• Title/Summary/Keyword: 고용확률

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Research on the Employment Instability and Its Causes (고용불안과 그 원인에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Jae-ryang
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.111-139
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    • 2005
  • This study analyzed employment instability, defining the increase of employment instability as 'a greater possibility of losing a job and a declining possibility of re-employment'. Flow variable measurements showed that the extent of employment instability was higher post 2000 compared to the period of before financial crisis. When considering the status of workers, such an increase in employment instability can be characterized by a greater possibility of unemployment for daily workers. If this is examined in conjunction with job creation and destruction, employment instability is increased not because there are less jobs being created but because there is an actual decline in the number of jobs and also because the jobs that are being created are mostly temporary. On the other hand the increased instability is due to the large-scaled public work policy under the financial crisis.

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Business Cycle and Labor Market Transitions : A Comparison among Demographic Groups (경기변동과 고용 동학에 대한 분석: 집단 간 취업-미취업 이행확률 비교를 중심으로)

  • Goh, Young-Geun;Ahn, Taehyun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.31-59
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    • 2018
  • This study examines how the rate of transition between employment and non-employment changes with the business cycle using monthly panel data constructed from 2000-2013 Korea Labor and Income Panel Study(KLIPS). In particular, we investigate whether the transition rates are different across demographic groups when the labor market is depressed. We find that, as the labor market weakens, the transition rate into non-employment significantly increases. The rates of transition into non-employment are substantially higher for female, older and less educated groups than those for male, prime-aged and more educated groups.

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The Effects of Marriage and Childbearing on Labor Market Outcomes and Subjective Well-Being among Women (결혼과 출산이 여성의 노동시장 성과와 생활만족도에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoo, Inkyung;Lee, Jungmin
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.35-86
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    • 2020
  • We estimate the effects of marriage on women's labor market outcomes and subject well-being. To resolve the endogeneity problem of marital status and timing of marriage, we use the difference-in-differences event study method which compares the trends of the outcome before and after the event between treatment and control groups. For robustness, we use four different control groups. The results show that the probability of working drops significantly by about 10%p in the first year of marriage and the effect becomes as large as 46%p by the 5th year of marriage. Also monthly earnings decrease substantially. We find that marriage increases subjective well-being, while the effect is not persistent.

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Accounting for the Recent Decline in the Share of Regular Employees: A Dynamic Analysis (근래의 상용직 비중 변화에 대한 동태적 분석)

  • Ryoo, Jaewoo;Kim, Jaehong
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.253-283
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    • 2001
  • This paper attempts to account for the recent decline in the share of 'regular employees' among total employees. It finds, among other things, that the decline which began in 1993 is not associated with the changes in the composition of the worker groups that have differing tendency to work as regular employees. Overall, the decline in the share of regular employment is mainly due to the workers' increased transition probability out of 'regular employment', with the exception of the younger workers for whom the decrease in the rate of entry into 'regular employment' has also been an important reason of such a decline.

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An Investigation on Employment Effect of Senior Job Training (준·고령자 직업훈련의 훈련생 및 훈련 특성이 재고용에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Kyung Hee;Lee, Yohaeng
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.527-538
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this investigation is to analyze the effect of employment and quality of employment of senior job training. The questionnaire administered to 576 senior job trainees(over 50 years old) and 28 training institute before and after job training to survey job training characteristics, training institute characteristics and trainee characteristics. The results were as follows : First, independence test(X2) revealed that occupational category, period of training, type of institution, training history, location, and trainee's education level had significant difference on employment. Second, The probability of employment was higher in new and well-equipped public institution than private or old public institution. Third, compared with the prior wage, the wage after training decreased. This result suggested that the unemployed senior can hardly be reemployed in prior level job. The result of analysis on the cases of increased wage after training revealed that the trainees who was women, had a little dependent family, a shorter unemployed period, and a higher prior wage showed higher wage than prior wage after training.

Occupational Labor Market Activities by College Majors: On the Crisis of Science and Engineering Majors (대학졸업자의 전공계열별 직업노동시장 성과: 이공계 위기의 노동시장 원인론을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Chang-Hwan;Kim, Hyung-Seog
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2006
  • Labor market participation and occupational status for workers majoring in(natural) science and engineering are estimated and compared with workers of other majors at three levels: employment, prestigious occupations, and good occupations. For this, we utilized 2% Public Use Sample of 2000 Korea Census. The results of two-stage probit models, which adjust sample selection bias, do not support the argument that graduates of science and engineering majors are relatively disadvantaged. Workers of engineering majors are more likely to have 'good occupations' at their early job careers, but their advantages fade away quickly as they are aging. Especially at their 40s, their probability of having 'good occupations' start to be likely lower than workers of social science majors. This may be due to low human capital accumulation rates at work places along with quickly outdated skills which are acquired in colleges.

Status in Employment in the Agricultural Sector and Analysis Demand Factors : Evidence from Gangwon, South Korea (강원도 농업부문 고용인력 실태 및 수요 결정요인 분석)

  • Yi, Hyangmi;Goh, Jongtae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.47-60
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    • 2018
  • 계획적이고 안정적인 영농을 위해 영농작업 인력을 확보하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 하지만 농가인구의 감소로 인한 농업인력 확보의 어려움과 농업노동 임금의 지속적인 증가는 경영주에게 이중의 고통이 되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 농가처분가능소득이 전국에서 가장 높은 강원도를 지역 표집으로 선정하여 Bivariate Probit 모형을 이용해 내국인과 외국인 고용의 상호 관계를 고려한 고용인력 수요 결정요인을 살펴보았다. 분석결과, 첫째, 3개월 이상 노동력을 고용하는 농가들의 경우 내국인 고용수요와 외국인 고용수요 간에는 양(+)의 상관관계가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 전형적인 도시근교 농업의 특징을 나타내는 춘천시에 비해 강원도내 타 지역 농가들은 다른 변수들이 일정할 경우 내국인과 외국인의 고용수요가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 젊은 경영주일수록 내국인 상시 고용에 대한 수요가 높고, 농가조직에 참여하고 있는 농가일수록 자가노동 확률은 0.13% 감소하고, 상시 농업 노동력에 대한 수요가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 분석결과를 종합한 농업 노동력 확보를 위한 정책적 시사점으로는 첫째, 상시고용된 농업인력들을 대상으로 국내외 문화 차이를 인지하고, 내국인 노동자와 외국인 노동자간의 협력 네트워크 구축을 위한 영농교육 확대가 필요하다. 둘째, 각 지역별로 내국인 또는 외국인 노동자의 상시고용 수요가 상이한 것으로 나타나 강원도내 지역별 농산업 현황을 기반으로 "(가칭)강원도 농업 인력 수급 플랫폼" 구축이 필요하다. 셋째, 청년창업농과 농가조직 참여 농가들을 대상으로 농작업 상시고용 인력을 우선적으로 매칭해 주는 것이 필요하다.

Youth Poverty and Employment (청년 빈곤 및 고용실태 분석)

  • Kim, Anna;Hong, Hyunwoo
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.93-124
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    • 2018
  • Using the Korean Survey of Household Finances and Living Conditions panel data from 2012~2016, this study analyzed youth (19~34 years) poverty and employment and examined the factors that affect employment status. The analysis revealed an increase in the proportion of young people who are students or jobless; the economic conditions of the young people varied by factors such as marital status, education, job status, and loans; and the government public transfer policy had little impact on reducing the relative poverty rate of the youth. We also examined the factors affecting the youth's employment status and the risk of being employed in low-paid jobs, using multi-logit and logit regression model respectively. Considering employment status, the older and more educated the youth were, the less frequently they were employed in temporary or daily jobs instead of regular ones, but there was no difference between genders in terms of having temporary or daily jobs. A logit analysis on the determinants of low-paid jobs demonstrated that women, the less educated, spouses or children of the household, and temporary or daily workers have a greater probability of working at low-paid jobs. As women became older, their risk of having low-paid jobs increased, which demonstrated the phenomenon of "lock-in" at low-paid jobs. Temporary or daily workers of all age groups faced a higher risk of lowpaid employment, which stood out for the youth. Based on these results, we suggest that government employment and welfare policies should consider individual characteristics of the youth and their life cycle, along with efforts to supply decent jobs, continuously and stably.

장애인 창업자의 기회인식이 창업의지에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 기업가정신의 매개효과를 중심으로

  • O, Yeong-Geun;Kim, Jong-Seong
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.135-139
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    • 2020
  • 2019년 장애인경제활동실태조사에 따르면 장애인의 고용률은 35%, 실업률은 6.6%로 우리나라 전체 경제 활동 인구의 고용률 61.5%, 실업률 4.4%와 비교할 때 매우 낮은 수준을 보여주고 있다. 상대적으로 저조한 장애인의 취업 및 고용 상황을 개선하기 위하여 정부 주요 부처에서 활발한 노력을 하고 있으나, 장애인의 고용환경은 여전히 열악하여 장애인의 낮은 경제활동 참가율, 직종 선택의 제한, 지원 고용에 비해 낮은 일반고용률, 비정규직 치중 등 열악한 고용 형태의 질적 개선 등 장애인고용에 대한 정책적 지원이 더 개선되고 발전되어야 함을 내포하고 있다. 그에 따른 대안으로 장애인 창업이 주목을 받고 있다. 그러나 창업은 비장애인조차도 성공하기가 어렵고 실패할 확률이 높다. 장애인 창업의 경우 장애라는 특성으로 인해 실패할 경우 재기하기 어려운 상황에 처해질 가능성이 비장애인보다 높다. 따라서 장애인 창업의 특성을 고려하여 성공 창업 요소를 파악할 필요가 있으며, 그에 영향을 미치는 요인들에 관한 연구는 시급한 상황이다. 본 연구의 목적은 비장애인들을 대상으로 이루어진 기회 인식, 창업 의도, 기업가정신에 관한 선행 연구의 연구 결과를 바탕으로 장애인 창업자의 창업의지에 미치는 영향요인을 규명해 보고자 한다. 특히 장애인 창업자의 기회인식과 창업의지 사이에서 기업가 정신(혁신성, 위험 감수성, 진취성)의 매개효과를 검증하며, 이 과정에서 창업자의 창업 의도를 고취시킬 수 방안에 관해 논의해 보고자 한다.

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