimation method was applied to the virtual test model. As a result of applying the test model, the construction duration was shortened by approximately 50% compared to the existing construction technique. The method of estimating the construction period developed in this study can be applied to 3D printing constructions in the future and help establish a business plan.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.195-205
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• 2013

Construction Management means a comprehensive plan of given the resources and the operation of the elements to complete the construction within the construction period. The construction period of these shall be determined by calculation based on reliable initial business. However, in actual field, inaccurate task duration is determined to the intuitive judgments of representative, reference of a similar project construction period of the past. As previous studies for the improvement of existing methods, This study presented a standard model that can be utilized in the early stages of construction projects for the TBM method operating by diameter (2.6m, 3.0m, 3.5m, 5.0m, 8.0m), and This study presented and calculated construction period which can estimated quickly the entire outline the construction period Therefore, When performing TBM construction work in the future, the total construction period which presented and analyze by TBM diameter, can be used as a useful material which plan and manage construction contracts, construction estimating, construction planning to the basic planning stage, and the basic design stage.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.35-43
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• 2015

It is important to have enough design and construction duration for infrastructure projects. However, recent water resource project in Korea shows several problems caused by their fast-tract schedule. National Audit Committee report several water resource projects have quality problems caused by insufficient project duration. Especially, water resource projects such as dam and water pipeline construction should have proper time to secure their structure quality. Normal project duration for these projects should be estimated based on previous similar projects' historical data analysis. However there is no standard model which can estimate normal project duration for water resource projects in Korea. There are several normal project duration estimation models for building project developed by public(LH) and private construction companies. However, there is no proper model for water resource projects. So, this study developed normal project duration model for dam and water pipeline projects using historical data and show application of models.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.335-335
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• 2012

기후변화에 의한 미래 수문량 전망에 대한 연구는 전지구 모델 결과를 바탕으로 이루어진다. 현재 전지구 모델의 모의 결과 생산된 강우 자료는 기상청에서 제공되며, 제공된 자료는 기상청 관측 지점에 국한되어 있다. 어떤 유역의 확률홍수량 전망은 유역내 강우 지점의 확률강우량을 강우-유출 모형인 HEC-1에 입력하여 추정할 수 있다. 한강 유역과 같은 대유역의 확률홍수량을 구하기 위해서는 유역내 기상청 관측 지점만으로는 지점수가 부족하기 때문에 국토해양부나 수자원공사 관할의 지점 자료를 활용한다. 하지만 이러한 대유역의 미래 확률홍수량을 전망하고자 하는 경우에 제공되는 전지구 모델 결과가 기상청 지점에 국한되어 있어 다른 지점의 확률강우량을 산정하는 데 어려움이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제를 보완하기 위해 지역빈도해석을 이용하여 미래 전망 자료가 없는 지점들의 확률강우량을 추정하였다. 지역빈도해석을 수행하기 위해서는 관측 자료가 있는 유역내 지점들의 특성치(site characteristics)를 바탕으로 지역을 구분하고, Hosking and Wallis(1997)가 제안한 이질성 척도(heterogeneity measure)를 근거로 구분된 지역의 수문학적 동질성 여부를 검토하며, 각 지역에 대한 성장곡선(growth curve)를 추정한다. 지역별로 추정된 성장곡선에 지점의 연최대값 평균을 곱하면 그 지점의 확률강우량을 추정할 수 있다. 따라서 미래 기간의 지역별 성장곡선과 지점의 연최대값 평균을 전망할 수 있으면, 미래 기간의 지점별 확률강우량을 산정할 수 있고, 이를 바탕으로 확률홍수량도 전망할 수 있다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 전지구 모델에서 모의된 강우 자료를 바탕으로 미래 기간의 성장곡선을 추정하고, 과거 대비 미래 기간의 지속기간별 연최대값 평균의 비율을 산정하여 모의 자료가 없는 지점에 적용함으로써 미래 기간의 연최대값 평균을 산정하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 미래 기간의 확률강우량을 산정하도록 하였다. 이 기법의 신뢰도를 검증하기 위해 관측 자료를 두 기간으로 구분하여, 이 기법을 적용하여 추정한 확률강우량과 관측 자료로부터 산정한 확률강우량을 비교하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.46-46
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• 2017

지역가뭄빈도분석의 분위산정에 대한 신뢰성은 수문학적으로 균일한 지역으로 구분하기 위해 사용된 장기간의 과거 자료와 분석절차에 의해 결정된다. 그러나 극심한 가뭄은 매우 드물게 발생하며 신뢰 할 수 있는 지역빈도분석을 위한 지속기간이 충분치 않는 경우가 많이 발생한다. 이 외에도 우리나라의 복잡한 지형적 및 기후적 특징은 동질한 지역으로 구분하기 위한 통계적인 처리방법이 필요하였다. 본 연구에서 적용한 지역빈도분석은 여러 지역의 다양한 변수인 수문기상 특성을 분석하여 동질한 지역을 확인하고, 주요 가뭄변수(지속 시간 및 심각도)를 통합 적용하여 각각의 동질한 지역 분위를 추정함으로써 동질한 지역을 구분하는 해결책을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 가우시안 혼합 모형(Gaussian Mixture Model)을 기반으로 기반 군집분석 방법을 적용하여 최적의 동질한 지역을 구분하고 그 결과를 우도비검정 및 다른 유효성 검사 지수를 이용해서 확인하였다. 가우시안 혼합 모델에서 산정했던 매개변수를 방향저감 공간으로 표현하기 위해서 가우시안 혼합 모델방향 저감(GMMDR)방법을 적용하였다. 이 변수는 가뭄빈도분석을 위해 다양한 분포와 코풀라(copula) 적합도를 이용하여 추정 비교하였다. 그 결과 우리나라를 4개의 동질한 지역으로 나누게 되었다. 가우시안과 Frank copula를 이용한 Pearson type III(PE3) 분포는 우리나라의 가뭄 기간과 심각도의 공동 분포를 추정하는데 적합한 것으로 나타났다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.444-447
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• 2006

Construction managers need to pay a close attention to the resource utilization in order to deliver the construction project successfully. Construction scheduling is crucial for resource control in that it provides information when and how much to bring down work force to sites. In scheduling, activity duration is projected based on the productivity of historical data or the intuition of scheduler. This paper studies the opportunity of applying cost-based productivity for estimating activity duration. For cost-based productivity, the cost of resource is used as an input and the work quantities as an output. Out of historical data, regression model has been developed to understand the validity of applying cost-based productivity in projecting activity duration. The result of study will work as a prerequisite for implementing the environment of database-based construction scheduling.